Written by guest contributor Shawn Childs

Matthew Stafford (DK – $6,900)

4,707 passing yards with 46 touchdowns and eight interceptions. He averaged 21.96 fantasy points per game at DraftKings. I have him projected to pass for 264 yards with 2.5 passing scores. He is the clear-cut advantage at quarterback on this slate, but a 4X outcome requires him to pass for over 300 yards with at least three touchdowns.

Puka Nacua (DK – $8,700)

The best wide receiver in the NFL caught 129 passes for 1,715 yards and 10 touchdowns with 10 rushes for 105 yards and another score. He averaged 24.63 fantasy points per game at DraftKings. His floor almost ensures that Puka is a top-three wide receiver on this slate, but playing him requires finding value at multiple other positions.

Davante Adams (DK – $6,500)

After a three-game vacation, Adams should regain his scoring ways against the Panthers. He tends to play second fiddle in targets in the LA’s offense, while being their top option at the goal line (14 TDs over 14 games). He averaged 16.14 fantasy points in DraftKings scoring.

Kyren Williams (DK – $6,400)

The Rams settled into a two-back rotation, with Williams on the field for 68.0% of their plays. He averaged 17.4 touches per game and 15.78 FPPG in DraftKings scoring, which paints only a 2X outcome.

Blake Corum (DK – $5,400)

Over the second half of the season, the Rams gave Corum a bump in playing time. Los Angeles had him on the field for 29.2% of their plays for the year, which was closer to 33% over their last nine games. He averaged 13.18 fantasy points over the Rams’ final six contests.

Bryce Young (DK – $5,000)

Over 16 games, he averaged 14.94 fantasy points in DraftKings scoring. He passed for fewer than 200 yards in 75% of his games. Despite his bleak outlook, Young offered playable value in four contests (26.30, 19.50, 34.80, and 22.50 fantasy points). He beat the Rams for 229 combined yards in Week 13 with three passing touchdowns.

Rico Dowdle (DK – $5,500)

There hasn’t been a winning sighting of Dowdle in the DFS market since Week 9. When at his best, he delivered three impact outcomes (35.40, 36.90, and 31.10 fantasy points). On the year, Dowdle averaged 13.31 FPPG in DraftKings scoring (10.70 over his last eight matchups). The Panthers had him on the field for 55.7% of their plays.

Chuba Hubbard (DK – $4,500)

Hubbard played well over his first three games (46.20 fantasy points in DraftKings scoring) while receiving 53 touches. Over his last 12 games, Carolina averaged only 6.68 fantasy points per game, with only two touchdowns.

Tetairoa McMillan (DK – $6,000)

In his rookie season, McMillan finished as the 15th-ranked wide receiver (70/1,014/7 on 122 targets). He had one impact game (12/130/2), with no other contest supporting a 4X outcome for his current salary. His ceiling would be much higher if the Panthers threw more passes (30.3 per game).

Jalen Coker (DK – $4,500)

Over his last five games, Coker delivered winning stats for his salary in three games (6/74/1, 4/60/1, and 7/47/1), with the first showing coming against the Rams. I expect him to be a popular backed wide receiver on this two-game slate.

Xavier Legette (DK – $3,300)

Legette brought more bust than boom in his second year with the Panthers. His only two playable games came in Week 7 (11/92/1) and Week 11 (8/83/1).

Tommy Tremble (DK – $2,800)

He only has 27 catches for 249 yards and two touchdowns on 37 targets this season. Tremble was only playable in two games (Week 4 – 5/42/1 and Week 18 – 3/38/1). Carolina upped his snaps over the past two weeks (77% and 90%).

Caleb Williams (DK – $5,600)

In his two games vs. the Packers, Williams scored 15.9 and 21.00 fantasy points in DraftKings scoring. He delivered a 4X outcome in six games this season (24.20, 29.10, 38.70, 25.10, 22.70, and 26.00) while delivering 17 combined touchdowns at home over eight games. His biggest strike remains his low completion rate (58.1). His floor is helped by his value in the run game (77/388/3).

Williams will have Rome Odunze back in the starting lineup, and Colston Loveland has become a factor in the passing game over the past two weeks. I view him as a live quarterback option on this slate due to his lower salary.

D’Andre Swift (DK – $5,700)

Even in a rotational role, Swift proved to be a winning value at running back this season. He averaged 14.98 FPPG in DraftKings scoring while posting five playable games (28.50, 23.80, 23.80, 22.60, and 21.90 fantasy points). On the downside, the Packers kept him out of the endzone despite running the ball well (13/63 and 13/58) with six catches for 31 yards. Chicago had him on the field for about 57% of their plays over the past five weeks.

Kyle Monangai (DK – $5,200)

Since Week 13 (22/130/1), Monangai has been a weaker link in the Bears’ run game. He gained 192 yards on 48 carries with no touchdowns while catching eight of his 13 targets for 67 yards. His fantasy ticket flashed in two other matchups (Week 7 – 17.40 and Week 9 – 25.80), with the latter coming when D’Andre Swift sat out the games vs. the Bengals.

Rome Odunze (DK – $5,800)

Even with five games off due to a foot injury, DraftKings didn’t discount Odunze’s salary on this two-game slate. He opened the year with a touchdown in his first four games (five total), but his stats had more misses than hits over his next eight starts (2/32, 2/31, 7/114, 0/0, 6/86/1, 2/41, 3/53, and 2/8), making him challenging to trust over a long layoff. Odunze has a volume skill set with scoring upside. Just by being on the field, he will help the Bears’ spacing in the passing game. I consider him a wild card this week.

DJ Moore (DK – $5,300)

The rhythm between Caleb Williams and Moore is highly frustrating. The pair made strides over in three matchups (7/64/2, 5/69/2, and 7/91) over their last seven contests. Unfortunately, his off days were disastrous (4.7, 0.6, 1.7, and 2.1 fantasy points). His season stats fell by 48 catches for 284 yards on 55 targets this year. Based on his salary, he looks overpriced, but Moore is also the player who can beat you on a short slate.

Luther Burden (DK – $4,600)

Over his last four games, Burden caught 21 of his 26 targets for 324 yards and a touchdown, with most of the damage coming in Week 17 (8/138/1). Despite his improved play, the Bears only had him on the field for 39%, 58%, and 62% of their snaps over the past three games. Chicago’s coaching staff speaks highly of him, and there is something to be said for a player who flashed over the past two weeks.

Colston Loveland (DK – $4,400)

The DFS market will gravitate toward Loveland this week after posting back-to-back exceptional games (6/94/1 and 10/91/1 on 23 combined targets). Over his last 10 games, he averaged 14.55 fantasy points in DraftKings scoring, giving him a 3X floor based on his current pricing. His best professional game came in Week 9 (6/118/2). Chicago has had him on the field for over 80% of their snaps over the past three games.

Cole Kmet (DK – $2,900)

Over his 16 games, Kmet caught only 30 passes for 347 yards and two touchdowns on 48 targets despite leading the team in tight end snaps (66.4%). He averaged two catches a game over the last seven weeks while scoring over 10.00 fantasy points once all season (3/36/1 in Week 13).

Jordan Love (DK – $5,300)

Love was knocked out of Week 16 with a concussion, leading to two missed games. He played well in Week 4 (30.30) and Week 8 (31.30) while scoring over 20.00 fantasy points in three other matchups (20.90, 25.80, and 20.30). In his first game vs. the Bears, Love passed for 234 yards and three touchdowns. On his down days, he passed for fewer than 200 yards in six games. The Packers can make big plays in the passing game, and their receiving corps is much healthier than it was earlier in the year.

Josh Jacobs (DK – $6,300)

After Week 10, Jacobs has been banged up, leading to two missed games and one limited showing. He ran the ball well down the stretch (4.5 yards per carry), but averaged only 13.3 touches per game (72/321/2 with eight catches for 45 yards and one touchdown). Over his first nine games, Jacobs averaged 19.72 FPPG in DraftKings scoring, highlighted by two impact games (31.70 and 32.00 fantasy points).

Emmanuel Wilson (DK – $5,300)

In Week 12, Wilson delivered an impact game (28/107/2 with two catches for 18 yards) in his first start in relief of Josh Jacobs. He had an active role in Week 16 (14/82) and Week 18 (18/44 with one catch for four yards). His salary is well above his RB2 opportunity.

Christian Watson (DK – $4,900)

Over his last seven games, Watson delivered four winning games (4/46/2, 4/83/1, 4/89/2, and 5/113/1) for his favorable salary. Green Bay had him on the field for only 41%, 63%, and 62% of their snaps over the last three games. In his game in Chicago, he caught only two of his six targets for 17 yards. Watson is a key player for the Packers’ passing game, while offering big play and scoring upside. He is a live option on the two-game slate.

Romeo Doubs (DK – $4,400)

From Week 4 to Week 9 over five games, Doubs was active in four games (6/58/3, 5/55, 6/72, and 7/91). His role decreased over his last eight games (21/283/2 on 33 targets) while offering fantasy value in only Week 16 (5/84/1), which came against the Bears. Chicago shut him out on two targets in Week 14. His lower salary keeps Doubs in play if he scores.

Jayden Reed (DK – $4,000)

I’ve chased Reed around multiple times this year on short slates after returning from 10 missed games. From Week 14 to Week 17, Green Bay had him on the field for 47%, 65%, 64%, and 51% of their snaps, leading to him catching 16 of his 17 targets for 162 yards with three rushes for 28 yards. I still see a 5/50 type player with a reasonable chance of scoring, putting Reed in the mix on this two-game slate.

Matthew Golden (DK – $3,700)

The best fantasy run by Golden came from Week 3 to Week 6 over three games (4/61, 5/63, and 5/102). Over his last eight games, he caught only 11 passes for 112 yards on 21 targets. Golden has never scored an NFL touchdown.

Luke Musgrave (DK – $2,600)

Green Bay gave Musgrave more targets (13) over his last three games (2/22, 4/52, and 3/38). He doesn’t have a touchdown this year.