Deshaun Watson

Joe Burow
DFS

NFL Week 1 Bengals at Browns: DFS & Fantasy Preview

September 1, 2023 Shawn Childs

NFL Week 1 Bengals at Browns: DFS & Fantasy Preview Betting Line: Bengals – 2 Over/Under: 47.5 The Bengals have an elite quarterback (Joe Burrow) supported by two high-ceiling wideouts (Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins). Their quest heading into 2023 […]

NFL Week 1 Bengals at Browns: DFS & Fantasy Preview

Betting Line: Bengals – 2

Over/Under: 47.5

The Bengals have an elite quarterback (Joe Burrow) supported by two high-ceiling wideouts (Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins). Their quest heading into 2023 is a return to the Super Bowl while bringing home a championship to their fans. In the offseason, Cincinnati tried to upgrade their tight end position (Irv Smith). To continue their rise in the AFC, their defense must stop offenses in the most critical part of the game – the fourth quarter.

It’s showtime for Deshaun Watson after the Browns paid him $230 million in 2022. Cleveland has a stud running back with Nick Chubb, with improving depth and upside at wide receiver – Amari Cooper, Elijah Moore, Donovan Peoples-Jones, Cedric Tillman, and David Bell. In addition, the Browns have a developing tight end (David Njoku).

Note: The fantasy points per $1,000 are based on the early projections for Week 1.

The above grid shows the top players excepted to contribute in Week 1 in the fantasy games. I listed each player’s salary at DraftKings and FanDuel, plus their fantasy points expected per $1,000 of salary invested. In GPP (grand prize pools) events, the goal is to find players with a chance to score four times their salary at DraftKings ($50,000 salary cap and three times at FanDuel ($60,000 salary cap). 

Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow

  • Last year, Burrow scored more than 30.00 fantasy points in four of his first 12 starts (35.50, 44.05, 32.25, and 32.90). The Browns kept him in check (17.80 and 19.95 fantasy points) in his two matchups.
  • In his rookie season, he posted two stellar games (335/3 and 440/4) against Cleveland.
  • The Browns had the best quarterback fantasy defense (15.00 FPPG) in 2022, one notch above Cincinnati’s pass defense.
  • The key for Burrow in this matchup is a longer pass window.
  • His calf issue appears to be healed, but the fantasy market needs to see him in game action before trusting that Burrow is on top of his game.
  • His matchup suggests fading him, but Cinci had too many receiving weapons to avoid Burrow. In addition, the Browns should score in this matchup.
  • He needs at least 300 yards with three touchdowns to be in the mix in the daily games in Week 1.

 

Joe Mixon

  • Mixon’s ticket came in only once last season (Week 6 – 55.10 fantasy points), helping me win $250,000 at DraftKings. He scored between 17.00 and 21.50 fantasy points) in six matchups, none of which would support his current salary.
  • The Bengals will rotate in a second running back, but Mixon may have a more significant role out of the gate.
  • Burrow will use his running backs in the passing game close to the goal line – 103/796/7 on 132 targets. Their backs had the third most catches (103) in the league in 2022.
  • Three times his salary seems reasonable, leaving some upside if Mixon hits on a second touchdown or a bunch of receptions.
  • Viable rotational running back upside in Week 1.

 

Ja’Marr Chase

To finish reading this in-depth fantasy and DFS break down of Week 1…

 

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Javonte Williams
Season Long – All Sports

2023 Fantasy Football Bounce-Back Players

August 16, 2023 Jody Smith

2023 Fantasy Football Bounce-Back Players Each fantasy season, a group of players underperformed the previous year or saw their output fall short of expectations due to injuries. A veteran player with a proven resume often has a bounce-back season the […]

2023 Fantasy Football Bounce-Back Players

Each fantasy season, a group of players underperformed the previous year or saw their output fall short of expectations due to injuries. A veteran player with a proven resume often has a bounce-back season the following year while having a discounted price.

Identifying these rebound players can offer fantasy football fans a huge advantage on draft day. However, the key question is: which are the best options to regain their form in 2023? 

Here are the top 2023 Fantasy Football Bounce-Back Players to keep in mind on draft day.

Deshaun Watson (Cleveland Browns)

With no fantasy value in 2021 and 2022 due to his off-the-field issues, the fantasy market has forgotten how good Watson was when on top of his game. Over his final seven games in 2020, he averaged 356 combined yards with 17 touchdowns. Also, he posted a nifty 9.4 yards per pass attempt. 

Watson’s top five receivers that season were Brandin Cooks (81/1,150/6), Will Fuller (53/879/8), Randall Cobb (38/441/3), Jordan Akins (37/403/1), and David Johnson (33/314/2). He turned 28 in mid-September, putting him in the prime of his career.

Last year, Cleveland’s top three receivers (Amari Cooper – 78/1,160/9, Donovan Peoples-Jones – 61/839/3, and David Njoku – 58/628/4) had productive years even with Jacoby Brissett starting 11 games. Also, the Browns added Elijah Moore and Cedric Tillman in the offseason. Plus, they also have reliable depth at tight end (Harrison Bryant and Jordan Akins) and an upside David Bell on the roster. Watson is an excellent second-tier quarterback in…

WHO ARE THE TOP FIVE 2023 FANTASY FOOTBALL BOUNCE-BACK CANDIDATES?

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?
Season Long - FFWC

Player X names his 2023 Sleeper, Breakout & Bust.

August 8, 2023 Jody Smith

Our annual Flagship Feature is called Preseason Pro. This 2023 Preseason Pro: Player X gives you exclusive insight you can find only at FullTime Fantasy. This year’s Preseason Pro picks are included FREE with your FullTime Fantasy Membership! What makes […]

NFL training camps are underway. That means the fantasy football draft season has finally arrived! Our annual Flagship Feature is called Preseason Pro. This 2023 Preseason Pro: Ian Ritchie gives you exclusive insight you can find only at FullTime Fantasy.

Here at FullTime Fantasy, we’ve assembled the very best high-stakes players in the world; 5 of the Top 10 World-Ranked players, and one of the top RANKERS in the country — to help you win your Fantasy Football league.

Nobody else in the industry can bring you this type of information. Also, we host the Fantasy Football World Championships and these players are gracious enough to lend us a hand to help promote the very best content in the industry.

Each of them is putting their reputation on the line for all to see and is providing us with their:

ONE Top Sleeper, ONE Breakout, ONE Bust

ONE Comeback, and ONE late-round Stash & Cash.

to help you with your upcoming draft. However- it’s only one per category! They don’t know what anyone else has submitted so you’re getting the unvarnished gut check from the very best players in the world. High rollers have offered some of them literally hundreds of dollars for this kind of private advice. And that’s just for just one opinion. Here you’re getting no less than SEVEN, and Preseason Pro continues to be the elite product of the fantasy season.

This year’s Preseason Pro picks are included FREE with your FullTime Fantasy Membership!

JOIN NOW

What makes their opinion so worthy? Simple. They win. Year in and year out they’re winners. While some may ask, “Why would they help me?”, there is no question that when their pride and integrity are on the line, they step up and make bold calls to help others. When we have questions on Sunday, this is who we call. We’re essentially bringing our high-stakes connections to FullTime Fantasy.

When your league is on the line, who do you trust? A magazine that contains out-of-date news? No. Those days are over. Not all experts are considered equal.

WHO IS PLAYER X?  That’s a mystery. However, we assure you that this player is a noteworthy veteran of the high-stakes community. Player X has accumulated a staggering bankroll and won multiple high-stakes titles. They’re legends among multiple high-stakes formats and in Las Vegas.

Player X also has racked up impressive wins at the Fantasy Football World Championship. While this person won’t reveal their identity, they agreed to share some of the insight and players they’ve been targeting so far in the 2023 fantasy football season.

?— BREAKOUT — 

George Pickens (WR) Pittsburgh Steelers – George Pickens has a chance to be a SUPERSTAR in this league if he is given the volume to succeed.  He makes catches and plays that other players physically cannot make and he does it routinely.

Pickens has a Randy Moss-esque star power about him and the tools to play like him, it just comes down to Kenny Pickett feeding him the ball. A quick search on social media will show some of the eye-opening plays that the sophomore wideout has already made in training camp.

Also, Having Diontae Johnson on the other side with TE Pat Freiermuth in the middle means defenses cannot have a singular focus to stop Pickens and anytime he has 1-1 coverage, the ball MUST go his way.  And if it does, you are seeing a potential top-10 fantasy wide receiver. ..

 

WHO WILL BE PLAYER X’S SLEEPER, BUST, COMEBACK, AND LATE-ROUND STATSH FOR THE UPCOMING FANTASY FOOTBALL SEASON?

 

To finish reading these Preseason Pro picks for Sleeper, Bust, Breakout, Comeback, and Stash & Cash for 2023…

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Nick Chubb
Season Long – All Sports

2023 Cleveland Browns Outlook

July 10, 2023 Shawn Childs

2023  Cleveland Browns Outlook The 2023 NFL season is right around the corner and that means fantasy football drafts are underway. Before you assemble your championship dynasty, redraft, or high-stakes squad, FullTime Fantasy members will have an in-depth, player-by-player preview […]

2023  Cleveland Browns Outlook

The 2023 NFL season is right around the corner and that means fantasy football drafts are underway. Before you assemble your championship dynasty, redraft, or high-stakes squad, FullTime Fantasy members will have an in-depth, player-by-player preview of all 32 teams from football legend Shawn Childs.

Also, check out Jody Smith’s NFL offensive line rankings and exclusive 2023 Strength of Schedule analysis.

Up next in our extensive NFL and fantasy football preview series is Shawn’s deep dive into the 2023 Cleveland Browns Outlook.

— Quarterback —

Deshaun Watson

Over his final three seasons with the Texans, Watson went 25-22 with two winning years (11-5 and 10-5). His completion rate (68.7) and yards per pass attempt (8.3) were exceptional, but he ranked below the league average in pass attempts per game (32.9). Watson had his best fantasy season in 2020 (led the NFL in passing yards – 4,823) while delivering 36 combined touchdowns. He was active in the run game from 2018 to 2020 (99/551/5, 82/413/7, and 90/44/3). His most significant obstacle to success came via sacks (62, 44, and 49) during this span.

The Browns ranked poorly in passing attempts (539 – 19th, 501 – 28th, 520 – 28th, and 540 – 21st) and passing yards (3,847 – 22nd, 3,701 – 27th, 3,619 – 27th, and 3710 – 23rd) over the past four seasons. 

Watson wasn’t worth the investment by Cleveland last season, putting their coaching staff on the hit seat in 2023 if they don’t make the playoffs. He had 31 or fewer passes in five of his starts, leading to fewer than 170 yards passing in four games and only two matchups with more than one score. Watson held form in the run game (36/175/1) but had weakness in his completion rate (58.2 – 67.8 over his previous 1,748 pass attempts) and yards per pass attempt (6.5 – 8.3 before 2022).

Fantasy Outlook: Cleveland upgraded their wide receiving corps in the offseason by trading for Elijah Moore and drafting Cedric Tillman. Amari Cooper (78/1,160/9), Donovan Peoples-Jones (61/839/3), and David Njoku (58/628/4) played well in 2022, giving Watson plenty of firepower to move the ball. His career path suggests that 4,500 combined yards and 30 touchdowns are a reasonable floor. If Tillman and Moore play well, Watson should beat his early draft ranking at quarterback (9th).

Dorian Thompson-Robinson

Over his 49 games in college, Thompson-Robinson passed for 10,695 yards with 88 touchdowns and 36 interceptions. He helped his value with his production (471/1,828/28) on the ground. His completion rate (69.6) moved to an elite area in his senior year at USC. Thompson-Robinson scored 39 times in 2022 with a combined 3,801 yards over 13 starts.

Other Options: Joshua Dobbs, Kellen Mond

— Running Backs —

Other than rushing attempts (450), the Browns’ running backs regressed in rushing yards (2,104), yards per rush (4.7), touchdowns (18), catches (67), receiving yards (464), and targets (88) from 2021. Their backs gained a combined 2,568 yards, leading to 25.4 FPPG in PPR formats. Cleveland should run the ball well over 500 times this year, but Deshaun Watson will steal touchdowns and many carries.

Nick Chubb

Over five seasons with the Browns, Chubb has been a phenomenal running back based on his yards per rush (5.2, 5.0, 5.6, 5.5, and 5.0). He was a workhorse back in 2019 (334 touches), leading to 1,772 combined yards with eight touchdowns and 36 catches. 

Chubb missed seven games in 2020 and 2021 while also losing touches to a second rotational back. He averaged 17.7 touches in 2021 (17.2 in 2020) while ranking him 13th in running back scoring (216.30) in PPR formats. Surprisingly, Chubb was a much better player on the road (810 combined yards with six touchdowns and 11 catches over seven games). He gained more than 100 yards rushing in five matchups (once at home).

Last season, Chubb posted the best year of his career (282.40 fantasy points – 6th), leading to new tops in rush attempts (302), rushing yards (1,525), and touchdowns (13). He gained more than 100 combined yards in 11 games, with seven of those outcomes coming over the first eight games. His season ended with no rushing scores over six consecutive matchups when Deshaun Watson took over at quarterback. Cleveland gave him less than half of their running back pass-catching opportunity (27/239/1).

Fantasy Outlook: With Kareem Hunt off the roster, Chubb looks poised to push his stats higher. His ceiling will remain limited in the passing game, and Deshaun Watson will snip some rushing scores. On the positive side, a better quarterback should lead to more offense by the Browns. Let’s shoot for 350 touches for 1,850 yards with 14 scores and 30 catches. Chubb is the seventh-ranked running back selected in the early draft season in the high-stakes market.

Jerome Ford

Cleveland added Ford in the fifth round in 2021 after having his best season (215/1,319 with 21 catches for 220 yards and one score) in college. He had a limited opportunity over his first three years (696 combined yards with 11 touchdowns and ten catches). 

His speed is better than the league average at the running back position. Ford runs with an upright style with the ability to sidestep defenders and break tackles. He will take what the defense will give him while having the gear to finish long runs with scores if given a lane. With more experience, Ford will develop into a better runner.

Fantasy Outlook: The backup running back position is up for grabs in 2023. Ford is the front-runner to take over the Kareem Hunt role in the Browns’ offense…

WHAT CAN WE EXPECT OUT OF THE BROWNS IN 2023?

To finish reading Shawn’s in-depth 2023 team outlook, with in-depth offseason reports, projections, and fantasy outlooks for all players

 

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Check out our FREE profiles of top RB Bijan Robinson and elite WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba to see the kind of in-depth reports you can expect, only from FullTime Fantasy! 

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