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Senior Fantasy Football Expert Shawn Childs breaks down and forecasts the top players from the biggest colleges in the nation! In this edition, he takes a look at Keenan Allen and four other former Golden Bears! Stay tuned for more College Football Player Breakdowns!
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WR Keenan Allen – After two injury-plagued years, Allen finally had a chance to show his full-season value to Fantasy owners. He set a career high in catches over 20 yards (18) and 40 yards (4) leading to 102 catches for 1,393 yards and six TDs. In 2017, Keenan had seven games with over 100 yards receiving highlighted by a special four-game stretch over the second half of the year (12/159/2, 11/172/1, 10/105/1, and 6/111). Over his last seven games, Allen had 58 catches for 797 yards and five TDs on 79 targets. His success over eight games in 2015 (67/725/4) supports Keenan final stats while also showcasing another level in the game. His next step is finding a way to produce more scoring value. In 2018, Allen has a chance to push his way to 120+ catches for 1,500+ yards with mid-level TDs. Great foundation WR who will offer steady value from week-to-week while owning explosiveness as well in the right matchups.
RB C.J. Anderson – Over the last two seasons, Anderson has been a trap for Fantasy owners due to his best opportunity coming in Week 1 (2016 – 139 combined yards with two TDs and four catches on 24 touches and 2017 – 88 combined yards with a catch on 21 touches) and Week 2 (2016 – 93 combined yards with one TD and three catches on 23 touches and 2017 – 154 combined yards with two TDs and three catches on 28 touches). Over his other 19 games over the last two years, C.J. had four other games with over 100 combined yards and five games with 20 touches or more. On the downside, Anderson had 11 games over this stretch with fewer than 50 yards rushing. In 2017, he had his first season with over 1,000 yards rushing (1,007) with a career-high in touches (273) and combined yards (1,231). C.J. has 14 TDs over his last 38 games. There is no doubt Anderson will see plenty of touches on early downs, and he will pick up a few catches. I expect between 200 and 225 touches for 900+ yards with 20 catches and about five TDs. At best, he’s a low upside RB4 in PPR leagues unless McCaffrey has an injury.
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QB Jared Goff – Over seven games as a starter in his rookie season, Goff never passed for over 235 yards in any game with his highlight game coming with his three passing TDs in Week 12 at New Orleans. He finished the year with a poor completion rate (54.6) while tossing five TDs and seven Ints. Last year his game made a huge step forward leading to an 11-5 record over 15 games with 3,804 yards passing and 28 TDs. His yards per completion (12.9) led the NFL, and it showcased his ability to get the ball downfield in the deep passing game. His best stat of the year was his low total in interceptions (7). Jared offers minimal value on the ground (28/51/1). Last year he threw for over 300 yards in five games plus four games with three TDs or more. Even with his high level of success, Goff averaged only 31.8 pass attempts per game. His overall weapons in the passing game should be improved with Brandin Cooks added to the roster while replacing Sammy Watkins. With the development in Cooper Kupp and some growth in the value of his TEs, Jared has a chance to push his way to 4,500+ yards with 30+ TDs. His upside in TDs will be limited with success of Todd Gurley scoring rushing TDs in the red zone. I’d prefer Goff as an upside QB2 just in case he takes off while understanding he’s going to have matchup value again in 2018. Last season Jared finished as the 12th highest scoring QB the World Championship scoring.
WR Marvin Jones – Jones rewarded Fantasy owners with a great season (61/1101/9) while being a value on draft day. He gained an impressive 18.0 yards per catch, which pushed his two year total to 17.5 yards in Detroit. Over his last 47 games, Marvin has 313 targets with growth in his yards each season. Jones had five strong games (6/128, 7/107/2, 4/85/1, 6/109/2, and 4/90) over a six-game stretch midseason. The Lions barely looked his way over the first four games of the year (8/130/2 on 18 targets) and the last four games of the season (13/280/1 on 19 targets). His down games leave more room for growth with better consistency from week-to-week. Marvin had 20 catches for 20 yards or more with six catches gaining over 40 yards. Jones is motivated to get better, and he can be a matchup problem when facing questionable cornerback play. His next step points to 70+ catches for 1,100+ yards and about seven TDs.
Most Accurate Draft Rankings from 2017
1) @allinkid
2) @AllieFontana
3) @jasonffl
4) @The_Oddsmaker
5) @WazNFL
6) @Fitz_FF
7) @jaywrong
8) @ScoutFantasy
9) @FFHitman
10) @FF_Wheeler pic.twitter.com/Hm4yMqcKea— FantasyPros (@FantasyPros) July 6, 2018
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RB Marshawn Lynch – After sitting out in 2016, Lynch delivered 1,042 combined yards last year with seven TDs and 20 catches while receiving 227 touches. He missed one game due to suspension while earning an early exit in another game for the same incident. Marshawn played his best ball over the last six games of the season (598 combined yards with three TDs and 13 catches) while averaging 20.5 touches per game. He’ll start the year at age 32 with some questions with his opportunity, and upside with Doug Martin added to the roster. Last season the Raiders’ RBs combined for 2,111 yards with 15 TDs and 87 catches. Lynch is still the best RB on the roster on early downs. I expect 250+ touches for 1,100+ yards with a chance at double-digit TDs and 20+ catches. His best value will come when Oakland plays from the lead. More of a matchup player while projecting as RB3 in PPR leagues.
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