Game Theory Archives - FullTime Fantasy

Dr. Roto Podcast – Tuesday, May 22

May 22, 2018 Dr. Roto

Dr. Roto delves into Fantasy game theory to help you win big! […]

2025 Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet
February 21, 2025
2025 Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet Fantasy Baseball championships are won on draft or auction day. FullTime Fantasy‘s 2025 Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet gives you insight into the top 15 players at every position with a deeper dive into the outfield […]
2025 Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet
Fantasy Baseball championships are won on draft or auction day. FullTime Fantasy's 2025 Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet gives you insight into the top 15 players at every position with a deeper dive into the outfield and pitching. Additionally, Shawn also provides rankings at DH and the game's top set-up relievers. This Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet is courtesy of Shawn Childs. Read Shawn’s expert fantasy analysis at his Substack. These Rankings will be updated throughout Spring Training.
I grouped players in sets of 15 based on early ADPs from the National Fantasy Baseball Championship (NFBC). Once I began this process, I maintained a consistent ADP timeframe to avoid missing any players who might rise into a higher tier due to shifts in draft trends.
- After analyzing 15 players at a position by their ADP, I reranked them based on my research. While I documented only 15 players per infield position, there are cases where I prefer an unresearched player from outside this group. For example, Masyn Winn currently ranks 15th among shortstops in NFBC ADP, but I haven’t yet completed his player profile. Once I do, he’ll likely move up.
- For outfielders and starting pitchers, I expanded the analysis to 75 players per position. I didn’t move players between tiers to maintain consistency in the rankings. For instance, in my second tier of 15 starting pitchers, I elevated Hunter Brown to SP31 but kept him within that tier rather than bumping him up. I expect him to rise once spring training begins, but I didn’t want to disrupt the structure with excessive reshuffling.
- ADP research helps track market trends—who’s gaining or losing value? However, a falling ADP doesn’t always signal a bargain, just as a rising ADP doesn’t guarantee success. Public sentiment is often news-driven, with the fantasy market overreacting in some cases and overlooking key details in others. The best approach? Draft the players you believe in and capitalize on undervalued assets when your analysis differs from the consensus.
- DHs and Closers: I haven’t written about DHs yet (other than Shohei Ohtani, whom I categorized as OF1). This week, I’m focusing on team bullpens, but I haven’t completed my research on closers ranked 16-30. While I included them by ADP, I removed handcuff options and placed them in a closer-in-waiting tier (yet to be ranked).
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