Early 2023 Fantasy Football Fades

May 18, 2023 Jody Smith Season Long - Dynasty NFL, Season Long - FFWC, Season Long – NFL, Season Long – NFL Home

While it is still early in the 2023 fantasy football draft season, FFWC best ball draft season is underway. Using the average draft position from these drafts allows us to recognize tendencies and find the early 2023 fantasy football fades [...]

While it is still early in the 2023 fantasy football draft season, FFWC best ball draft season is underway. Using the average draft position from these drafts allows us to recognize tendencies and find the early 2023 fantasy football fades to avoid. Of course, things can and certainly will change over time. However, these preliminary drafts allow savvy high-stakes players the opportunity to exploit values. Conversely, there are also players that appear to be targeted prematurely. Let's take a look at some of the early 2023 fantasy football fades to avoid in these May FFWC drafts. And while we're on the subject, now is a great time to adopt a Dynasty Football World Championship squad.

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Running Backs

Breece Hall (New York Jets) RB11 - There is a lot to love about Breece Hall in dynasty leagues. However, being drafted near the 2/3 turn as the RB11 seems a bit high in redraft leagues. While Hall was the RB7 in terms of fantasy points per game in 2022, he tore his ACL in October.

Very often we see running backs take a full year to return to their pre-injury form. In most cases, the first season after a torn ACL results in a drop in efficiency and effectiveness. Even if Hall is able to suit up for Week 1, the Jets could spell him more with Michael Carter and Zonovan Knight, who are both capable runners.

Although Hall is a promising young back loaded with fantasy upside...

What other 2023 fantasy football fades should you avoid?

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About Jody Smith 360 Articles

With over a decade of winning experience, Jody is a well-known fixture in the fantasy football community. He was named Fantasy Pros’ **Most Accurate Ranker** previously and was the site’s Top NFL over/under totals picker with a record 65% accuracy in 2020, while also ranking 5th in the country with a 55% against-the-spread hit rate. Jody has written for many sites over the years including Pro Football Focus, FantasyPros, CBS Sportsline, FantasyData, and is a regular contributor to the Fantasy Index magazine expert’s poll, draft, and auction. Jody’s experience ranking and projecting player performance will help prepare the Fulltime Fam for their big draft days as well as answers they can trust on Sunday for those ever crucial Who Do I Start questions.

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 4
September 25, 2023
Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 4 Week 3 had some unreal performances. Any time that happens, you can expect a flurry of Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 4 activity. That’s when it is crucial to know not only what players [...]

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 4 Week 3 had some unreal performances. Any time that happens, you can expect a flurry of Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 4 activity. That's when it is crucial to know not only what players to target, but how much of your remaining FAAB budget you should allocate to acquire their services. Here are the top fantasy football waiver wire: Week 4 players to target—also, a recommended FAAB value to spend. FAAB denotes Free Agent Acquisition Budget De'Von Achane (RB) Miami Dolphins (50%+ FAAB) - Sunday's trouncing of the Broncos looked like a Tecmo Super Bowl performance versus the computer. We talked about Achane's big-play ability in our Rookie Scouting Profile. However, even we didn't see this performance coming. Achane turned 22 touches into 233 yards and four touchdowns on Sunday. Obviously, that won't happen again. But Achane will stay involved. If he happens to be available in your league, don't let another manager outbid you.
Zack Moss (RB) Indianapolis Colts (20% FAAB) - Moss headlined our Week 3 waiver wire piece. The veteran came through with another outstanding performance in Baltimore. However, the looming return of Jonathan Taylor complicates things. On one hand, Taylor could make Moss irrelevant. However, if Taylor is traded or doesn't get activated, Moss offers RB2 ability for the rest of the season. If people were sleeping last week and failed to add Moss, be prepared to make a sizable bid to take that chance. Tank Dell (WR) Houston Texans...
To see the rest of this week's waiver wire and FAAB targets...

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Advanced NFL Snap Counts Report: Week 3
September 25, 2023
Snap counts tell us who is playing but they don’t always paint a clear picture of who is producing for our fantasy football lineups. By digging […]
Week 3 DFS: Running Back Report
September 23, 2023
Week 3 DFS: Running Back Report A late surge in the fourth quarter by Brian Robinson (two touchdowns) pushed him to the top of running back scoring in Week 2, edging out Kyren Williams (28.00), Saquan Barkley (27.20, and D’Andre [...]
Week 3 DFS: Running Back Report

A late surge in the fourth quarter by Brian Robinson (two touchdowns) pushed him to the top of running back scoring in Week 2, edging out Kyren Williams (28.00), Saquan Barkley (27.20, and D’Andre Swift (27.10). Six other running backs scored more than 20.00 fantasy points. Here are the top five back in scoring in PPR leagues after two games:
- Christian McCaffrey (48.40)
- Kyren Williams (22.70)
- Brian Robinson (42.50)
- Tony Pollard (42.10)
- Bijan Robinson (20.75)
There have already been three significant injuries to running backs (Austin Ekeler, Nick Chubb, and Saquon Barkley), sending fantasy managers to an ultra-thin waiver wire to solve their injury woes.
Also, check out FullTime Fantasy's Week 3 DFS QB Report, WR Report, and TE Report.

Top Tier Options

Tony Pollard, DAL (DK – $8,000/FD – $9,400)

Over the first two weeks of the season, the Cowboys have played from the lead for about 150 minutes while never trailing in a game. They’ve struggled to run the ball in other matches (4.1 and 3.0 yards per rush) despite averaging 37 carries. Pollard has been on the field for 64% of their snaps in both contests, leading to 191 combined yards with two touchdowns and nine catches (42.10 fantasy points in PPR formats). He is well behind last year's pace in yards per rush (3.6 – 5.2 in 2022) and yards per catch (5.4 – 9.5 in 2022). Pollard scored eight of his 12 touchdowns at home last season.
The Cardinals defended running back well over the first two games (44/149/1 – 3.4 yards per carry). They’ve allowed two receiving scores to backs, with minimal damage in catches (8) and receiving yards (46). Arizona finished 27th in running back defense (27.39 FPPG) in 2022.
Pollard had seven rushes inside the five-yard line and 12 inside the 10 yards. I didn’t like to see Rico Dowdle on the field near the goal line last week on one series. But Dowdle failed to reach paydirt in his two chances. Pollard’s 32 touches in Week 2 were career-high. His salary in the DFS market requires an impact game. That is something he achieved only once in 2022 (149 combined yards with three touchdowns and one catch). I see a correct game coming in big plays, giving him a chance to be the top running back of the week.
Bijan Robinson, ATL (DK – $8,000/FD – $9,000)

The fantasy market got a taste of the potential in Week 2 vs. the Packers. Atlanta gave him 24 touches compared to 16 by Tyler Allgeier, leading to a wide edge in combined yards (172 to 48). His snap count rose from 63% to 72%. Robinson had 39 touches on the year while averaging 6.2 yards per rush. Two of his plays gained at least 20 yards.
His first road start comes in Detroit, matching him against the electric Jahmyr Gibbs. The Lions played well vs. the run over the first two games (23/90 and 25/82/2 – 3.6 yards per rush), with 37.8% of their yards allowed coming from...

WHO ELSE DOES SHAWN THINK ARE MUST-PLAY OPTIONS THIS WEEK?...

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Week 3 DFS: Wide Receiver Report
September 22, 2023
Week 3 DFS: Wide Receiver Report Thankfully, we saw an increase in scoring last week. Hopefully, that action led to a better outcome in your DFS lineups. This week, our Week 3 DFS: Wide Receiver Report will help you make [...]

Week 3 DFS: Wide Receiver Report Thankfully, we saw an increase in scoring last week. Hopefully, that action led to a better outcome in your DFS lineups. This week, our Week 3 DFS: Wide Receiver Report will help you make better lineup decisions in what looks like a challenging slate.
Also, check out FullTime Fantasy's Week 3 DFS: quarterback and tight end reports.
After two games, Justin Jefferson (9/150 and 11/159) and Puca Nacua (10/119 and 15/151) are the only two wideouts to score more than 20.00 fantasy points in both weeks. They also rank first and second in targets (25 and 35). Nine wide receivers have 20 targets or more. Keenan Allen (8/111/2) led the Week 2, followed by Nacua (15/151) and Mike Evans (6/171/1). Seventeen wideouts scored between 20.00 and 30.00 fantasy points (eight in Week 1). In PPR formats, Tyreek Hill ranks first in wide receiver scoring (59.50). Top Tier Options Davante Adams, LV (DK – $7,800/FD – $7,900) Jimmy Garoppolo looks Adams’ way 17 times over the first two weeks, leading to 12 catches for 150 yards and one touchdown. His ceiling has been limited due to the Raiders only attempting 50 passes. Last season, he had seven impact games (10/141/1, 3/124/2, 10/146/2, 9/126/1, 7/141/2, 8/177/2, and 7/153/2). The Steelers showed risk vs. wide receivers in Week 1 (SF – 13/184/2). But a better pass rush (six sacks) and weaker quarterback play by Deshaun Watson led to a 50% catch rate on 28 targets with 160 yards vs. the Browns. In 2022, Pittsburgh finished seventh in wide receiver defense (29.60 FPPG) despite two disastrous games (BUF – 18/389/4 and PHI – 13/236/4). CB Patrick Peterson has already given up two touchdowns and multiple long plays. Adams needs the Raiders to open up the passing game and do a better job moving the chains. He remains a volume pass-catcher with elite upside in scoring. Home cooking should treat him well on Sunday. Justin Jefferson, MIN (DK – $9,300/FD – $9,700) The game has been relatively easy for Jefferson over the first two weeks (20/309 on 25 targets). He’s gained 20 yards or more on 40% of his catches with an elite catch rate (80%). The structure of the Vikings’ receivers and their offensive game plan creates plenty of open field and opportunities. Last year, Jefferson scored more than 30.00 fantasy points in seven contests. The Chargers have already allowed 32 catches for 565 yards and four touchdowns on 43 targets to wide receiver while allowing a dismal 17.7 yards per catch. Tyreek Hill (11/215/2) dominated their defense in Week 1. Last year, Los Angeles was slightly above the league average against wideouts (31.50 FPPG). CB J.C. Jackson made a couple of mistakes in Week 1, leading to a pair of long catches and a touchdown. Overall, he has held receivers to a low catch rate. Minnesota attempts a high volume of passes in most games. However, they need to create...
WHO ELSE DOES SHAWN THINK ARE MUST-PLAY OPTIONS THIS WEEK?...

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