Week 14 DFS: Wide Receiver Report

December 9, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 14 DFS: Wide Receiver Report D.K. Metcalf (6/134/3) had a correction game in Week 13, putting him on the wide receiver podium for the first time all year. Deebo Samuel (35.80) and Nico Collins (34.10) finished second and third […]

Week 14 DFS: Wide Receiver Report

D.K. Metcalf (6/134/3) had a correction game in Week 13, putting him on the wide receiver podium for the first time all year. Deebo Samuel (35.80) and Nico Collins (34.10) finished second and third for the week. Tyreek Hill (32.70), CeeDee Lamb (32.60), and Ja’Marr Chase (31.90) all posted impact games. Five other wideouts scored between 23.50 and 29.50 fantasy points. Here are the top five wide receivers by scoring average after 13 weeks:

Tyreek Hill (26.17)
Keenan Allen (22.30)
CeeDee Lamb (22.13)
A.J. Brown (19.95)
Ja’Marr Chase (19.54)

Also, before we get into the Week 14 DFS: Wide Receiver Report, check out the QB Report, RB Report, and TE Report.

Top Tier Options

Justin Jefferson, MIN (DK – $8,500/FD – $9,000)

After an eight-week vacation with a hamstring issue, Jefferson returns to the starting lineup in Week 14. His season started with four productive games (9/150, 11/159, 7/149/1, and 6/85/2). He averaged 11.75 targets, leading to 28.33 fantasy points per game in DraftKings scoring. Over this stretch, the Vikings attempted 157 passes.

Las Vegas ranks 14th in wide receiver defense (141/1,724/10 on 215 targets), with one disaster game (MIA – 19/263/1). Their pass defense showed regression over the last three games (NYJ – 263/0, MIA – 325/2, and KC – 298/2). Three wideouts (Amon-Ra St. Brown – 6/108, Tyreek Hill – 10/146/1, and Rashee Rice – 8/107/1) gained more than 100 yards receiving. Their best cornerback (Nate Hobbs) works primarily out of the slot, suggesting a favorable matchup for Jefferson.

The key to the Vikings’ top wideout is his chemistry with Joshua Dobbs and Minnesota upping their passing attempts. Jefferson has beast upside, and a running quarterback could help his ability to break free for a long scoring play.

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Week 14 DFS: Tight End Report featuring Travis Kelce

December 8, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 14 DFS: Tight End Report Last year, there were three star tight ends led by the impact game by […]

Week 14 DFS: Running Back Report

December 8, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 14 DFS: Running Back Report Joe Mixon (29.70) finished as the top-scoring running back in Week 13, lifting him to sixth in fantasy points (178.10) for the season. Alvin Kamara (28.90) won the runner-up prize, followed by De’Von Achane […]

Week 14 DFS: Running Back Report

Joe Mixon (29.70) finished as the top-scoring running back in Week 13, lifting him to sixth in fantasy points (178.10) for the season. Alvin Kamara (28.90) won the runner-up prize, followed by De’Von Achane (25.30) and Derek Henry (25.00). Five other running backs scored between 20.00 and 22.50 fantasy points. Here are the top five running backs by scoring average after 13 weeks:

Christian McCaffrey (24.76)
Raheem Mostert (17.95)
Travis Etienne (17.48)
Alvin Kamara (15.68)
Rachaad White (15.33)

Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 14 DFS QB Report.

Elite Tier Option

Christian McCaffrey, SF (DK – $9,200/FD – $10,500)

McCaffrey is the most consistent running back in the NFL. He holds close to a seven-point weekly average edge in PPR formats. His floor has been 20.00 fantasy points in 10 of his 12 starts while riding a six-game streak. His best two showings came in Week 4 (48.70) and Week 12 (30.90) vs. division opponents (ARI and SEA). The 49ers give him 21.75 touches a game. And McCaffrey has a score in every contest except Week 10. Two weeks ago, he gained 139 yards with two touchdowns and five catches against the Seahawks.

Seattle slipped to 28th in running back defense after three disaster games (42.00, 45.50, and 35.80 fantasy points) over the past five weeks. Running backs have 15 touchdowns vs. the Seahawks. They struggled in one game defending running backs in the passing game (WAS – 12/164/2). Baltimore (41/298/3) ran over them on the ground in Week 9.

I have McCaffrey projected as a difference-maker in Week 14, giving him a chance at four times his salary at DraftKings. The 49ers are red hot offensively, starting with elite quarterback play. The challenge is finding a winning roster behind him in the DFS market.

Top-Tier Options

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Week 14 Quarterback Report

December 7, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 14 NFL Quarterback Report Geno Smith (34.20) and Jake Browning (30.90) were the two surprises in quarterback scoring in Week 13, leading to them finishing first and fourth in scoring. Brock Purdy (32.60 – 2nd) had his second elite […]

Week 14 NFL Quarterback Report

Geno Smith (34.20) and Jake Browning (30.90) were the two surprises in quarterback scoring in Week 13, leading to them finishing first and fourth in scoring. Brock Purdy (32.60 – 2nd) had his second elite game over the past three weeks despite not attempting more than 27 passes in each matchup. Dak Prescott (31.25 – 3rd) posted his fifth impact showing over the last six weeks. Eight other quarterbacks scored between 20.00 and 28.00 fantasy points. Here are the top five quarterbacks by scoring average after 13 weeks:

Josh Allen (27.91)
Jalen Hurts (27.23)
Dak Prescott (24.43)
C.J. Stroud (23.62)
Justin Herbert (22.52)

Using our Week 14 Fantasy Football Rankings, let’s break down this week’s field in the FullTime Fantasy Week 14 NFL Quarterback Report.

Top Tier Options

Josh Allen, BUF (DK – $8,300/FD – $9,000)

Over his last seven starts, Allen gained fewer than 7.0 yards per pass attempt in five matchups (5.6, 6.5, 6.8, 6.8, and 6.6). He threw an interception in eight consecutive games. Allen tried to carry the Bills on his back in his start vs. the Eagles (420 combined yards with four touchdowns), but it wasn’t enough to win the game. All three (39.70, 32.35, and 33.30) of his other games with more than 30.00 fantasy points came at home. He has nine rushing scores over his last 10 starts.

Kansas City slipped to ninth in quarterback defense (17.55 FPPG), with only Jordan Love (26.35) scoring more than 25.00 fantasy points. They allow 6.9 yards per pass attempt, with quarterbacks tossing 18 touchdowns. The Chiefs have yet to give up more than three touchdowns in any matchup in 2023.

Allen is the highest-scoring quarterback (27.91) with a reasonable chance at scoring 3 times his salary at DraftKings in most weeks. His ceiling requires the Chiefs to play at a higher level offensively as well. I view him as more of a gamble than a target in Week 14.

Patrick Mahomes, KC (DK – $7,900/FD – $8,400)

Over the last five games, Patrick Mahomes averaged 222 passing yards with only seven touchdowns and some help in the run game (24/117). The Chiefs’ lack of star power at wide receiver remains an issue. His only game (453/4) supporting his current salary came in Week 7 at home against the Chargers. Mahomes has 14 touchdowns in six games in Kansas City compared to eight on the road over the same number of snaps. In 2022, he gained 359 yards and two touchdowns vs. the Bills.

Buffalo showed more risk

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Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 14

December 6, 2023 Jody Smith

Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 14 Remember when Thursday was ‘Must See TV’? That no longer applies. After being blessed with a terrific game last week that featured no punts, football fans will be hard-pressed to be excited about the […]

Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 14

Remember when Thursday was ‘Must See TV’? That no longer applies. After being blessed with a terrific game last week that featured no punts, football fans will be hard-pressed to be excited about the Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 14.

After watching a game with no punts, Week 14 features two of the five lowest-scoring teams in football. New England is coming off a 6-0 shutout. The Patriots have scored one touchdown total in their last three games. Additionally, being shutout by the Chargers’ 28th-ranked defense does not bode well for a trip to Pittsburgh to face a Steelers defense that has surrendered the sixth-fewest points.

Meanwhile, only four other teams have mustered fewer points on offense than Pittsburgh. Additionally, the Steelers are now trotting out their No. 2 quarterback on short rest.

The Steelers opened as slight favorites and a futile total of 35 points plummeted down to a meager 30.

Hardly a must-see event- this AFC duel is strictly for diehards and fantasy fanatics.

Matchup

TEAM	OFFENSE	PASS	RUSH	YDS/PLAY	POINTS
New England Patriots	28	23	21	28	32
Pittsburgh Steelers	26	28	14	25	28

These two teams put the offense in ‘offensive’.

New England has struggled in all facets of assembling a credible offense. They have scored the fewest points in football. Also, New England has a pathetic 10-to-14 TD-to-INT ratio. Finally, they rank 31st in average starting position, percentage of drives resulting in points, and dead-last in field goal percentage.

Things have been marginally better in Pittsburgh, especially since dismissing Matt Canada. The Steelers are a respectable 14th with 1,384 rushing yards and lead the NFL with only 10 turnovers. Mike Tomlin has done another fantastic job guiding a very marginal offensive unit to a 7-5 record.

Finally, acclimate yourself with Pressley Harvin III and Bryce Baringer, the team’s punters.

New England Offense

Despite getting shutout last week, Bill Belichick will…

How will Thursday’s Patriots vs. Steelers game go?

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Week 13 DFS: Wide Receiver Report

December 1, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 13 DFS: Wide Receiver Report Last week, no wide receiver scored more than 25.50 fantasy points in PPR formats. Tyreek Hill (9/104/1) won the Gold Medal, followed by Mike Evans (6/70/2) and Rashee Rice (8/107/1). Eleven other wideouts scored […]

Week 13 DFS: Wide Receiver Report

Last week, no wide receiver scored more than 25.50 fantasy points in PPR formats. Tyreek Hill (9/104/1) won the Gold Medal, followed by Mike Evans (6/70/2) and Rashee Rice (8/107/1). Eleven other wideouts scored between 20.00 and 24.00 fantasy points. Over the previous three weeks, Keenan Allen (30.57) was the top player. Here are the top five wide receivers by scoring average after 12 weeks of action:

Tyreek Hill (25.57)
Keenan Allen (23.34)
CeeDee Lamb (21.18)
A.J. Brown (20.00)
Amon-Ra St. Brown (19.24)

Also, before we get into the Week 13 DFS: Wide Receiver Report, check out the QB Report, RB Report, and TE Report.

Top Tier Options

Tyreek Hill, MIA (DK – $9,600/FD – $10,000)

The Dolphins gave Hill double-digit targets in each of the last six matchups, leading to him having a floor of eight catches in five consecutive starts. He’s gained over 100 yards in seven of his 11 games while adding a score in nine different weeks (10 total TDs). Hill’s best showing in fantasy points came in Week 1 (44.50), and he has three other outcomes with at least 30.00 fantasy points at home.

Washington has the second-worst wide receiver defense (155/2,355/18 on 238 targets), with wideouts gaining 15.2 yards per catch. Six teams (DEN – 13/274/3, PHI – 17/264/2, CHI – 8/230/3, PHI – 17/242/4, SEA – 21/256/1, and DAL – 13/245/3) gained over 200 yards from their wide receivers. Their quarterbacks passed for more than 300 yards in each of these failures. D.J. Moore (8/230/2) and A.J. Brown (8/130/2 and 9/175/2) had the most success. CB Benjamin St. Juste (56/741/4 on 56 targets per PFF) has been a weak link in coverage, along with CB Emmanuel Forbes (27/490/3 on 42 targets).

The Dolphins do an excellent job getting Hill easy catches close to the line of scrimmage, with some coming out of the backfield. He has the speed and quickness to beat any defender one-on-one, pointing to an impact game vs. the Commanders. He comes into this week with a slight ankle issue that limited his playing time in practice. Over his final six starts, Hill needs 676 receiving yards to reach 2,000 yards.

A.J. Brown, PHI (DK – $8,800/FD – $8,400)

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Week 13 DFS: Running Back Report

December 1, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 13 DFS: Running Back Report The winning running back ticket landed on Kyren Williams (38.40 fantasy points) in Week 13. Christian McCaffrey (30.90) finished with the runner-up prize, followed by Bijan Robinson (27.30) and Isiah Pacheco (25.90). Seven other […]

Week 13 DFS: Running Back Report

The winning running back ticket landed on Kyren Williams (38.40 fantasy points) in Week 13. Christian McCaffrey (30.90) finished with the runner-up prize, followed by Bijan Robinson (27.30) and Isiah Pacheco (25.90). Seven other running backs scored between 20.00 and 22.50 fantasy points. Here are the top five running backs by scoring average after 12 weeks:

Christian McCaffrey (24.98)
Raheem Mostert (18.48)
Travis Etienne (17.44)
Rachaad White (14.94)
Josh Jacobs (14.61)

Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 13 DFS QB Report and TE Report.

Top Tier Options

Christian McCaffrey, SF (DK – $9,000/FD – $9,800)

Even with his second-best fantasy game (30.90) in Week 12, McCaffrey didn’t score high enough to fill his current salary bucket. He has a floor of 20.00 fantasy points over the past five weeks, averaging 21.6 touches. The 49ers have had him on the field for 76% of their plays or more over his last five starts. His best showing (20/106/3 with seven catches for 71 yards and one touchdown) of the year came in Week 4. Last year, McCaffrey gained 106 combined yards with one touchdown and four catches against the Eagles.

Philadelphia has the best defense in the NFL vs. running backs (15.63 FPPG). They allow 4.1 yards per rush, with backs scoring only two touchdowns. Kansas City (30/168) and Buffalo (40/173/2) ran the ball well against them over the past two weeks, but 119 yards (34.9%) came from the quarterback position. Running backs have 58 catches for 359 yards on 75 targets.

McCaffrey doesn’t have the best matchup. The 49ers will ride him early and often in this game, with an uptick of value in the passing game should be expected. He needs multiple touchdowns and at least one big play to be in the mix in Week 13.

Alvin Kamara, NO (DK – $8,200/FD – $8,300)

The fun and excitement of Kamara left the building over the last three weeks. His regression in stats over this span came from…

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Week 13 DFS: Tight End Report

November 30, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 13 DFS: Tight End Report The tight end position was relatively quiet in Week 12, with Pat Freiermuth (9/120) and Tyler Higbee (5/29/2) being the winning exacta. Only three other players scored more than 15.00 fantasy points – Sam […]

Week 13 DFS: Tight End Report

The tight end position was relatively quiet in Week 12, with Pat Freiermuth (9/120) and Tyler Higbee (5/29/2) being the winning exacta. Only three other players scored more than 15.00 fantasy points – Sam LaPorta (17.70), T.J. Hockenson (16.00), and Travis Kelce (15.10). Here are the top five tight ends by scoring average after 12 weeks:

Travis Kelce (15.65)
T.J. Hockenson (15.63)
George Kittle (12.99)
Sam LaPorta (12.99)
Mark Andrews (11.28)

Here are the top plays this week via the Week 13 DFS: Tight End Report. Also, check out the Week 13 DFS: QB Report.

Top-Tier Options

George Kittle, SF (DK – $6,200/FD – $7,400)

After three consecutive games (23.90, 20.60, and 22.90) with 20+ fantasy points, Kittle had a quiet showing (3/19 on five targets) vs. the Seahawks. He only had four games with more than six targets during the year. His value has been much more substantial at home (28/404/4 – 19.08 FPPG) than on the road (18/263/1 – 8.92 FPPG). The 49ers looked his way 6, 3, 2, 7, 4, and 5 times away from San Francisco. The Eagles held him to three catches for 36 yards on four targets last year in the playoffs on the road.

Philadelphia ranks 22nd in tight end defense (55/520/6 on 71 targets), with struggles in five matchups (NE – 8/92/1, MIN – 9/79/2, WAS – 7/61/1, DAL – 8/91/1, and KC – 7/44/1). They also faced three teams with weakness at the tight end position (TB – 1/16, MIA – 0/0, and LAR – 2/20 with five combined targets).

With Travis Kelce off the main slate on Sunday and T.J. Hockenson on a bye, Kittle is the highest-priced tight end. His resume on the road suggests more of a risk/reward type play with lower ownership expected. His scoring upside keeps him in play, and a higher-scoring game should increase his targets.

Mid-Tier Options

Dalton Schultz, HOU (DK – $5,000/FD – $6,200)

After his impact game (10/130/1), the Texans struggled to get Schultz…

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Week 13 Quarterback Report

November 30, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 13 NFL Quarterback Report Last week, the top-tier quarterbacks all posted impact games. Josh Allen (44.05) led the way in fantasy points in four-point passing touchdown leagues while outdueling Jalen Hurts (38.50). Dak Prescott (35.55) continued his midseason rise, […]

Week 13 NFL Quarterback Report

Last week, the top-tier quarterbacks all posted impact games. Josh Allen (44.05) led the way in fantasy points in four-point passing touchdown leagues while outdueling Jalen Hurts (38.50). Dak Prescott (35.55) continued his midseason rise, as did C.J. Stroud (33.90). Seven other quarterbacks scored between 21.00 and 29.50 fantasy points. Here are the top five quarterbacks by scoring average after 12 weeks:

Josh Allen (27.91)
Jalen Hurts (27.26)
C.J. Stroud (24.05)
Dak Prescott (23.81)
Justin Herbert (23.60)

Using our Week 13 Fantasy Football Rankings, let’s break down this week’s field in the FullTime Fantasy Week 13 NFL Quarterback Report.

Top-Tier Options

Jalen Hurts, PHI (DK – $8,200/FD – $9,000)

The passing attack for the Eagles lost momentum over their last three games (207/2, 150/0, and 200/3). But Hurts held form by his success on the ground (36/130/5). Philadelphia is in the middle of a challenging five-game run (DAL, @KC, BUF, SF, and @DAL). Hurts had a floor of 25.00 fantasy points in seven of his last eight matchups while offering three impact games (31.35, 31.55, and 38.50). Last year, the 49ers held him to 160 combined yards with one rushing touchdown.

San Francisco has the fourth-best defense (15.55 FPPG) defending quarterbacks, with three offenses (NYG – 313/2, MIN – 377/2, and CIN – 326/3) scoring more than 25.00 fantasy points. They play well vs. the run, and quarterbacks gain only 6.2 yards per pass attempt. Three teams (LAR – 24/243, MIN – 17/241/2, and CIN – 21/235/3) gained more than 200 yards with their wideouts.

Hurts has a high floor, and the Eagles need him to play well to beat the 49ers. His matchup isn’t ideal for the daily games unless the Eagles throw the ball much better. I don’t see him scoring 33.00 fantasy points, which is needed to fill his salary bucket.

C.J. Stroud, Hou (DK – $8,100/FD – $8,000)

Stroud’s success over the last four weeks (1,530/12) pushed him to third in quarterback scoring (264.50). His best play continues…

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Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 13

November 29, 2023 Jody Smith

Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 13 Last Thursday was full of food, family, and football. This week, we get back to normal with just one game. The FullTime Fantasy Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 12 breaks down the fantasy and […]

Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 13

Last Thursday was full of food, family, and football. This week, we get back to normal with just one game. The FullTime Fantasy Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 12 breaks down the fantasy and sports betting prospects for Seattle’s trip to Dallas.

The ‘traveling on short rest’ narrative doesn’t apply here since both the Seahawks and Cowboys hosted Thanksgiving games one week ago. Afforded their full week of rest, both squads were able to fully prepare for this pivotal matchup up NFC playoff contenders.

However, the Seahawks do have to contend with key injuries on offense, which gives them a huge disadvantage in taking on Dallas’ No. 2 ranked defense. Additionally, the Cowboys have been dominant at home. Dallas has won their last 13 games in Arlington and has been blowing teams away this season.

Dallas opened as 5.5-point favorites but that line quickly shot up to -9. Additionally, the total rose a point and a half to 47.

Matchup

TEAM	OFFENSE	PASS	RUSH	YDS/PLAY	POINTS
Seattle Seahawks	22	17	26	13	18
Dallas Cowboys	7	4	13	5	1

Geno Smith has regressed from the stellar numbers he posted out of nowhere last season. That’s caused the Seahawks to struggle to maintain drives and outscore opponents. Also, Seattle’s offensive line has been one of the poorest units in the league, leading to struggles rushing the ball and converting third downs (29th).

The Seahawks have also dropped three of their last four games and will once again be without star RB Kenneth Walker. That doesn’t bode well for their chances of pulling out a much-needed win against an opponent that has averaged 40 points per game at home this season.

Meanwhile, Dallas leads the NFL in scoring and has allowed the fourth-fewest points. The Cowboys rank second against the pass and look like a poor matchup for a Seattle squad starting a rookie backup running back. A fearsome pass rush combined with a play-making secondary will also cause major problems for Smith and the passing attack.

So, do the Seahawks stand a chance or are we in for another Thursday Night snoozefest?

Seattle Offense

QB Geno Smith has struggled in three of his last four games- all of which Seattle has lost. Additionally, Smith has been dealing with an elbow injury. Facing a defense that has allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points to the position doesn’t feel like a get-right spot…

How will Thursday’s Seahawks vs. Cowboys game go?

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