Fantasy Football: Week 10 Thursday Night Preview (Chargers vs. Raiders)

In this Week 10 Thursday Night Football Preview, senior fantasy football expert Dr. Roto runs down the viability of the game's fantasy stars.

Derek Carr, Phillip Rivers
Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Daily Dr. Roto—November 7, 2019

Week 10 Thursday Night Preview

Quarterbacks

Philip Rivers, Los Angeles Chargers

The Raiders have been incredibly generous all season long to quarterbacks, ranking second-worst against them statistically. Just last week, Lions QB Matthew Stafford threw for over 400 yards and looked like he could have thrown for even more. The Raiders lost DE Arden key to a season ending injury this week which should only help give Rivers more time to set up the play-action pass to Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. The Chargers have played well for the last two weeks and the Raiders sad-sack defense comes at a good time for them.

Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders

Carr has been much better than expected this season. Originally, I thought he was a poor fit for Gruden’s offense, but he seems to have come around and can make the necessary throws. I don’t expect a big game from Carr tonight as the Raiders always look to run the football first and they should have some initial success tonight. Carr could get some late garbage points, but I think he is looking at a night of 240 passing yards and a TD which is just not good enough QB production.





Running Backs

Melvin Gordon, Los Angeles Chargers

The one thing the Raiders do well on defense is stop the run. Regardless, look for the Chargers to use Gordon in the first quarter to see if the loss of Raiders DE Arden Key makes their front seven softer against the run. If the Raiders hold tough, the Chargers will be forced to abandon the run and use their passing attack, which is what I expect will happen.  Once that occurs, Gordon’s numbers will plummet as he will see fewer snaps.

Austin Ekeler, Los Angeles Chargers

If the Raiders contain Melvin Gordon, the Chargers will abandon their running attack and it will be interesting to see how their new offensive coordinator uses Ekeler. What we know for a fact is that Ekeler needs 10-15 touches per game to thrive and that he is a must start each week based on his immense upside.

Josh Jacobs, Oakland Raiders

Oakland Raiders RB Josh Jacobs

I was utterly shocked last week when the Chargers run defense shut down the Packers running game. The three previous weeks before the Chargers were awful against Pittsburgh, Tennessee, and Chicago. For sure, Jon Gruden is going to challenge the Chargers run defense by running Jacobs as much as possible. The Chargers are going to have to go all-in to slow him down, as Jacobs is becoming a major threat. For sure, fantasy owners need to start Jacobs tonight, but truthfully, I think there is a great deal of variance as to his potential outcomes. He could run for 120 yards and 2 TDs if the Chargers defense doesn’t come to play, or he could run for 34 yards and zero TDs if they play as well as they did last week.

Wide Receivers

Keenan Allen, Los Angeles Chargers

It seems as if we are in the midst of a Keenan Allen disappearing act. How is this possible? I am not quite sure. I know that Allen was not 100% healthy a few weeks ago, but I thought he was over his injury issues. Perhaps there is more to it that the team is willing to let on? Assuming he is healthy, Rivers needs to do a MUCH better job of going to Allen. In fact, Allen has not had more than 61 yards receiving since Week 3 this season. I have a good feeling about the Chargers passing game tonight and I would use Allen confidently in all formats.

Mike Williams, Los Angeles Chargers

Prior to the season I would have told you that Williams was a lock to score 10 TDs. Well, it’s now Week 10 and you know how many TDs he has scored? Zero! Well, I think that changes on Thursday night. Williams had a great week (111 receiving yards) with Packers CB Jaire Alexander covering him, and this week he will see the generous Raiders secondary who gave up 100-yard receiving games to both Marvin Jones and Kenny Golladay. Williams feels like a pregnant lady who is so due that she is ready to burst. Feel free to plug him into all lineups and watch him finally cross the goal line. 

Tyrell Williams, Oakland Raiders

Williams is going to see a ton of Pro-Bowl CB Casey Heyward which is never a good thing for Fantasy production. He could have some late game garbage production, but I might look elsewhere if you have other options. 

Zay Jones, Oakland Raiders

In the two weeks since he’s been activated, Jones has slowly been integrated into the Raiders offense. He has six targets in the last two games, and although he hasn’t had huge production, it’s obvious that the team needs him on the field, and he will slowly ramp up his numbers. With Heyward draped all over Tyrell Williams, this might be the perfect chance for Jones to step up and make a play. I wouldn’t play him liberally in seasonal formats (unless you have BYE week issues), but he could be an interesting DFS option.

Hunter Renfrow, Oakland Raiders

I loved Renfrow coming out of Clemson, and was taking him in Rounds 19-20 of most of my drafts this season. However, he got off to a horrible start and I dropped him weeks ago for lack of production. The last two weeks, however, have been a completely different story as Renfrow has broken out and given the Raiders two huge performances. That said, I think we need to temper expectations and put things into perspective. Against Houston, he broke off one huge unexpected play. Against Detroit, Renfrow dominated the worst slot cover CB in the league. What I am thinking here is that playing Renfrow is not a bad idea, but it feels like you are chasing his recent production.

Tight Ends

Hunter Henry, Los Angeles Chargers

Statistically speaking, the Raiders are the second worst-team against opposing tight ends. This should mean another big performance for Hunter Henry. After missing four weeks earlier in the season, Henry has been on fire with 33 targets in the last four games. Fire him up on Thursday night as he should have 6 catches for 80 yards and a great chance at a TD.

Darren Waller, Oakland Raiders

Waller has been held in check for the past two games, as teams have been using much tighter coverage on him. With 4 receptions for 63 yards in those two games, Carr has been forced to look elsewhere for production. That said, I will start Waller for sure in seasonal formats, but I might fade him in DFS Showdown slates in case the Chargers commit to stopping him and leaving other receivers open.


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2021 Dynasty Rookie ADP

Najee Harris, Alabama Running Back

Enjoy Startup Draft Advanced ADP! We are tracking startup draft results from our high-stakes DFWC leagues which has created our Advanced ADP numbers!

Rookie drafts are rolling in from the Dynasty Football World Championship so we are happy to provide our Rookie Draft Advanced ADP. Please click the link below to view the rookie drafts’ results compiled to show you the average draft positions! Below you can also find links to claim a Dynasty orphan or hop into a brand new Dynasty startup.

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Superflex Dynasty Rookie Rankings – Round One

SuperFlex leagues are becoming more popular each year with the glut of the position of quarterback becomes more prevalent across the fantasy landscape. Seems every team even in 12 team leagues has 2 quality options to choose from on most non-bye weeks. Superflex allows you to flex that muscle of QB depth rather than wasting […]

SuperFlex leagues are becoming more popular each year with the glut of the position of quarterback becomes more prevalent across the fantasy landscape. Seems every team even in 12 team leagues has 2 quality options to choose from on most non-bye weeks. Superflex allows you to flex that muscle of QB depth rather than wasting away on your bench. Here are our post NFL Draft SuperFlex Dynasty Rookie Rankings for your upcoming 2021 Dynasty Rookie Drafts. Clicking on a player’s name will open his scouting profile we posted to FFToolbox.

1. Trevor Lawrence, QB – Jaguars

Lawrence is a no-brainer at the top of any quarterback premium formats. He enters the NFL with top-10 dynasty value at his position and will be in position to further improve upon that value. The Urban Meyer-led offense is sneakily loaded with playmakers who will flourish under the arm talent of Lawrence. Expect DJ Chark and Marvin Jones to man the outside while second-year breakout candidate Laviska Shenault operates out of the slot. The dangerous tandem of Travis Etienne and James Robinson will provide a nice security blanket out of the backfield. Fire away with Lawrence at 1.01.

2. Justin Fields, QB – Bears

Despite being the fourth quarterback taken in the NFL draft, Justin Fields sits just below Lawrence at second overall due to his combination of elite arm and leg talent. Once the Bears bench Andy Dalton after four games, Fields will step in and immediately pay dividends for fantasy owners. A Dak Prescott-like rookie season is within reach with Allen Robinson and Darnell Mooney being a thunder and lightning duo on the outside. Matt Nagy’s play calling will improve with the rookie phenom at the helm of the offense.

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Dynasty and Superflex Rookie Quarterbacks Outlook

In fantasy, an anchor at the Quarterback position is underrated. Many think you can just get one off the waiver wire, but having an Andrew Luck on your team proved to be quite valuable in years’ past. Is Trevor Lawrence worth a premium pick in your rookie draft? What about in Superflex? Who’s the #2 […]

Let’s take a deeper dive with our NFL Scouting Analyst Riley Bymaster and specifically look at it from a fantasy perspective with player comparisons and projected dynasty average draft position for your upcoming rookie drafts.

Trevor Lawrence – Clemson / 6’6″ – 213 lbs

After three years of wrecking the NCAA, our golden boy is finally entering the NFL. Lawrence holds one of the most impressive resumes in recent memory and looks to continue his success at the next level.

Lawrence brings his tall, skinny frame with hopes of adding muscle mass before facing off against NFL defenders. He is a polished passer, showing excellent accuracy and ball placement to all levels of the field. He has good arm strength and will not struggle to drive the ball down field. Lawrence is a great athlete who will not be afraid to tuck and run when the play breaks down, which adds an extra plus-element to his future fantasy value. Though he has been deemed a so-called generational prospect, Lawrence does need improvements in multiple aspects of his game. Disguised coverages can throw him off course and force ill-advised throws. His delivery and release can be a bit too long and slowz which could be problematic sooner than later. Lawrence remains one of the best quarterbacks to enter the league in the last decade, and he has a great chance to solidify himself as such.

  • Grade: High-end starter – pocket passer
  • Draft Projection: 1st Overall
  • Projected DFWC ADP: 9th or 10th pick aggressively, no later than early 2nd. In Superflex he’s the #1 Rookie pick overall. 
  • Comparison: Justin Herbert
  • Bottom Line: Lawrence is the 1.01 in any superflex or 2QB formats, even if you’re not a believer. Worst case, he will perform at a low-end QB1 level for years to come.

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Dynasty Rookie Tight Ends Outlook

kyle_pitts

Rookie tight end is a deeper than expected class this year which includes an elite can’t miss prospect, but what does that mean for dynasty rookie drafts in the Dynasty Football World Championships? Let’s take a deeper dive into the NFL rookie class of 2021 tight ends. Kyle Pitts – Florida / 6’6″ – 245 […]

Rookie tight end is a deeper than expected class this year which includes an elite can’t miss prospect, but what does that mean for dynasty rookie drafts in the Dynasty Football World Championships? Let’s take a deeper dive into the NFL rookie class of 2021 tight ends.

Kyle Pitts – Florida / 6’6″ – 245
Pitts is an athletic freak who is able to work in-line, in the slot, and outside the numbers. He will be a gigantic mismatch in the red zone by using his size and massive catch radius. With excellent body control and ability to adjust to back-shoulder throws, Pitts will be impossible to cover man-to-man. He holds his own as a blocker and does surprisingly well creating lanes in the run game. Though he shows the potential to be a high-end weapon, Pitts is not a can’t-miss prospect. He struggles to separate against man coverage and isn’t a fluid athlete, albeit difficult to fully coordinate a 6’6″ frame. He often double-clutches the ball, which will allow defenders an extra chance to break up the play.

  • Grade: High-end starter
  • Comparison: Jimmy Graham
  • NFL Draft Projection: 1st
  • Projected DFWC ADP: Mid 1st Round 
  • Bottom Line: Pitts has the ability to be a high-end, pass-catching tight end should he improve his route fluidity. He’s far from a generational player, but he will be a Noah Fant-level weapon for years to come. Ease the hype just a bit, folks.

Pat Freiermuth – Penn State / 6’5″ – 245

Freiermuth is an all-around player who will excel as a blocker just as much as a receiver. He has a strong, well-balanced frame to help engage and hold blocks with ease. Freiermuth is comfortable hitting the seam and is tough to bring down with the ball in his hands. He tracks the ball well but needs to come down with a higher percentage of contested catches. His speed is slightly above average, but he wins in all other facets. Knowing when and where to sit down in coverage is a plus and will benefit his NFL quarterback almost immediately. Once he refines his route running and boosts his confidence in his hands, watch out for the Freiermuth explosion.

  • Grade: High-end starter
  • Comparison: (reserved for members only)
  • Draft Projection: (reserved for members only)
  • Projected DFWC ADP (reserved for members only)

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