Month: November 2023

DFS

Week 13 DFS: Tight End Report

November 30, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 13 DFS: Tight End Report The tight end position was relatively quiet in Week 12, with Pat Freiermuth (9/120) and Tyler Higbee (5/29/2) being the winning exacta. Only three other players scored more than 15.00 fantasy points – Sam […]

Week 13 DFS: Tight End Report

The tight end position was relatively quiet in Week 12, with Pat Freiermuth (9/120) and Tyler Higbee (5/29/2) being the winning exacta. Only three other players scored more than 15.00 fantasy points – Sam LaPorta (17.70), T.J. Hockenson (16.00), and Travis Kelce (15.10). Here are the top five tight ends by scoring average after 12 weeks:

  • Travis Kelce (15.65)
  • T.J. Hockenson (15.63)
  • George Kittle (12.99)
  • Sam LaPorta (12.99)
  • Mark Andrews (11.28)

Here are the top plays this week via the Week 13 DFS: Tight End Report. Also, check out the Week 13 DFS: QB Report.

Top-Tier Options

George Kittle, SF (DK – $6,200/FD – $7,400)

After three consecutive games (23.90, 20.60, and 22.90) with 20+ fantasy points, Kittle had a quiet showing (3/19 on five targets) vs. the Seahawks. He only had four games with more than six targets during the year. His value has been much more substantial at home (28/404/4 – 19.08 FPPG) than on the road (18/263/1 – 8.92 FPPG). The 49ers looked his way 6, 3, 2, 7, 4, and 5 times away from San Francisco. The Eagles held him to three catches for 36 yards on four targets last year in the playoffs on the road.

Philadelphia ranks 22nd in tight end defense (55/520/6 on 71 targets), with struggles in five matchups (NE – 8/92/1, MIN – 9/79/2, WAS – 7/61/1, DAL – 8/91/1, and KC – 7/44/1). They also faced three teams with weakness at the tight end position (TB – 1/16, MIA – 0/0, and LAR – 2/20 with five combined targets). 

With Travis Kelce off the main slate on Sunday and T.J. Hockenson on a bye, Kittle is the highest-priced tight end. His resume on the road suggests more of a risk/reward type play with lower ownership expected. His scoring upside keeps him in play, and a higher-scoring game should increase his targets.

Mid-Tier Options

Dalton Schultz, HOU (DK – $5,000/FD – $6,200)

After his impact game (10/130/1), the Texans struggled to get Schultz…

 

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Tua Tagovailoa
DFS

Week 13 Quarterback Report

November 30, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 13 NFL Quarterback Report Last week, the top-tier quarterbacks all posted impact games. Josh Allen (44.05) led the way in fantasy points in four-point passing touchdown leagues while outdueling Jalen Hurts (38.50). Dak Prescott (35.55) continued his midseason rise, […]

Week 13 NFL Quarterback Report

Last week, the top-tier quarterbacks all posted impact games. Josh Allen (44.05) led the way in fantasy points in four-point passing touchdown leagues while outdueling Jalen Hurts (38.50). Dak Prescott (35.55) continued his midseason rise, as did C.J. Stroud (33.90). Seven other quarterbacks scored between 21.00 and 29.50 fantasy points. Here are the top five quarterbacks by scoring average after 12 weeks:

  • Josh Allen (27.91)
  • Jalen Hurts (27.26)
  • C.J. Stroud (24.05)
  • Dak Prescott (23.81)
  • Justin Herbert (23.60)

Using our Week 13 Fantasy Football Rankings, let’s break down this week’s field in the FullTime Fantasy Week 13 NFL Quarterback Report.

Top-Tier Options

Jalen Hurts, PHI (DK – $8,200/FD – $9,000)

The passing attack for the Eagles lost momentum over their last three games (207/2, 150/0, and 200/3). But Hurts held form by his success on the ground (36/130/5). Philadelphia is in the middle of a challenging five-game run (DAL, @KC, BUF, SF, and @DAL). Hurts had a floor of 25.00 fantasy points in seven of his last eight matchups while offering three impact games (31.35, 31.55, and 38.50). Last year, the 49ers held him to 160 combined yards with one rushing touchdown.

San Francisco has the fourth-best defense (15.55 FPPG) defending quarterbacks, with three offenses (NYG – 313/2, MIN – 377/2, and CIN – 326/3) scoring more than 25.00 fantasy points. They play well vs. the run, and quarterbacks gain only 6.2 yards per pass attempt. Three teams (LAR – 24/243, MIN – 17/241/2, and CIN – 21/235/3) gained more than 200 yards with their wideouts.

Hurts has a high floor, and the Eagles need him to play well to beat the 49ers. His matchup isn’t ideal for the daily games unless the Eagles throw the ball much better. I don’t see him scoring 33.00 fantasy points, which is needed to fill his salary bucket.

C.J. Stroud, Hou (DK – $8,100/FD – $8,000)

Stroud’s success over the last four weeks (1,530/12) pushed him to third in quarterback scoring (264.50). His best play continues…

WHO ELSE DOES SHAWN THINK ARE MUST-PLAY OPTIONS THIS WEEK?…

 

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Season Long – All Sports

Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 13

November 30, 2023 Jody Smith

Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 13 FullTime Fantasy has been synonymous with accurate fantasy football rankings for years. Our rankings have garnered numerous industry accolades, with several top-5 finishes in season-long, weekly, and even sports betting accuracy. This is […]

Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 13

FullTime Fantasy has been synonymous with accurate fantasy football rankings for years. Our rankings have garnered numerous industry accolades, with several top-5 finishes in season-long, weekly, and even sports betting accuracy. This is the home of our FullTime Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 13.

Ranking You Can Trust

Our staff was ranked No. 1 last season, with not one but TWO analysts inside the top 10. With projections powered by NFBC Hall-of-Fame writer Shawn Childs and former FantasyPro’s Most Accurate Expert Jody Smith, FullTime Fantasy Members get instant access to reliable and trustworthy weekly rankings.

Additionally, Jody and Adam Krautwurst co-host the FullTime Fantasy Podcast, which is live-streamed weekly on YouTube. The guys are also active in the FullTime Fantasy Discord channel, helping answer all fantasy and sports betting inquiries.

Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 13

 

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dak prescott ceedee lamb
DFS - NFL

Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 13

November 29, 2023 Jody Smith

Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 13 Last Thursday was full of food, family, and football. This week, we get back to normal with just one game. The FullTime Fantasy Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 12 breaks down the fantasy and […]

Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 13

Last Thursday was full of food, family, and football. This week, we get back to normal with just one game. The FullTime Fantasy Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 12 breaks down the fantasy and sports betting prospects for Seattle’s trip to Dallas.

The ‘traveling on short rest’ narrative doesn’t apply here since both the Seahawks and Cowboys hosted Thanksgiving games one week ago. Afforded their full week of rest, both squads were able to fully prepare for this pivotal matchup up NFC playoff contenders.

However, the Seahawks do have to contend with key injuries on offense, which gives them a huge disadvantage in taking on Dallas’ No. 2 ranked defense. Additionally, the Cowboys have been dominant at home. Dallas has won their last 13 games in Arlington and has been blowing teams away this season.

Dallas opened as 5.5-point favorites but that line quickly shot up to -9. Additionally, the total rose a point and a half to 47.

Matchup 

TEAM OFFENSE PASS RUSH YDS/PLAY POINTS
Seattle Seahawks 22 17 26 13 18
Dallas Cowboys 7 4 13 5 1

Geno Smith has regressed from the stellar numbers he posted out of nowhere last season. That’s caused the Seahawks to struggle to maintain drives and outscore opponents. Also, Seattle’s offensive line has been one of the poorest units in the league, leading to struggles rushing the ball and converting third downs (29th).

The Seahawks have also dropped three of their last four games and will once again be without star RB Kenneth Walker. That doesn’t bode well for their chances of pulling out a much-needed win against an opponent that has averaged 40 points per game at home this season.

Meanwhile, Dallas leads the NFL in scoring and has allowed the fourth-fewest points. The Cowboys rank second against the pass and look like a poor matchup for a Seattle squad starting a rookie backup running back. A fearsome pass rush combined with a play-making secondary will also cause major problems for Smith and the passing attack.

So, do the Seahawks stand a chance or are we in for another Thursday Night snoozefest?

Seattle Offense 

QB Geno Smith has struggled in three of his last four games- all of which Seattle has lost. Additionally, Smith has been dealing with an elbow injury. Facing a defense that has allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points to the position doesn’t feel like a get-right spot…

How will Thursday’s Seahawks vs. Cowboys game go?

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Season Long – All Sports

Advanced Week 12 NFL Snap Counts Report

November 28, 2023 Scott Atkins

Snap counts tell us who is playing but they don’t always paint a clear picture of who is producing for our fantasy football lineups. By digging deep into FullTime Fantasy‘s Advanced NFL Snap Counts Report: Week 12, we are able […]

NFL Snap Counts Frequently Asked Questions

The Snap Counts report and tool is invaluable in breaking down what’s happening behind the numbers.

What are NFL snap counts?

Snap counts represent the total number of offensive plays a player participated in during a given week.

Why should I care about NFL snap counts?

The number of times a player is on the field for a player can be incredibly useful. It helps track usage, and how players are used and provide fantasy football managers with the ability to look beyond the usual on-field production by adding context to those more traditional statistics.

How are your NFL snap-count numbers compiled?

NFL snap counts are tracked by the NFL Game Statistics and Information System (GSIS). For the last two years, each player has had a chip inserted in his shoulder pads so that radio transmitters in stadiums can track his every move on the field. This is how the GSIS compiles snap counts (and other on-field information).

How can I use NFL snap counts to leverage my success in fantasy football?

Understanding playing time can be a key factor in setting your weekly lineup. In particular, understanding and identifying trends that might give you an early jump on acquiring free agents or making trades for players who might quietly be gaining playing time.

What are the possible drawbacks to using NFL snap counts as part of my fantasy football lineup strategy?

As FantasyPros recently noted, studying snap counts and the percentage of snaps played is one of the easiest ways that we can determine one of the most basic, but important questions for potential fantasy success: Is this player even on the field often enough to make a difference? That said, NFL snap counts only outline playing time, and being on the field is only the first step to fantasy relevance. It’s not the only step. Don’t emphasize snap counts over production.

The Snap Counts report and tool is invaluable in breaking down what’s happening behind the numbers.

SNAPS Total offensive snaps played by player.
SNAP % Percentage of offensive snaps played.
RUSH % Percentage of snaps played where player had a rushing attempt.
TGT % Percentage of snaps played where player was targeted by a pass attempt.
TOUCH % Percentage of snaps played where player touched the football (includes pass attempts, rush attempts and receptions).
FPTS Fantasy points scored by player.
PTS/100 SNAPS Average fantasy points scored by player per 100 snaps

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Season Long – All Sports

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 13

November 27, 2023 Jody Smith

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 13 Luck Week 13. Or maybe it’s unlucky, depending on how your season has developed. However, if you’re reading a fantasy football waiver wire: Week 13 article, you’re probably in contention. The fantasy postseason is […]

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 13

Luck Week 13. Or maybe it’s unlucky, depending on how your season has developed. However, if you’re reading a fantasy football waiver wire: Week 13 article, you’re probably in contention. The fantasy postseason is just two weeks away, and picking up the right players for the stretch drive is paramount.

Here are FullTime‘s Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 13 players to target.

Week 13 Byes: Baltimore, Buffalo, Chicago, Las Vegas, Minnesota, New York Giants

FAAB denotes Free Agent Acquisition Budget

Pat Freiermuth (TE) Pittsburgh Steelers (33% FAAB) – The best way to explain Pittsburgh’s offensive woes is to blame Canada. In their first game after dismissing offensive coordinator Matt Canada, the Steelers put up a season-high 421 yards off offense. The main benefactor was Freiermuth, who was playing his first game since Week 4. Muth snagged 9-of-11 targets for a career-high 120 yards. While we can’t expect those numbers again, Freiermuth immediately returns to weekly TE1 status. And the timing couldn’t be better. If he’s somehow available on your fantasy football waiver wire: Week 13, don’t be outbid for a potential difference-maker.

Jayden Reed (WR) Green Bay Packers (15% FAAB) – Reed has been included in this piece multiple times. However…

 

To see the rest of this week’s waiver wire and FAAB targets…

 

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DFS

Week 12 DFS: Wide Receiver Report

November 25, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 12 DFS: Wide Receiver Report Calvin Ridley (7/121/2) climbed off the mat to post the top wide receiver game in Week 12. He jumped to 26th in wide receiver scoring (126.60 fantasy points) in PPR formats while starting the […]

Week 12 DFS: Wide Receiver Report

Calvin Ridley (7/121/2) climbed off the mat to post the top wide receiver game in Week 12. He jumped to 26th in wide receiver scoring (126.60 fantasy points) in PPR formats while starting the week ranked 41st. Tyreek Hill (30.60) was the only other wideout to score more than 30.00 fantasy points. Nathaniel Dell (28.90), Keenan Allen (27.60), and Brandon Aiyuk (26.60) rounded out the Super High-Five. Five other wide receivers scored between 20.00 and 23.00 fantasy points. Here are the top five wide receivers ranked by scoring average after 11 weeks:

  • Tyreek Hill (25.59)
  • Keenan Allen (23.32)
  • CeeDee Lamb (21.57)
  • A.J. Brown (20.53)
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown (19.31)

Six of the seven wideouts were all selected in the first round (Keenan Allen has an ADP of 28) in most leagues in the high-stakes market. Due to an injury, Justin Jefferson (1st overall) was the only wide receiver bust. Christian McCaffrey played up to expectations, while Austin Ekeler (missed three games), Garrett Wilson (Aaron Rodgers injury), Bijan Robinson (Falcons haven’t committed to him), and Saquon Barkley (missed three games) underachieved expectations.

Also, before we get into the Week 11 DFS: Wide Receiver Report, check out the QB Report, RB Report, and TE Report.

Top Tier Options

Stefon Diggs, BUF (DK – $8,800/FD – $8,700)

The Bills struggled to get Stefon Diggs the ball in back-to-back games (3/34 and 4/27 on 13 combined targets). He hasn’t gained more than 100 receiving yards since Week 6. Over this span, Diggs gained only 9.8 yards per catch. When at his best over the first six games, he averaged 8.2 catches for 103 yards and 0.83 touchdowns or 23.49 fantasy points in PPR formats. His best showing (6/120/3) came in Week 4 vs. the Dolphins. Diggs played well in all four road starts (10/192/1, 8/111, 6/58/1, and 6/86/1).

Philadelphia has the worst wide receiver defense (166/1,922/15 on 266 targets) in the league, with significant issues in five matchups (MIN – 17/265/2, WAS – 22/230/1, MIA – 20/206/1, WAS – 24/288/3, and DAL – 18/271/2). Despite their struggles, only four wideouts gained over 100 yards (Justin Jefferson – 11/159, Cooper Kupp – 8/118, Jahan Dotson – 8/108/1, and CeeDee Lamb – 11/191). CB Darius Slay sees minimal coverage out of the slot, pointing to Buffalo trying to get Diggs matched up with CB James Bradberry (31/374/6 on 56 targets – per PFF) on more plays. CB Bradley Roby (5/58/1 on 11 targets) and Josh Jobe (15/206/3 on 28 targets) handle the wide receiver assignments on the inside. 

With CeeDee Lamb, Tyreek Hill, Amon-Ra St, Brown, and Keenan Allen off the main slate on Sunday, Diggs is one of three higher-end wideouts with a chance at an impact game. I expect double-digit targets with an excellent chance of scoring, setting up a 30+ fantasy point game. My first team build in the Millionaire Maker at DraftKings will have Diggs as one of my foundation pieces. 

WHO ELSE DOES SHAWN THINK ARE MUST-PLAY OPTIONS THIS WEEK?…

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