2023 Fantasy Football Draft Strategy: WR Depth Since drafting early wide receivers has become the most popular draft strategy in […]
Targeting upside is just natural in fantasy football. Identifying breakouts, sleepers, and bounce-back players make all the headlines. However, it is equally important to avoid potential landmines. Players set to disappoint at their current ADP. On that note, we have […]
FullTime Fantasy’s world-famous Fantasy Football Draft Kit is loaded with exclusive content. This includes our unique Preseason Pro series that dives deep into the minds of some of the most successful high-stakes veterans and fantasy experts in the world. Part of the Preseason Pro includes players these insiders are avoiding in 2023.
FullTime Fantasy’s 2023 Round One Fantasy Bust of the Year is…
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2023 Fantasy Football Draft Strategy: WR These days, drafting early-round wide receivers has become the most popular fantasy football draft […]
A Strategy Guide for Drafting RBs Opportunity reigns supreme in fantasy football. However, no position is as susceptible to nagging […]
2023 Deep Sleeper Tight Ends Each fantasy football season, a tight end or two will emerge from the back end of the pool. Therefore, for someone cheating the tight end position, an open mind and a quick trigger after Week […]
Each fantasy football season, a tight end or two will emerge from the back end of the pool. For someone cheating the tight end position, an open mind and a quick trigger after Week 1 can sometimes lead to a helpful player.
After presenting my 2023 fantasy football tight end values, here are my best 2023 Deep Sleeper Tight Ends to target on draft day this summer.
Isaiah Likely (Baltimore Ravens)
The success of Likely in his rookie season (36/373/3 on 60 targets) almost makes him a must-handcuff to Mark Andrews. I’m a fan of Charlie Kolar (who missed most of his rookie year), so the usage of both players will be critical to securing the next tight end on the depth chart in Baltimore.
Likely fits a big wide receiver profile (6’4” and 240 lbs.) with two impressive games (6/77/1 and 8/103) already on his NFL resume. The Ravens feature the tight end in their power run game, pointing to fewer targets for Baltimore’s secondary wide receivers. Likely is the 22nd-ranked tight end in late July. In his final year at Coastal Carolina, he caught 59 of his 78 targets for 912 yards and 12 touchdowns.
WHO ARE THE TOP FIVE 2023 DEEP SLEEPER TIGHT END TO TARGET DURING YOUR DRAFT OR AUCTION?
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2023 Fantasy Football Bounce-Back Players Each fantasy season, a group of players underperformed the previous year or saw their output fall short of expectations due to injuries. A veteran player with a proven resume often has a bounce-back season the […]
Each fantasy season, a group of players underperformed the previous year or saw their output fall short of expectations due to injuries. A veteran player with a proven resume often has a bounce-back season the following year while having a discounted price.
Identifying these rebound players can offer fantasy football fans a huge advantage on draft day. However, the key question is: which are the best options to regain their form in 2023?
Here are the top 2023 Fantasy Football Bounce-Back Players to keep in mind on draft day.
Deshaun Watson (Cleveland Browns)
With no fantasy value in 2021 and 2022 due to his off-the-field issues, the fantasy market has forgotten how good Watson was when on top of his game. Over his final seven games in 2020, he averaged 356 combined yards with 17 touchdowns. Also, he posted a nifty 9.4 yards per pass attempt.
Watson’s top five receivers that season were Brandin Cooks (81/1,150/6), Will Fuller (53/879/8), Randall Cobb (38/441/3), Jordan Akins (37/403/1), and David Johnson (33/314/2). He turned 28 in mid-September, putting him in the prime of his career.
Last year, Cleveland’s top three receivers (Amari Cooper – 78/1,160/9, Donovan Peoples-Jones – 61/839/3, and David Njoku – 58/628/4) had productive years even with Jacoby Brissett starting 11 games. Also, the Browns added Elijah Moore and Cedric Tillman in the offseason. Plus, they also have reliable depth at tight end (Harrison Bryant and Jordan Akins) and an upside David Bell on the roster. Watson is an excellent second-tier quarterback in…
WHO ARE THE TOP FIVE 2023 FANTASY FOOTBALL BOUNCE-BACK CANDIDATES?
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Top Five Running Back Sleepers There are some strategies that advocate targeting running backs early and often. However, many other #ZERORB drafters bypass early RBs altogether. Regardless of your approach, running backs remain a pivotal focus in fantasy football. By […]
There are some strategies that advocate targeting running backs early and often. However, many other #ZERORB drafters bypass early RBs altogether. Regardless of your approach, running backs remain a pivotal focus in fantasy football.
By in large, top-tier running backs will accumulate the most points in fantasy lineups. That makes them an integral part of each and every lineup. Knowing which mid-to-late-round running back sleepers to target can make all the difference between a middling roster and a real championship contender.
Here are the Top Five Running Back Sleepers to target in your 2023 fantasy football draft or auction.
Breaking Down The Field
I researched the running back outcomes in 2022 to keep the same theme with the quarterback and wide receiver week-to-week data. Over 18 weeks, running backs scored 30 fantasy points or more in PPR formats in 26 games. Four of these scores reach the 40-point mark (Joe Mixon – 55.10, Alvin Kamara – 42.80, Christian McCaffrey – 40.60, and Josh Jacobs – 48.30). Austin Ekeler (4) and Josh Jacobs (4) posted the most impact games.
The top 12 running backs posted 17 of the 26 games with more than 30 fantasy points, compared to five by RB2s. Backs scored between 20 and 29.99 fantasy points 107 times, with RB1s accounting for 51 of those showings. They finished with a 106:67 boom or bust ratio (15 fantasy points or more/fewer than 10.00 fantasy points). The second 12 running backs had a much weaker ratio (58:100).
Austin Ekeler scores 20 or more fantasy points in nine games, giving him a 52.9% win rate in his impact ratio. Christian McCaffrey (8) and Derrick Henry (8) finished tied for second in this area.
The highest floor ratio (76.5) went to Christian McCaffery (13 games), followed by Austin Ekeler (12) and Saquan Barkley (12), then Derrick Henry (10) and Nick Chubb (10).
After Week 10, only three back scores ranking outside the top 38 scored more than 20 fantasy points in a game (Brian Robinson – 20.50, JaMycal Hasty – 20.50, and Zack Moss – 21.10).
Here’s a look at the top 24 running backs from last season with their highlighted week-to-week scores…
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2023 Fantasy Tight End Values It seems like tight ends are becoming more valuable as each fantasy season arrives. Much of that value can be attributed to the lack of depth available throughout the position. Also, many leagues have begun […]
It seems like tight ends are becoming more valuable as each fantasy season arrives. Much of that value can be attributed to the lack of depth available throughout the position. Also, many leagues have begun to mitigate that weakness by rewarding bonus points for tight end receptions.
Regardless of your league’s settings, securing a reliable weekly tight end is a huge advantage in fantasy football. And since there are so few elite options, most fantasy football managers will be searching for the top 2023 fantasy tight end values to target on draft day.
Here are the top-5 2023 fantasy tight end values that you should consider when assembling your roster this summer.
Last year, Travis Kelce (317.3 fantasy points) dominated the tight end pool. He had more than a 100-point edge over the second-best option (T.J. Hockenson – 216.40 fantasy points) while doubling the output of the sixth-ranked (Tyler Higbee – 152.00 fantasy points). Kelce had a floor of 15 fantasy points in 12 of his 17 starts, doubling the second-highest player (George Kittle – 6) in this area. Only three running backs and three wide receivers outscored Kelce in 2022 in PPR formats.
Eight tight end games with 30-plus fantasy points came from the top 12 best players. The TE1s scored between 20 and 29.99 fantasy points 17 times (12 by the top four tight ends). The other remaining options delivered just nine outcomes in this category.
During the year, there were 210 games by tight ends with a floor of 10 fantasy points. Here’s the breakdown by groupings:
Below the top 18 tight ends last season, there were only four games with more than 20 fantasy points – Jordan Akins – 25., Mike Gesicki – 24.9, Mo Alie-Cox – 26.5, Shane Zylstra – 25.6, and Trey McBride – 20.8).
Here’s a look at the week-to-week scores by the top 24 tight ends in 2022…
WHO ARE THE TOP FIVE 2023 FANTASY TIGHT END VALUES TO TARGET DURING YOUR DRAFT OR AUCTION?
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Top Five Wide Receiver Sleepers Today’s high-octane NFL offense has led to an explosion in popularity for wide receivers. As #ZERORB drafting has become all the rage in fantasy football, young wide receivers have developed into the most valuable commodity […]
Today’s high-octane NFL offense has led to an explosion in popularity for wide receivers. As #ZERORB drafting has become all the rage in fantasy football, young wide receivers have developed into the most valuable commodity in many leagues and formats.
It only takes one mock draft to see just how impactful young, productive wideouts have become. However, not all receivers are created equally. Knowing which young pass catcher has the potential to develop into the next elite fantasy WR1 or WR2 is crucial for compiling a championship roster.
Here are the top five wide receiver sleepers that have the potential to break out in 2023.
Anatomy Of A Sleeper WR
In this year’s draft class, many NFL teams scoured the talent pool at wide receiver looking for the next quick undersized player looking for the next Tyreek Hill (5’10” and 185 lbs.), Antonio Brown (5’10” and 195 lbs.), or even DeVonta Smith (6’0” and 170 lbs.). The goal is to find a difference-maker with the talent to force a defense to defend the whole field.
Identifying these budding superstar wideouts has never been more important to succeed in fantasy football. Here are some quick data to show the wide receiver dropdowns from 2020 to 2022:
Note: The above data is from PPR formats.
Each NFL season, there is a fluctuation of touchdowns scored either via the pass or the run. In 2020, receivers caught 871 touchdowns (most in NFL history), with a pullback to 840 scores in 2021 despite each team playing one more game. Subsequently, last season, scoring was down across the board, leading to only 750 passing touchdowns. This regression came from 15 teams tossing 20 or fewer scores.
Also, here are the running and passing stats from 2010 to 2022…
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August has arrived, which means another glorious fantasy football season is upon us. FullTime Fantasy’s world-renowned Draft Kit is loaded with exclusive content to help you crush your upcoming draft. Part of that includes naming the FullTime Fantasy staff Fantasy […]
We’re defining our breakout player as a player who is poised to exceed their ADP and is set to enter ELITE status. Also, this player will be a real difference-maker that will command first-round status next season. Normally, a breakout would be a veteran poised to have his best season. However, in 2023, we’re going in a different direction…
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