Season Long – NFL

Joe Burow
DFS

Week 10 Quarterback Report

November 9, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 10 NFL Quarterback Report The winning tickets in Week 9 were cashed by the DFS teams using a C.J. Stroud (46.50 fantasy points) and a Houston Texans’ receiving stack. He gained 480 yards with five touchdowns and a two-point […]

Week 10 NFL Quarterback Report

The winning tickets in Week 9 were cashed by the DFS teams using a C.J. Stroud (46.50 fantasy points) and a Houston Texans’ receiving stack. He gained 480 yards with five touchdowns and a two-point conversion. Dak Prescott finished second in quarterback scoring (32.10), one notch higher than Week 8 despite the identical total in fantasy points. Joshua Dobbs (28.50) came off the bench to post the third-best output for the week. 10 quarterbacks scored at least 10 fantasy points. Here are the top five quarterbacks by scoring average after nine weeks:

  • Josh Allen (30.18)
  • Jalen Hurts (29.18)
  • C.J. Stroud (25.98)
  • Patrick Mahomes (22.88)
  • Justin Herbert (22.64)

Using our Week 10 Fantasy Football Rankings, let’s break down this week’s field in the FullTime Fantasy Week 10 NFL Quarterback Report.

Top Tier Options

Lamar Jackson, BAL (DK – $8,000/FD – $8,300)

The top end of the quarterback pool in Week 10 is weaker due to Jalen Hurts, Patrick Mahomes, and Tua Tagovailoa being on a bye week. In addition, Josh Allen plays on Monday night. Jackson has the highest salary on the main slate on Sunday while ranking seventh in quarterback scoring. He comes off two dull games (13.55 and 14.35) in fantasy points, coming after an explosive showing (393/4) vs. the Lions at home in Week 7. In his first matchup vs. the Browns, Jackson had four scores while gaining 213 combined yards. He attempted only 19 passes due to Baltimore playing from the lead and Cleveland starting rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson at quarterback. 

The Browns have the second-best quarterback defense (15.09 FPPG), right behind Baltimore’s defense (13.73 FPPG). The Ravens (31.80 fantasy points) and Colts (34.15 fantasy points) had the most success due to scoring four rushing touchdowns by their quarterbacks. Cleveland allows 6.3 yards per pass attempt with 26 sacks. Indy was the only team to pass for more than 300 yards due to a broken play by Michael Pittman (75-yard TD) and blown coverage vs. Josh Downs (59-yard TD) on another play.

This matchup should have a lot of running, pointing to a lower-scoring game (game total – 38.5). The Ravens scored 13 touchdowns and kicked five field goals over their last 34 possessions. That was highlighted by two explosive wins at home (38-6 and 37-3). Over this span, they scored eight rushing touchdowns. Jackson helps his floor by rushing the ball, but he is only an against-the-grain option in this matchup.

Justin Herbert, LAC (DK – $7,700/FD – $8,500)

Over his last two games vs. the Chiefs and Jets…

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Most Accurate Rankings Badge
Season Long – All Sports

Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 10

November 8, 2023 Jody Smith

Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 10 FullTime Fantasy has been synonymous with accurate fantasy football rankings for years. Our rankings have garnered numerous industry accolades, with several top-5 finishes in season-long, weekly, and even sports betting accuracy. This is […]

Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 10

FullTime Fantasy has been synonymous with accurate fantasy football rankings for years. Our rankings have garnered numerous industry accolades, with several top-5 finishes in season-long, weekly, and even sports betting accuracy. This is the home of our FullTime Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 10.

Ranking You Can Trust

Our staff was ranked No. 1 last season, with not one but TWO analysts inside the top 10. With projections powered by NFBC Hall-of-Fame writer Shawn Childs and former FantasyPro’s Most Accurate Expert Jody Smith, FullTime Fantasy Members get instant access to reliable and trustworthy weekly rankings.

Additionally, Jody and Adam Krautwurst co-host the FullTime Fantasy Podcast, which is live-streamed weekly on YouTube. The guys are also active in the FullTime Fantasy Discord channel, helping answer all fantasy and sports betting inquiries.

Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 10

 

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bryce young
DFS - NFL

Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 10

November 8, 2023 Jody Smith

Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 10 Predictably, Week 9’s Steelers/Titans game lacked fantasy firepower. And that appears to be applicable again in Week 10 as the offensively-challenged Panthers travel to Chicago to take on the last-place Bears. Our Thursday Night […]

Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 10

Predictably, Week 9’s Steelers/Titans game lacked fantasy firepower. And that appears to be applicable again in Week 10 as the offensively-challenged Panthers travel to Chicago to take on the last-place Bears. Our Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 10 breaks down the fantasy prospects in a game that seemingly lacks talking points.

The Panthers mustered only 275 yards of offense and 13 points in a home loss to the Colts. Now, the 1-win Panthers must travel on short rest. Carolina is 0-4 on the road and has yet to win a game against an NFC rival.

Meanwhile, the Bears have quarterback concerns. Tyson Bagent has been adequate, but Chicago’s offense lacks scoring upside without Justin Fields. Last week, the Bears out-gained New Orleans but dropped to 1-2 without Fields under center.

This game opened with the home team favored by just 1.5 points with a total of 41. However, early action on the Bears pushed the line to -3 and the total dipped to 39.

Matchup 

TEAM OFFENSE PASS RUSH YDS/PLAY POINTS
Carolina Panthers 30 27 24 31 26
Chicago Bears 14 24 4 15 19

Scoring has been an issue all season for the Panthers, and Carolina’s offensive line has been a big culprit. The Panthers rank 31st in passing yards per attempt and have allowed the fifth-most sacks. LT Ikem Ekwonu has struggled, leading to a lack of time and no ability for plays to develop downfield.

Carolina has only topped 250 passing yards once all season and their defense has allowed the second-most points and forced just seven turnovers. Subsequently, it is difficult to rely on the Panthers for points or fantasy production. Even when facing a Chicago defense that ranks 26th.

For the Bears, they will focus on keeping the ball on the ground. Chicago’s rushing attack ranks fourth and matches up well with a Carolina D that has surrendered the fifth-most rushing yards and allowed a league-worst 14 rushing touchdowns so far in 2023.

However, the biggest question for the Bears will be the health of quarterback Justin Fields. Tyson Bagent has filled in well for three games. But, Fields brings potential as a passer and runner that has been lacking.

Finally, weather should not be a factor. The forecast calls for 48-degree temperatures, with no precipitation or abnormal wind.

Carolina Offense 

Bryce Young is being overshadowed by…

How will Thursday’s Panthers vs. Bears game go?

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Season Long – All Sports

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 10

November 6, 2023 Jody Smith

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 10 A costly bye slate and more untimely injuries derailed a Week 9 that still had its share of headlines. Fantasy football managers are now less than a month from the playoffs. That makes the […]

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 10

A costly bye slate and more untimely injuries derailed a Week 9 that still had its share of headlines. Fantasy football managers are now less than a month from the playoffs. That makes the Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 10 the most important week to load up for that postseason run.

As always, FullTime Fantasy has you covered. Also, the byes this week are even worse than Week 9, making the fantasy football waiver wire: week 10 even more impactful.

Week 10 Byes: Kansas City, Los Angeles Rams, Miami, Philadelphia

FAAB denotes Free Agent Acquisition Budget

 

Tank Dell (WR) Houston Texans (25% FAAB) – If you’re in the FullTime Fantasy Discord, you added Dell weeks ago. However, if he is still available in any league you’re in, be prepared to pay a king’s ransom. Dell is coming off of an amazing performance. His third 20-plus point fantasy outing this season. We can’t expect that kind of production weekly, but Dell is being targeted at a higher rate than Nico Collins. C.J. Stroud implored the Texans to draft Dell and that connection has certainly paid off.

Keaton Mitchell (RB) Baltimore Ravens (12% FAAB) – Before Week 9, Mitchell had all of one touch in 2023. That was mostly the same on Sunday until the Ravens were attempting to run out the clock. Mitchell only played 14 second-half snaps but parlayed them into 11 touches, 143 yards, and a touchdown in garbage time. Undoubtedly, Mitchell has a top gear lacking with Baltimore’s other two backs. However, that doesn’t mean that Mitchell will suddenly start earning a role. He’s worth a healthy FAAB  bid. But fantasy managers would be wise to temper expectations and proceed with caution.

Kyler Murray (QB) Arizona Cardinals (10% FAAB) – For several weeks we have recommended a proactive bid on…

To see the rest of this week’s waiver wire and FAAB targets…

 

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CeeDee Lamb
DFS

Week 9 DFS: Wide Receiver Report

November 4, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 9 DFS: Wide Receiver Report The big mover in the wide receiver rankings in Week 8 was CeeDee Lamb after turning in the top production (12/170/2). DeAndre Hopkins (4/128/3) and A.J. Brown (8/130/2) were the other two players to […]

Week 9 DFS: Wide Receiver Report

The big mover in the wide receiver rankings in Week 8 was CeeDee Lamb after turning in the top production (12/170/2). DeAndre Hopkins (4/128/3) and A.J. Brown (8/130/2) were the other two players to post impact games. Ten wide receivers scored between 21.00 and 26.00 fantasy points, giving daily gamers many outs this week. Here’s a look at the top five wideouts in scoring average in PPR formats:

  • Tyreek Hill (26.48)
  • A.J. Brown (22.99)
  • Stefon Diggs (21.73)
  • Ja’Marr Chase (21.40)
  • Keenan Allen (21.34)

Also, before we get into the Week 9 DFS: Wide Receiver Report, check out the QB Report, RB Report, and TE Report.

Elite Options

A.J. Brown, PHI (DK – $8,600/FD – $9,000)

With Ja’Marr Chase, Tyreek Hill, and Stefon Diggs off the main slate on Sunday, Brown will be a popular player at the top end at wide receiver. He has been exceptionally hot over his last six games (9/131, 9/175/2, 6/127, 7/131, 10/137/1, and 8/130/2), averaging 30.02 fantasy points in DraftKings scoring. Four of his five touchdowns came against Washington. Brown had two solid games (5/67/1 and 6/103) in 2022 vs. the Cowboys.

Dallas ranks second defending wide receivers (58/819/4 on 114 targets). Keenan Allen (7/85/1) posted the best game, and no wideout has gained more than 100 yards against the Cowboys. Their success in coverage has been helped by facing four poor passing offenses (NYG, NYJ, ARI, and NE). Dallas tends to keep their top two outside cornerbacks (Stefon Gilmore and DaRon Bland) at the same position on the field for most plays, That will allow the Eagles to get more favorable matchups for their top wide receiver. On the year, Gilmore and Bland allowed a combined 35 catches on 72 targets for 483 yards and two scores (Per PFF). Slot cornerback Jourdan Lewis is the weak link in coverage (12/168/3 on 19 targets).

The injury to CB Trevor Diggs should be exposed by the Eagles’ passing game in Week 9. Brown will get his chances, and he is trending forward in scoring. His winning streak stands at six games. But can his ticket come in every week? 

Cooper Kupp, LAR (DK – $8,500/FD – $8,700)

The Steelers and Cowboys shut down Kupp over the past two weeks (2/29 and 4/21 on 17 combined targets). His regression in catch rate (35.2) over this span is a concern. And Los Angeles lost their passing magic from Week 5 to Week 8 (222/2, 226/1, 231/1, and 204/1) despite playing three games at home and having Kupp back in the starting lineup. The Rams had him on the field for all of their plays over the last three weeks, and he did shine vs. the Eagles (8/118) and Cardinals (7/148/1).

Green Bay ranks 12th in…

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DFS

Week 9 DFS: Running Back Report

November 3, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 9 DFS: Running Back Report Jahmyr Gibbs (29.90 fantasy points) was the highest-scoring running back in Week 8 in PPR formats, coming on the heels of another top-showing (11/68/1 with nine catches for 58 yards). Christian McCaffrey (29.80) and […]

Week 9 DFS: Running Back Report

Jahmyr Gibbs (29.90 fantasy points) was the highest-scoring running back in Week 8 in PPR formats, coming on the heels of another top-showing (11/68/1 with nine catches for 58 yards). Christian McCaffrey (29.80) and Gus Edwards (29.40) filled out the running back trifecta. Five other running backs scored more than 20.00 fantasy points. Alvin Kamara (24.57) and Travis Etienne (23.97) averaged the most fantasy points per game in PPR formats over the past three weeks. Here are the top five running backs by scoring average over the first eight weeks:

  • Christian McCaffrey (25.30)
  • Travis Etienne (20.49)
  • Raheem Mostert (19.64)
  • Kenneth Walker (16.09)
  • Zack Moss (15.65)

Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 9 DFS QB Report and TE Report.

Top-Tier Options

Alvin Kamara, NO (DK – $8,100/FD – $9,200)

The excellent opportunity continued in Week 8 for Kamara. He gained 110 combined yards with two touchdowns and four catches on 21 touches against the Colts. The Saints gave him the ball 125 times over his first five starts, leading to 110 yards and 7.8 catches per game. Taysom Hill sniped three rushing touchdowns over the past two weeks while also stealing 14 rushes for 81 yards.

Chicago ranks 27th in running back defense (25.54 FPPG), with most of their struggles coming over the first three games (34.50, 23.20, and 46.30 fantasy points). The Bears continue to play well vs. the run (193/630/4 – 3.3 yards per carry), but backs have 48 catches for 497 yards and five touchdowns on 61 targets. 

Kamara holds his floor in most weeks due to his value in the passing game. His rising salary requires more than 32.00 fantasy points at DraftKings, but he can’t reach that level without at least one long play and a touchdown. New Orleans will get Jamaal Williams involved, and Hill has been stealing away his explosiveness. Playing well, and the Saints’ offense should score in this game.

Saquon Barkley, NYG (DK – $7,900/FD – $8,600)

The Giants’ offense has been dismal in seven of the eight games, leading them averaging only 11.9 points per game. Over the last three weeks, Barkley has been a big part of New York’s game plan (81/298 with 19 catches for 46 yards and one touchdown on 91 touches). Daniel Jones returns this week, along with LT Andrew Thomas, breathing life into all offensive players for the Giants. Barkley posted one playable game (27.20 fantasy points) in Week 2.

Las Vegas fell to 29th in running back defense (27.34 FPPG) after struggling over the past three weeks (31.80, 40.80, and 38.50 fantasy points). The Raiders allow 4.5 yards per rush, with backs scoring 11 touchdowns. Over the past two games, Chicago and Detroit rushed for 395 yards with three touchdowns. Running backs have 42 catches for 267 yards and one score on 56 targets.

With Daniel Jones back in the starting lineup, Barkley will see…

 

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DFS

Week 9 DFS: Tight End Report

November 3, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 9 DFS: Tight End Report The injury to Zach Ertz was a big win for Trey McBride investors in Week 8. He was the top-scoring tight end (25.50) in PPR formats while finishing with his best career game (10/95/1). […]

Week 9 DFS: Tight End Report

The injury to Zach Ertz was a big win for Trey McBride investors in Week 8. He was the top-scoring tight end (25.50) in PPR formats while finishing with his best career game (10/95/1). George Kittle (23.90), Taysom Hill (22.90), and T.J. Hockenson (20.80) were the only other players to score more than 20.00 fantasy points. Five other tight ends scored between 17.50 and 19.80 fantasy points. Here’s a look at the top five tight ends after eight weeks by scoring average:

  • Travis Kelce (17.04)
  • T.J. Hockenson (14.73)
  • Sam LaPorta (13.80)
  • Mark Andrews (13.46)
  • George Kittle (11.81)

Here are the top plays this week via the Week 8 DFS: Tight End Report. Also, check out the Week 9 DFS: QB Report.

Top-Tier Option

Mark Andrews, BAL (DK – $6,800/FD – $7,500)

With Travis Kelce off the main slate on Sunday, Andrews has the highest salary at tight end at DraftKings and FanDuel. His targets have been low in five (5, 5, 6, 6, and 5) of his six starts, leading to no game with impact catches (six in Week 5) or yards (high of 80 in Week 4). Andrews posted his best fantasy point games (25.00 and 22.30) when he scored twice in each matchup. In 2022, Baltimore gave him double-digit targets in five contests, leading to four winning days (9/104/1, 8/89/2, 8/89/1, and 7/106/1).

Seattle sits 12th in tight end defense (30/342/1), with the worst showing coming last week vs. the Browns (5/83/1). They played two teams with weakness at tight end (CAR – 3/34 and CIN – 2/9). The Seahawks’ defense struggled over their first three games (30, 31, and 27) in points allowed. Over the last four games, they allowed 50 combined points and only five touchdowns.

Andrews appears to be overpriced in the daily market in Week 9, suggesting he’s only in play if using him with Lamar Jackosn and hoping for a much higher-scoring game than expected. Ultimately, Seattle needs to jump out to a big lead to force the Ravens to attempt more passes.

Mid-Tier Options

Dallas Goedert, PHI (DK – $4,800/FD – $5,800)

Over the past month, Goedert has been an every-other-week player (8/117/1, 5/42, 5/77/1, and 4/36), with his best outcomes coming in odd weeks. The Eagles gave him seven targets or more in five of his last seven starts. Last year, he posted two dull games (2/22 and 3/67) vs. the Cowboys. 

Dallas ranks 20th…

 

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Ja'Marr Chase
Season Long – All Sports

Week 9 NFL Player Props

November 3, 2023 Matt Brandon

Week 9 NFL Player Props After taking Week 8 off, it’s time to get back down to business in the Week 9 NFL Player Props betting market. In Week 7, we went 4-3 (+.7 Units) and are officially 24-18 (+8.5 […]

Week 9 NFL Player Props

 

After taking Week 8 off, it’s time to get back down to business in the Week 9 NFL Player Props betting market. In Week 7, we went 4-3 (+.7 Units) and are officially 24-18 (+8.5 Units) on the season.

Fantasy football managers definitely have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 9 NFL prop bets and continue our profitable NFL season. 

Zach Wilson OVER 214.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Wilson may not be a great quarterback but he’s got a very favorable matchup against a Los Angeles Chargers defense that is currently allowing the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and a whopping 311.4 passing yards per game. Even Division II QB Tyson Bagent accumulated 232 yards against the Chargers on Sunday Night Football last week. Let’s examine how the Chargers have fared against each quarterback they’ve faced to date this season:

PLAYER

 ATT/COMP YARDS TDS-INTS
Tua Tagovailoa 28/45 465 3-1
Ryan Tannehill 20/24 246 1-0
Kirk Cousins 32/50 367 3-1
Aidan O’Connell 24/39 238 0-1
Dak Prescott 21/30 272 1-0
Patrick Mahomes 32/42 424 4-1
Tyson Bagent 25/37 232 0-2

 

As you can see, every single quarterback the Chargers have faced has surpassed Wilson’s prop line in Week 9. Although Wilson started the season slow after filling in for the injured Aaron Rodgers, he has surpassed this line in two of his previous four contests. And those were against much superior defenses. 

Given that New York is expected to fall behind in this one against a very high-powered offense, the Jets likely won’t be able to lean on the ground-and-pound game. After last week, they may opt to look for Breece Hall on short passes as Hall was New York’s leading receiver in the Jets’ comeback victory over the New York Giants in Week 8. 

Plus, Wilson has Garrett Wilson at his disposal, who despite the ebbs and flows of his season, has shown flashes of brilliance and could emerge as a top-five wideout with a better signal caller. If the Jets want to keep pace with the Chargers this week, Wilson is going to have to let it fly. Take the Over. 

Patrick Mahomes…

WHAT OTHER PLAYER PROPS LOOK LIKE PROMISING BETS THIS WEEK?…

 

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