player props

Jets Rookie RB Breece Hall
Season Long – All Sports

Week 4 NFL Player Props

September 26, 2024 Matt Brandon

Week 4 NFL Player Props Week 3 is in the books and we are cooking after a third consecutive profitable week. After beginning the season 9-4 (+6.3 Units), we produced a 5-2 record in Week 3 (+2.6 Units) due to […]

Week 4 NFL Player Props

Week 3 is in the books and we are cooking after a third consecutive profitable week. After beginning the season 9-4 (+6.3 Units), we produced a 5-2 record in Week 3 (+2.6 Units) due to a double-unit bet on Jauan Jennings after a pivot from George Kittle (who was a surprise inactive on Sunday). On the season, we are now 14-6 (70% conversion rate) and +8.9 Units! Let’s see if we can keep the momentum going with our Week 4 NFL Player Props.

Remember to always odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best value for these props. With that in mind, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 4 NFL prop bets! Like last week, I’ll be featuring one Thursday Night Football wager since our Week 3 TNF Anytime Touchdown bet cashed!

Lamar Jackson OVER 51.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Coming off a heavy workload, Derrick Henry may take a bit of a backseat this week, with Lamar Jackson poised to steal the spotlightβ€”just like we saw in Baltimore’s season opener. And given the context of this matchup, it makes sense. The Bills’ front seven has shown some vulnerability, especially when it comes to stopping the run, despite their impressive 3rd-place rank in Run Defense Win Rate. A closer look reveals they sit at a lowly 26th in PFF’s Run Defense Grade, signaling potential cracks in their armor.

Lamar has cleared this line in two of three games this season. The two times he did it, he decimated the line with 122 rushing yards in Week 1 and 87 rushing yards in Week 3. He’s averaging 84.6 rushing yards per game through three weeks of the season and is going to need to use his legs to keep the chains moving.

What makes this matchup even more intriguing is Buffalo’s defensive scheme. Their tendency to anchor linebackers in coverage while relying heavily on just their front four to generate pressure leaves them exposed, especially against mobile quarterbacks like Jackson. Baltimore’s offensive line, which ranks above league average in both Run Block Win Rate and PFF Grade, is well-positioned to keep Buffalo’s pressure at bay. With minimal resistance up front, Lamar Jackson should have plenty of opportunities to take advantage of open rushing lanes…

To get more PLAYER PROP BETS and finish reading this content…

USE CODE: BLITZ50 FOR 50% OFF your first TWO MONTHS! —OR— Use save20 for 20% off our 6-month package!

DEADLINE THIS FRIDAY.

GO PRO! Join FullTime Fantasy.

[…]

Season Long – All Sports

Week 3 NFL Player Props

September 19, 2024 Jody Smith

Week 3 NFL Player Props Week 2 is in the books and Week 3 is underway as the New York Jets look to extend their winning streak against AFC East rival, the New England Patriots, in primetime on Thursday Night […]

Week 3 NFL Player Props

Week 2 is in the books and Week 3 is underway as the New York Jets look to extend their winning streak against AFC East rival, the New England Patriots, in primetime on Thursday Night Football. Last week, we weren’t as profitable as in Week 1. But we still came away in the green due to our multiple units on Joe Burrow. After a 6-1 Week 1 record, we went 3-3 in Week 2 but gained 1.45 Units. We are now 9-4 (+6.3 Units) on the young season. Let’s see if we can keep the momentum heading into Week 3 of the NFL season!

Remember to always odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best value for these props. With that in mind, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 3 NFL prop bets!

Breece Hall Anytime Touchdown (-165)

Breece has scored a touchdown in each of his first two contests of the young season and although he’s facing a stingy New England Patriots run defense, the offense will continue to run through Hall. Yes, Braelon Allen found the end zone twice last week but Hall has seen 21 touches in each of his first matchups of the season, and we all know that volume is king.

Hall faced New England twice in his rookie campaign. The first time, he was held in check with just 18 scoreless rushing yards and a lone reception for nine yards. But that was just his third game as an NFL pro. Later in the season when the Jets faced the Patriots for a second time, Hall shredded the defense. The stud running back tallied 178 rushing yards on 37 carries and found the end zone. Additionally, he caught two passes for 12 yards.

Aaron Rodgers has been using Hall substantially in the short passing game so Hall has a chance to find the end zone not just as a rusher but also as a receiver. Last week, he hauled in a 26-yard touchdown reception where he looked more like a receiver than a running back. The kid has serious skills and great hands. Given that the Jets are heavy favorites in their first home game of the season, I like Hall’s chances of punching it into the end zone. The value could be better but I expect Hall to…

To get more PLAYER PROP BETS and finish reading this content…

USE CODE: BLITZ50 FOR 50% OFF your first TWO MONTHS! —OR— Use save20 for 20% off our 6-month package!

DEADLINE THIS FRIDAY.

GO PRO! Join FullTime Fantasy.

[…]

2025 preseason pro
Season Long – All Sports

Week 17 NFL Player Props

December 29, 2023 Matt Brandon

Week 17 NFL Player Props Another profitable betting week is in the books here at FullTime Fantasy. After going 5-2 in Week 16, we are now 48-35 (+13.8 Units) with just two weeks left in the 2023 NFL regular season. […]

Week 17 NFL Player Props

Another profitable betting week is in the books here at FullTime Fantasy. After going 5-2 in Week 16, we are now 48-35 (+13.8 Units) with just two weeks left in the 2023 NFL regular season. After a midseason lull, we are once again on a roll with three consecutive weeks of profit. Our Week 17 NFL Player Props aims to keep the winning ways going.

As always, I will list my seven favorite player props of the week as we gear up for Week 17’s slate of NFL matchups. All 32 teams will be in action with a pivotal matchup between the Detroit Lions and Dallas Cowboys on Saturday and no Monday night game this week. The Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings will close out the week on Sunday night at U.S. Bank Stadium.

Fantasy football owners have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 17 NFL Player Props and continue our profitable NFL season.

Patrick Mahomes OVER 20.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

After producing just 14 points against the Raiders in Week 16, Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs are going to be very motivated when they take on a Cincinnati Bengals franchise that has had their number in previous regular season matchups. And despite Kansas City’s struggles on offense last week, the one silver lining was that Mahomes was able to find a lot of running space. The signal caller registered a season-high 10 rushing attempts and tallied 53 yards in the Chiefs’ Christmas Day loss. Nine of those rushing attempts were on quarterback scrambles when Mahomes was under duress from Maxx Crosby and Malcom Kounce.

This week, the Chiefs’ atrocious offensive line will have to block Trey Hendrickson. With Isiah Pacheco likely sidelined, I’m anticipating Mahomes using his legs yet again out of necessity as the Bengals look to bring pressure. It also doesn’t hurt that the Chiefs face a Bengals defense that plays man-to-man coverage at a Top-10 rate. With the defensive backs zoning in on the receivers, there will be fewer eyes on Mahomes if he looks to take off from the pocket. The Bengals have surrendered a lot of yardage to mobile quarterbacks this season. Lamar Jackson, Deshaun Watson, Josh Allen, and Brock Purdy averaged 50+ rushing yards per game against the Bengals this season.

Mahomes ranks sixth among quarterbacks in rushing yards this season and has topped this line 10 times this season already. Given the struggles of the offensive line and Cincinnati’s defensive scheme, this looks like a solid wager. Take the Over.

WHAT OTHER PLAYER PROPS LOOK LIKE PROMISING BETS THIS WEEK?…

 

USE CODE: BLITZ50 FOR 50% OFF your first TWO MONTHS! —OR— If you just lost Joe Burrow or Mark Andrews, USE CODE: BADLUCK for 90% off the REST OF SEASON!!!

DEADLINE THIS SUNDAY.

GO PRO! Join FullTime Fantasy.

[…]

Jets Rookie RB Breece Hall
Season Long – All Sports

Week 16 NFL Player Props

December 22, 2023 Matt Brandon

Week 16 NFL Player Props Just three weeks left in the regular season. It’s been a profitable year if you’ve been following this column. We are nowΒ 43-33 (+11.15 Units)Β on the 2023 season.Β Sports betting is all about riding the hot streaks […]

Week 16 NFL Player Props

Just three weeks left in the regular season. It’s been a profitable year if you’ve been following this column. We are nowΒ 43-33 (+11.15 Units)Β on the 2023 season.Β Sports betting is all about riding the hot streaks and surviving the cold spells. Now that we’ve had a few profitable weeks after our first cold streak of the year, let’s see if we can continue to ride the wave and make some more cash in Week 16.


As always, I will be listing my seven favorite player props of the week as we gear up for Week 16’s slate of NFL matchups. All 32 teams will be in action during the holidays and we’ll be treated to three games on Christmas this Monday as well as some action on Saturday! Lots of football in the coming days!


Fantasy football players have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 16 NFL prop bets and continue our profitable NFL season.

Mason Rudolph UNDER 191.5 Passing Yards (-115)

After Kenny Pickett’s injury, the Steelers moved on to Mitch Trubisky. However, that was short-lived after Trubisky was benched last week in favor of Rudolph. Now, Rudolph will start on Saturday when the Steelers take on a tough Cincinnati Bengals defense. Rudolph has started 10 games in his career.

Although he is 5-4-1 as a starter, it’s hard to envision him being much of an upgrade over Trubisky. After all, Rudolph is mostly known for being attacked by Myles Garrett with his own helmet back in 2019. Still, Pittsburgh is out of options and they have to roll someone out there. Rudolph has averaged 208.1 passing yards per game but I don’t think he’ll reach that mark in a divisional rivalry in cold weather.

The Steelers lack an identity on the offensive side of the football and although Rudolph has several weapons at his disposal including Diontae Johnson, George Pickens, Pat Freiermuth, and even Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren out of the backfield, Rudolph hasn’t had a lot of reps with these guys.

I anticipate a low-scoring affair in which the Steelers struggle to move the chains. Pittsburgh is a run-first offense but the Bengals are much better at shutting down the run than the pass. If they can effectively contain Harris and Warren in the trenches, Rudolph will struggle to give his receivers space in the secondary. I’m taking the Under.

Baker Mayfield…

WHAT OTHER PLAYER PROPS LOOK LIKE PROMISING BETS THIS WEEK?…

 

USE CODE: BLITZ50 FOR 50% OFF your first TWO MONTHS! —OR— If you just lost Joe Burrow or Mark Andrews, USE CODE: BADLUCK for 90% off the REST OF SEASON!!!

DEADLINE THIS SUNDAY.

GO PRO! Join FullTime Fantasy.

[…]

Patrick Mahomes Kansas City Chiefs
Season Long – All Sports

Week 14 NFL Player Props

December 10, 2023 Matt Brandon

Week 14 NFL Player Props After our first cold streak of the season, we bounced back with a 5-2 record in Week 13. The money is flowing in and we are now 39-30 (+9.15 Units) on the 2023 season. Sports […]

Week 14 NFL Player Props

After our first cold streak of the season, we bounced back with a 5-2 record in Week 13. The money is flowing in and we are now 39-30 (+9.15 Units) on the 2023 season. Sports betting is all about riding the hot streaks and surviving the cold spells. Now that we’ve had another profitable week, let’s see if we can continue to ride the way and make some more cash in Week 14.Β 

As always, I will be listing my seven favorite player props of the week as we gear up for Week 14’s slate of NFL matchups. Unlike last week when every single one of the 32 teams was in action, two teams will get some rest on their bye weeks: the Washington Commanders and the Arizona Cardinals. That said, we still have 15 competitive matchups this week with only three games that have a spread of more than a touchdown.Β 

Fantasy football players have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 13 NFL prop bets and continue our profitable NFL season.Β 

Patrick Mahomes UNDER 32.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Mahomes has not seen his rushing yard prop line this high all season. In fact, he didn’t see a line this high last season either. Last week the line was 20.5 and the highest it’s been over the last two years was 27.5. So why is the line so high this week against a tough Buffalo Bills defense? Perhaps it is because Mahomes is having the best rushing campaign of his career (27.6 yards per game) and has even eclipsed this inflated line in three of 12 games. But it’s not like the Bills are especially vulnerable to quarterback rushing yards. Buffalo is allowing 19.3 rushing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks and they’ve only allowed one opposing quarterback to eclipse this line in 12 games this season.Β 

That said, the one time the Bills allowed a quarterback to eclipse this line was last week when Jalen Hurts turned 14 carries into 65 rushing yards. But that stay is even misleading considering 27 of those yards came in overtime.Β 

Mahomes will obviously do Mahomesesque things in this battle between two AFC powerhouses but I expect the Chiefs to lean on the passing game, particularly with Isaiah Pacheco sidelined, Clyde Edwards-Helaire should get the start and just because Pacheco is out doesn’t mean Andy Reid is going to call designed quarterback runs this close to the end of the season when an injury to Mahomes would derail the Chiefs’ entire Super Bowl hopes.Β 

The one scary thing about this prop is that in five starts against the Bills over his career (two in the postseason), Mahomes has tallied 192 rushing yards on 34 carries. However, I believe those stats are inflated because Mahomes is going to be more inclined to rush in playoff games when the Chiefs have nothing to lose. In a regular season game this far out from the postseason, I anticipate Andy Reid wanting to protect his All-Pro quarterback as much as possible.Β 

The line is quite high due to Mahomes’ success against Buffalo but the Bills will keep him in check on the ground. Patrick Mahomes is not Jalen Hurts so don’t expect another 60+ yards from this quarterback on the ground. Patrick has proven that he is much more comfortable moving the chains with his arm rather than his legs. Take the UNDER.Β 

WHAT OTHER PLAYER PROPS LOOK LIKE PROMISING BETS THIS WEEK?…

 

USE CODE: BLITZ50 FOR 50% OFF your first TWO MONTHS! —OR— If you just lost Joe Burrow or Mark Andrews, USE CODE: BADLUCK for 90% off the REST OF SEASON!!!

DEADLINE THIS SUNDAY.

GO PRO! Join FullTime Fantasy.

[…]