fantasy football fades

Season Long – All Sports

2024 Fantasy Football Busts

August 9, 2024 Jody Smith

2024 Fantasy Football Busts Everyone wants to read about this year’s hottest sleepers to target. However, knowing which players to avoid is nearly as important. As part of our renowned FullTime Fantasy 2024 Fantasy Football Draft Kit, these are our […]

2024 Fantasy Football Busts

Everyone wants to read about this year’s hottest sleepers to target. However, knowing which players to avoid is nearly as important. As part of our renowned FullTime Fantasy 2024 Fantasy Football Draft Kit, these are our Fantasy Football Busts to fade this summer.

Many factors can cause us to avoid players. Usage concerns, lack of performance in the preseason, and injuries all play a role. Conversely, unwarranted hype from around the fantasy football community also factors in.

Regardless of the factors, here are FullTime’s 2024 Fantasy Football Busts and fades.

 

Quarterbacks

 

Tua Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins) – Health was always the biggest concern for Tua Tagovailoa. And right on schedule, as soon as he avoided injuries, Tagovailoa led the league with 4,624 passing yards. He also posted the top PFF passer rating in the league. However, from a pure fantasy perspective, Tagovailoa wasn’t as good. He ranked 18th in fantasy points per game and

WHO ELSE IS JODY FADING IN 2024?

 

To finish reading Jody’s 2024 fantasy football busts…

 

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Jets Rookie RB Breece Hall
Season Long - Dynasty NFL

Early 2023 Fantasy Football Fades

May 18, 2023 Jody Smith

While it is still early in the 2023 fantasy football draft season, FFWC best ball draft season is underway. Using the average draft position from these drafts allows us to recognize tendencies and find the early 2023 fantasy football fades […]

While it is still early in the 2023 fantasy football draft season, FFWC best ball draft season is underway. Using the average draft position from these drafts allows us to recognize tendencies and find the early 2023 fantasy football fades to avoid.

Of course, things can and certainly will change over time. However, these preliminary drafts allow savvy high-stakes players the opportunity to exploit values. Conversely, there are also players that appear to be targeted prematurely.

Let’s take a look at some of the early 2023 fantasy football fades to avoid in these May FFWC drafts. And while we’re on the subject, now is a great time to adopt a Dynasty Football World Championship squad.

DFWC_2023

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Running Backs

Breece Hall (New York Jets) RB11 – There is a lot to love about Breece Hall in dynasty leagues. However, being drafted near the 2/3 turn as the RB11 seems a bit high in redraft leagues. While Hall was the RB7 in terms of fantasy points per game in 2022, he tore his ACL in October.

Very often we see running backs take a full year to return to their pre-injury form. In most cases, the first season after a torn ACL results in a drop in efficiency and effectiveness. Even if Hall is able to suit up for Week 1, the Jets could spell him more with Michael Carter and Zonovan Knight, who are both capable runners.

Although Hall is a promising young back loaded with fantasy upside…

                                                 What other 2023 fantasy football fades should you avoid? 

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Season Long - FFWC

2022 Fantasy Football Fades

May 23, 2022 Billy Muzio

Please note: This will be updated again after the Preseason weekend on 8/20. 2.0 is coming! The 2022 fantasy football season is upon us; people are flocking to draft rooms with their draft cheat sheets and rankings in hand to […]

The 2022 fantasy football season is upon us; people are flocking to draft rooms with their draft cheat sheets and rankings in hand to take down the grand prizes in their favorite tournaments. They are crossing off names one at a time, looking for value, looking for their favorite targets, and avoiding their 2022 fantasy football fades.

Below you can find my 2022 fade list with detailed reasonings and data supporting my choice to pass on players when I am on the clock. But before we begin, I think it’s important to clarify what I mean by fade.

Fading a player does not mean I will not draft a player- There is a point at which every player is draftable; that cost is up for you to decide. However, considering my overall roster portfolios, I roster fewer of these players than the rest, and I think it would be irresponsible or foolish not to own any.

That being said, I often find myself passing on these players due to the draft capital required to acquire them, and I will continue to fade them unless something in the offseason changes the fantasy landscape or their projected outlook.  

Let’s dive into Part One of my 2022 Fade List for the 2022 fantasy football season, looking at quarterbacks and running backs.

Quarterbacks

Joe Burrow– Don’t get me wrong, I love Joe Burrow, and I love his weapons, but I can’t get behind the cost it takes to acquire him in drafts. Burrow is currently being selected as QB6 in early FFWC draft rooms. He is going ahead of Tom Brady, Jalen Hurts, Dak Prescott, and Russell Wilson, to name a few.

Cincinnati’s strength of schedule sits at .536 in 2022. That ranks as the third-highest behind the Los Angeles Rams and Arizona Cardinals. We also need to consider his fantasy shootout schedule (weeks 15-17). Burrow faces the best of the best, starting with the Bucs, Pats, and then Bills. Looking at Joe Burrow’s successes in 2021, we can’t help but think there will be some regression in 2022.

Burrow led the league in completion percentage at 70.4%; he was 8th in the league in TD’s, 6th in the league in money throws, 3rd in the league in touchdown rate at 6.5%, 8th in the league in deep ball completion percentage at 43.1%, 2nd in the league in true passing rating, and 3rd in the league in accuracy rating. I know this sounds AMAZING- but that’s the caveat; even after that monstrous season, Burrow finished 2021 as QB8. He would need to outperform those robust statistics to give investors a return on the draft capital necessary to acquire him in drafts. 

Patrick …

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