WK 2 Circa Survivor Contest: ‘Crazy’ OT Dallas Victory Leads to 91% of Field Advancing
Favorites and high-scoring games dominated Week 2 of the 2025 season. The slate, which opened with a dominant Packers win over the Commanders on Thursday, saw favorites go 10-4 Straight-up (SU), with only two moderate upsets impacting the contest.
The 3,506 contestants (19.3%), who advanced with a thrilling Cowboys overtime win, experienced the ultimate sweat on Sunday afternoon.
In fact, they may want to run out and purchase a Brandon Aubrey jersey (myself included).
Aubrey became the first kicker to hit a game-tying 64-yard field goal with no time on the clock in regulation followed by the game-winning 46-yard field goal with no time left in overtime as well.
Brandon Aubrey became the first NFL player ever to convert a game-tying field goal with no time remaining in the fourth quarter and a game-winning field goal with no time remaining in overtime in the same game.
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) September 15, 2025
Meanwhile, 5,169 entries made Kyler Murray and Arizona the top selection (28.5%) to beat Carolina at home. Despite covering as 7-point underdogs, the Panthers came up just shy of pulling off the biggest upset of Week 2, falling 27-22.
Circa Survivor, which drew a record-breaking $18,718,000 prize pool this year, proved to be relatively easy for entrants to predict thanks to not needing to cover any point spread but as all NFL fans know, that won’t last for long.
The Vikings lose at home to the Falcons, clipping 355 entries.
We’ll check in with you Monday Night degens tomorrow!
#CircaSurvivor
— Survivor Sweat (@SurvivorSweat) September 15, 2025
The Seahawks 31-17 road upset over the Steelers was the biggest knock-out blow to contestants as they took out 491 entries (2.7%), followed closely by the Falcons 22-6 road upset over the Vikings eliminating another 355 contestants (2.0%).
A modest total of 720 (4.0%) of the entries were prohibited from advancing to Week 2.
Overall, favorites in Week 2 finished with a slight 8-6 Against The Spread (ATS) mark. Overall, favorite teams hold a sizable early 21-7 SU (2 pick-ems) & 15-13 ATS (53.6%) edge. Home teams hold a slight 15-14 SU lead with 1 neutral-site game (KC-LAC in Brazil), but road teams hold the coveted 15-14 ATS advantage. Meanwhile, “Under-Takers” who thrived in Week 1 finishing with a 12-4 (75%) mark, saw the tables flip in Week 2 as Overs dominated cashing to the tune of 11-3.
The Circa Survivor contest is a grueling contest which forces entrants to pick one winner every week, with no spread with one pivotal caveat. Entrants CAN NOT use the same team more than once during the course of the season. Circa Survivor, which requires a $1,000 entry fee, will once again be a massive sweat for those who run deep into the season due to the massive winner-take-all prize pool.
In an early look-ahead to Week 3 it is expected that: Buffalo (-12.5) vs Miami, Green Bay (-8) at Cleveland, Seattle (-7.5) vs New Orleans and Tampa Bay (-7) vs NY Jets – will be among the most heavily chosen teams in the contest.
Circa Resort & Casino in Las Vegas, home to the prestigious Fantasy Football World Championship, continues to deliver world-class content from the best players to help fans win and stay informed. Stay tuned for more expert insights as the season unfolds!
Follow the latest updates on X: @SurvivorSweat