Oakland Raiders Team Outlook
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Raiders Offense Outlook
Game score led to the Raiders passing the ball 59 percent of the time. The addition of Antonio Brown will help the passing game. Oakland would like to run a ball controlled offense with success running the ball in the red zone.
Quarterbacks
Derek Carr
Over five seasons in the NFL, Carr has a 32-46 record while gaining only 6.7 yards per pass attempt. After two steady seasons (3,987/32 and 3,937/28), Carr had regression in his game in 2017. He finished with 3,496 passing yards with 22 TDs and 13 Ints. A back issue early in the year led to a decline in production. Last year Derek set career highs in completions (381), completion rate (68.9), and passing yards (4,049). The downside from 2018 was 52 sacks allowed. He minimized the damage in Ints (10) while struggling to throw TDs (19). Carr passed for over 300 yards in four contests while adding three TDs or more in only three games. This season Oakland has one elite WR in Antonio Brown and one potential speed threat in Tyrell Williams. They have pass catching weakness at TE while needing someone to emerge as the WR3. Only a QB2 in the Fantasy market with a chance at 4,000+ yards and league average value in TDs.
Other Options: Mike Glennon, Nathan Peterman
Running Backs
Josh Jacobs
Jacobs Scouting Report
His resume won’t be a friend to Jacobs heading into the 2019 NFL Draft, but his talent does shine through when given an opportunity. Over his 40 games at Alabama as a part-time player, Josh rushed for 1,491 yards on 251 carries with 16 TDs plus looked the part of an upside player in the passing game (48/571/5). He runs with patience, vision, and power while lacking the finishing speed to top off a long run for a TD. His lateral movements come with his eyes looking for daylight at the second level of the defense.
Once Jacobs turns upfield, he can burst through holes while finishing his runs with vigor. His hands grade well in the receiving game. His questions coming into 2019 will be his pass protection skills and route running. Josh has the size and attitude to handle himself in pass blocking with some coaching and in-game experience. His path reminds me of Kenyan Drake.
Jacobs 2019 Outlook
I don’t expect Jacobs to a be an every-down back in his first season while also understanding his landing spot in the NFL draft will determine his early career opportunity. When combining pass catching with goal-line TDs, his game should be more than viable as an upside RB2 in 2019 in the Fantasy market.
Last year the Raiders’ RBs gained 2,360 combined yards with nine TDs, and 106 catches with 466 touches. Jacobs is the dynamic back who should be rewarded with the bulk of the chances. I’ll set the bar at 225 rushes and 40+ catches, which points to 1,200+ yards and a chance at double-digit TDs.
Jalen Richard
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Doug Martin
At times in 2018, Martin flashed his upside of yesteryear. In his final two games last season, he rushed for 100 yards or more in each contest (21/107/1 and 21/100). Over a six-game stretch midseason, Doug gained 447 combined yards with two TDs and 12 catches while receiving 15 touches per game. He finished the year with 839 combined yards with four TDs and 18 catches. A veteran back who projects as the top backup runner on early downs.
Other Options: DeAndre Washington, Chris Warren, Isaiah Crowell
Wide Receivers
Antonio Brown
Over the previous six seasons, Brown caught 686 of his 1,026 targets for 9,145 yards and 67 receiving TDs while missing four games. His success breaks down to 21.8 Fantasy points per game. Antonio caught over 100 passes in six straight seasons with seven years over 1,100 yards receiving. He scored a career-high 15 TDs in 2018. His catch rate fell below his career average (65.6) in each of the last two years (62.0 and 61.9). The change to Oakland leaves Fantasy owners questioning his value going forward. In 2018, the Raiders completed 183 passes to the WR position for 2,116 yards and nine TDs on 267 targets. Brown is a great WR, and I expect him to improve the Raiders’ passing game. A conservative outlook would be 90+ catches for 1,100+ yards and double-digit TDs.
Tyrell Williams
The last two seasons have been disappointing for Williams after showcasing upside in 2016 (69/1059/7). He made 25 starts over 32 games in 2017 and 2018, which led to similar seasons (43/728/4 and 41/653/5). His catch rate has risen in back-to-back years (58.0, 62.3, and 63.1) while offering plenty of length on his catches in the NFL (16.3 yards). There’s more here than meets the eye while expecting a rebound in his targets in 2019. Start the bidding at 55+ catches with 800+ yards and mid-tier TDs.
Hunter Renfrow
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Ryan Grant
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Other Options: J.J. Nelson, Marcell Ateman, Dwayne Harris, Keon Hatcher, Keelan Doss
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Tight Ends
Luke Willson
Over six years in the NFL, Willson has never been a starting TE. Luke caught 22 passes or less in each year with his best success coming in 2014 (22/362/3 on 40 targets. Last year Oakland had a top passing catching TE, which led to 92 catches for 1,113 yards and ten TDs on 131 targets. There is a massive void at TE for the Raiders in 2019, and Willson has no chance of making an impact even as a low-grade TE2.
Foster Moreau
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Other Options: Darren Waller, Erik Swoope, Derek Carrier, Paul Butler
Kicker
Daniel Carlson
After the Vikings drafted Carlson in the fifth round in 2018, they cut him after missing three field goals in Week 2. In college, he made all 198 of his extra points with 92 of 114 kicks going through the uprights. Oakland picked him up before the seventh game of the season. Daniel finished the year with 16 made field goals in 17 chances with the Raiders while making all 24 of his extra points. He even made all three of his kicks over 50 yards. Last year Oakland scored only 30 TDs while creating 32 field goal chances. I like his leg and potential upside, but he needs this offense to show growth before developing into a week-to-week starter.
