Articles by Jody Smith

About Jody Smith

With over a decade of winning experience, Jody is a well-known fixture in the fantasy football community. He was named Fantasy Pros’ **Most Accurate Ranker** previously and was the site’s Top NFL over/under totals picker with a record 65% accuracy in 2020, while also ranking 5th in the country with a 55% against-the-spread hit rate. Jody has written for many sites over the years including Pro Football Focus, FantasyPros, CBS Sportsline, FantasyData, and is a regular contributor to the Fantasy Index magazine expert’s poll, draft, and auction. Jody’s experience ranking and projecting player performance will help prepare the Fulltime Fam for their big draft days as well as answers they can trust on Sunday for those ever crucial Who Do I Start questions.

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 5

October 3, 2022 Jody Smith

With four games in the books, it’s doubtful anyone has escaped the rash of injuries and disappointing starts. With so many first-rounders underperforming or unavailable, the Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 5 has never been more important. Here are the […]

Here are the top fantasy-relevant, low-rostered free agents to target ahead of Week 5, with FAAB recommendations.

FAAB denotes Free Agent Acquisition Budget

Mike Boone (RB) Denver Broncos (15% FAAB) – Melvin Gordon would be the obvious add but he is rostered in three-quarters of ESPN leagues. Gordon also saw himself benched after another costly fumble. That opened the door for Boone to average 6.7 yards per carry against the Raiders in relief of Javonte Williams. Boone also ran 12 routes to Gordon’s 5. Williams’s season is over with a serious knee injury, so Boone should be a priority add in all formats.

Raheem Mostert (RB) Miami Dolphins (13% FAAB) – Now rostered in 53% of ESPN leagues, Mostert took a real step towards being Miami’s best fantasy RB. He out-snapped Chase Edmonds 46-18 and had 10 more opportunities in Cincinnati. Edmonds will remain involved in the passing game but for now, Mostert looks like the better overall fantasy asset.

What other fantasy football free agents should you bid on?

To finish reading this content… use PROMO CODE – SLEEPER22 to save 22% off our 6-MONTH MEMBERSHIP and

GO PRO! Join FullTime Fantasy.

[…]

Fantasy Football Recap Week 4

October 2, 2022 Jody Smith

With four games in the books, we have a pretty good idea of who the teams are at this point. […]

Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 4

September 29, 2022 Jody Smith

FullTime Fantasy is your home for accurate fantasy football rankings. With the reigning No. 1 draft ranker and former No. 1 in-season ranker, FullTime Fantasy members get access to the top fantasy football rankings each and every week. This is […]

Rankings You Can Trust

With the reigning Most Accurate Draft Ranker on staff teaming with the former Most Accurate In-Season Ranker, FullTime Fantasy Members know they’re going to get the very best fantasy football rankings and analysis all year long! Members get access to both Billy’s and Jody’s private player ranking cheatsheets as well as player projections which can be customized for your specific league scoring and lineup settings.

Additionally, Billy and Jody also co-host the FullTime Fantasy Podcast, which is live streamed every week on Youtube. The guys are also active in the FullTime Fantasy Discord channel, helping answer all fantasy and sports betting inquiries all year long, specifically on Sunday mornings and Friday nights.

To see Billy and Jody’s Weekly Fantasy Football Rankings

GO PRO! Join FullTime Fantasy.

To see Billy and Jody’s Weekly Fantasy Football Rankings requires a FullTime Fantasy Membership or DFS Optimizer Membership.

[…]

Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 4

September 29, 2022 Jody Smith

The Thursday night tilt from last week was as uneventful as we anticipated. Fortunately, things are looking up again with our Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 4 contest between the Bengals and AFC’s last unbeaten squad, the Miami Dolphins. Uncertainty […]

Uncertainty surrounds Miami as their star quarterback is listed as questionable after an ugly “back” injury he returned from in Week 3.

For the defending AFC champions, they’ll debut their all-white jerseys and helmets but need to figure out how to revamp an offense that enters this game last in yards per play and 20th overall.

Matchup

TEAM	OFFENSE	PASS	RUSH	YDS/PLAY	POINTS
Miami Dolphins	13	4	31	2	8
Cincinnati Bengals	20	14	20	32	10

The Dolphins are no strangers to establishing a potent offense. In 2021, Miami ranked 7th in offensive pace but that has surprisingly fallen off under Mike McDaniel. His club enters Week 4 ranked 28th with just 55.7 offensive plays per game…

How will tonight’s Dolphins vs Bengals game go?

To read our Thursday Night Preview requires a FullTime Fantasy Membership -or– DFS Optimizer Membership.

GO PRO! Join FullTime Fantasy.

[…]

Fantasy Football Injury Rundown

September 27, 2022 Jody Smith

We learned quite a bit in Week 3. It is starting to feel like players are who they are at […]

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 4

September 26, 2022 Jody Smith

Looking back on Week 3, it feels like it was a remarkable slate of games. Mostly for the wrong reasons. The Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 4 is one of the best ways fantasy managers can improve their odds at […]

Looking back on Week 3, it feels like it was a remarkable slate of games. Mostly for the wrong reasons. The Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 4 is one of the best ways fantasy managers can improve their odds at winning this week and for the remainder of the season.

Here are the top fantasy-relevant, low-rostered free agents to target ahead of Week 4, with FAAB recommendations.

FAAB denotes Free Agent Acquisition Budget

Khalil Herbert (RB) Chicago Bears (65% FAAB) – Without definite word on the right knee injury to David Montomery, be prepared to go “all in” for Khalil Herbert. Montgomery appeared to twist his knee awkwardly, which often means MCL or PCL damage. It could also be a severe high-ankle sprain. Regardless, it looks like Chicago’s starter will be sidelined for several games and Herbert flashed his RB1 upside. After Montgomery’s exit, Herbert did something Montgomery has never done in the NFL- rushed for 157 yards and two scores. Chicago’s anemic passing attack is historically bad, which means Herbert could see a significant workload for multiple weeks. Be prepared to make a substantial waiver claim, but you just might land an RB1 for the next month or longer.

Jamaal Williams (RB) Detroit Lions (55% FAAB) – We’ve been on Williams since this summer, so he’s probably not available in your league. However, he is unrostered in over half of ESPN leagues. Williams already has stand alone weekly value. But, with D’Andre Swift now slated to miss at least two games

What other fantasy football free agents should you bid on?

To finish reading this content… use PROMO CODE – SLEEPER22 to save 22% off our 6-MONTH MEMBERSHIP and

GO PRO! Join FullTime Fantasy.

[…]

Fantasy Football Recap Week 3

September 25, 2022 Jody Smith

When you looked at this week’s schedule, there was some hope that we’d see a big uptick in fantasy scoring. […]

Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 3

September 22, 2022 Jody Smith

Rankings You Can Trust

To see Billy and Jody’s Weekly Fantasy Football Rankings

GO PRO! Join FullTime Fantasy.

To see Billy and Jody’s Weekly Fantasy Football Rankings requires a FullTime Fantasy Membership or DFS Optimizer Membership.

[…]

Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 3

September 21, 2022 Jody Smith

After opening 2022 with a pair of high-octane Thursday night games, here are the Steelers and Browns to cool the scoring off. While we may not see a shootout, our Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 3 still thinks there are […]

Cleveland just blew a fourth-quarter lead to lose to the Jets at home. The Browns will be ripe for revenge but will the short rest situation hurt them?

Meanwhile, the Steelers have looked impotent and dropped a home tilt to New England. Plus, they have to contend with traveling to a hostile environment as underdogs.

Matchup

TEAM	OFFENSE	PASS	RUSH	YDS/PLAY	POINTS
Pittsburgh Steelers	30	28	26	30	19
Cleveland Browns	9	26	1	10	7

Last season, Matt Canada coached Pittsburgh’s offense and was able to overcome Ben Roethlisberger’s deficiencies to a 9-7-1 record. The 2021 Steelers were only 29th in rushing but managed to finish 15th in passing…

How will tonight’s Steelers vs. Browns game go?

To read our Thursday Night Preview requires a FullTime Fantasy Membership -or– DFS Optimizer Membership.

GO PRO! Join FullTime Fantasy.

[…]

Fantasy Football Injury Rundown

September 20, 2022 Jody Smith

Along with wild come-from-behind wins, Week 2 also had a number of significant injuries. The FullTime Fantasy Football Injury Rundown […]

2025 Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet

This Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet is courtesy of Shawn Childs. Read Shawn’s expert fantasy analysis at his Substack.

These Rankings will be updated throughout Spring Training.

I grouped players in sets of 15 based on early ADPs from the National Fantasy Baseball Championship (NFBC). Once I began this process, I maintained a consistent ADP timeframe to avoid missing any players who might rise into a higher tier due to shifts in draft trends.

After analyzing 15 players at a position by their ADP, I reranked them based on my research. While I documented only 15 players per infield position, there are cases where I prefer an unresearched player from outside this group. For example, Masyn Winn currently ranks 15th among shortstops in NFBC ADP, but I haven’t yet completed his player profile. Once I do, he’ll likely move up.

For outfielders and starting pitchers, I expanded the analysis to 75 players per position. I didn’t move players between tiers to maintain consistency in the rankings. For instance, in my second tier of 15 starting pitchers, I elevated Hunter Brown to SP31 but kept him within that tier rather than bumping him up. I expect him to rise once spring training begins, but I didn’t want to disrupt the structure with excessive reshuffling.

ADP research helps track market trends—who’s gaining or losing value? However, a falling ADP doesn’t always signal a bargain, just as a rising ADP doesn’t guarantee success. Public sentiment is often news-driven, with the fantasy market overreacting in some cases and overlooking key details in others. The best approach? Draft the players you believe in and capitalize on undervalued assets when your analysis differs from the consensus.

DHs and Closers: I haven’t written about DHs yet (other than Shohei Ohtani, whom I categorized as OF1). This week, I’m focusing on team bullpens, but I haven’t completed my research on closers ranked 16-30. While I included them by ADP, I removed handcuff options and placed them in a closer-in-waiting tier (yet to be ranked).