Season Long – All Sports
Week 18 NFL Player Props
Week 18 NFL Player Props After a three-week winning streak, we finally failed to produce a profitable week in Week […]
Over/Under
Season Long – All Sports
Week 17 NFL Player Props
Week 17 NFL Player Props Another profitable betting week is in the books here at FullTime Fantasy. After going 5-2 in Week 16, we are now 48-35 (+13.8 Units) with just two weeks left in the 2023 NFL regular season. […]
Week 17 NFL Player Props
Another profitable betting week is in the books here at FullTime Fantasy. After going 5-2 in Week 16, we are now 48-35 (+13.8 Units) with just two weeks left in the 2023 NFL regular season. After a midseason lull, we are once again on a roll with three consecutive weeks of profit. Our Week 17 NFL Player Props aims to keep the winning ways going.
As always, I will list my seven favorite player props of the week as we gear up for Week 17’s slate of NFL matchups. All 32 teams will be in action with a pivotal matchup between the Detroit Lions and Dallas Cowboys on Saturday and no Monday night game this week. The Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings will close out the week on Sunday night at U.S. Bank Stadium.
Fantasy football owners have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 17 NFL Player Props and continue our profitable NFL season.
Patrick Mahomes OVER 20.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
After producing just 14 points against the Raiders in Week 16, Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs are going to be very motivated when they take on a Cincinnati Bengals franchise that has had their number in previous regular season matchups. And despite Kansas City’s struggles on offense last week, the one silver lining was that Mahomes was able to find a lot of running space. The signal caller registered a season-high 10 rushing attempts and tallied 53 yards in the Chiefs’ Christmas Day loss. Nine of those rushing attempts were on quarterback scrambles when Mahomes was under duress from Maxx Crosby and Malcom Kounce.
This week, the Chiefs’ atrocious offensive line will have to block Trey Hendrickson. With Isiah Pacheco likely sidelined, I’m anticipating Mahomes using his legs yet again out of necessity as the Bengals look to bring pressure. It also doesn’t hurt that the Chiefs face a Bengals defense that plays man-to-man coverage at a Top-10 rate. With the defensive backs zoning in on the receivers, there will be fewer eyes on Mahomes if he looks to take off from the pocket. The Bengals have surrendered a lot of yardage to mobile quarterbacks this season. Lamar Jackson, Deshaun Watson, Josh Allen, and Brock Purdy averaged 50+ rushing yards per game against the Bengals this season.
Mahomes ranks sixth among quarterbacks in rushing yards this season and has topped this line 10 times this season already. Given the struggles of the offensive line and Cincinnati’s defensive scheme, this looks like a solid wager. Take the Over.
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Saturday Player Props
Saturday Player Props As each season concludes we are blessed with Saturday NFL action. Week 16 of the 2023 campaign […]
Season Long – All Sports
Week 16 NFL Player Props
Week 16 NFL Player Props Just three weeks left in the regular season. It’s been a profitable year if you’ve been following this column. We are now 43-33 (+11.15 Units) on the 2023 season. Sports betting is all about riding the hot streaks […]
Week 16 NFL Player Props
Just three weeks left in the regular season. It’s been a profitable year if you’ve been following this column. We are now 43-33 (+11.15 Units) on the 2023 season. Sports betting is all about riding the hot streaks and surviving the cold spells. Now that we’ve had a few profitable weeks after our first cold streak of the year, let’s see if we can continue to ride the wave and make some more cash in Week 16.
As always, I will be listing my seven favorite player props of the week as we gear up for Week 16’s slate of NFL matchups. All 32 teams will be in action during the holidays and we’ll be treated to three games on Christmas this Monday as well as some action on Saturday! Lots of football in the coming days!
Fantasy football players have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 16 NFL prop bets and continue our profitable NFL season.
Mason Rudolph UNDER 191.5 Passing Yards (-115)
After Kenny Pickett’s injury, the Steelers moved on to Mitch Trubisky. However, that was short-lived after Trubisky was benched last week in favor of Rudolph. Now, Rudolph will start on Saturday when the Steelers take on a tough Cincinnati Bengals defense. Rudolph has started 10 games in his career.
Although he is 5-4-1 as a starter, it’s hard to envision him being much of an upgrade over Trubisky. After all, Rudolph is mostly known for being attacked by Myles Garrett with his own helmet back in 2019. Still, Pittsburgh is out of options and they have to roll someone out there. Rudolph has averaged 208.1 passing yards per game but I don’t think he’ll reach that mark in a divisional rivalry in cold weather.
The Steelers lack an identity on the offensive side of the football and although Rudolph has several weapons at his disposal including Diontae Johnson, George Pickens, Pat Freiermuth, and even Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren out of the backfield, Rudolph hasn’t had a lot of reps with these guys.
I anticipate a low-scoring affair in which the Steelers struggle to move the chains. Pittsburgh is a run-first offense but the Bengals are much better at shutting down the run than the pass. If they can effectively contain Harris and Warren in the trenches, Rudolph will struggle to give his receivers space in the secondary. I’m taking the Under.
Baker Mayfield…
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Season Long – All Sports
Week 14 NFL Player Props
Week 14 NFL Player Props After our first cold streak of the season, we bounced back with a 5-2 record in Week 13. The money is flowing in and we are now 39-30 (+9.15 Units) on the 2023 season. Sports […]
Week 14 NFL Player Props
After our first cold streak of the season, we bounced back with a 5-2 record in Week 13. The money is flowing in and we are now 39-30 (+9.15 Units) on the 2023 season. Sports betting is all about riding the hot streaks and surviving the cold spells. Now that we’ve had another profitable week, let’s see if we can continue to ride the way and make some more cash in Week 14.Â
As always, I will be listing my seven favorite player props of the week as we gear up for Week 14’s slate of NFL matchups. Unlike last week when every single one of the 32 teams was in action, two teams will get some rest on their bye weeks: the Washington Commanders and the Arizona Cardinals. That said, we still have 15 competitive matchups this week with only three games that have a spread of more than a touchdown.Â
Fantasy football players have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 13 NFL prop bets and continue our profitable NFL season.Â
Patrick Mahomes UNDER 32.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Mahomes has not seen his rushing yard prop line this high all season. In fact, he didn’t see a line this high last season either. Last week the line was 20.5 and the highest it’s been over the last two years was 27.5. So why is the line so high this week against a tough Buffalo Bills defense? Perhaps it is because Mahomes is having the best rushing campaign of his career (27.6 yards per game) and has even eclipsed this inflated line in three of 12 games. But it’s not like the Bills are especially vulnerable to quarterback rushing yards. Buffalo is allowing 19.3 rushing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks and they’ve only allowed one opposing quarterback to eclipse this line in 12 games this season.Â
That said, the one time the Bills allowed a quarterback to eclipse this line was last week when Jalen Hurts turned 14 carries into 65 rushing yards. But that stay is even misleading considering 27 of those yards came in overtime.Â
Mahomes will obviously do Mahomesesque things in this battle between two AFC powerhouses but I expect the Chiefs to lean on the passing game, particularly with Isaiah Pacheco sidelined, Clyde Edwards-Helaire should get the start and just because Pacheco is out doesn’t mean Andy Reid is going to call designed quarterback runs this close to the end of the season when an injury to Mahomes would derail the Chiefs’ entire Super Bowl hopes.Â
The one scary thing about this prop is that in five starts against the Bills over his career (two in the postseason), Mahomes has tallied 192 rushing yards on 34 carries. However, I believe those stats are inflated because Mahomes is going to be more inclined to rush in playoff games when the Chiefs have nothing to lose. In a regular season game this far out from the postseason, I anticipate Andy Reid wanting to protect his All-Pro quarterback as much as possible.Â
The line is quite high due to Mahomes’ success against Buffalo but the Bills will keep him in check on the ground. Patrick Mahomes is not Jalen Hurts so don’t expect another 60+ yards from this quarterback on the ground. Patrick has proven that he is much more comfortable moving the chains with his arm rather than his legs. Take the UNDER.Â
WHAT OTHER PLAYER PROPS LOOK LIKE PROMISING BETS THIS WEEK?…
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Season Long – All Sports
Week 13 NFL Player Props
Week 13 NFL Player Props We are back to make some cash on player props in Week 13. Through the first 12 weeks of the season, we are now 34-28 (+6.9 Units). Sports betting is about riding the hot streaks […]
Week 13 NFL Player Props
We are back to make some cash on player props in Week 13. Through the first 12 weeks of the season, we are now 34-28 (+6.9 Units). Sports betting is about riding the hot streaks and surviving the cold spells. After our first losing streak of the season in back-to-back weeks, it’s time to get back into the winning column. Have some faith as lady luck is about to shine some light on some juicy plays for us to exploit with these Week 13 NFL Player Props.
As always, I will be listing my seven favorite player props of the week as we gear up for Week 13’s slate of NFL matchups. Unlike last week when every one of the 32 teams was in action, six teams will get some rest on their bye weeks. The Minnesota Vikings, Chicago Bears, New York Giants, Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens, and Las Vegas Raiders will not suit up in Week 13. That said, we still have 13 competitive matchups this week with only three games that have a spread of more than a touchdown.Â
Fantasy football players have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 13 NFL player prop bets and continue our profitable NFL season.Â
Brock Purdy OVER 254.5 Passing Yards (-115)
The San Francisco 49ers have done an excellent job surrounding Purdy with immense talent. With Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, and of course Christian McCaffrey, Purdy has all the weapons in his arsenal to continue to move the ball effectively, even if this may be his toughest test to date.Â
In a preview of what many expect to be the NFC Championship, the Niners draw the 10-1 Philadelphia Eagles on the road in Week 13. Although Philly’s defensive front tends to get a ton of pressure on opposing quarterbacks, this defense has struggled at limiting yardage through the air. The Eagles rank 29th in the league in passing yards allowed per game and allow the second-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.Â
In San Francisco’s 31-13 thrashing of the Seattle Seahawks on Thanksgiving Day, Purdy only mustered 209 passing yards. But that’s because the team didn’t need him to sling it as they dominated in every facet of the game and had a double-digit lead most of the game after a 17-point second quarter. However, prior to last week’s outing, Purdy has topped 260 passing yards in four straight contests.
It’s also important to note that the Eagles have the third-ranked rushing defense in the NFL. Although Kyle Shanahan would love to employ a run-heavy approach utilizing superstar Christian McCaffrey in the trenches and Deebo Samuel on the edge, the running game may not be so effective against this high-caliber defensive front. If the Niners are going to keep pace with Jalen Hurts and the Eagles, Purdy will have to air it out.
The Eagles are coming off an impressive 37-34 overtime victory over the Buffalo Bills but they did allow a whopping 339 passing yards from Josh Allen. And although they held Patrick Mahomes in check, yielding just 177 passing yards from him in Week 11, Dak Prescott lit this secondary up to for 374 yards back in Week 9 before Philly’s Week 10 bye. Want more evidence? Sam Howell produced 397 passing yards against the Eagles back in Week 8 and Howell isn’t as talented as Purdy nor does he have the same caliber of weapons at his disposal. It’s clear that although Philly is finding ways to win (sometimes in ugly fashion), they are very beatable in the passing game.
In what should be a very tightly contested battle, San Francisco will have to throw the ball often to move the chains and put points up on the board. Given Purdy’s recent form, the weapons around him, expected gameflow, and Philly’s recent struggles against the pass, Purdy should eclipse this line easily. I’m throwing multiple units on this one. Take the Over!
Jordan Love…
WHAT OTHER PLAYER PROPS LOOK LIKE PROMISING BETS THIS WEEK?…
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Season Long – All Sports
Week 11 NFL Player Props
Week 11 NFL Player Props For the first time this season, we didn’t have a profitable week. In Week 10, we finished 3-4 (-1.5 Units) and are now 31-24 (+8.8 Units) on the 2023 season. It’s time to get back […]
Week 11 NFL Player Props
For the first time this season, we didn’t have a profitable week. In Week 10, we finished 3-4 (-1.5 Units) and are now 31-24 (+8.8 Units) on the 2023 season. It’s time to get back in the winning column after a tough week with our Week 11 NFL Player Props.
As always, I will be listing my seven favorite player props as we prepare for Week 11’s slate of NFL action. Unlike last week when several high-powered offenses were on bye weeks such as the reigning AFC and NFC Champions, Week 11’s bye belongs to four mediocre teams: the Atlanta Falcons, New Orleans Saints, Indianapolis Colts, and the abysmal New England Patriots.Â
Fantasy football owners have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 11 NFL player prop bets and continue our profitable NFL season.Â
Bryce Young OVER 34.5 pass attempts (-105)
The Panthers are now 10.5-point underdogs on the road against a filthy Dallas Cowboys defense. You might be wondering why I’d recommend this prop when Bryce Young has struggled so much and we’ve seen how dominant this Cowboys team can be. However, a blowout would result in Carolina playing catch-up and airing it out all night to try to even the score.Â
Dallas is 4-1 against the spread when laying at least six points this season and their average margin of victory in those four wins is 27.5 points (largely due to the New York Giants). Young is going to have to throw the ball if Carolina has any chance at keeping pace with Dallas’ high-octane offense.Â
It’s important to note that in every single game that Young started in which the Panthers lost by double digits, he attempted at least 38 passes. With the Panthers expected to fall behind big time in this game, the franchise will likely want to see what the No.1 pick in this year’s draft can do given this is already a lost season for the 1-8 Panthers. Even if they are down big, it’s hard to envision Young being benched. The team will want to further his development and not shake his confidence. Take the Over.Â
Will Levis…
WHAT OTHER PLAYER PROPS LOOK LIKE PROMISING BETS THIS WEEK?…
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Season Long – All Sports
Week 10 NFL Player Props
Week 10 NFL Player Props FullTime Fantasy Members are getting their money’s worth if they’ve been following this column since the beginning of the season. Despite one week with a losing record, we had been profitable every single week we […]
Week 10 NFL Player Props
FullTime Fantasy Members are getting their money’s worth if they’ve been following this column since the beginning of the season. Despite one week with a losing record, we had been profitable every single week we released prop bets to target. That trend continued in Week 9 when we went 4-2 (+1.7 Units). We are now 28-20 (+10.2 Units) on the 2023 season.Â
As always, I will be listing my seven favorite player props as we prepare for Week 10’s slate of NFL action. Last week, I recommended the Dameon Pierce under. But because he was ruled out, that bet was void. We would have gone 5-1 if not for Patrick Mahomes’ last-minute kneeldowns that lost him a few critical rushing yards. This week, we’ll be sure to target seven healthy players and look to continue our hot streak!
Fantasy football managers have an edge when it comes to prop betting. That is because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 10 NFL player props to continue our profitable sports betting season.Â
C.J. Stroud OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+120)
After last week’s epic five-touchdown performance, Stroud throwing two touchdown passes at plus odds seems like a slam dunk. Especially against Cincinnati’s 22nd-ranked defense against opposing quarterbacks. Although Stroud has much better splits in Houston versus the road, the Texans are going to have to air it out to keep up with Joe Burrow and the Bengals. Stroud won’t repeat his earth-shattering performance of Week 9. But I like his chances of finding the end zone twice on Sunday.
Houston’s rushing game has been abysmal with Dameon Pierce and Devin Singletary, so it wouldn’t be a shock to see the Texans rely on the young rookie yet again. Even without Nico Collins, Stroud still has Dalton Schultz, Tank Dell, Noah Brown, and even Robert Woods returned to practice this week.
And although Stroud has struggled on the road, he’s returning to the same neck of the woods where he played his college ball. This isn’t the same type of road game he’s played previously in the NFL. He’ll have tons of support from Ohio State alumni in Cincinnati. Given the odds, the expected game flow, and Stroud’s recent success, slam the over.Â
Lamar Jackson…
WHAT OTHER PLAYER PROPS LOOK LIKE PROMISING BETS THIS WEEK?…
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Week 9 NFL Player Props
Week 9 NFL Player Props After taking Week 8 off, it’s time to get back down to business in the Week 9 NFL Player Props betting market. In Week 7, we went 4-3 (+.7 Units) and are officially 24-18 (+8.5 […]
Week 9 NFL Player Props
After taking Week 8 off, it’s time to get back down to business in the Week 9 NFL Player Props betting market. In Week 7, we went 4-3 (+.7 Units) and are officially 24-18 (+8.5 Units) on the season.
Fantasy football managers definitely have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 9 NFL prop bets and continue our profitable NFL season.Â
Zach Wilson OVER 214.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Wilson may not be a great quarterback but he’s got a very favorable matchup against a Los Angeles Chargers defense that is currently allowing the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and a whopping 311.4 passing yards per game. Even Division II QB Tyson Bagent accumulated 232 yards against the Chargers on Sunday Night Football last week. Let’s examine how the Chargers have fared against each quarterback they’ve faced to date this season:
|
PLAYER |
ATT/COMP | YARDS | TDS-INTS |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 28/45 | 465 | 3-1 |
| Ryan Tannehill | 20/24 | 246 | 1-0 |
| Kirk Cousins | 32/50 | 367 | 3-1 |
| Aidan O’Connell | 24/39 | 238 | 0-1 |
| Dak Prescott | 21/30 | 272 | 1-0 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 32/42 | 424 | 4-1 |
| Tyson Bagent | 25/37 | 232 | 0-2 |
As you can see, every single quarterback the Chargers have faced has surpassed Wilson’s prop line in Week 9. Although Wilson started the season slow after filling in for the injured Aaron Rodgers, he has surpassed this line in two of his previous four contests. And those were against much superior defenses.Â
Given that New York is expected to fall behind in this one against a very high-powered offense, the Jets likely won’t be able to lean on the ground-and-pound game. After last week, they may opt to look for Breece Hall on short passes as Hall was New York’s leading receiver in the Jets’ comeback victory over the New York Giants in Week 8.Â
Plus, Wilson has Garrett Wilson at his disposal, who despite the ebbs and flows of his season, has shown flashes of brilliance and could emerge as a top-five wideout with a better signal caller. If the Jets want to keep pace with the Chargers this week, Wilson is going to have to let it fly. Take the Over.Â
Patrick Mahomes…
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Week 7 NFL Player Props
Week 7 NFL Player Props Week 6 was another profitable week for the bettors at FullTime Fantasy. Including the bonus Raheem Mostert Anytime Touchdown wager I recommended. We went 5-3 and profited 2.7 units after doubling down on Mostert’s rushing […]
Week 7 NFL Player Props
Week 6 was another profitable week for the bettors at FullTime Fantasy. Including the bonus Raheem Mostert Anytime Touchdown wager I recommended. We went 5-3 and profited 2.7 units after doubling down on Mostert’s rushing yard prop. We are now 21-15 (+7.8 units) on the season.
Lamar Jackson surpassed his line by a single yard on Sunday morning and T.J. Hockenson just managed to haul in the six receptions he needed to hit his prop. That said, Mostert and Cooper Kupp shredded their lines as anticipated. Gardner Minshew threw for a ton of yards due to gamescript which I did not anticipate and D.J. Moore missed his line by a meager nine yards, in large part due to Justin Fields exiting the game with a dislocated thumb.
Unfortunately, the week could have been even better if Tony Pollard had done what he should have against a susceptible Los Angeles Chargers defense. Nonetheless, a profitable week is still money in the bank. Let’s continue to build up that bankroll heading into Week 7.
Fantasy football owners have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below.
Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 7 NFL player prop bets and continue our profitable NFL season.
Josh Allen UNDER 21.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Surprisingly, Allen has hit his rushing yard prop line just once this entire season. I don’t anticipate that trend changing this week in a game in which the Bills are heavy favorites. On the season (outside of quarterback sneaks), the Bills have only called two designed quarterback runs for Allen. Allen has only rushed the ball more than four times once this entire season back in Week 1. Given the fact that Allen is dealing with a shoulder injury and that the Bills are expected to easily dispatch the New England Patriots, I anticipate the Bills doing everything in their power to prevent an aggravation to Allen’s current injury. He’s not going to run unless he has to. Take the under.
WHAT OTHER PLAYER PROPS LOOK LIKE PROMISING BETS THIS WEEK?…
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