On the Mark: Week 7 NFL O/U Prop Picks
Let’s get into Week 7 “On the Mark” with zero hesitations. My strategy this week involves four emerging players where the plus lines are attractive enough to attack the number. Below you’ll find two WRs and two QBs primed to hit their plus numbers in Week 7.
Written by Mark Deming, former #1 ranked player in the world
Let’s dive right in!
WR George Pickens over 5.5 receptions +220
Pickens’ game logs over a five game span are eye opening: including six TDs, two 130 plus yard receiving games and 50 plus yards receiving in all five games. We must factor in the return of CD Lamb to a certain degree but I would calculate Pickens for five plus catches at home coming off a nine catch game even as WR2. Prescott has always fed multiple mouths and the +220 offering is a calculated risk based on the matchup vs the Commanders. Through Six weeks Cowboys games are averaging 60.33 ppg.
QB Drake Maye over 30.5 rushing yards +155
Speaking of streaking players who are heating up enter second year QB Drake Maye into the equation. Maye is getting his confident legs underneath him, entering Week 7 he’s averaging 23 rushing yards per game. With Steffon Diggs a little banged up and a revenge game for Head coach Mike Vrabel look for Maye to extend play with his legs and run more after last week’s 28 rushing yard performance that led to a road win for the Pats.
QB Patrick Mahomes over 2.5 passing TDs +160
The former NFL MVP found his groove last week and gets a mediocre Vegas Raiders defense and the return of Rashee Rice. According to multiple media reports Rice may have been the most dominant player in camp prior to his suspension. Rice will be featured and allow the other KC skill position players the opportunity to flourish as defenses will have to pick their poison. Mahomes has 33 TD passes in 14 career games vs the silver and black.
WR Amon-Ra St. Brown over 7.5 receptions +125
In three career games against the Buccaneers, Amon-Ra St. Brown has 33 receptions for 320 yards and 2 touchdowns. His stats include 23 catches for 243 yards and one touchdown in two regular season games, plus 8 catches for 77 yards and one touchdown in a playoff game. In two home games St. Brown is averaging 9 receptions.
As always, we will be backing these recommendations in the form of a Round Robin. Unlike other forms of an investment, this is not an all-or-nothing play. In fact, this is a solid form of bankroll protection, simply due to offering lucrative returns in the face of one of the players underperforming and failing to reach the desired projections.
