Week 13 NFL Player Props For the fourth consecutive week, we dropped a 3-3 record with our player props wagers. However, due to an added sprinkle on Ladd McConkey’s receiving yardage line, we managed to profit in Week 12. It […]
Week 13 NFL Player Props
For the fourth consecutive week, we dropped a 3-3 record with our player props wagers. However, due to an added sprinkle on Ladd McConkey's receiving yardage line, we managed to profit in Week 12. It wasn’t technically one of the plays last week but since it was mentioned in the Justin Herbert writeup, I’m going to count it. And the plus-odds bet on Mike Evans’ receiving yardage was a nice little victory. Still, we only gained +.45 Units and are now an even +4.0 Units on the season. Despite still being in the green, it’s time for us to catch fire like the first few weeks of the campaign with Week 13 NFL Player Props!
We are due for a big week and it might come during the festive holidays. For Thanksgiving, we will discuss some Turkey Day props, as well as a few over the weekend. In Week 13, instead of providing you with my favorite six or seven props, I will list my top 10 player props.
Remember to always odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best value for these props. With that in mind, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 13 NFL Player Props!
Derek Carr OVER 214.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Derek Carr's passing yards line for Week 13 against the Rams looks attainable based on a few key metrics and trends this season. Not to mention, he helped us triple up a few weeks ago so we’re going back to the well despite the lack of weapons surrounding him.
Consistent passing volume has helped Carr as the Saints are typically playing from behind. Carr has surpassed this line in 8 of his last 10 games. This consistency underscores his role in the Saints offense, which leans heavily on his arm, especially in matchups where they face defensive vulnerabilities in the secondary. Which leads me to my next point.
The Rams have had some serious defensive struggles in 2024. The Rams have allowed over 243 passing yards per game this season, ranking among the league's bottom-tier pass defenses. Their secondary has struggled to contain opposing quarterbacks, giving Carr an advantageous matchup.
And although Carr doesn’t have the weapons that he once started the season with, the Rams’ defense has shown a tendency to allow massive big-chunk plays, providing Carr with the opportunity to rack up yards efficiently. Not to mention, the game script should favor the veteran signal-caller eclipsing this line. The Rams' offense can score quickly with Matthew Stafford, Kyren Williams, Puka Nacua, and Cooper Kupp, which would force the Saints to keep up. This dynamic increases Carr's likelihood of exceeding his yardage line as the Saints try to stay competitive.
All of these factors and trends point towards Carr surpassing this line. Don’t forget that he has easily eclipsed this prop line in three consecutive games since returning from a mid-season injury. This bodes well for Carr on Sunday. Smash...
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