Week 9 NFL Player Props

November 3, 2023 Matt Brandon

Week 9 NFL Player Props After taking Week 8 off, it’s time to get back down to business in the Week 9 NFL Player Props betting market. In Week 7, we went 4-3 (+.7 Units) and are officially 24-18 (+8.5 […]

Week 9 NFL Player Props

After taking Week 8 off, it’s time to get back down to business in the Week 9 NFL Player Props betting market. In Week 7, we went 4-3 (+.7 Units) and are officially 24-18 (+8.5 Units) on the season.

Fantasy football managers definitely have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 9 NFL prop bets and continue our profitable NFL season.

Zach Wilson OVER 214.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Wilson may not be a great quarterback but he’s got a very favorable matchup against a Los Angeles Chargers defense that is currently allowing the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and a whopping 311.4 passing yards per game. Even Division II QB Tyson Bagent accumulated 232 yards against the Chargers on Sunday Night Football last week. Let’s examine how the Chargers have fared against each quarterback they’ve faced to date this season:

PLAYER	ATT/COMP	YARDS	TDS-INTS
Tua Tagovailoa	28/45	465	3-1
Ryan Tannehill	20/24	246	1-0
Kirk Cousins	32/50	367	3-1
Aidan O’Connell	24/39	238	0-1
Dak Prescott	21/30	272	1-0
Patrick Mahomes	32/42	424	4-1
Tyson Bagent	25/37	232	0-2

As you can see, every single quarterback the Chargers have faced has surpassed Wilson’s prop line in Week 9. Although Wilson started the season slow after filling in for the injured Aaron Rodgers, he has surpassed this line in two of his previous four contests. And those were against much superior defenses.

Given that New York is expected to fall behind in this one against a very high-powered offense, the Jets likely won’t be able to lean on the ground-and-pound game. After last week, they may opt to look for Breece Hall on short passes as Hall was New York’s leading receiver in the Jets’ comeback victory over the New York Giants in Week 8.

Plus, Wilson has Garrett Wilson at his disposal, who despite the ebbs and flows of his season, has shown flashes of brilliance and could emerge as a top-five wideout with a better signal caller. If the Jets want to keep pace with the Chargers this week, Wilson is going to have to let it fly. Take the Over.

Patrick Mahomes…

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Week 7 NFL Player Props

October 21, 2023 Matt Brandon

Week 7 NFL Player Props Week 6 was another profitable week for the bettors at FullTime Fantasy. Including the bonus Raheem Mostert Anytime Touchdown wager I recommended. We went 5-3 and profited 2.7 units after doubling down on Mostert’s rushing […]

Week 7 NFL Player Props

Week 6 was another profitable week for the bettors at FullTime Fantasy. Including the bonus Raheem Mostert Anytime Touchdown wager I recommended. We went 5-3 and profited 2.7 units after doubling down on Mostert’s rushing yard prop. We are now 21-15 (+7.8 units) on the season.

Lamar Jackson surpassed his line by a single yard on Sunday morning and T.J. Hockenson just managed to haul in the six receptions he needed to hit his prop. That said, Mostert and Cooper Kupp shredded their lines as anticipated. Gardner Minshew threw for a ton of yards due to gamescript which I did not anticipate and D.J. Moore missed his line by a meager nine yards, in large part due to Justin Fields exiting the game with a dislocated thumb.

Unfortunately, the week could have been even better if Tony Pollard had done what he should have against a susceptible Los Angeles Chargers defense. Nonetheless, a profitable week is still money in the bank. Let’s continue to build up that bankroll heading into Week 7.

Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 7 NFL player prop bets and continue our profitable NFL season.

Josh Allen UNDER 21.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Surprisingly, Allen has hit his rushing yard prop line just once this entire season. I don’t anticipate that trend changing this week in a game in which the Bills are heavy favorites. On the season (outside of quarterback sneaks), the Bills have only called two designed quarterback runs for Allen. Allen has only rushed the ball more than four times once this entire season back in Week 1. Given the fact that Allen is dealing with a shoulder injury and that the Bills are expected to easily dispatch the New England Patriots, I anticipate the Bills doing everything in their power to prevent an aggravation to Allen’s current injury. He’s not going to run unless he has to. Take the under.

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Week 6 NFL Player Props

October 13, 2023 Matt Brandon

Week 6 NFL Player Props Week 5 is in the books and Week 6 is underway after the Kansas City Chiefs dispatched the Denver Broncos, 19-8, in primetime last night. Unfortunately, Week 5 was our first unprofitable week since this […]

Week 6 NFL Player Props

Week 5 is in the books and Week 6 is underway after the Kansas City Chiefs dispatched the Denver Broncos, 19-8, in primetime last night. Unfortunately, Week 5 was our first unprofitable week since this column started. We went 3-4 and are now 16-12 (+5.1 units) on the season.

Fantasy football owners have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 6 NFL player props and get back in the winning column.

Lamar Jackson OVER 222.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Jackson has only eclipsed this line in two of five outings this season but the Ravens are going to have to rely on the passing game to get back in the win column after a disheartening loss last week against the Pittsburgh Steelers. This week, Baltimore will play the Tennessee Titans across the pond Sunday morning in London.

Although the Titans were crushed by Zack Moss last week, they are typically very stingy against the run and much more exploitable in the secondary. Even after Moss produced 165 yards and two touchdowns in Week 5, the Titans’ defense still ranks second in yards per carry (3.6). Offensive Coordinator Todd Monken has schemed up some new concepts in 2023 and the Ravens seem to have a much better group of weapons at their star quarterback’s disposal. Zay Flowers certainly appears to be the real deal and Mark Andrews is still one of the best tight ends in the NFL.

Jackson is currently completing a career-best 69.9% of his passes through five games this season. However, Lamar hasn’t fully let it loose this season either. Considering the Titans’ stout defensive front, Jackson is going to have to air it out in Week 6 if the Ravens hope to come back home victorious. This is the week that Jackson…

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Week 5 NFL Player Props

October 5, 2023 Matt Brandon

Week 5 NFL Player Props Week 4 was an interesting one from a prop betting perspective. After starting the season 10-4, last week was the first time this season that we didn’t hit over 50% of our prop bets. Fortunately, […]

Week 5 NFL Player Props

Week 4 was an interesting one from a prop betting perspective. After starting the season 10-4, last week was the first time this season that we didn’t hit over 50% of our prop bets. Fortunately, since we tripled up on the Justin Fields over, our 3-4 Week 4 record doesn’t tell the full story; We actually profited cash for a third consecutive week. Just about a quarter of the way through the regular season, we are now 13-8 (+6.9 units).

After a surprising first few weeks to the season where studs weren’t performing and there were some unfamiliar names leading certain position groups, things are finally beginning to shake out as one would expect. Justin Herbert has been the top quarterback, Christian McCaffrey has been the top running back, Justin Jefferson has been the top wideout, and T.J. Hockenson has been the top tight end (Travis Kelce missed the season opener but is averaging more points per game than Hock). The cream always rises to the top.

Fantasy football owners definitely have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 5 NFL Player Props and continue our trend of profitable NFL weekends.

Josh Allen OVER 258.5 Passing Yards (-115)

After a disappointing season-opening performance against the New York Jets in which Allen turned the ball over four times in an upset loss, Buffalo’s signal-caller has turned it around and has been the QB1 over the last three weeks. Over that span, Allen has racked up 812 passing yards (270.7 per game) while going 72-for-94 (76.6% completion percentage) and throwing eight touchdowns and one interception.

He has risen to the top of the MVP race in large part due to his dominant performance in the Bills’ Week 4 thrashing of the Miami Dolphins in which he tallied 320 passing yards and four touchdowns, while also running one into the end zone. Allen has eclipsed this line in two of his previous three outings and faces a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that ranks 22nd in pass defense.

Also, the Bills are averaging 6.1 yards per play this season, which bodes well for Allen in this London-based contest. Allen doesn’t have a particularly good history against the Jaguars. But one of his previous two games came against them back in 2018 when they had an elite defense. Back in 2021, he surpassed this line against Jacksonville. Look for Allen to continue his MVP campaign…

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Week 4 NFL Player Props

September 27, 2023 Matt Brandon

Week 4 NFL Prop Bets Week 3 was another profitable weekend for the bettors at FullTime Fantasy. We went 5-2 (+2.6 units) and are now 10-4 (+5.0 units) on the season. Garrett Wilson was a mere one yard away from […]

Week 4 NFL Prop Bets

Week 3 was another profitable weekend for the bettors at FullTime Fantasy. We went 5-2 (+2.6 units) and are now 10-4 (+5.0 units) on the season. Garrett Wilson was a mere one yard away from us producing a 6-1 record last week. Let’s see if we can continue this trend of winning wagers in our Week 4 NFL Prop Bets.

Through three weeks of the season, there have been more injuries than usual and countless surprise performances. In the fantasy football world, not many people would have expected Kirk Cousins as the QB1, Raheem Mostert as the RB1, Keenan Allen as the WR1, and T.J. Hockenson as the TE1.

Perhaps some may have predicted Hock as a top tight end but Sam Laporta, Hunter Henry, and Evan Engram are just behind him before Travis Kelce rounds out the top-five tight ends. All this is to say that anything can happen on any given Sunday.

However, fantasy football owners definitely have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below.

Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 4 NFL prop bets.

Justin Fields OVER 184.5 Passing Yards (-115)

I know, I know, how is it possible to put your trust in Fields’ arm after his less-than-mediocre start to the 2023 campaign? Well, Fields gets a juicy matchup against a Denver Broncos team that just allowed a whopping 70 points to the Miami Dolphins. The winless Bears will host the winless Broncos at Soldier Field and this is the perfect get-right game for Fields and the rest of the Chicago offense.

Although Fields only managed to throw for 99 yards last week against the Kansas City Chiefs, he did eclipse 200 passing yards in each of his first two contests of the season. With better weapons than he has had in previous seasons, particularly in D.J. Moore, look for Fields to right the ship in Week 4.

The Broncos are currently allowing…

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Week 3 NFL Player Props

September 21, 2023 Matt Brandon

Week 3 NFL Prop Bets The 2023 NFL season has been filled with surprises, on a team level and on an individual level. Through two weeks, Jordan Love has the top passer rating and Puka Nucua leads the league in […]

Week 3 NFL Prop Bets

The 2023 NFL season has been filled with surprises, on a team level and on an individual level. Through two weeks, Jordan Love has the top passer rating and Puka Nucua leads the league in receptions. Only Nostradamus would have predicted that. Speaking of predicting, the FullTime Fantasy Week 3 NFL Prop Bets will attempt to project more winners.

After a profitable Week 2 in which we went 5-2 (+2.4 units), it’s time to start pinpointing the top prop bets to exploit in Week 3’s slate of action. Remember to always odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best value. With that in mind, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 3 NFL prop bets.

Tua Tagovailoa OVER 264.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Through two weeks of the season, Tagovailoa is averaging 307.5 passing yards per game and has been one of the most accurate and explosive quarterbacks in the NFL. Some believed Tagovailoa’s 2022 season was a bit of a fluke. But so far, he’s shown that he has the potential to be a top-five quarterback in this league. Especially given the weapons he has to work with. The offense has worked seamlessly under Mike McDaniel’s fast-paced scheme. And defenses are having all sorts of trouble trying to defend…

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Week 2 NFL Player Props

September 16, 2023 Matt Brandon

Week 2 NFL Player Props Week 1 is in the books and it’s that time of week to start pinpointing the best prop bets to exploit heading into Sunday’s slate of Week 2 action. Remember to always odds shop at […]

Week 2 NFL Player Props

Week 1 is in the books and it’s that time of week to start pinpointing the best prop bets to exploit heading into Sunday’s slate of Week 2 action. Remember to always odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best value for these props. With that in mind, let’s get down to business and find FullTime Fantasy‘s best Week 2 NFL Player Props!

Justin Herbert OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-160)

Last Sunday, despite putting up 34 points, Herbert only managed to throw a single touchdown pass in the Chargers’ high-scoring loss to the Miami Dolphins. However, that was largely due to the fact that Miami struggled to contain the run as Austin Ekeler and Joshua Kelley combined for over 200 yards on the ground.

This week, the Chargers will employ a much different game plan against a Tennessee Titans defense that ranked first in rushing yards and yards per carry but ranked last in the NFL in passing yards allowed. That trend appears to be continuing in 2023 as the Titans didn’t do much to stop Derek Carr and the New Orleans Saints’ passing attack in Week 1. Jamaal Williams only tallied 45 rushing yards but Carr threw the ball for 300+ yards.

With all of his weapons healthy in Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Quentin Johnston, Gerald Everett, and perhaps the best pass-catching running back in the NFL outside of Christian McCaffrey in Ekeler, expect Herbert to let it fly in Week 2 after a disappointing loss in the season opener. Herbert will find a way to get the ball in the end zone at least twice…

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