DFS

Week 17 DFS: Running Back Report

Week 17 DFS: Running Back Report Breece Hall (43.10 fantasy points) turned in a beast game in Week 16, giving him the top ranking. Christian McCaffrey (25.10) and Jahmyr Gibbs (25.00) finished second and third in running back scoring. Only […]

Week 17 DFS: Running Back Report

Breece Hall (43.10 fantasy points) turned in a beast game in Week 16, giving him the top ranking. Christian McCaffrey (25.10) and Jahmyr Gibbs (25.00) finished second and third in running back scoring. Only three other backs scored more than 20.00 fantasy points. Here are the top five running backs by scoring average after 16 weeks:

  • Christian McCaffrey (25.35)
  • Raheem Mostert (17.91)
  • Rashaad White (16.47)
  • Travis Etienne (16.19)
  • Breece Hall (15.59)

Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 17 DFS QB Report.

Elite Option

Christian McCaffrey, SF (DK – $9,600/FD – $11,000)

The 49ers had McCaffrey on the field for all of their plays last week, leading to his eighth consecutive game with more than 100 combined yards. He has a touchdown in 13 of his 15 starts with a combined 21 scores. His two impact games (48.70 and 41.70) came against the Cardinals. McCaffrey has a floor of 20.00 fantasy points in eight other matchups. He is on pace to gain 2,190 combined yards with 24 touchdowns and 71 catches on 364 touches.

Washington fell to 29th in running back defense (26.13 FPPG) after allowing more than 28.00 fantasy points to backs in their last eight games. The Jets and Breece Hall drilled the Commanders for 242 combined yards with two touchdowns and 12 catches. Running backs have 16 touchdowns with success in the passing game (82/587/5).

McCaffrey has an excellent matchup, with a high floor in fantasy points. The 49ers should score at will in this game, but they could give their star running back some snaps off if Washington doesn’t put up a fight on the scoreboard. 

Second-Tier Options

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DFS

Week 16 DFS: Running Back Report

Week 16 DFS: Running Back Report Christian McCaffrey (41.70) led Week 15 in fantasy scoring, giving him 100.40 fantasy points in his two games vs. the Cardinals. James Cooks (36.10) posted the runner-up scores, followed by Kyren Williams (26.80). Six […]

Week 16 DFS: Running Back Report

Christian McCaffrey (41.70) led Week 15 in fantasy scoring, giving him 100.40 fantasy points in his two games vs. the Cardinals. James Cooks (36.10) posted the runner-up scores, followed by Kyren Williams (26.80). Six other running backs scored between 20.00 and 25.00 fantasy points in PPR scoring. Here are the top five backs by scoring average after 15 weeks:

  • Christian McCaffrey (25.36)
  • Raheem Mostert (18.34)
  • Travis Etienne (16.91)
  • Rachaad White (16.24)
  • Alvin Kamara (15.62)

Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 16 DFS QB Report.

Top Tier Options

Rachaad White, TB (DK – $7,400/FD – $7,700)

White comes into this week as the highest-priced running back due to the highest options not playing on the main slate on Sunday. He scored seven touchdowns over the past seven games, gaining 765 yards with 21 catches (20.79 FPPG in DraftKings scoring). White averaged 21.57 touches over this span. His only game with more than 20.00 fantasy points at home came in Week 2 (21.30).

The Jaguars slipped to 17th in running back defense (23.16 FPPG), with three teams scoring more than 30.00 fantasy points. Over the past six weeks, they allowed seven touchdowns to rushers with fading value defending the run (168/816 – 4.9 yards per carry). Running backs have 94 catches for 654 yards and one score on 115 targets.

The Bucs’ offense played better over the past two weeks (nine touchdowns and four field goals over 21 possessions) while playing six of their last eight games on the road. White comes off back-to-back 20+ fantasy points game while trending much higher in the run game over his previous four matchups (15/100, 20/84/1, 25/102, and 21/89 – 4.6 yards per rush). He has a solid floor and an untapped ceiling. The SHARPS will ride this BAMF to the winner circle in Week 16.

Bijan Robinson, ATL (DK – $6,500/FD – $7,100)

In the most crucial week in the season-long games in the high-stakes market, Robinson gave his fantasy supporters…

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DFS

Week 15 DFS: Running Back Report

Week 15 DFS: Running Back Report The running back position remains inconsistent from week to week in all markets. Ezekiel Elliott seized his starting opportunity to lead the NFL in scoring (27.00 fantasy points) in Week 14. Breece Hall (26.60) […]

Week 15 DFS: Running Back Report

The running back position remains inconsistent from week to week in all markets. Ezekiel Elliott seized his starting opportunity to lead the NFL in scoring (27.00 fantasy points) in Week 14. Breece Hall (26.60) took home the silver medal, followed by James Cook (25.10) and Saquon Barkley (24.10). All four players ranked outside the top 10 at running back before last week. Here are the top five running backs by scoring average after 14 weeks:

  • Christian McCaffrey (24.11)
  • Raheem Mostert (18.34)
  • Travis Etienne (17.45)
  • Rachaad White (15.80)
  • Alvin Kamara (15.59)

Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 15 DFS QB Report.

Elite Option

Christian McCaffrey, SF (DK – $9,300/FD – $10,500)

Last week, McCaffrey busted a 72-yard run on the 49ers’ first play. Unfortunately, San Francisco gave him the next play off, leading to Jordan Mason sniping the touchdown on the next play. He finished with a productive day in yards (153) but only one catch and no scores. His streak of scoring at least 20.00 fantasy points ended at six games. The 49ers had him on the field for 89% of their plays. McCaffrey’s best outing came in Week 4 (20/106/3 with seven catches for 71 yards and one touchdown) against the Cardinals. After 13 games, he has 17 touchdowns.

Arizona ranks 31st in running back defense (27.93 FPPG), with two disaster showings (SF – 53.70 and LAR – 52.70 fantasy points). Backs scored 18 touchdowns, with some success catching the ball (61/382/6). Four teams rushed for more than 175 yards. Opponents average 31.4 rushes per game while gaining 4.4 yards per carry.

The scoring in the 49ers is all about the cycle of their four best players. McCaffrey has an elite opportunity in snaps and touches, and this matchup points to multiple touchdowns. He looks poised to score 30+ fantasy points while being challenging to fit into a winning lineup.

Top Tier Options

Kyren Williams, LAR (DK – $7,500/FD – $9,600)

Since returning from the injured list, Williams has been a beast in the Rams’ offense. Los Angeles had him on the field for 90%…

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DFS

Week 14 DFS: Running Back Report

Week 14 DFS: Running Back Report Joe Mixon (29.70) finished as the top-scoring running back in Week 13, lifting him to sixth in fantasy points (178.10) for the season. Alvin Kamara (28.90) won the runner-up prize, followed by De’Von Achane […]

Week 14 DFS: Running Back Report

Joe Mixon (29.70) finished as the top-scoring running back in Week 13, lifting him to sixth in fantasy points (178.10) for the season. Alvin Kamara (28.90) won the runner-up prize, followed by De’Von Achane (25.30) and Derek Henry (25.00). Five other running backs scored between 20.00 and 22.50 fantasy points. Here are the top five running backs by scoring average after 13 weeks:

  • Christian McCaffrey (24.76)
  • Raheem Mostert (17.95)
  • Travis Etienne (17.48)
  • Alvin Kamara (15.68)
  • Rachaad White (15.33)

Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 14 DFS QB Report.

Elite Tier Option

Christian McCaffrey, SF (DK – $9,200/FD – $10,500)

McCaffrey is the most consistent running back in the NFL. He holds close to a seven-point weekly average edge in PPR formats. His floor has been 20.00 fantasy points in 10 of his 12 starts while riding a six-game streak. His best two showings came in Week 4 (48.70) and Week 12 (30.90) vs. division opponents (ARI and SEA). The 49ers give him 21.75 touches a game. And McCaffrey has a score in every contest except Week 10. Two weeks ago, he gained 139 yards with two touchdowns and five catches against the Seahawks.

Seattle slipped to 28th in running back defense after three disaster games (42.00, 45.50, and 35.80 fantasy points) over the past five weeks. Running backs have 15 touchdowns vs. the Seahawks. They struggled in one game defending running backs in the passing game (WAS – 12/164/2). Baltimore (41/298/3) ran over them on the ground in Week 9.

I have McCaffrey projected as a difference-maker in Week 14, giving him a chance at four times his salary at DraftKings. The 49ers are red hot offensively, starting with elite quarterback play. The challenge is finding a winning roster behind him in the DFS market.

Top-Tier Options

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Jets Rookie RB Breece Hall
DFS

Week 13 DFS: Running Back Report

Week 13 DFS: Running Back Report The winning running back ticket landed on Kyren Williams (38.40 fantasy points) in Week 13. Christian McCaffrey (30.90) finished with the runner-up prize, followed by Bijan Robinson (27.30) and Isiah Pacheco (25.90). Seven other […]

 

Week 13 DFS: Running Back Report

The winning running back ticket landed on Kyren Williams (38.40 fantasy points) in Week 13. Christian McCaffrey (30.90) finished with the runner-up prize, followed by Bijan Robinson (27.30) and Isiah Pacheco (25.90). Seven other running backs scored between 20.00 and 22.50 fantasy points. Here are the top five running backs by scoring average after 12 weeks:

  • Christian McCaffrey (24.98)
  • Raheem Mostert (18.48)
  • Travis Etienne (17.44)
  • Rachaad White (14.94)
  • Josh Jacobs (14.61)

Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 13 DFS QB Report and TE Report.

Top Tier Options

Christian McCaffrey, SF (DK – $9,000/FD – $9,800)

Even with his second-best fantasy game (30.90) in Week 12, McCaffrey didn’t score high enough to fill his current salary bucket. He has a floor of 20.00 fantasy points over the past five weeks, averaging 21.6 touches. The 49ers have had him on the field for 76% of their plays or more over his last five starts. His best showing (20/106/3 with seven catches for 71 yards and one touchdown) of the year came in Week 4. Last year, McCaffrey gained 106 combined yards with one touchdown and four catches against the Eagles.

Philadelphia has the best defense in the NFL vs. running backs (15.63 FPPG). They allow 4.1 yards per rush, with backs scoring only two touchdowns. Kansas City (30/168) and Buffalo (40/173/2) ran the ball well against them over the past two weeks, but 119 yards (34.9%) came from the quarterback position. Running backs have 58 catches for 359 yards on 75 targets.

McCaffrey doesn’t have the best matchup. The 49ers will ride him early and often in this game, with an uptick of value in the passing game should be expected. He needs multiple touchdowns and at least one big play to be in the mix in Week 13. 

Alvin Kamara, NO (DK – $8,200/FD – $8,300)

The fun and excitement of Kamara left the building over the last three weeks. His regression in stats over this span came from…

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Jonathan Taylor
DFS

Week 12 DFS: Running Back Report

Week 12 DFS: Running Back Report Saquon Barkley (30.00) was the best running back in the league in Week 12. That was despite playing on the road with a third-string quarterback and a questionable offensive line. No other back scored […]

Week 12 DFS: Running Back Report

Saquon Barkley (30.00) was the best running back in the league in Week 12. That was despite playing on the road with a third-string quarterback and a questionable offensive line. No other back scored more than 24.00 fantasy points in PPR formats. Jaylen Warren (23.50), Jahmyr Gibbs (21.50), and Christian McCaffrey (21.30) rounded out this week’s running back superfecta. Here are the top five running backs by scoring average after 11 weeks:

  • Christian McCaffrey (24.39)
  • Raheem Mostert (18.19)
  • Travis Etienne (17.92)
  • Rachaad White (15.13)
  • D’Andre Swift (15.07)

Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 11 DFS QB Report and TE Report.

Top Tier Options

Jonathan Taylor, IND (DK – $6,900/FD – $7,500)

In their last game, the Colts had Jonathan Taylor on the field for 88% of their snaps, compared to 16% by Zack Moss. Taylor averaged 20.3 touches over Indy’s previous four games, with 361 combined yards, three touchdowns, and 10 catches. He ran the ball well in his last two home starts (30/170/1 – 5.7 yards per rush), with success in the passing game (4/47). 

Tampa Bay comes into Week 12 with the fourth-best defense against running backs (16.31 FPPG), with no team scoring more than 25.00 fantasy points. The Bucs allow 3.7 yards per rush (241/900/4). Backs have 50 catches for 309 yards (6.2 YPC) and two touchdowns on 59 targets. 

Four of the top seven running backs are off the main slate on Sunday, including Christian McCaffrey and Austin Ekeler. Taylor doesn’t have the best matchup, and Indy could always rotate in Zack Moss to steal away some of his upside. Taylor should be in daily gamer thoughts in Week 12 based on potential opportunity and explosiveness.

 

 

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DFS

Week 11 DFS: Running Back Report

Week 11 DFS: Running Back Report Brian Robinson surprised in the passing game (6/119/1) against Seattle, highlighted by a 51-yard catch and run for a touchdown, helping him to the top running back production (157 yards with one score and […]

Week 11 DFS: Running Back Report

Brian Robinson surprised in the passing game (6/119/1) against Seattle, highlighted by a 51-yard catch and run for a touchdown, helping him to the top running back production (157 yards with one score and six catches) in Week 10. Jahmyr Gibbs (26.20 fantasy points) finished second, giving him an explosive run over the last three weeks (82.70 fantasy points). A starting job and over 80% of the running back snaps for Devin Singletary (30/150/1 with one catch for 11 yards) led to him rounding out the trifecta. Finally, only three other running backs score more than 20.00 fantasy points – Austin Ekeler (21.50), Javonte Williams (21.00), and Christian McCaffrey (20.20). Here are the top five running backs by scoring average after 10 games:

  • Christian McCaffrey (24.73)
  • Raheem Mostert (19.07)
  • Travis Etienne (18.92)
  • Kenneth Walker (15.00)
  • Rachaad White (14.83)

Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 11 DFS QB Report and TE Report.

Top Tier Options

Christian McCaffrey, SF (DK – $9,300/FD – $10,000)

Nine games into 2023, McCaffrey only has one impact game (20/106/3 with seven catches for 71 yards and a touchdown) on his resume. His six high-floor outcomes (25.90, 22.50, 22.90, 23.60, 29.80, and 20.20) work well in the season-long contest but a more challenging piece to win with in the DFS market. A big lead by the 49ers vs. Jacksonville led to McCaffrey being on the field for 76% of their plays, coming after two high snaps games (100% and 97%). His scoring streak ended at 17 games in Week 10.

Tampa Bay comes into this matchup with the second-best defense vs. running backs (15.49 FPPG). No team scored more than 25.00 fantasy points from their backs in any game vs. the Bucs in 2023. Also, they allow 3.7 yards per rush, with running backs scoring only one touchdown (via the pass – 45/284/1 on 54 targets). Quarterbacks scored four times on the ground. However, the Eagles’ backs had the best success (30/173 with two catches for 13 yards).

McCaffrey has two data points that make him an against-the-grain option in Week 11. His salary requires 37+ fantasy points vs. a team that limits the damage in running back scoring. When the best player in the game is expected to be on a low number of rosters with the tools to post a monster showing on any given Sunday, he must be in the mix in the DFS market if possible…

 

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DFS

Week 10 DFS: Running Back Report

Week 10 DFS: Running Back Report The top-tier running backs were a major disappointment last week, partly due to the top two options (Christian McCaffrey and Travis Etienne) being on a bye. Alvin Kamara (11.00), Breece Hall (10.00), and DeAndre […]

Week 10 DFS: Running Back Report

The top-tier running backs were a major disappointment last week, partly due to the top two options (Christian McCaffrey and Travis Etienne) being on a bye. Alvin Kamara (11.00), Breece Hall (10.00), and DeAndre Swift (9.4) fell short of expectations in fantasy points. Rachaad White took advantage of his favorable matchup to post his best outing (20/73/2 and 4/46) of his young career. Only four other backs (Rhamondre Stevenson – 22.90, Josh Jacobs – 21.80, Austin Ekeler – 21.00, and Keaton Mitchell – 20.80) scored more than 20.00 fantasy points. Here are the top five running backs by scoring average in PPR formats after nine weeks:

  • Christian McCaffrey (25.30)
  • Travis Etienne (20.49)
  • Raheem Mostert (19.07)
  • Derrick Henry (15.34)
  • Josh Jacobs (14.56)

Gus Edwards has been the top-scoring back over the last three weeks (21.40, 29.40, and 17.20).

Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 9 DFS QB Report and TE Report.

Elite Options

Christian McCaffrey, SF (DK – $9,200/FD – $10,500)

For any daily gamer starting their roster with McCaffrey, they tied up 18.4% of the salary at DraftKings and 17.5% at FanDuel. He averages 26.43 and 23.05 fantasy points at those sites, giving him a floor of 2.87X and 2.19X if McCaffrey hits his scoring average. His only impact game (48.70 fantasy points) came in Week 4 vs. the Cardinals at home. He scored at least 22.50 fantasy points in five other matchups, with his second-highest output (29.80) coming in Week 8.

McCaffrey gains his edge by scoring touchdowns (13 over eight games). He reached paydirt in 17 consecutive contests. Over his last two starts, the 49ers had him on the field for 98.2% of their snaps.

The Jaguars are about league average in running back defense (15th – 19.68 FPPG), with their down games in fantasy points allowed coming in Week 6 (29.40) and Week 7 (30.70). Over the last three games, running backs have been productive in catches (1IND – 11/84, NO – 12/91, and PIT – 9/61) while receiving 38 combined targets. Jacksonville allowed 3.6 yards per rush (16.9 attempts per game by running backs). No team has scored more than one rushing touchdown in a game (four total by running backs).

For McCaffrey to pay off in Week 10, the Jaguars’ defense would have to have their worst day of the season. Also, the 49ers’ top back would have to score almost all of the team’s fantasy points. On the positive side, he could have his best day catching the ball based on the direction of Jacksonville’s defense in this area over the past three weeks. McCaffrey has the highest floor in the game while forcing a DFS player to be creative when filling out the backend of their roster.

 

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DFS

Week 9 DFS: Running Back Report

Week 9 DFS: Running Back Report Jahmyr Gibbs (29.90 fantasy points) was the highest-scoring running back in Week 8 in PPR formats, coming on the heels of another top-showing (11/68/1 with nine catches for 58 yards). Christian McCaffrey (29.80) and […]

Week 9 DFS: Running Back Report

Jahmyr Gibbs (29.90 fantasy points) was the highest-scoring running back in Week 8 in PPR formats, coming on the heels of another top-showing (11/68/1 with nine catches for 58 yards). Christian McCaffrey (29.80) and Gus Edwards (29.40) filled out the running back trifecta. Five other running backs scored more than 20.00 fantasy points. Alvin Kamara (24.57) and Travis Etienne (23.97) averaged the most fantasy points per game in PPR formats over the past three weeks. Here are the top five running backs by scoring average over the first eight weeks:

  • Christian McCaffrey (25.30)
  • Travis Etienne (20.49)
  • Raheem Mostert (19.64)
  • Kenneth Walker (16.09)
  • Zack Moss (15.65)

Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 9 DFS QB Report and TE Report.

Top-Tier Options

Alvin Kamara, NO (DK – $8,100/FD – $9,200)

The excellent opportunity continued in Week 8 for Kamara. He gained 110 combined yards with two touchdowns and four catches on 21 touches against the Colts. The Saints gave him the ball 125 times over his first five starts, leading to 110 yards and 7.8 catches per game. Taysom Hill sniped three rushing touchdowns over the past two weeks while also stealing 14 rushes for 81 yards.

Chicago ranks 27th in running back defense (25.54 FPPG), with most of their struggles coming over the first three games (34.50, 23.20, and 46.30 fantasy points). The Bears continue to play well vs. the run (193/630/4 – 3.3 yards per carry), but backs have 48 catches for 497 yards and five touchdowns on 61 targets. 

Kamara holds his floor in most weeks due to his value in the passing game. His rising salary requires more than 32.00 fantasy points at DraftKings, but he can’t reach that level without at least one long play and a touchdown. New Orleans will get Jamaal Williams involved, and Hill has been stealing away his explosiveness. Playing well, and the Saints’ offense should score in this game.

Saquon Barkley, NYG (DK – $7,900/FD – $8,600)

The Giants’ offense has been dismal in seven of the eight games, leading them averaging only 11.9 points per game. Over the last three weeks, Barkley has been a big part of New York’s game plan (81/298 with 19 catches for 46 yards and one touchdown on 91 touches). Daniel Jones returns this week, along with LT Andrew Thomas, breathing life into all offensive players for the Giants. Barkley posted one playable game (27.20 fantasy points) in Week 2.

Las Vegas fell to 29th in running back defense (27.34 FPPG) after struggling over the past three weeks (31.80, 40.80, and 38.50 fantasy points). The Raiders allow 4.5 yards per rush, with backs scoring 11 touchdowns. Over the past two games, Chicago and Detroit rushed for 395 yards with three touchdowns. Running backs have 42 catches for 267 yards and one score on 56 targets.

With Daniel Jones back in the starting lineup, Barkley will see…

 

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