Saturday Player Props
As each season concludes we are blessed with Saturday NFL action. Week 16 of the 2023 campaign is no different, with two games. Coincidentally, there are major fantasy football ramifications on the line. Using our FullTime Fantasy Week 16 rankings, here are some Saturday Player Props to target as you enjoy the Bengals vs. Steelers and Bills at Chargers games.
Josh Allen OVER 1.5 Touchdown Passes
The Bills have been more run-heavy since changing play-callers. However, facing a Chargers’ secondary that has ceded the fifth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks will result in a different approach. Look for Allen to go to the air and attack LA’s biggest weakness. In fact, Shawn thinks Allen will double this line, tossing three scores on Saturday night.
Jake Browning Interception
Shawn’s projections are modest for Browning. It’s almost like we’ve all been waiting for that bubble to burst. Browning has tossed three interceptions in his four starts, including each of the last two games. Meanwhile, the Steelers have picked off 13 passes. Also, one of those picks came from Browning back in Week 12. Finally, Shawn’s numbers have Browning closer to multiple INTs than just one.
Mason Rudolph OVER 220 Yards
Pittsburgh’s offense has somehow been even more incompetent since firing Matt Canada. Except for that first game, the Steelers have been dreadful and that’s resulted in a three-game skid. Mike Tomlin has turned to his third-string quarterback to stop the bleeding. Things can hardly get worse. In his last NFL start, Rudolph completed 60% of his attempts for 242 yards. Shawn’s Week 16 projections aren’t quite that high. But Rudolph should easily be able to top 200 yards against a suspect Cincinnati secondary.
Joe Mixon Anytime Touchdown
A lot of the industry is cool on Mixon this week. However, he has eight touchdowns in his last eight games. Even though Mixon did not score against the Steelers in Week 12, Shawn’s projections give Mixon a 75% chance of getting into the endzone in the rematch.
Jaylen Warren to outscore Najee Harris
Handicapping Pittsburgh’s backfield has been difficult. Just when Warren started thriving, Najee Harris out-rushed in three straight games. However, with Rudolph under center, Shawn sees Warren as far more valuable. His projections see Warren approaching 110 scrimmage yards while Harris is down closer to 50. Also, look at the Jaylen Warren Anytime Touchdown props. Our numbers have Warren at a 70% likelihood of hitting paydirt.
Stefon Diggs OVER 100 Yards
As cold as Diggs and the Buffalo passing attack has been, you can find really good odds on this line. Diggs hasn’t hit the century mark since Week 6. But our Week 16 projections have hive easily topping it with an 8.6/121/1 line. In fact, Diggs is Shawn’s No. 1 wideout in PPR formats. Additionally, the Chargers have allowed five 100-yard wideouts this season, and one even topped 200. We’re all in on the Bills today! Also, the Diggs Anytime Touchdown is appealing.
Total Receptions Props
Here are some wide receiver reception props to consider using our RDA* projections.
Stefon Diggs 8.5
Tee Higgins 6
Josh Palmer 5
James Cook 5
Quentin Johnston 4
Tanner Hudson 4
Anytime Touchdown
Finally, some of the other players to score a touchdown per our RDA* Week 16 projections.
James Cook 80%(!)
Tee Higgins 50%
Diontae Johnson 50%
Gabe Davis 50%
Dalton Kincaid 50%
