FullTime Fantasy presents our 2020 Fantasy Football Draft Kit that will have you DOMINATING your competition all season long! […]
Top Five Running Back Sleepers There are some strategies that advocate targeting running backs early and often. However, many other #ZERORB drafters bypass early RBs altogether. Regardless of your approach, running backs remain a pivotal focus in fantasy football. By […]
There are some strategies that advocate targeting running backs early and often. However, many other #ZERORB drafters bypass early RBs altogether. Regardless of your approach, running backs remain a pivotal focus in fantasy football.
By in large, top-tier running backs will accumulate the most points in fantasy lineups. That makes them an integral part of each and every lineup. Knowing which mid-to-late-round running back sleepers to target can make all the difference between a middling roster and a real championship contender.
Here are the Top Five Running Back Sleepers to target in your 2023 fantasy football draft or auction.
Breaking Down The Field
I researched the running back outcomes in 2022 to keep the same theme with the quarterback and wide receiver week-to-week data. Over 18 weeks, running backs scored 30 fantasy points or more in PPR formats in 26 games. Four of these scores reach the 40-point mark (Joe Mixon – 55.10, Alvin Kamara – 42.80, Christian McCaffrey – 40.60, and Josh Jacobs – 48.30). Austin Ekeler (4) and Josh Jacobs (4) posted the most impact games.
The top 12 running backs posted 17 of the 26 games with more than 30 fantasy points, compared to five by RB2s. Backs scored between 20 and 29.99 fantasy points 107 times, with RB1s accounting for 51 of those showings. They finished with a 106:67 boom or bust ratio (15 fantasy points or more/fewer than 10.00 fantasy points). The second 12 running backs had a much weaker ratio (58:100).
Austin Ekeler scores 20 or more fantasy points in nine games, giving him a 52.9% win rate in his impact ratio. Christian McCaffrey (8) and Derrick Henry (8) finished tied for second in this area.
The highest floor ratio (76.5) went to Christian McCaffery (13 games), followed by Austin Ekeler (12) and Saquan Barkley (12), then Derrick Henry (10) and Nick Chubb (10).
After Week 10, only three back scores ranking outside the top 38 scored more than 20 fantasy points in a game (Brian Robinson – 20.50, JaMycal Hasty – 20.50, and Zack Moss – 21.10).
Here’s a look at the top 24 running backs from last season with their highlighted week-to-week scores…
WHO ARE THE TOP FIVE RUNNING BACK SLEEPERS TO TARGET IN YOUR 2023 FANTASY FOOTBALL DRAFTS?
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Fantasy Football: Deal or No Deal Alvin Kamara The Saints’ offense has had many changes in the offseason. It started […]
Our annual Flagship Feature is called Preseason Pro. This 2023 Preseason Pro: Player X gives you exclusive insight you can find only at FullTime Fantasy. This year’s Preseason Pro picks are included FREE with your FullTime Fantasy Membership! What makes […]
Here at FullTime Fantasy, we’ve assembled the very best high-stakes players in the world; 5 of the Top 10 World-Ranked players, and one of the top RANKERS in the country — to help you win your Fantasy Football league.
Nobody else in the industry can bring you this type of information. Also, we host the Fantasy Football World Championships and these players are gracious enough to lend us a hand to help promote the very best content in the industry.
Each of them is putting their reputation on the line for all to see and is providing us with their:
ONE Top Sleeper, ONE Breakout, ONE Bust
ONE Comeback, and ONE late-round Stash & Cash.
to help you with your upcoming draft. However- it’s only one per category! They don’t know what anyone else has submitted so you’re getting the unvarnished gut check from the very best players in the world. High rollers have offered some of them literally hundreds of dollars for this kind of private advice. And that’s just for just one opinion. Here you’re getting no less than SEVEN, and Preseason Pro continues to be the elite product of the fantasy season.
This year’s Preseason Pro picks are included FREE with your FullTime Fantasy Membership!
What makes their opinion so worthy? Simple. They win. Year in and year out they’re winners. While some may ask, “Why would they help me?”, there is no question that when their pride and integrity are on the line, they step up and make bold calls to help others. When we have questions on Sunday, this is who we call. We’re essentially bringing our high-stakes connections to FullTime Fantasy.
When your league is on the line, who do you trust? A magazine that contains out-of-date news? No. Those days are over. Not all experts are considered equal.
WHO IS PLAYER X? That’s a mystery. However, we assure you that this player is a noteworthy veteran of the high-stakes community. Player X has accumulated a staggering bankroll and won multiple high-stakes titles. They’re legends among multiple high-stakes formats and in Las Vegas.
Player X also has racked up impressive wins at the Fantasy Football World Championship. While this person won’t reveal their identity, they agreed to share some of the insight and players they’ve been targeting so far in the 2023 fantasy football season.
— BREAKOUT —
George Pickens (WR) Pittsburgh Steelers – George Pickens has a chance to be a SUPERSTAR in this league if he is given the volume to succeed. He makes catches and plays that other players physically cannot make and he does it routinely.
Pickens has a Randy Moss-esque star power about him and the tools to play like him, it just comes down to Kenny Pickett feeding him the ball. A quick search on social media will show some of the eye-opening plays that the sophomore wideout has already made in training camp.
Also, Having Diontae Johnson on the other side with TE Pat Freiermuth in the middle means defenses cannot have a singular focus to stop Pickens and anytime he has 1-1 coverage, the ball MUST go his way. And if it does, you are seeing a potential top-10 fantasy wide receiver. ..
WHO WILL BE PLAYER X’S SLEEPER, BUST, COMEBACK, AND LATE-ROUND STATSH FOR THE UPCOMING FANTASY FOOTBALL SEASON?
To finish reading these Preseason Pro picks for Sleeper, Bust, Breakout, Comeback, and Stash & Cash for 2023…
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2023 Fantasy Football Draft Strategy: QB Before drafting each fantasy football season, I need to be in tune with the […]
2023 Fantasy Tight End Values It seems like tight ends are becoming more valuable as each fantasy season arrives. Much of that value can be attributed to the lack of depth available throughout the position. Also, many leagues have begun […]
It seems like tight ends are becoming more valuable as each fantasy season arrives. Much of that value can be attributed to the lack of depth available throughout the position. Also, many leagues have begun to mitigate that weakness by rewarding bonus points for tight end receptions.
Regardless of your league’s settings, securing a reliable weekly tight end is a huge advantage in fantasy football. And since there are so few elite options, most fantasy football managers will be searching for the top 2023 fantasy tight end values to target on draft day.
Here are the top-5 2023 fantasy tight end values that you should consider when assembling your roster this summer.
Last year, Travis Kelce (317.3 fantasy points) dominated the tight end pool. He had more than a 100-point edge over the second-best option (T.J. Hockenson – 216.40 fantasy points) while doubling the output of the sixth-ranked (Tyler Higbee – 152.00 fantasy points). Kelce had a floor of 15 fantasy points in 12 of his 17 starts, doubling the second-highest player (George Kittle – 6) in this area. Only three running backs and three wide receivers outscored Kelce in 2022 in PPR formats.
Eight tight end games with 30-plus fantasy points came from the top 12 best players. The TE1s scored between 20 and 29.99 fantasy points 17 times (12 by the top four tight ends). The other remaining options delivered just nine outcomes in this category.
During the year, there were 210 games by tight ends with a floor of 10 fantasy points. Here’s the breakdown by groupings:
Below the top 18 tight ends last season, there were only four games with more than 20 fantasy points – Jordan Akins – 25., Mike Gesicki – 24.9, Mo Alie-Cox – 26.5, Shane Zylstra – 25.6, and Trey McBride – 20.8).
Here’s a look at the week-to-week scores by the top 24 tight ends in 2022…
WHO ARE THE TOP FIVE 2023 FANTASY TIGHT END VALUES TO TARGET DURING YOUR DRAFT OR AUCTION?
To read Shawn’s favorite tight end values…
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Top 10 Fantasy Football Handcuffs No position is as volatile or susceptible to injuries as running backs. Part of building a competitive fantasy football roster is to include an insurance policy. Targeting those handcuff running backs is a viable strategy […]
No position is as volatile or susceptible to injuries as running backs. Part of building a competitive fantasy football roster is to include an insurance policy. Targeting those handcuff running backs is a viable strategy and safety net.
With so many teams employing committee backfields, selecting your early-round running back’s direct backup makes sense. Whether you play in redraft, bestball, or in high-stakes leagues, knowing the fantasy-relevant handcuff running backs is crucial.
Here are the top 10 fantasy football handcuffs to target in the 2023 draft season.
David Montgomery (Detroit Lions)
With Jahmyr Gibbs added to the Lions’ offense, Montgomery tends to be an afterthought as an RB3 (ranks 29th) in the high-stakes market. Despite being listed as a handcuff back, he will be the early down back for Detroit with value in scoring and catches. Detroit’s running backs gained 2,795 combined yards with 29 scores and 82 catches (31.5 FPPG in PPR formats) in 2022.
Montgomery projects to be a better option than Jamaal Williams (262/1,066/17 with 12 catches for 73 yards) this season. I don’t expect as many touchdowns. But Montgomery will be more active in the passing game. At the very least, Montgomery is a cheat RB2 who should outperform his ADP in 2023.
Antonio Gibson (Washington Commanders)
Gibson ended up being a fantasy disappointment in 2022 due to the emergence of Brian Robinson. He rushed for more than 60 yards in only one (18/72) of his 15 matchups while offering only two showings (7/72 and 7/58/1) with more than three catches.
Despite his shortfall, Gibson finished 28th in running back scoring in PPR formats. A new offensive coordinator (Eric Bieniemy) invites more chances for Washington’s running backs in the passing game. Gibson will be a rotational player on early downs, with most of his action coming in the passing game. Pass-catching backs tend to have a higher floor, giving Gibson RB3 status this year…
WHAT OTHER RUNNING BACK HANDCUFFS SHOULD FANTASY DRAFTERS TARGET IN 2023 FANTASY FOOTBALL DRAFTS?
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Top Five Wide Receiver Sleepers Today’s high-octane NFL offense has led to an explosion in popularity for wide receivers. As #ZERORB drafting has become all the rage in fantasy football, young wide receivers have developed into the most valuable commodity […]
Today’s high-octane NFL offense has led to an explosion in popularity for wide receivers. As #ZERORB drafting has become all the rage in fantasy football, young wide receivers have developed into the most valuable commodity in many leagues and formats.
It only takes one mock draft to see just how impactful young, productive wideouts have become. However, not all receivers are created equally. Knowing which young pass catcher has the potential to develop into the next elite fantasy WR1 or WR2 is crucial for compiling a championship roster.
Here are the top five wide receiver sleepers that have the potential to break out in 2023.
Anatomy Of A Sleeper WR
In this year’s draft class, many NFL teams scoured the talent pool at wide receiver looking for the next quick undersized player looking for the next Tyreek Hill (5’10” and 185 lbs.), Antonio Brown (5’10” and 195 lbs.), or even DeVonta Smith (6’0” and 170 lbs.). The goal is to find a difference-maker with the talent to force a defense to defend the whole field.
Identifying these budding superstar wideouts has never been more important to succeed in fantasy football. Here are some quick data to show the wide receiver dropdowns from 2020 to 2022:
Note: The above data is from PPR formats.
Each NFL season, there is a fluctuation of touchdowns scored either via the pass or the run. In 2020, receivers caught 871 touchdowns (most in NFL history), with a pullback to 840 scores in 2021 despite each team playing one more game. Subsequently, last season, scoring was down across the board, leading to only 750 passing touchdowns. This regression came from 15 teams tossing 20 or fewer scores.
Also, here are the running and passing stats from 2010 to 2022…
WHO ARE THE TOP FIVE WIDE RECEIVER SLEEPERS TO TARGET IN YOUR 2023 FANTASY FOOTBALL DRAFTS?
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Top Five Fantasy Quarterback Values No position is as important in fantasy football as the quarterback. In non-Superflex leagues, QBs tend to be available quite late. However, the top-tier signal-callers can still command a hefty price on draft day. Knowing […]
No position is as important in fantasy football as the quarterback. In non-Superflex leagues, QBs tend to be available quite late. However, the top-tier signal-callers can still command a hefty price on draft day.
Knowing how to appropriately value quarterbacks can be a huge edge on draft day. Targeting the best value on the board while loading up on skill position depth is a surefire way to assemble a championship squad.
Here are the top five fantasy quarterback values to target in your 2023 fantasy football draft or auction.
What We Learned in 2022
In 2022, in four-point passing touchdown leagues, Patrick Mahomes (7), Josh Allen (7), and Jalen Hurts (8) scored 30 fantasy points or more in their 48 starts. The top 12 quarterbacks posted 40 of the possible 52 impact games, with Joe Burrow (4) and Daniel Jones (3) ranking third and fourth. There were eight quarterback scores higher than 40 fantasy points – Josh Allen (40.40), Joe Burrow (44.05), Tom Brady (42.00), Justin Fields (43.95 and 42.05), Tua Tagovailoa (45.55), and Lamar Jackson (45.80 and 42.60).
Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen (no game in Week 17) scored 20 or more fantasy points in 30 of their 33 starts, giving them a high floor in 90.9% of their starts. Jalen Hurts finished with the highest impact ratio (53.3% – he scored more than 30 fantasy points in eight of his 15 matchups).
Eight quarterbacks scored between 20.00 and 29.99 fantasy points in at least eight games. Kirk Cousins led the way with nine, but he posted only one impact game (39.00). Derek Carr was the lowest ranking (16th) in this grouping.
Joe Burrow had a 20-point floor in 75.0% of his 16 starts (canceled game in Week 17) while playing without his top two wideouts for the better part of six games.
Eighty-three of the 173 quarterback scores (48%) between 20 and 29.99 fantasy points came from the top 12 ranked quarterbacks.
Here’s a look at the data for the top 24 quarterbacks in 2022…
WHO ARE THE TOP FIVE VALUE QBS TO TARGET IN YOUR 2023 FANTASY FOOTBALL DRAFTS?
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2023 Fantasy Football Stacks: Ranking all 32 Teams Fantasy football draft season is here and as we all know, stacking can be a critical strategy in this game we all love. Particularly in tournaments and BestBall formats. With just one […]
Fantasy football draft season is here and as we all know, stacking can be a critical strategy in this game we all love. Particularly in tournaments and BestBall formats. With just one month before the regular season kicks off, it’s time to evaluate the 2023 Fantasy Football Stacks: Ranking all 32 Teams.
Stacking has only gotten more popular in recent years but it’s not a strategy without risk. Pairing or tripling up on offensive players on high-powered teams can lead to some astronomical scores on any given week. But finding the right players to stack can often be tricky.
Check out the stacking rankings for all 32 NFL teams below. I have included each quarterback with their top-three fantasy options according to FFWC high-stakes advanced ADP. Also, sometimes you can’t get a top option on the offense with your quarterback. So I have also included one contingency, late-round selection from each squad that could be worthy of a stack. Let’s dive in!
Elite Fantasy Football Stacks
Philadelphia Eagles
| QB | ADP | PLAYER 1 | ADP | PLAYER 2 | ADP | PLAYER 3 | ADP | CONTINGENCY PICK | ADP |
| Jalen Hurts | 36 | A.J. Brown (WR) | 10.5 | DeVonta Smith (WR) | 22 | D’Andre Swift (RB) | 74 | Dallas Goedert (TE) | 86.5 |
The NFC champs have a huge chip on their shoulder after losing to the Chiefs in the Super Bowl. The high-stakes community seems to be all in on Philly, too. Both A.J. Brown and Devonta Smith are currently being selected in the first and second rounds, respectively.
Last year, Brown was selected a good 30 picks before Smith so the former Alabama product is closing the gap. Still, Brown is clearly the superior option. Plus, there is some concern that Smith may not be quite as productive if Philly’s offense is fully healthy.
Fantasy managers who have a late draft slot have a great chance at taking Brown in Round 1. Then they can follow that up with perhaps the top quarterback in fantasy, Jalen Hurts, in Round 3. Hurts was extremely successful slinging the rock in 2022 (3,729 passing yards and 24 passing touchdowns compared to just six interceptions). But he was also unstoppable in the rushing game. Opposing defenses simply have no answer for Philly’s go-to goal-line play. Hurts amassed a whopping 15 touchdowns on the ground last season. The only downside with selecting Hurts is the Eagles’ propensity for rushing the football with their running backs.
However, Philly has a new backfield after moving on from Miles Sanders. Former Detroit Lions stud D’Andre Swift should lead this new committee. Although Swift may split touches with Rashaad Penny and Kenneth Gainwell. High-stakes players seem to be warming up to the idea of Swift dominating in an Eagles uniform. The tailback is currently being selected early in Round 7.
Lastly, Dallas Goedert has the potential to be a top-three tight end. He could also have the most value based on ADP of any member of the Eagles. I absolutely LOVE the idea of a Hurts-Brown-Goedert stack and you should too.
Los Angeles Chargers
| QB | ADP | PLAYER 1 | ADP | PLAYER 2 | ADP | PLAYER 3 | ADP | CONTINGENCY PICK | ADP |
| Justin Herbert | 76.5 | Austin Ekeler (RB) | 9 | Keenan Allen (WR) | 25 | Mike Williams (WR) | 38 | Quentin Johnston (WR) | 94.5 |
Coming off a massive contract extension and heading into his first year with new offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, Justin Herbert is expected to do big things in 2023. He’s been rising up draft boards and as of now. But fantasy leaguers can still snag the big-armed signal caller in Round 7 of high-stakes drafts.
Managers who want to stack a team with a ton of talent such as the Chargers would have to select Austin Ekeler late in the first round. But, that is a bit of a gamble in a format where you can start up to five receivers (two flex). However, getting your star running back is also critical in all formats. That said, it’s tough to envision managers being fortunate to snag both Ekeler and Keenan Allen based on their current ADPs.
Herbert’s go-to option is currently being drafted at the end of Round 2 or early in Round 3. Mike Williams is expected to take another step up and is currently being selected in the early fourth round. It’s very possible to pair Ekeler with Williams if you truly believe in this offense as I do.
If you are able to grab Herbert but miss out on Allen or Williams, the Chargers selected Quentin Johnston out of TCU in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft. He has some serious sleeper appeal and is being drafted accordingly by high-stakes players.
Los Angeles has five players going within the first eight rounds of fantasy drafts. That clearly means the high-stakes community thinks this offense is about to erupt. I wouldn’t disagree with them. It doesn’t hurt that the Chargers have the sixth-easiest strength of schedule at the quarterback position and the seventh-easiest strength of schedule at the wideout position. A Herbert-Allen-Johnston stack would be a sneaky good one. I’d also consider a QB-RB stack since Ekeler is such a phenomenal pass catcher out of the backfield.
Cincinnati Bengals
| QB | ADP | PLAYER 1 | ADP | PLAYER 2 | ADP | PLAYER 3 | ADP | CONTINGENCY PICK | ADP |
| Joe Burrow | 72.5 | Ja’Marr Chase (WR) | 2 | Tee Higgins (WR) | 23.5 | Joe Mixon (RB( | 40 | Tyler Boyd (WR) | 130 |
Fantasy managers who are all in on the Cincinnati Bengals could take the non-traditional route of selecting a team’s top two receivers in the first two rounds. Ja’Marr Chase is currently being selected second (only behind Minnesota’s Justin Jefferson). Also, teammate Tee Higgins is going at the tail end of Round 2.
It’s also conceivable for managers to add Jow Burrow to the stacking mix (despite his recent injury scare). Burrow is currently being selected at the end of Round 6 or early in Round 7. For this stack to work, it will likely have to just be the players in the passing game. Joe Mixon is going in the middle of Round 4 and the other members of the Bengals are being selected with an early or late draft slot.
Subsequently, managers who draft Burrow may want to target Tyler Boyd late as he has immense upside should Chase or Higgins suffer an injury. Cincinnati is going to throw the ball a ton this year and this high-potent offense will be off to the races.
Buffalo Bills
| QB | ADP | PLAYER 1 | ADP | PLAYER 2 | ADP | PLAYER 3 | ADP | CONTINGENCY PICK | ADP |
| Josh Allen | 47.5 | Stefon Diggs (WR) | 8 | Gabriel Davis (WR) | 74.5 | James Cook (RB) | 83 | Damien Harris (RB) | 110 |
A Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs stack has the potential to win a ton of fantasy leagues in 2023. Of course, that means selecting Diggs in the first round over a star running back. And also spending a fourth-round pick on Buffalo’s signal caller. In 2022, Allen finished as the QB2 and Diggs finished as the WR4. Obviously, this is one of the top stacks in the entire NFL.
Gabe Davis is an amusing mid-round selection after showing plenty of flashes of brilliance. The question is whether he can put it all together despite Buffalo’s addition of rookie tight end Dalton Kincaid.
Also, the Bills also have two running backs whom I consider to have some sleeper appeal. James Cook is slated to be the starter in his second NFL season after Devin Singletary’s departure. However, Buffalo did sign former Patriots RB Damien Harris, who has huge touchdown upside in the later rounds. Finally, an Allen-Diggs-Cook/Harris stack would be absolute money in the bank!
Kansas City Chiefs
| QB | ADP | PLAYER 1 | ADP | PLAYER 2 | ADP | PLAYER 3 | ADP | CONTINGENCY PICK | ADP |
| Patrick Mahomes | 44 | Travis Kelce (TE) | 5 | Kadarius Toney (WR) | 80.5 | Isiah Pacheco (RB) | 90 | Skyy Moore(WR) | 92.5 |
The Chiefs’ high-powered offense was forecasted to take a huge hit in 2022 after the loss of Tyreek Hill. However, Patrick Mahomes did Mahomesesque things and still found a way to finish as the QB1. If the Chiefs had better peripheral players on their offense, they would be much higher on this list as there is no stack more dominant than Mahomes and Travis Kelce.
Yes, drafting these two studs means spending a ton of early draft capital on the quarterback and tight end positions. But this strategy allows fantasy drafters to wait until the very late rounds to select backups at both positions. If a manager decides to go all in on Kelce, reaching for Mahomes is a slam dunk.
Although Kadarius Toney should slide down draft boards after getting injured on the first day of training camp, Skyy Moore is an alluring potential sleeper. Especially with Andy Reid calling plays. Reid will find a way to get the ball into his playmakers’ hands.
Plus, Isiah Pacheco is an intriguing running back to target in the middle rounds despite Jerick Mckinnon and Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s presence. I’m a Pacheco believer so a Mahomes-Kelce-Pacheco/Moore stack would make for a very solid build. Especially in BestBall formats.
Potential League Winners…
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WHO ARE THE OTHER TOP TEAMS TO STACK IN YOUR 2023 FANTASY FOOTBALL DRAFTS?
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