Vegas Whispers: The 150th Belmont Stakes – Early Preview & Analysis

Horse whisperer and racing guru Frankie Fantasy provides an early preview to the upcoming 150th running of the Belmont Stakes and the plays you need to win big!


  • Six lifetime Kentucky Derby Trifectas

2018 Highlighted Wins

Preakness Stakes, Fountain of Youth Stakes, Tampa Bay Derby, Florida Derby

  • Longshot plays of Bravazo at 15/1 & Tenfold at 25-1 in the Preakness Stakes coming in 2nd behind Justify with a148 -1 Trifecta & 372-1 Superfecta
  • Longshot play of Promises Fulfilled at 18/1 in the Fountain of Youth Stakes with a 115 -1 Exacta
  • Longshot play 19/1 Quip in the Tampa Bay Derby with a 151-1 Exacta and a 455-1 Trifecta
  • Longshot play Hofburg in the Florida Derby coming in 2nd behind Audible with a 26-1 Exacta & 155-1 Trifecta

Well it is all on the line for Justify: Saturday at Belmont Park in Elmont, New York, as he attempts to become the 13th horse to win the Triple Crown from the one-hole at 1 1/2 miles! Vegas Whispers had a great Preakness hitting the exacta, trifecta (148-1) & superfecta (372-1) while still finding incredible value backing Justify who only paid $2.80 on top!

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  • What: $1,500,000 G1 Belmont Stakes
  • Where: Belmont Park, NY
  • Race: Race 11 Post Time: 6:46 EST/ 3:46 PST
  • When: Saturday June 9th, 2018

The Curse of Apollo? No problem–broken in the Kentucky Derby. Two straight Triple Crown races on off tracks? No problem with scores in the Derby & Preakness. Justify drew the dreaded rail Tuesday and trainer Bob Baffert must have felt like the bad luck the that has hit the illustrious NY Mets pitching staff with crazy injuries somehow now extended to his prized colt’s chances:

“I never do like to draw the rail, but my horses seem to live in it,” he said Tuesday. “We have it; we can’t change it. We’ll deal with it.”

Now even though Justify drew the rail at Citi Field for the Belmont post draw, often seen as the kiss of death in starting positions, he is so talented he should have no issue honestly. As long as he gets out clean and doesn’t get bounced around or face serious traffic from the one hole, Justify has all the speed in the world to get to the front of this pack and clear them all early. Now, should he get boxed inside and get pinned and be forced to check and swing around other horses at some point, it can be a severe issue in the longest of the three Triple Crown races at 1 1/2 miles.

Also, history is also on his side as the #1 post has produced more champions (23) than any other position in the history of the Belmont Stakes. The #3 & #5 post have produced the second most winners–(15)–where this year Bravazo and moon-shot Restoring Hope will begin their quest to the winner’s circle.

Baffert is seeking his second Triple Crown victory in four years after accomplishing the feat back in 2015 with American Pharoah–ending a 37-year failure. Justify, and Bravazo are the only two horses that will have run in all three Triple Crown races. Bravazo was sixth in the Derby and closed with a strong late charge down the lane to only finish a half-length behind Justify in the Preakness.

For all the NFL fans, there is a newcomer to the scene in the form of Gronkowski–yes he owned by Rob Gronkowski of the New England Patriots. The British based (12/1) colt will be making his US debut in perhaps the most grueling of races the Belmont Stakes and its demanding length of a race.

Now, as we noted above–Justify has thrived on off tracks so far–winning on sloppy tracks. Well, Bob Baffert must have learned how to perfect the rain dance because the forecast for Elmont, New York on Saturday now has the Belmont field looking at rainy conditions with a 60% chance of steady rain in the late afternoon. We will update this further, later in the week with our full Vegas Whispers breakdown & analysis.

Early Analysis

Top Contenders per Morning Line

  • #7 Justify (4/5)
  • #4 Hofburg (9/2)
  • #3 Bravazo (8/1)
  • #8 Vino Rosso (8/1)

Longshot That Could Crash Top Spot

  • #8 Vino Rosso (8/1)

Horse That Could Fly Under the Radar

  • #7 Ten Fold (12/1)

Bomb Longshot Who Could Hit The Exotics

  • #10 Blended Citizen (15/1)

The Belmont Stakes Field (with riders and morning-line odds)

  1.  Justify (Mike Smith), 4-5
  2. Free Drop Billy (Robby Albarado), 30-1
  3. Bravazo (Luis Saez), 8-1
  4. Hofburg (Irad Ortiz, Jr), 9-2
  5. Restoring Hope (Florent Geroux), 30-1
  6. Gronkowski (Jose Ortiz, Jr), 12-1
  7. Tenfold (Ricardo Santana, Jr), 12-1
  8. Vino Rosso (John Velazquez), 8-1
  9. Noble Indy (Javier Castellano), 30-1
  10. Blended Citizen (Kyle Frey), 15-1

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About Frank Taddeo 52 Articles
Frankie is a Villanova alumni who created the first Casino Fantasy Sports program in Vegas book. He was the 2019 FFWC 10K Top Gun Champion & 2017 + 2018 Back-to-Back Top 100 Players in World Invit. Champ! He is a sports fanatic, a Vegas whisperer, and a horse racing expert handicapper!