brock purdy
Season Long – All Sports

Jody Smith’s 2025 Draft Targets

They say the early bird gets the worm. I’m one of the earlier analysts to post my 2025 fantasy football rankings, but the value in those picks has eroded. I’m the only ranker who finished inside the top 4 last […]

They say the early bird gets the worm. I’m one of the earlier analysts to post my 2025 fantasy football rankings, but the value in those picks has eroded. I’m the only ranker who finished inside the top 4 last season that has posted rankings, so maybe it’s a correlation, or the market figuring it out. Regardless, I’ve been at it for months and have accumulated Jody Smith’s 2025 Draft Targets that I’m in on this season.

Most of the drafts I have done are analyst/expert drafts, which are different than home leagues. But, these draft targets are the players I want to walk away from every draft rostering. Even if it means I target them a round ahead of their current ADP.

These are ‘my guys’ that I’m currently higher on than their consensus rankings.

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Quarterbacks 

Brock Purdy (San Francisco 49ers)

The 49ers fell off after an NFC Championship in 2023. However, looking at the preseason odds, Vegas thinks the Niners will rebound. Wtb 9.5 wins, San Francisco is projected to win the NFC West and has the 8th-highest Super Bowl odds. This team is projected to be good, and Brock Purdy is the perfect fit in Kyle Shanahan’s offense. I’ve had Purdy as high as my QB6, significantly higher than his QB11 ADP.

Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) 

Herbert battled injuries throughout the 2024 season but still posted QB1 numbers. The additions of Tre’ Harris and Keenan Allen give Herbert an upgraded supporting cast, but the loss of Rashawn Slater will have a negative impact. Still, I think Herbert is a good value with a good shot at posting top-10 fantasy numbers. Additionally, the Chargers have a very favorable strength of schedule for Herbet to exploit.

Drake Maye (New England Patriots)

There is a lot of buzz about Maye, as the Patriots are moving in the right direction. That starts with coaching and playing for Josh McDaniels should be a boon for Maye’s dual-threat skill set. Maye is a dark horse to lead all quarterbacks in rushing. He also has top-10 upside…

 

WHO ELSE IS JODY HIGH ON THIS YEAR?

FIND OUT WHO HIS 2025 DRAFT TARGETS ARE

 

 

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JSN Seattle Seahawks
DFS

The Data-Driven Edge

The Data-Driven Edge The Data-Driven Edge: Using Vegas Betting Markets to Help You Dominate In Fantasy Football by Frank Taddeo Incorporating player proposition betting markets into my yearly projections has played an integral role in becoming the No. 1-ranked high-stakes […]

The Data-Driven Edge

The Data-Driven Edge: Using Vegas Betting Markets to Help You Dominate In Fantasy Football

by Frank Taddeo

Incorporating player proposition betting markets into my yearly projections has played an integral role in becoming the No. 1-ranked high-stakes season-long fantasy football player in Las Vegas. My draft model, which came into existence while working for one of the most prominent Vegas sportsbooks back in 2010, enables me to possess a data-driven edge when making key informed decisions. The player proposition betting markets reflect expert analysis, statistical models, and market trends on player performance expectations. 

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Vegas Markets Can Provide An Unbiased Edge…

 

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Season Long – All Sports

Top 10 Fantasy Football Handcuffs (2024)

Top 10 Fantasy Football Handcuffs (2024) No position is as volatile or susceptible to injuries as running backs. Part of building a competitive fantasy football roster is to include an insurance policy. Targeting those handcuff running backs is a viable […]

Top 10 Fantasy Football Handcuffs (2024)

No position is as volatile or susceptible to injuries as running backs. Part of building a competitive fantasy football roster is to include an insurance policy. Targeting those handcuff running backs is a viable strategy and safety net.

With so many teams employing committee backfields, selecting your early-round running back’s direct backup makes sense. Whether you play in redraft, bestball, or in high-stakes leagues, knowing the fantasy-relevant handcuff running backs is crucial.

Here are the top 10 fantasy football handcuffs (2024) to target this summer.

 

 

David Montgomery (Detroit Lions)

Jahmyr Gibbs is now the top running back in Detroit. However, Montgomery has standalone value as a very good RB2. Montgomery will see 15-plus touches per week and will retain a healthy percentage of Detroit’s red-zone touches. The only problem for Gibbs managers would be ensuring their investment by having to target Montgomery in the fourth or fifth round. Subsequently, Montgomery is the ideal ‘anti-handcuff’ target for drafters trying to…

 

WHAT OTHER RUNNING BACK HANDCUFFS SHOULD FANTASY DRAFTERS TARGET IN 2024 FANTASY FOOTBALL DRAFTS?

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Check out the latest FullTime Fantasy Consensus 2024 Fantasy Football Rankings

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Season Long – All Sports

2024 Seattle Seahawks Fantasy Preview

2024 Seattle Seahawks Fantasy Preview Seattle took a step back in 2023 after finishing 11th in total yards (351.5) and 9th in points per game (23.9). They fell to 21st (322.9) in total yards per game and 17th in points […]

2024 Seattle Seahawks Fantasy Preview

Seattle took a step back in 2023 after finishing 11th in total yards (351.5) and 9th in points per game (23.9). They fell to 21st (322.9) in total yards per game and 17th in points (21.4).

So why the regression? Look no further than Geno Smith’s production. Smith (3,624/20/9) went from the fifth highest-scoring fantasy quarterback in 2022 to dropping to 19th after seeing a decrease of 79 fantasy points from one season to the next. Smith is currently penciled in as the starter entering 2024. However, the Seahawks added insurance in trading for Sam Howell, who was more productive in fantasy, producing 43 more fantasy points than Smith despite turning the ball over 23 times.

DK Metcalf (66/1,114/8) led all Seahawk pass catchers and likely would have finished higher than WR21 if he had caught more than 55% of the targets he had seen. Metcalf retains value heading into 2024, as he was the team’s go-to option in the red zone. Metcalf remains a solid fantasy option with 16 end zone targets (fourth-most among receivers) and a receiving touchdown market share of 38.1% (14th).

Tyler Lockett is also returning for another season after seeing 122 targets last year, resulting in 894 yards and 79 receptions. Lockett’s production on the field led to 202 fantasy points and a WR32 finish, making him an ideal target as your third or fourth receiver.

Expect Jaxon Smith-Njigba (63/628/4) to take a step forward this season after showing signs of a breakout in 2023. Between weeks 7 and 16, the rookie posted a top-40 scoring week in seven of those ten contests, giving him a lovely floor as a flex option. With a current ADP of 105 (WR43), Smith-Njigba is worth a roster spot and if Lockett or Metcalf were to miss time due to injury, then you could have a league-winner on your hands.

At running back, Seattle is expected to use Kenneth Walker (219/905/8) and Zach Charbonnet (108/462/1) as a duo, with Walker again in line for the lion’s share of the touches out of the backfield. Walker should be viewed as an RB2 in fantasy. If either back misses time, the other will certainly have the opportunity to ascend into RB1 status.

Noah Fant (32/414/0) is looking to bounce back from the worst season of his career in yards, receptions, and touchdowns. However, the best may long be behind him at this point.

Quarterbacks

After a career year in 2022, Smith saw a precipitous drop in play last year. The decline of the offensive line played a big part, as Smith was pressured more and had less time to throw. Despite the addition of second-round G Christian Haynes, Seattle’s front-five looks like a bottom-10 unit. Additionally, Seattle will be breaking in a new defensive-minded head coach and an offensive coordinator with no NFL play-calling experience. And there is added competition in the form of Sam Howell. The Seahawks have a solid supporting cast, giving some hope that Smith can rekindle some of the 2022 magic. But with the fourth-lowest win total projection, this is shaping up to be another tough season in Seattle. ADVICE: Low-end QB2.

ADVICE: Geno Smith faltered last season. If he continues to struggle, Howell could be given a shot to right the ship. A reserve to stash in Superflex…

[…]

Christian McCaffrey
Season Long – All Sports

2024 San Francisco 49ers Fantasy Preview

2024 San Francisco 49ers Fantasy Preview Throughout the 2024 offseason, there have been more rumors surrounding the San Francisco 49ers receiver room than a Fleetwood Mac album. Brock Purdy (4,280/31/11) is banking on the availability of Deebo Samuel and Brandon […]

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