Circa Survivor Week 7 Recap: Favorites Win 79%, Minimal Eliminations

Circa Survivor entrants enjoyed a straightforward slate in Week 7 as eight of the nine most selected teams won, resulting in only 204 entrants being eliminated.

October 21, 2025 Frank Taddeo Betting, Circa Contests, Season Long – All Sports
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Circa-Survivor-contest

Circa Survivor NFL Week 7 Recap: Favorites Dominate with 79% Win Rate, Sparing Major Contest Shakeups

Circa Survivor entrants enjoyed a straightforward slate in Week 7 as eight of the nine most selected teams (Chiefs, Patriots, Bears, Broncos, Packers, Browns, Seahawks, Lions and Panthers) all won, resulting in only 204 entrants witnessing their journey come to an end.

Written by Frank Taddeo, @RespectedMoney on X

For the third consecutive week, the Thursday night game resulted in the only real ‘upset’ of the slate, when Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers were upset 33-31, in the “Icy Hot Bowl:”. 181 competitors were eliminated when the Joe Flacco-led Bengals stunned Pittsburgh on a game-winning 36-yard field goal by Evan McPherson with only :11 seconds remaining as 6-point home underdogs.

The only other ‘mild’ upset of the week came courtesy of Daniel Jones and Colts thrashing the Chargers on the road, 38-24. The look by handicappers was spot on from an offensive perspective, as Justin Herbert threw for a career-best 420 passing yards and three touchdowns, but were done in by a leaky Los Angeles defense that gave up 94 yards and three scores on the ground to the NFL’s leading rusher Jonathan Taylor.

Circa Survivor, which drew a record-breaking $18,718,000 million prize pool this year, does not require the need to cover any point spread. However, simply picking the straight-up winner is not as easy as it appears on paper as 14,477 (77.3%) contestants are out prior to the start of Week 8, leaving only a total of 4,214 entries (22.5%) alive with dreams of glory.

Favorites finished with a 11-3 Straight-up (SU) and 9-5 Against the Spread (ATS) edge on the week. Overall, favorites maintain a sizable 77-33-1 SU (3 pick-ems) mark, while also holding a slim 54-51 ATS advantage. Home teams hold a 60-41-1 SU (59.4%) advantage with 5 neutral-site International games, while also owning the more coveted 55-48 ATS (53.4%) edge. Meanwhile, scoring picked up in Week 7, resulting in Overs cashing in 9 of 15 games. Overs now hold the small edge at 56-52 (51.9%) on the year.

The Circa Survivor contest is a grueling contest which forces entrants to pick one winner every week, with no spread with one pivotal caveat. Entrants CAN NOT use the same team more than once during the course of the season. Circa Survivor, which requires a $1,000 entry fee, will once again be a massive sweat for those who run deep into the season due to the massive winner-take-all prize pool.

In an early look-ahead to Week 8 it is expected that: Indianapolis (14) vs Tennessee, Kansas City (-11) vs Washington, Atlanta (-7) vs Miami, New England (-7) vs Cleveland, Philadelphia (-7) vs NY Giants and Buffalo (-7) at Carolina – will be among the most heavily chosen teams in the contest.

Circa Resort & Casino in Las Vegas, home to the prestigious Fantasy Football World Championship, continues to deliver world-class content from the best players to help fans win and stay informed. Stay tuned for more expert insights as the season unfolds!

About Frank Taddeo 112 Articles
Frankie is a Villanova alumni who created the first Casino Fantasy Sports program in Vegas book. He was the 2019 FFWC 10K Top Gun Champion & 2017 + 2018 Back-to-Back Top 100 Players in World Invit. Champ! He is a sports fanatic, a Vegas whisperer, and a horse racing expert handicapper!
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