Season Long – NFL

kyle pitts
Season Long – All Sports

2023 Fantasy Football Fades

August 21, 2023 Shawn Childs

2023 Fantasy Football Fades Knowing which players to avoid is a vital part of any successful fantasy draft strategy. Being proactive means avoiding disappointments before they bottom out. In this case, my 2023 Fantasy Football Fades explores five highly-coveted players […]

2023 Fantasy Football Fades

Knowing which players to avoid is a vital part of any successful fantasy draft strategy. Being proactive means avoiding disappointments before they bottom out. In this case, my 2023 Fantasy Football Fades explores five highly-coveted players who are being over-drafted in 2023.

For me, the most challenging category each football season in the fantasy market is the fade/bust category. In most cases, a player underachieves expectations due to an injury. I’m looking for players coming off career years that look overpriced in drafts. In addition, some players will be ranked with more established options, putting them in a one-year wonder category.


Josh Jacobs (RB) Las Vegas Raiders

There is no doubt Jacobs has talent and upside, but he is coming off a massive workload (393 touches), leading to an exceptional season (2,053 combined yards with 12 touchdowns and 53 catches). Unfortunately, the Raiders failed to pick up his fifth-year option before last year, putting him in the “franchise tag category.”

Jacobs turned 25 in February, and he wants to get paid. When training camp opened in July, his flight left town. His holdout could be lengthy, creating a fantasy dilemma. His 2022 stats suggest a value in the second round. I expect regression in his output and some injury risk by not being at training camp. Jacobs was an excellent buy last year, but I sense a potential trap even if he slides to the third round in PPR formats. 

Over the past seven seasons, a running back has led the NFL in combined yards, with each outcome resulting in…

WHAT PLAYERS SHOULD YOU AVOID THIS SEASON?

 

FIND OUT WHO SHAWN’S TOP-5 FANTASY FOOTBALL FADES IN 2023…

 

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BustPlayer2-678x381
Season Long – All Sports

Fantasy Football Round One Bust of the Year

August 18, 2023 Jody Smith

Targeting upside is just natural in fantasy football. Identifying breakouts, sleepers, and bounce-back players make all the headlines. However, it is equally important to avoid potential landmines. Players set to disappoint at their current ADP. On that note, we have […]

Targeting upside is just natural in fantasy football. Identifying breakouts, sleepers, and bounce-back players make all the headlines. However, it is equally important to avoid potential landmines. Players set to disappoint at their current ADP. On that note, we have identified our Fantasy Football Bust of the Year.

FullTime Fantasy’s world-famous Fantasy Football Draft Kit is loaded with exclusive content. This includes our unique Preseason Pro series that dives deep into the minds of some of the most successful high-stakes veterans and fantasy experts in the world. Part of the Preseason Pro includes players these insiders are avoiding in 2023.

FullTime Fantasy’s 2023 Round One Fantasy Bust of the Year is…

WHO IS THE PLAYER CURRENTLY GOING IN ROUND 1 THAT YOU SHOULD AVOID?

FIND OUT WHO IS FULLTIME FANTASY’S BUST OF THE YEAR…

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isaiah likely
Season Long – All Sports

5 Deep Sleeper Tight Ends

August 17, 2023 Shawn Childs

2023 Deep Sleeper Tight Ends Each fantasy football season, a tight end or two will emerge from the back end of the pool. Therefore, for someone cheating the tight end position, an open mind and a quick trigger after Week […]

2023 Deep Sleeper Tight Ends

Each fantasy football season, a tight end or two will emerge from the back end of the pool. For someone cheating the tight end position, an open mind and a quick trigger after Week 1 can sometimes lead to a helpful player.

After presenting my 2023 fantasy football tight end values, here are my best 2023 Deep Sleeper Tight Ends to target on draft day this summer. 

Isaiah Likely (Baltimore Ravens)

The success of Likely in his rookie season (36/373/3 on 60 targets) almost makes him a must-handcuff to Mark Andrews. I’m a fan of Charlie Kolar (who missed most of his rookie year), so the usage of both players will be critical to securing the next tight end on the depth chart in Baltimore.

Likely fits a big wide receiver profile (6’4” and 240 lbs.) with two impressive games (6/77/1 and 8/103) already on his NFL resume. The Ravens feature the tight end in their power run game, pointing to fewer targets for Baltimore’s secondary wide receivers. Likely is the 22nd-ranked tight end in late July. In his final year at Coastal Carolina, he caught 59 of his 78 targets for 912 yards and 12 touchdowns. 

WHO ARE THE TOP FIVE 2023 DEEP SLEEPER TIGHT END TO TARGET DURING YOUR DRAFT OR AUCTION?

To read Shawn’s favorite deep tight end sleepers…

 

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Check out our FREE profiles of top RB Bijan Robinson and elite WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba to see the kind of in-depth reports you can expect, only from FullTime Fantasy! 

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Javonte Williams
Season Long – All Sports

2023 Fantasy Football Bounce-Back Players

August 16, 2023 Jody Smith

2023 Fantasy Football Bounce-Back Players Each fantasy season, a group of players underperformed the previous year or saw their output fall short of expectations due to injuries. A veteran player with a proven resume often has a bounce-back season the […]

2023 Fantasy Football Bounce-Back Players

Each fantasy season, a group of players underperformed the previous year or saw their output fall short of expectations due to injuries. A veteran player with a proven resume often has a bounce-back season the following year while having a discounted price.

Identifying these rebound players can offer fantasy football fans a huge advantage on draft day. However, the key question is: which are the best options to regain their form in 2023? 

Here are the top 2023 Fantasy Football Bounce-Back Players to keep in mind on draft day.

Deshaun Watson (Cleveland Browns)

With no fantasy value in 2021 and 2022 due to his off-the-field issues, the fantasy market has forgotten how good Watson was when on top of his game. Over his final seven games in 2020, he averaged 356 combined yards with 17 touchdowns. Also, he posted a nifty 9.4 yards per pass attempt. 

Watson’s top five receivers that season were Brandin Cooks (81/1,150/6), Will Fuller (53/879/8), Randall Cobb (38/441/3), Jordan Akins (37/403/1), and David Johnson (33/314/2). He turned 28 in mid-September, putting him in the prime of his career.

Last year, Cleveland’s top three receivers (Amari Cooper – 78/1,160/9, Donovan Peoples-Jones – 61/839/3, and David Njoku – 58/628/4) had productive years even with Jacoby Brissett starting 11 games. Also, the Browns added Elijah Moore and Cedric Tillman in the offseason. Plus, they also have reliable depth at tight end (Harrison Bryant and Jordan Akins) and an upside David Bell on the roster. Watson is an excellent second-tier quarterback in…

WHO ARE THE TOP FIVE 2023 FANTASY FOOTBALL BOUNCE-BACK CANDIDATES?

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devon achane
Season Long – All Sports

Top Five Running Back Sleepers

August 9, 2023 Shawn Childs

Top Five Running Back Sleepers There are some strategies that advocate targeting running backs early and often. However, many other #ZERORB drafters bypass early RBs altogether. Regardless of your approach, running backs remain a pivotal focus in fantasy football. By […]

Top Five Running Back Sleepers

 

There are some strategies that advocate targeting running backs early and often. However, many other #ZERORB drafters bypass early RBs altogether. Regardless of your approach, running backs remain a pivotal focus in fantasy football.

By in large, top-tier running backs will accumulate the most points in fantasy lineups. That makes them an integral part of each and every lineup. Knowing which mid-to-late-round running back sleepers to target can make all the difference between a middling roster and a real championship contender.

Here are the Top Five Running Back Sleepers to target in your 2023 fantasy football draft or auction.

Breaking Down The Field

I researched the running back outcomes in 2022 to keep the same theme with the quarterback and wide receiver week-to-week data. Over 18 weeks, running backs scored 30 fantasy points or more in PPR formats in 26 games. Four of these scores reach the 40-point mark (Joe Mixon – 55.10, Alvin Kamara – 42.80, Christian McCaffrey – 40.60, and Josh Jacobs – 48.30). Austin Ekeler (4) and Josh Jacobs (4) posted the most impact games.

The top 12 running backs posted 17 of the 26 games with more than 30 fantasy points, compared to five by RB2s. Backs scored between 20 and 29.99 fantasy points 107 times, with RB1s accounting for 51 of those showings. They finished with a 106:67 boom or bust ratio (15 fantasy points or more/fewer than 10.00 fantasy points). The second 12 running backs had a much weaker ratio (58:100).

Austin Ekeler scores 20 or more fantasy points in nine games, giving him a 52.9% win rate in his impact ratio. Christian McCaffrey (8) and Derrick Henry (8) finished tied for second in this area. 

The highest floor ratio (76.5) went to Christian McCaffery (13 games), followed by Austin Ekeler (12) and Saquan Barkley (12), then Derrick Henry (10) and Nick Chubb (10).

After Week 10, only three back scores ranking outside the top 38 scored more than 20 fantasy points in a game (Brian Robinson – 20.50, JaMycal Hasty – 20.50, and Zack Moss – 21.10). 

Here’s a look at the top 24 running backs from last season with their highlighted week-to-week scores…

WHO ARE THE TOP FIVE RUNNING BACK SLEEPERS TO TARGET IN YOUR 2023 FANTASY FOOTBALL DRAFTS?

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