Season Long – All Sports

2024 San Francisco 49ers Fantasy Preview

2024 San Francisco 49ers Fantasy Preview Throughout the 2024 offseason, there have been more rumors surrounding the San Francisco 49ers receiver room than a Fleetwood Mac album. Brock Purdy (4,280/31/11) is banking on the availability of Deebo Samuel and Brandon […]

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Travis Kelce
DFS

Week 17 DFS: Tight End Report featuring Travis Kelce

Week 17 DFS: Tight End Report No tight end scored more than 20.00 fantasy points in Week 16. George Kittle (7/126) was the top player for the week, followed by Evan Engram (10/95) and Chigoziem Okonkwo (6/63/1). Here are the […]

Week 17 DFS: Tight End Report

No tight end scored more than 20.00 fantasy points in Week 16. George Kittle (7/126) was the top player for the week, followed by Evan Engram (10/95) and Chigoziem Okonkwo (6/63/1). Here are the top five tight ends by scoring average after 16 weeks:

  • T.J. Hockenson (14.67)
  • Travis Kelce (14.39)
  • Sam LaPorta (14.00)
  • George Kittle (13.15)
  • Evan Engram (13.09)

Here are the top plays this week via the Week 15 DFS: Tight End Report. Also, check out the Week 16 DFS: QB Report, RB Report, and WR Report.

Top Tier Option

Travis Kelce, KC (DK – $7,000/FD – $7,800)

Over his last eight games, Kelce caught 42 of his 58 targets for 443 yards and one touchdown, leading to only steady fantasy production in five games (11.80, 16.40, 15.10, 12.10, and 14.30). His recent stats (5/28 and 5/44) don’t command his current salary. He has one impact game (12/179/1) and a pair of steady showings in fantasy points (22.70 and 21.40), all coming between Week 5 and Week 7. Over his past eight matchups, he averaged 7.3 targets (8.9 in 2022 and 8.4 in 2021).

Cincinnati has the second-worst defense (98/1,020/6 on 120 targets) against tight ends, with failure in four games (SF – 91/49, PIT – 12/141, JAC – 10/91/1, and IND – 8/65/1). Over the past nine weeks, tight ends have at least eight catches in six contests.

The Chiefs’ offense (77 points over their last four games) is a mess, and Patrick Mahomes gained fewer than 6.5 yards per pass attempt in six of their previous eight games. Finally, Kelce has a winnable matchup with a slight drop in salary. I want to believe, but I can force him if he doesn’t fit my Week 17 plan…

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DFS

Week 15 DFS: Tight End Report featuring Travis Kelce

Week 15 DFS: Tight End Report The Browns/Jaguars game delivered the top two tight ends for Week 14. Evan Engram (11/95/02 had the best game of his career, coming on the heels of scoring his first touchdown (9/82/1) the previous […]

 

Week 15 DFS: Tight End Report

The Browns/Jaguars game delivered the top two tight ends for Week 14. Evan Engram (11/95/02 had the best game of his career, coming on the heels of scoring his first touchdown (9/82/1) the previous week. David Njoku (6/91/2) also scored twice. The Rams decided not to cover Isaiah Likely on his 54-yard scamper for a touchdown, setting up a Mark Andrews-type day (5/83/1). Hunter Henry (19.00) and George Kittle (16.60) rounded out the top five in fantasy points. Here are the top five tight ends by scoring average after 14 weeks:

  • Travis Kelce (15.28)
  • T.J. Hockenson (15.22)
  • Sam LaPorta (13.58)
  • Evan Engram (13.16)
  • George Kittle (13.10)

Here are the top plays this week via the Week 15 DFS: Tight End Report. Also, check out the Week 14 DFS: QB Report, RB Report, and WR Report.

Elite Option

Travis Kelce, KC (DK – $7,600/FD – $7,500)

Patrick Mahomes hasn’t been able to get Kelce rolling over the six weeks. Over this span, he caught 32 of his 44 targets for 371 yards and one touchdown, leading to only steady fantasy production in five games (11.80, 16.40, 15.10, 12.10, and 14.30). His recent stats don’t command his current salary. Kelce has one impact game (12/179/1) and a pair of 20.00-point outcomes (22.70 and 21.40), all coming between Week 5 and Week 7. Over his past five matchups, he averaged seven targets (8.9 in 2022 and 8.4 in 2021).

New England climbed to sixth in tight end defense (56/500/1 on 82 targets). Foster Moreau is the only tight end to score vs. the defense. The Raiders (7/94) and Bills (9/85) had the most success in fantasy points. Overall, the Patriots’ opposing TEs have 696 catches for 6,848 yards and 41 touchdowns on 1,007 targets, coming to 10.63 fantasy points per game (the best tight end schedule in the league). 

Kelce should reach 100 catches with more than 1,000 yards receiving again this year, giving fantasy teams an edge at the tight end position. Unfortunately, it hasn’t been as wide as in 2022 (5.93 fantasy points per game over the second-ranked tight end). His matchup looks below par, and his salary commands 30+ fantasy points to be an edge. The Chiefs need to find their offensive identity after losing three games (53 combined points) over the past four weeks. I can dismiss him due to Kelce being the top target in Kansas City’s offense with scoring upside…

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DFS

Week 13 DFS: Tight End Report

Week 13 DFS: Tight End Report The tight end position was relatively quiet in Week 12, with Pat Freiermuth (9/120) and Tyler Higbee (5/29/2) being the winning exacta. Only three other players scored more than 15.00 fantasy points – Sam […]

Week 13 DFS: Tight End Report

The tight end position was relatively quiet in Week 12, with Pat Freiermuth (9/120) and Tyler Higbee (5/29/2) being the winning exacta. Only three other players scored more than 15.00 fantasy points – Sam LaPorta (17.70), T.J. Hockenson (16.00), and Travis Kelce (15.10). Here are the top five tight ends by scoring average after 12 weeks:

  • Travis Kelce (15.65)
  • T.J. Hockenson (15.63)
  • George Kittle (12.99)
  • Sam LaPorta (12.99)
  • Mark Andrews (11.28)

Here are the top plays this week via the Week 13 DFS: Tight End Report. Also, check out the Week 13 DFS: QB Report.

Top-Tier Options

George Kittle, SF (DK – $6,200/FD – $7,400)

After three consecutive games (23.90, 20.60, and 22.90) with 20+ fantasy points, Kittle had a quiet showing (3/19 on five targets) vs. the Seahawks. He only had four games with more than six targets during the year. His value has been much more substantial at home (28/404/4 – 19.08 FPPG) than on the road (18/263/1 – 8.92 FPPG). The 49ers looked his way 6, 3, 2, 7, 4, and 5 times away from San Francisco. The Eagles held him to three catches for 36 yards on four targets last year in the playoffs on the road.

Philadelphia ranks 22nd in tight end defense (55/520/6 on 71 targets), with struggles in five matchups (NE – 8/92/1, MIN – 9/79/2, WAS – 7/61/1, DAL – 8/91/1, and KC – 7/44/1). They also faced three teams with weakness at the tight end position (TB – 1/16, MIA – 0/0, and LAR – 2/20 with five combined targets). 

With Travis Kelce off the main slate on Sunday and T.J. Hockenson on a bye, Kittle is the highest-priced tight end. His resume on the road suggests more of a risk/reward type play with lower ownership expected. His scoring upside keeps him in play, and a higher-scoring game should increase his targets.

Mid-Tier Options

Dalton Schultz, HOU (DK – $5,000/FD – $6,200)

After his impact game (10/130/1), the Texans struggled to get Schultz…

 

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Season Long – All Sports

Week 11 NFL Player Props

Week 11 NFL Player Props For the first time this season, we didn’t have a profitable week. In Week 10, we finished 3-4 (-1.5 Units) and are now 31-24 (+8.8 Units) on the 2023 season. It’s time to get back […]

Week 11 NFL Player Props

 

For the first time this season, we didn’t have a profitable week. In Week 10, we finished 3-4 (-1.5 Units) and are now 31-24 (+8.8 Units) on the 2023 season. It’s time to get back in the winning column after a tough week with our Week 11 NFL Player Props.

As always, I will be listing my seven favorite player props as we prepare for Week 11’s slate of NFL action. Unlike last week when several high-powered offenses were on bye weeks such as the reigning AFC and NFC Champions, Week 11’s bye belongs to four mediocre teams: the Atlanta Falcons, New Orleans Saints, Indianapolis Colts, and the abysmal New England Patriots. 

Fantasy football owners have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 11 NFL player prop bets and continue our profitable NFL season. 

Bryce Young OVER 34.5 pass attempts (-105)

The Panthers are now 10.5-point underdogs on the road against a filthy Dallas Cowboys defense. You might be wondering why I’d recommend this prop when Bryce Young has struggled so much and we’ve seen how dominant this Cowboys team can be. However, a blowout would result in Carolina playing catch-up and airing it out all night to try to even the score. 

Dallas is 4-1 against the spread when laying at least six points this season and their average margin of victory in those four wins is 27.5 points (largely due to the New York Giants). Young is going to have to throw the ball if Carolina has any chance at keeping pace with Dallas’ high-octane offense. 

It’s important to note that in every single game that Young started in which the Panthers lost by double digits, he attempted at least 38 passes. With the Panthers expected to fall behind big time in this game, the franchise will likely want to see what the No.1 pick in this year’s draft can do given this is already a lost season for the 1-8 Panthers. Even if they are down big, it’s hard to envision Young being benched. The team will want to further his development and not shake his confidence. Take the Over. 

Will Levis…

WHAT OTHER PLAYER PROPS LOOK LIKE PROMISING BETS THIS WEEK?…

 

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george kittle
DFS

Week 11 DFS: Tight End Report

Week 11 DFS: Tight End Report Three of the top four tight ends in Week 8 finished first, second, and third in Week 10. T.J. Hockenson posted an elite game (11/134/1), propelling him over Travis Kelce in year-long rankings. Trey […]

Week 11 DFS: Tight End Report

Three of the top four tight ends in Week 8 finished first, second, and third in Week 10. T.J. Hockenson posted an elite game (11/134/1), propelling him over Travis Kelce in year-long rankings. Trey McBride (8/131) took home the silver medal, followed by George Kittle (3/116/1). No other tight end scored more than 16.50 fantasy points. Here are the top five players after 10 weeks ranked by scoring average in PPR formats:

  • T.J. Hockenson (16.21)
  • Travis Kelce (15.63)
  • Sam LaPorta (13.16)
  • Mark Andrews (13.11)
  • George Kittle (11.81)

Here are the top plays this week via the Week 11 DFS: Tight End Report. Also, check out the Week 11 DFS: QB Report.

Top Tier Options

George Kittle, SF (DK – $6,400/FD – $7,000)

In two of Kittle’s three best games, he only had four targets in each matchup. The first score was driven by touchdowns (3/67/3), and the second came from hitting on a 66-yard touchdown (3/116/1), with two other catches gaining at least 20 yards. His best opportunity (11 targets) came in a chaser game in Week 8 (9/149). Over his last three games, Kittle averaged 21.17 fantasy points in DraftKings scoring.

Tampa Bay sits 22nd vs. tight ends (53/514/2 on 78 targets). Their two touchdowns allowed came over the last three weeks, with Dalton Schultz drilling them for 10 catches for 130 yards and one touchdown. One other team (MIN – 11/67) had double targets, and five more offenses posted at least five catches.

Kittle has a higher salary than his overall chances (5.2 targets per game) compared to the best tight ends in the game. His yards per catch (16.0) create an edge, and he scored 11 times over his last 20 starts. Kittle is trending higher, but his impact value requires more targets. I view him as more of an option in a 49ers’ passing stack.

Sam LaPorta, DET (DK – $5,800/FD – $6,700)

Over the first nine games, LaPorta has a definable trend in the DFS market. He scored four touchdowns over four matchups at home (5/63, 8/84/1, 3/47/2, and 8/57/1), leading to 18.28 fantasy points per game. Away from Detroit, LaPorta has yet to deliver a playable outcome (5/39, 4/56, 4/36, 6/52, and 4/40) despite having a floor of four catches. Over his nine starts, LaPorta averages 7.1 targets and 10.1 yards per catch.

Chicago struggled vs. tight ends in four contests (KC – 8/78/1, WAS – 12/105/1, LAC – 5/52/2, and NO – 10/65/2). They rank 27th in tight end defense (65/516/6 on 80 targets). Tight ends gain short yards per catch (7.9), which is overcome by a high catch rate (81.3). 

His resume at home and scoring ability give him a chance to…

 

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george kittle
DFS

Week 10 DFS: Tight End Report

Week 10 DFS: Tight End Report Last week, six tight ends scored more than 20.00 fantasy points, led by Dalton Schultz (10/130/1). Cade Otton (24.00) finished second, followed by Cole Kmet (23.50). The best tight end over the past three […]

Week 10 DFS: Tight End Report

Last week, six tight ends scored more than 20.00 fantasy points, led by Dalton Schultz (10/130/1). Cade Otton (24.00) finished second, followed by Cole Kmet (23.50). The best tight end over the past three weeks has been Taysom Hill (20.12 FPPG). Here are the top five players by scoring average after nine weeks in PPR formats:

  • Travis Kelce (15.63)
  • T.J. Hockenson (14.63)
  • Mark Andrews (13.86)
  • Sam LaPorta (13.80)
  • Cole Kmet (12.06)

Here are the top plays this week via the Week 8 DFS: Tight End Report. Also, check out the Week 10 DFS: QB Report.

Top Tier Options

Mark Andrews, BAL (DK – $6,900/FD – $7,300)

Even in a blowout game against the Seahawks, Andrews caught a season-high nine passes for 80 yards on 10 targets. He averaged 16.95 fantasy points in PPR formats over his last six starts, highlighted by two winning outputs (25.00 and 22.30). On the downside, Andrews averaged only 6.9 targets. His best game (5/80/2) came in Week 4 vs. the Browns.

Cleveland has the best tight end defense (19/155/2 on 28 targets). They held seven opponents to fewer than 6.00 fantasy points (CIN – 3/17, PIT – 1/2, TEN – 3/7, SF – 1/1, IND – 1/-6, SEA – 2/32, and ARI – 3/22). The Browns played well defensively in three games (3, 3, and 0 points allowed) while showing much more weakness on the road (88 points over three matchups). They have 26 sacks, requiring the tight end to help in pass protection on some plays.

The Ravens’ offense has been exceptional over their last three games (106 points), leading to 13 touchdowns and five field goals over 34 possessions. Baltimore runs the ball well, especially in scoring (15 touchdowns). Andrews will have some chances at the goal line, but he needs a wide open game to fill his salary bucket. Not ideal for his salary, but I can’t dismiss him. 

George Kittle, SF (DK – $6,1000/FD – $6,300)

A chaser game in Week 8 led to Kittle setting season-highs in catches (9), receiving yards (149), and targets (11), lifting him to sixth in tight end scoring (94.50 fantasy points). Over eight starts, he has been a losing investment in four matchups (3/19, 3/30, 1/9, and 1/1) while receiving 12 combined targets in those games. His best three days came at home (7/90, 3/67/3, and 9/149). The injury to Deebo Samuel bumped up his value over the two previous weeks.

The Jaguars rank 25th…

 

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george kittle
DFS

Week 2 DFS: Tight End Report

Week 2 DFS: Tight End Report The tight end position came up empty for too many fantasy teams in Week 1, highlighted by two star players (Travis Kelce and Mark Andrews) taking the week off. In addition, George Kittle (4.90 […]

Week 2 DFS: Tight End Report

The tight end position came up empty for too many fantasy teams in Week 1, highlighted by two star players (Travis Kelce and Mark Andrews) taking the week off. In addition, George Kittle (4.90 fantasy points) and Dallas Goedert (no catches) weren’t worthy of starting in any format. T.J. Hockenson (11.50 fantasy points) was the third-highest scoring option in PPR formats.

Six of the top 10 scoring tight ends were either undrafted or resided on fantasy benches.

  • Hunter Henry (5/56/1)
  • Hayden Hurst (5/41/1)
  • Donald Parham (3/21/1)
  • Blake Bell (2/12/1)
  • Harrison Bryant (2/5/1)
  • Adam Trautman (5/34)

Zach Ertz led all tight ends in targets (10) despite being questionable to play in Week 1. Logan Thomas (8), Durham Smythe (7), and Kylen Granson (6) ranked in the top 10 in targets despite being found in the free-agent pool in almost all 12-team league heading into Week 2. Here’s the total tight end production from Washington, Miami, and Indianapolis in 2022:

  • Commanders – 60/518/2 on 98 targets
  • Dolphins – 47/491/6 on 75 targets
  • Colts – 75/803/6 on 108 targets

Indy had the best overall tight end opportunity of the three last year while throwing the ball over 600 times. The change at quarterback points to a minimum of 100 fewer throws. Also,  the Colts rotated in three options in Week 1. Here is the snap breakdown for their tight ends in 2022: Mo Alie-Cox (586), Kylen Granson (408), and Jelani Woods (334).

Last season, only five tight ends averaged more than 10.00 fantasy points per game in PPR formats (7 in 2021 and 6 in 2020).

Here’s a look at some tight ends on the main slate in Week 2 in the DFS market:

Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s  Week 2 DFS QB Report and Week 2 DFS RB Report.

 

Top Tier Options

 

Mark Andrews, BAL (DK – $6,300/FD – $8,000)

In the early projections, Andrews is the top-rated tight end for Week 2. But he is far from a lock to be a difference-maker after turning in a limited practice on Wednesday. Last year, he scored more than 20.00 fantasy points in four of his 14 matchups (25.70, 28.90, 22.90, and 23.60), but they all came over the first six weeks. Andrews also sat out Week 1 in 2022 but delivered an impact game (9/107/1) the following game vs. the Dolphins at home. He had two starts (8/89/1 and 5/73) against Cincinnati last season.

The Bengals (88/924/3) struggled to defend the tight end four times (7/115,10/96/1, 10/87, and 8/67/1) in 2022. The Browns’ tight ends had five catches for 41 yards and one score on six targets in Week 1.

Andrews comes into this week with risk in his role and potential snaps. At the same time, his higher salary requires 25.00 fantasy points to be worth the investment. If he plays, I don’t expect him to be a popular option, creating an edge ownership if he does pay off. I’m only taking a flier on him on teams with Lamar Jackson.

George Kittle, SF (DK – $5,300/FD – $6,200)

Kittle had a dull showing in Week 1 (3/19 on six targets) while being in the field for 69% of the 49ers plays. When at his best late in 2022, San Fran gave him 90% or more of their tight end snaps in 11 of his 18 games. His best success came over four games (4/93/2, 6/120/2, 4/23/1, and 4/29/2) late last season with Brock Purdy behind center. Kittle had five catches or more in only four matchups (5/47, 8/83, 6/98/1, and 6/120/2) with only one double-digit target game (10). 

The Rams finished 13th in…

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