week 13

DFS

Week 15 DFS: Tight End Report featuring Travis Kelce

December 15, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 15 DFS: Tight End Report The Browns/Jaguars game delivered the top two tight ends for Week 14. Evan Engram (11/95/02 had the best game of his career, coming on the heels of scoring his first touchdown (9/82/1) the previous […]

 

Week 15 DFS: Tight End Report

The Browns/Jaguars game delivered the top two tight ends for Week 14. Evan Engram (11/95/02 had the best game of his career, coming on the heels of scoring his first touchdown (9/82/1) the previous week. David Njoku (6/91/2) also scored twice. The Rams decided not to cover Isaiah Likely on his 54-yard scamper for a touchdown, setting up a Mark Andrews-type day (5/83/1). Hunter Henry (19.00) and George Kittle (16.60) rounded out the top five in fantasy points. Here are the top five tight ends by scoring average after 14 weeks:

  • Travis Kelce (15.28)
  • T.J. Hockenson (15.22)
  • Sam LaPorta (13.58)
  • Evan Engram (13.16)
  • George Kittle (13.10)

Here are the top plays this week via the Week 15 DFS: Tight End Report. Also, check out the Week 14 DFS: QB Report, RB Report, and WR Report.

Elite Option

Travis Kelce, KC (DK – $7,600/FD – $7,500)

Patrick Mahomes hasn’t been able to get Kelce rolling over the six weeks. Over this span, he caught 32 of his 44 targets for 371 yards and one touchdown, leading to only steady fantasy production in five games (11.80, 16.40, 15.10, 12.10, and 14.30). His recent stats don’t command his current salary. Kelce has one impact game (12/179/1) and a pair of 20.00-point outcomes (22.70 and 21.40), all coming between Week 5 and Week 7. Over his past five matchups, he averaged seven targets (8.9 in 2022 and 8.4 in 2021).

New England climbed to sixth in tight end defense (56/500/1 on 82 targets). Foster Moreau is the only tight end to score vs. the defense. The Raiders (7/94) and Bills (9/85) had the most success in fantasy points. Overall, the Patriots’ opposing TEs have 696 catches for 6,848 yards and 41 touchdowns on 1,007 targets, coming to 10.63 fantasy points per game (the best tight end schedule in the league). 

Kelce should reach 100 catches with more than 1,000 yards receiving again this year, giving fantasy teams an edge at the tight end position. Unfortunately, it hasn’t been as wide as in 2022 (5.93 fantasy points per game over the second-ranked tight end). His matchup looks below par, and his salary commands 30+ fantasy points to be an edge. The Chiefs need to find their offensive identity after losing three games (53 combined points) over the past four weeks. I can dismiss him due to Kelce being the top target in Kansas City’s offense with scoring upside…

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DFS

Week 13 DFS: Wide Receiver Report

December 1, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 13 DFS: Wide Receiver Report Last week, no wide receiver scored more than 25.50 fantasy points in PPR formats. Tyreek Hill (9/104/1) won the Gold Medal, followed by Mike Evans (6/70/2) and Rashee Rice (8/107/1). Eleven other wideouts scored […]

Week 13 DFS: Wide Receiver Report

Last week, no wide receiver scored more than 25.50 fantasy points in PPR formats. Tyreek Hill (9/104/1) won the Gold Medal, followed by Mike Evans (6/70/2) and Rashee Rice (8/107/1). Eleven other wideouts scored between 20.00 and 24.00 fantasy points. Over the previous three weeks, Keenan Allen (30.57) was the top player. Here are the top five wide receivers by scoring average after 12 weeks of action:

  • Tyreek Hill (25.57)
  • Keenan Allen (23.34)
  • CeeDee Lamb (21.18)
  • A.J. Brown (20.00)
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown (19.24)

Also, before we get into the Week 13 DFS: Wide Receiver Report, check out the QB Report, RB Report, and TE Report.

Top Tier Options

Tyreek Hill, MIA (DK – $9,600/FD – $10,000)

The Dolphins gave Hill double-digit targets in each of the last six matchups, leading to him having a floor of eight catches in five consecutive starts. He’s gained over 100 yards in seven of his 11 games while adding a score in nine different weeks (10 total TDs). Hill’s best showing in fantasy points came in Week 1 (44.50), and he has three other outcomes with at least 30.00 fantasy points at home. 

Washington has the second-worst wide receiver defense (155/2,355/18 on 238 targets), with wideouts gaining 15.2 yards per catch. Six teams (DEN – 13/274/3, PHI – 17/264/2, CHI – 8/230/3, PHI – 17/242/4, SEA – 21/256/1, and DAL – 13/245/3) gained over 200 yards from their wide receivers. Their quarterbacks passed for more than 300 yards in each of these failures. D.J. Moore (8/230/2) and A.J. Brown (8/130/2 and 9/175/2) had the most success. CB Benjamin St. Juste (56/741/4 on 56 targets per PFF) has been a weak link in coverage, along with CB Emmanuel Forbes (27/490/3 on 42 targets).

The Dolphins do an excellent job getting Hill easy catches close to the line of scrimmage, with some coming out of the backfield. He has the speed and quickness to beat any defender one-on-one, pointing to an impact game vs. the Commanders. He comes into this week with a slight ankle issue that limited his playing time in practice. Over his final six starts, Hill needs 676 receiving yards to reach 2,000 yards. 

A.J. Brown, PHI (DK – $8,800/FD – $8,400)

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Jets Rookie RB Breece Hall
DFS

Week 13 DFS: Running Back Report

December 1, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 13 DFS: Running Back Report The winning running back ticket landed on Kyren Williams (38.40 fantasy points) in Week 13. Christian McCaffrey (30.90) finished with the runner-up prize, followed by Bijan Robinson (27.30) and Isiah Pacheco (25.90). Seven other […]

 

Week 13 DFS: Running Back Report

The winning running back ticket landed on Kyren Williams (38.40 fantasy points) in Week 13. Christian McCaffrey (30.90) finished with the runner-up prize, followed by Bijan Robinson (27.30) and Isiah Pacheco (25.90). Seven other running backs scored between 20.00 and 22.50 fantasy points. Here are the top five running backs by scoring average after 12 weeks:

  • Christian McCaffrey (24.98)
  • Raheem Mostert (18.48)
  • Travis Etienne (17.44)
  • Rachaad White (14.94)
  • Josh Jacobs (14.61)

Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 13 DFS QB Report and TE Report.

Top Tier Options

Christian McCaffrey, SF (DK – $9,000/FD – $9,800)

Even with his second-best fantasy game (30.90) in Week 12, McCaffrey didn’t score high enough to fill his current salary bucket. He has a floor of 20.00 fantasy points over the past five weeks, averaging 21.6 touches. The 49ers have had him on the field for 76% of their plays or more over his last five starts. His best showing (20/106/3 with seven catches for 71 yards and one touchdown) of the year came in Week 4. Last year, McCaffrey gained 106 combined yards with one touchdown and four catches against the Eagles.

Philadelphia has the best defense in the NFL vs. running backs (15.63 FPPG). They allow 4.1 yards per rush, with backs scoring only two touchdowns. Kansas City (30/168) and Buffalo (40/173/2) ran the ball well against them over the past two weeks, but 119 yards (34.9%) came from the quarterback position. Running backs have 58 catches for 359 yards on 75 targets.

McCaffrey doesn’t have the best matchup. The 49ers will ride him early and often in this game, with an uptick of value in the passing game should be expected. He needs multiple touchdowns and at least one big play to be in the mix in Week 13. 

Alvin Kamara, NO (DK – $8,200/FD – $8,300)

The fun and excitement of Kamara left the building over the last three weeks. His regression in stats over this span came from…

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tyreek hill
Season Long – All Sports

Week 13 NFL Player Props

December 1, 2023 Matt Brandon

Week 13 NFL Player Props We are back to make some cash on player props in Week 13. Through the first 12 weeks of the season, we are now 34-28 (+6.9 Units). Sports betting is about riding the hot streaks […]

Week 13 NFL Player Props

We are back to make some cash on player props in Week 13. Through the first 12 weeks of the season, we are now 34-28 (+6.9 Units). Sports betting is about riding the hot streaks and surviving the cold spells. After our first losing streak of the season in back-to-back weeks, it’s time to get back into the winning column. Have some faith as lady luck is about to shine some light on some juicy plays for us to exploit with these Week 13 NFL Player Props.

As always, I will be listing my seven favorite player props of the week as we gear up for Week 13’s slate of NFL matchups. Unlike last week when every one of the 32 teams was in action, six teams will get some rest on their bye weeks. The Minnesota Vikings, Chicago Bears, New York Giants, Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens, and Las Vegas Raiders will not suit up in Week 13. That said, we still have 13 competitive matchups this week with only three games that have a spread of more than a touchdown. 

Fantasy football players have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 13 NFL player prop bets and continue our profitable NFL season. 

Brock Purdy OVER 254.5 Passing Yards (-115)

The San Francisco 49ers have done an excellent job surrounding Purdy with immense talent. With Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, and of course Christian McCaffrey, Purdy has all the weapons in his arsenal to continue to move the ball effectively, even if this may be his toughest test to date. 

In a preview of what many expect to be the NFC Championship, the Niners draw the 10-1 Philadelphia Eagles on the road in Week 13. Although Philly’s defensive front tends to get a ton of pressure on opposing quarterbacks, this defense has struggled at limiting yardage through the air. The Eagles rank 29th in the league in passing yards allowed per game and allow the second-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. 

The Eagles offer a fantastic matchup for Brock Purdy to attack per FullTime Fantasy’s Points Allowed Tool.

In San Francisco’s 31-13 thrashing of the Seattle Seahawks on Thanksgiving Day, Purdy only mustered 209 passing yards. But that’s because the team didn’t need him to sling it as they dominated in every facet of the game and had a double-digit lead most of the game after a 17-point second quarter. However, prior to last week’s outing, Purdy has topped 260 passing yards in four straight contests.

It’s also important to note that the Eagles have the third-ranked rushing defense in the NFL. Although Kyle Shanahan would love to employ a run-heavy approach utilizing superstar Christian McCaffrey in the trenches and Deebo Samuel on the edge, the running game may not be so effective against this high-caliber defensive front. If the Niners are going to keep pace with Jalen Hurts and the Eagles, Purdy will have to air it out.

The Eagles are coming off an impressive 37-34 overtime victory over the Buffalo Bills but they did allow a whopping 339 passing yards from Josh Allen. And although they held Patrick Mahomes in check, yielding just 177 passing yards from him in Week 11, Dak Prescott lit this secondary up to for 374 yards back in Week 9 before Philly’s Week 10 bye. Want more evidence? Sam Howell produced 397 passing yards against the Eagles back in Week 8 and Howell isn’t as talented as Purdy nor does he have the same caliber of weapons at his disposal. It’s clear that although Philly is finding ways to win (sometimes in ugly fashion), they are very beatable in the passing game.

In what should be a very tightly contested battle, San Francisco will have to throw the ball often to move the chains and put points up on the board. Given Purdy’s recent form, the weapons around him, expected gameflow, and Philly’s recent struggles against the pass, Purdy should eclipse this line easily. I’m throwing multiple units on this one. Take the Over!

Jordan Love…

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DFS

Week 13 DFS: Tight End Report

November 30, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 13 DFS: Tight End Report The tight end position was relatively quiet in Week 12, with Pat Freiermuth (9/120) and Tyler Higbee (5/29/2) being the winning exacta. Only three other players scored more than 15.00 fantasy points – Sam […]

Week 13 DFS: Tight End Report

The tight end position was relatively quiet in Week 12, with Pat Freiermuth (9/120) and Tyler Higbee (5/29/2) being the winning exacta. Only three other players scored more than 15.00 fantasy points – Sam LaPorta (17.70), T.J. Hockenson (16.00), and Travis Kelce (15.10). Here are the top five tight ends by scoring average after 12 weeks:

  • Travis Kelce (15.65)
  • T.J. Hockenson (15.63)
  • George Kittle (12.99)
  • Sam LaPorta (12.99)
  • Mark Andrews (11.28)

Here are the top plays this week via the Week 13 DFS: Tight End Report. Also, check out the Week 13 DFS: QB Report.

Top-Tier Options

George Kittle, SF (DK – $6,200/FD – $7,400)

After three consecutive games (23.90, 20.60, and 22.90) with 20+ fantasy points, Kittle had a quiet showing (3/19 on five targets) vs. the Seahawks. He only had four games with more than six targets during the year. His value has been much more substantial at home (28/404/4 – 19.08 FPPG) than on the road (18/263/1 – 8.92 FPPG). The 49ers looked his way 6, 3, 2, 7, 4, and 5 times away from San Francisco. The Eagles held him to three catches for 36 yards on four targets last year in the playoffs on the road.

Philadelphia ranks 22nd in tight end defense (55/520/6 on 71 targets), with struggles in five matchups (NE – 8/92/1, MIN – 9/79/2, WAS – 7/61/1, DAL – 8/91/1, and KC – 7/44/1). They also faced three teams with weakness at the tight end position (TB – 1/16, MIA – 0/0, and LAR – 2/20 with five combined targets). 

With Travis Kelce off the main slate on Sunday and T.J. Hockenson on a bye, Kittle is the highest-priced tight end. His resume on the road suggests more of a risk/reward type play with lower ownership expected. His scoring upside keeps him in play, and a higher-scoring game should increase his targets.

Mid-Tier Options

Dalton Schultz, HOU (DK – $5,000/FD – $6,200)

After his impact game (10/130/1), the Texans struggled to get Schultz…

 

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Tua Tagovailoa
DFS

Week 13 Quarterback Report

November 30, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 13 NFL Quarterback Report Last week, the top-tier quarterbacks all posted impact games. Josh Allen (44.05) led the way in fantasy points in four-point passing touchdown leagues while outdueling Jalen Hurts (38.50). Dak Prescott (35.55) continued his midseason rise, […]

Week 13 NFL Quarterback Report

Last week, the top-tier quarterbacks all posted impact games. Josh Allen (44.05) led the way in fantasy points in four-point passing touchdown leagues while outdueling Jalen Hurts (38.50). Dak Prescott (35.55) continued his midseason rise, as did C.J. Stroud (33.90). Seven other quarterbacks scored between 21.00 and 29.50 fantasy points. Here are the top five quarterbacks by scoring average after 12 weeks:

  • Josh Allen (27.91)
  • Jalen Hurts (27.26)
  • C.J. Stroud (24.05)
  • Dak Prescott (23.81)
  • Justin Herbert (23.60)

Using our Week 13 Fantasy Football Rankings, let’s break down this week’s field in the FullTime Fantasy Week 13 NFL Quarterback Report.

Top-Tier Options

Jalen Hurts, PHI (DK – $8,200/FD – $9,000)

The passing attack for the Eagles lost momentum over their last three games (207/2, 150/0, and 200/3). But Hurts held form by his success on the ground (36/130/5). Philadelphia is in the middle of a challenging five-game run (DAL, @KC, BUF, SF, and @DAL). Hurts had a floor of 25.00 fantasy points in seven of his last eight matchups while offering three impact games (31.35, 31.55, and 38.50). Last year, the 49ers held him to 160 combined yards with one rushing touchdown.

San Francisco has the fourth-best defense (15.55 FPPG) defending quarterbacks, with three offenses (NYG – 313/2, MIN – 377/2, and CIN – 326/3) scoring more than 25.00 fantasy points. They play well vs. the run, and quarterbacks gain only 6.2 yards per pass attempt. Three teams (LAR – 24/243, MIN – 17/241/2, and CIN – 21/235/3) gained more than 200 yards with their wideouts.

Hurts has a high floor, and the Eagles need him to play well to beat the 49ers. His matchup isn’t ideal for the daily games unless the Eagles throw the ball much better. I don’t see him scoring 33.00 fantasy points, which is needed to fill his salary bucket.

C.J. Stroud, Hou (DK – $8,100/FD – $8,000)

Stroud’s success over the last four weeks (1,530/12) pushed him to third in quarterback scoring (264.50). His best play continues…

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Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 13

November 30, 2023 Jody Smith

Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 13 FullTime Fantasy has been synonymous with accurate fantasy football rankings for years. Our rankings have garnered numerous industry accolades, with several top-5 finishes in season-long, weekly, and even sports betting accuracy. This is […]

Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 13

FullTime Fantasy has been synonymous with accurate fantasy football rankings for years. Our rankings have garnered numerous industry accolades, with several top-5 finishes in season-long, weekly, and even sports betting accuracy. This is the home of our FullTime Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 13.

Ranking You Can Trust

Our staff was ranked No. 1 last season, with not one but TWO analysts inside the top 10. With projections powered by NFBC Hall-of-Fame writer Shawn Childs and former FantasyPro’s Most Accurate Expert Jody Smith, FullTime Fantasy Members get instant access to reliable and trustworthy weekly rankings.

Additionally, Jody and Adam Krautwurst co-host the FullTime Fantasy Podcast, which is live-streamed weekly on YouTube. The guys are also active in the FullTime Fantasy Discord channel, helping answer all fantasy and sports betting inquiries.

Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 13

 

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