Week 9 NFL Player Props
After taking Week 8 off, it’s time to get back down to business in the Week 9 NFL Player Props betting market. In Week 7, we went 4-3 (+.7 Units) and are officially 24-18 (+8.5 Units) on the season.
Fantasy football managers definitely have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 9 NFL prop bets and continue our profitable NFL season.
Zach Wilson OVER 214.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Wilson may not be a great quarterback but he’s got a very favorable matchup against a Los Angeles Chargers defense that is currently allowing the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and a whopping 311.4 passing yards per game. Even Division II QB Tyson Bagent accumulated 232 yards against the Chargers on Sunday Night Football last week. Let’s examine how the Chargers have fared against each quarterback they’ve faced to date this season:
|
PLAYER
|
ATT/COMP |
YARDS |
TDS-INTS |
| Tua Tagovailoa |
28/45 |
465 |
3-1 |
| Ryan Tannehill |
20/24 |
246 |
1-0 |
| Kirk Cousins |
32/50 |
367 |
3-1 |
| Aidan O’Connell |
24/39 |
238 |
0-1 |
| Dak Prescott |
21/30 |
272 |
1-0 |
| Patrick Mahomes |
32/42 |
424 |
4-1 |
| Tyson Bagent |
25/37 |
232 |
0-2 |
As you can see, every single quarterback the Chargers have faced has surpassed Wilson’s prop line in Week 9. Although Wilson started the season slow after filling in for the injured Aaron Rodgers, he has surpassed this line in two of his previous four contests. And those were against much superior defenses.
Given that New York is expected to fall behind in this one against a very high-powered offense, the Jets likely won’t be able to lean on the ground-and-pound game. After last week, they may opt to look for Breece Hall on short passes as Hall was New York’s leading receiver in the Jets’ comeback victory over the New York Giants in Week 8.
Plus, Wilson has Garrett Wilson at his disposal, who despite the ebbs and flows of his season, has shown flashes of brilliance and could emerge as a top-five wideout with a better signal caller. If the Jets want to keep pace with the Chargers this week, Wilson is going to have to let it fly. Take the Over.
Patrick Mahomes...
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