Ugly seems like a good adjective to describe what we saw in Week 10. The action on the field–or rather lack of action–led to some boring games, poor plays, and a lack of fantasy production.
Those kinds of weeks always lead to us questioning our process, like anyone could have seen some of this garbage happening.
A tie- that Pittsburgh/Detroit tilt set the sport back at least two years. Jared Goff had like 11 passing yards into the third quarter. The only positive here is that neither team deserved to win, yet somehow all of us lost.
Bucs second bye – Tampa didn’t look ready to play in the first half. It’s pretty rare to see Tom Brady throw multiple first-half picks. Even worse, I was expecting the well-rested Bucs to come out and blow away the NFL’s worst secondary. True to Week 10 form, Washington win, and all the Tampa Bay fantasy options disappointed. 
No afternoon delight – After that forgettable early slate, some of the 4 PM games looked promising, but nope. The Cardinals had their worst half of the season, Chargers got little done against a vulnerable Minnesota secondary, and this appealing Packers/Seahawks contest featuring the return of both Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers–the lowest-scoring first half of the entire season. Somehow, in this cruelest of weeks, Seattle was shut out for the first time in like a decade.
Kinda wish Dwight had run one of his fire drills before this week started.
We Put the ‘Under’ in Blunder
In an effort to pull some kind of positive from the Sunday slate, I can say that bettors inclined to pick unders probably had a pretty profitable day. Some of our crack VegasWhispers.com crew in our Discord absolutely nailed those early games and made a killing.
The unders on the early slate went 4-3 but that wasn’t even half the story. How about betting unders on player props? With all that lack of fantasy production, people that like playing on the dark side must’ve cleaned up.
Only one quarterback surpassed 300 passing yards and more than half of the starters failed to even hit 200 passing yards. All with the weather playing very little factor in the mediocrity.
Only four running backs hit the century mark and two of them came in that horrible Lions/Steelers game where all forward passes looked like Pam Beasley targeting Meredith’s grill.
A mere four wideouts managed to top 100 yards, including…Gabriel Davis and Marcus Johnson? And all this on the week that Jakobi Meyers finally got into the end zone.
Let’s just hope that this was the 2021 mulligan week because we don’t need to experience another Sunday like that or I’m going to have to start penning Panic Monday every week.
Where We Were Right
We like Las Vegas QB Derek Carr quite a bit, ranking him as the QB9 for the week. Despite the ugly results of the Sunday Night game overall, Carr managed to come through, throwing for 261 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Heading into Monday, Carr sits as QB8 overall.
Many people in the industry got excited about newly-signed Tennessee RB Adrian Peterson after the 36-year-0ld veteran punched in a touchdown last week in his debut. We actually expected Peterson to lose touches to D’Onta Foreman and that’s exactly what happened. We had Peterson outside of RB3 range for the week and he’s barely hanging onto a top-50 spot with a middling outing of 20 yards on nine touches.
What looked like a head-scratcher became quite prophetic for Dallas Goedert. Our projections didn’t like the matchup for Goedert traveling to Denver and he was outside of our top-20 tight ends for the week. Granted, Goedert left the game in the first quarter with an injury, but it’s hard to find many victories in a week that was this whacky.
Where We Were Wrong
It became evident pretty early on that Week 10 was going to be one of those weeks. Quarterback was pretty rough…no way to sugarcoat that. Justin Herbert was projected as a top-3 option but ended up being outscored by Mason Rudolph and Tua Tagovailoa- who wasn’t even supposed to play. Tom Brady was also a big disappointment coming off of a bye and facing the league’s worst pass defense.
That lingering shin injury and lack of usage for Antonio Gibson finally led to us dropping him well out of RB2 range. A big part of that was the opponent, as Tampa Bay had managed to make it extremely hard for opponents to run the ball. Gibson earned 26 touches, scored twice, and enters Monday as the RB7.
Can we just say Seahawks? Huge miss on that Seattle/Green Bay tilt. I expected Russell Wilson to return and breathe some life into the Seahawks offense, which led to rather generous projection for Wilson, DK Metcalf, and Tyler Lockett. In true Week 10 fashion, we instead go one of the worst performances of Wilson’s career and the Seahawks got blanked. Nope. Don’t like that.
Shout out to Scott. You got this, boss!
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