2025 NFL Week 11 Circa Survivor Recap: Favorites Dominating Slate, Results In Minimal Eliminations
Top 5 Most Selected Teams All Emerge Victorious – Picks, Results, and Strategy Insights From The Week That Was
Written by Frank Taddeo β @RespectedMoney on X
It took nearly three full months of NFL action, but Circa Survivor players finally enjoyed a stress-free weekend as favorites dominated the slate, posting a 11-4 SU mark.
In Week 11, only 61 entrants were eliminated from winning the $18.7 million prize, as the Top Five selections all emerged victorious.
44% of the remaining pool made the Patriots, who were installed as double-digit favorites on Thursday night, the most chosen team (440). After earning a 27-14 advancement to Week 12, nearly half the contest sat back and hoped for a plethora of upsets on Sundays.
However, those desires fell short as the remaining four selections to round out the Top Five all won their matchups.
The Panthers once again proved to be the most difficult team for contestants, sports bettors and oddsmakers to figure out. After extending their run of futility when placed in the roles of favorites: 0-11 SU/ATS as a favorite (last winning Sept. 23, 2021, vs Houston, 24-9) in Week 10, the Panthers were once again installed as underdogs by the experts in the desert on Sunday against the Falcons.
Panthers win 30-27 in OT vs Falcons! Bryce Young 448 yds, 3 TDs.
β Yahoo Sports (@YahooSports) November 16, 2025
After knocking out 27.7% of those still alive last week, Carolina eliminated another 4.3% on Sunday after beating NFC South foe Atlanta for the second time this season. Third-year QB Bryce Young threw for a Panthers franchise-record 448 yards and three touchdowns, upsetting the Falcons, 30-27 in overtime, as 4.5-point road underdogs.
Circa Survivor, which drew a record-breaking $18,718,000 prize pool this year, does not require the need to cover any point spread. However, simply picking straight-up winners in the NFL is not so easy.
17,779 (94.9%) contestants are now out two weeks prior to Thanksgiving, leaving only 936 entries (5%) advancing in their quest for the life-changing grand prize.
Circa Survivor Update: Only 936 entries (5%) remain after Week 11!
β Survivor Sweat (@SurvivorSweat) November 17, 2025
On the week, favorites went 11-4 Straight-up (SU), but underdogs earned a 9-6 Against the Spread (ATS) edge. Overall, favorites maintain a sizable 110-49-1 SU (4 pick-ems) mark, while also holding a 83-76-1 ATS (52.2%) advantage. Home teams hold a 86-70-1 SU (55.1%) advantage with 7 neutral-site International games, while also owning the more coveted 82-75 ATS (52.2%) edge. Lower scoring games than expected by the experts in the desert resulted in Unders posting a 9-6 mark. Overs now hold 83-79-2 (51.2%) edge on the year.
The Circa Survivor contest is a grueling contest which forces entrants to pick one winner every week, with no spread with one pivotal caveat. Entrants CAN NOT use the same team more than once during the course of the season. Circa Survivor, which requires a $1,000 entry fee, will once again be a massive sweat for those who run deep into the season due to the massive winner-take-all prize pool.
In an early look-ahead to Week 12, it is expected that: Baltimore (-14) vs NY Jets, Seattle (-13) at Tennessee, Detroit (-10) vs NY Giants and New England (-8.5) at Cincinnati – will be among the most heavily chosen teams in the contest.
Circa Resort & Casino in Las Vegas, home to the prestigious Fantasy Football World Championship, continues to deliver world-class content from the best players to help fans win and stay informed. Stay tuned for more expert insights as the season unfolds!
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