Week 4 DFS: Running Back Report

September 29, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 4 DFS: Running Back Report Last week we had some breakout performances. That included running backs, with five rushers eclipsing 20 points. A pair even topped 40. Oddly, they were on the same team. Our Week 4 DFS: Running […]

Week 4 DFS: Running Back Report

Last week we had some breakout performances. That included running backs, with five rushers eclipsing 20 points. A pair even topped 40. Oddly, they were on the same team. Our Week 4 DFS: Running Back Report looks for the next huge game to insert into your daily lineups.

Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 3 DFS QB Report.

Top Tier Options

Christian McCaffrey, SF (DK – $9,200/FD – $9,700

Over the first three games, McCaffrey scored between 22.50 and 25.90 fantasy points in each matchup with PPR scoring. He extended his touchdown streak to 12 games but scored twice in only one contest. In addition, McCaffrey gained more than 100 yards in each of his starts (152, 116, and 119) while averaging 3.7 catches. Last season, he had 108 combined yards with one touchdown and nine catches vs. the Cardinals while playing with Carolina. With San Fran against Arizona in other matchups, McCaffrey gained 185 yards with one score and 10 catches.

The Cardinals sit 25th defending running backs (75/325/1 with 15 catches for 82 yards and three touchdowns on 17 targets). The Cowboys ran the ball well against them in Week 3 (33/185 – 5.6 yards per rush). Their pass rush (11 sacks) has been better than expected out of the gate, and Arizona played from the lead in all three of their games through the third quarter.

McCaffrey is an absolute beast on a path to being the best running back in the game in 2023. The 49ers will ride him hard when needed (100% of their snaps in Week 2) while resting him when playing from a big lead. His floor has been three times his salary, putting him a second touchdown away from 30.00 fantasy points. The second half could be in the hands of Elijah Mitchell on many plays, so McCaffrey will need to get his scoring and yards early in the game. He is rated as the top running back…

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Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 4

September 29, 2023 Adam Krautwurst

We found some big names to target and fade last week. The results were mixed. However, more injuries mounted, so […]

Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 4

September 28, 2023 Jody Smith

Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 4 FullTime Fantasy has been synonymous with accurate fantasy football rankings for years. Our rankings have garnered numerous industry accolades, with several top-5 finishes in season-long, weekly, and even sports betting accuracy. This is […]

Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 4

FullTime Fantasy has been synonymous with accurate fantasy football rankings for years. Our rankings have garnered numerous industry accolades, with several top-5 finishes in season-long, weekly, and even sports betting accuracy. This is the home of our FullTime Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 4.

Ranking You Can Trust

Our staff was ranked No. 1 last season, with not one but TWO analysts inside the top 10. With projections powered by NFBC Hall-of-Fame writer Shawn Childs and former FantasyPro’s Most Accurate Expert Jody Smith, FullTime Fantasy Members get instant access to reliable and trustworthy weekly rankings.

Additionally, Jody and Adam Krautwurst co-host the FullTime Fantasy Podcast, which is live-streamed weekly on YouTube. The guys are also active in the FullTime Fantasy Discord channel, helping answer all fantasy and sports betting inquiries.

Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 4

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Week 4 NFL Player Props

September 27, 2023 Matt Brandon

Week 4 NFL Prop Bets Week 3 was another profitable weekend for the bettors at FullTime Fantasy. We went 5-2 (+2.6 units) and are now 10-4 (+5.0 units) on the season. Garrett Wilson was a mere one yard away from […]

Week 4 NFL Prop Bets

Week 3 was another profitable weekend for the bettors at FullTime Fantasy. We went 5-2 (+2.6 units) and are now 10-4 (+5.0 units) on the season. Garrett Wilson was a mere one yard away from us producing a 6-1 record last week. Let’s see if we can continue this trend of winning wagers in our Week 4 NFL Prop Bets.

Through three weeks of the season, there have been more injuries than usual and countless surprise performances. In the fantasy football world, not many people would have expected Kirk Cousins as the QB1, Raheem Mostert as the RB1, Keenan Allen as the WR1, and T.J. Hockenson as the TE1.

Perhaps some may have predicted Hock as a top tight end but Sam Laporta, Hunter Henry, and Evan Engram are just behind him before Travis Kelce rounds out the top-five tight ends. All this is to say that anything can happen on any given Sunday.

However, fantasy football owners definitely have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below.

Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 4 NFL prop bets.

Justin Fields OVER 184.5 Passing Yards (-115)

I know, I know, how is it possible to put your trust in Fields’ arm after his less-than-mediocre start to the 2023 campaign? Well, Fields gets a juicy matchup against a Denver Broncos team that just allowed a whopping 70 points to the Miami Dolphins. The winless Bears will host the winless Broncos at Soldier Field and this is the perfect get-right game for Fields and the rest of the Chicago offense.

Although Fields only managed to throw for 99 yards last week against the Kansas City Chiefs, he did eclipse 200 passing yards in each of his first two contests of the season. With better weapons than he has had in previous seasons, particularly in D.J. Moore, look for Fields to right the ship in Week 4.

The Broncos are currently allowing…

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Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 4

September 27, 2023 Jody Smith

Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 4 There were some huge performances last week and Week 4 is getting off to a promising start as the Detroit Lions travel to Wisconsin to take on the Green Bay Packers. FullTime Fantasy‘s Thursday […]

Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 4

There were some huge performances last week and Week 4 is getting off to a promising start as the Detroit Lions travel to Wisconsin to take on the Green Bay Packers. FullTime Fantasy‘s Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 4 breaks down this week’s NFC North battle.

The Lions had a quiet showing on Sunday but were able to move to 2-1 by topping Atlanta. Detroit is optimistic that both LT Taylor Decker and RB David Montgomery will return for this game. Both would be welcomed additions in fantasy football circles.

Meanwhile, the Packers are also looking at substantial reinforcements. WR Christian Watson and RB Aaron Jones are expected to play. Detroit enters this game as 1.5-point favorites and the over/under has risen to 46.

Matchup

TEAM	OFFENSE	PASS	RUSH	YDS/PLAY	POINTS
Detroit Lions	8	7	11	5	12
Green Bay Packers	22	18	23	15	8

Similar to last season, Detroit boasts a potent and balanced offense. The Lions are capable of moving the ball on the ground or through the air quite well. They also protect the quarterback well and avoid turnovers.

However, Detroit tends to be much more potent at home. Also, the Packers have dominated this series at Lambeau, winning 21 of the last 25.

Green Bay’s offense stands out in one key area. Scoring touchdowns. The Packers rank fifth in the NFL in third down conversion rate. Also, they’re top-10 in offense and defense red-zone efficiency.

The Packers opened as slight favorites. However, the line has shifted to Detroit now being favored.

Detroit Offense

Jared Goff posted a 109.3 QB Rating and tossed 23 of his 29 touchdowns at home last season. Goff played well on the road in Week 1 and…

How will Thursday’s Lions vs. Packers game go?

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Fantasy Football Injury Rundown

September 26, 2023 Jody Smith

In a game like football, that embraces speed and hits, injuries are inevitable. It’s unfortunate, but the hope is that […]

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 4

September 25, 2023 Jody Smith

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 4 Week 3 had some unreal performances. Any time that happens, you can expect a flurry of Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 4 activity. That’s when it is crucial to know not only what players […]

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 4

Week 3 had some unreal performances. Any time that happens, you can expect a flurry of Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 4 activity. That’s when it is crucial to know not only what players to target, but how much of your remaining FAAB budget you should allocate to acquire their services.

Here are the top fantasy football waiver wire: Week 4 players to target—also, a recommended FAAB value to spend.

FAAB denotes Free Agent Acquisition Budget

De’Von Achane (RB) Miami Dolphins (50%+ FAAB) – Sunday’s trouncing of the Broncos looked like a Tecmo Super Bowl performance versus the computer. We talked about Achane’s big-play ability in our Rookie Scouting Profile. However, even we didn’t see this performance coming. Achane turned 22 touches into 233 yards and four touchdowns on Sunday. Obviously, that won’t happen again. But Achane will stay involved. If he happens to be available in your league, don’t let another manager outbid you.

Zack Moss (RB) Indianapolis Colts (20% FAAB) – Moss headlined our Week 3 waiver wire piece. The veteran came through with another outstanding performance in Baltimore. However, the looming return of Jonathan Taylor complicates things. On one hand, Taylor could make Moss irrelevant. However, if Taylor is traded or doesn’t get activated, Moss offers RB2 ability for the rest of the season. If people were sleeping last week and failed to add Moss, be prepared to make a sizable bid to take that chance.

Tank Dell (WR) Houston Texans…

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Advanced NFL Snap Counts Report: Week 3

September 25, 2023 Scott Atkins

Snap counts tell us who is playing but they don’t always paint a clear picture of who is producing for […]

Week 3 DFS: Running Back Report

September 23, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 3 DFS: Running Back Report A late surge in the fourth quarter by Brian Robinson (two touchdowns) pushed him to the top of running back scoring in Week 2, edging out Kyren Williams (28.00), Saquan Barkley (27.20, and D’Andre […]

Week 3 DFS: Running Back Report

A late surge in the fourth quarter by Brian Robinson (two touchdowns) pushed him to the top of running back scoring in Week 2, edging out Kyren Williams (28.00), Saquan Barkley (27.20, and D’Andre Swift (27.10). Six other running backs scored more than 20.00 fantasy points. Here are the top five back in scoring in PPR leagues after two games:

Christian McCaffrey (48.40)
Kyren Williams (22.70)
Brian Robinson (42.50)
Tony Pollard (42.10)
Bijan Robinson (20.75)

There have already been three significant injuries to running backs (Austin Ekeler, Nick Chubb, and Saquon Barkley), sending fantasy managers to an ultra-thin waiver wire to solve their injury woes.

Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 3 DFS QB Report, WR Report, and TE Report.

Top Tier Options

Tony Pollard, DAL (DK – $8,000/FD – $9,400)

Over the first two weeks of the season, the Cowboys have played from the lead for about 150 minutes while never trailing in a game. They’ve struggled to run the ball in other matches (4.1 and 3.0 yards per rush) despite averaging 37 carries. Pollard has been on the field for 64% of their snaps in both contests, leading to 191 combined yards with two touchdowns and nine catches (42.10 fantasy points in PPR formats). He is well behind last year’s pace in yards per rush (3.6 – 5.2 in 2022) and yards per catch (5.4 – 9.5 in 2022). Pollard scored eight of his 12 touchdowns at home last season.

The Cardinals defended running back well over the first two games (44/149/1 – 3.4 yards per carry). They’ve allowed two receiving scores to backs, with minimal damage in catches (8) and receiving yards (46). Arizona finished 27th in running back defense (27.39 FPPG) in 2022.

Pollard had seven rushes inside the five-yard line and 12 inside the 10 yards. I didn’t like to see Rico Dowdle on the field near the goal line last week on one series. But Dowdle failed to reach paydirt in his two chances. Pollard’s 32 touches in Week 2 were career-high. His salary in the DFS market requires an impact game. That is something he achieved only once in 2022 (149 combined yards with three touchdowns and one catch). I see a correct game coming in big plays, giving him a chance to be the top running back of the week.

Bijan Robinson, ATL (DK – $8,000/FD – $9,000)

The fantasy market got a taste of the potential in Week 2 vs. the Packers. Atlanta gave him 24 touches compared to 16 by Tyler Allgeier, leading to a wide edge in combined yards (172 to 48). His snap count rose from 63% to 72%. Robinson had 39 touches on the year while averaging 6.2 yards per rush. Two of his plays gained at least 20 yards.

His first road start comes in Detroit, matching him against the electric Jahmyr Gibbs. The Lions played well vs. the run over the first two games (23/90 and 25/82/2 – 3.6 yards per rush), with 37.8% of their yards allowed coming from…

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Week 3 DFS: Wide Receiver Report

September 22, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 3 DFS: Wide Receiver Report Thankfully, we saw an increase in scoring last week. Hopefully, that action led to a better outcome in your DFS lineups. This week, our Week 3 DFS: Wide Receiver Report will help you make […]

Week 3 DFS: Wide Receiver Report

Thankfully, we saw an increase in scoring last week. Hopefully, that action led to a better outcome in your DFS lineups. This week, our Week 3 DFS: Wide Receiver Report will help you make better lineup decisions in what looks like a challenging slate.

Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 3 DFS: quarterback and tight end reports.

After two games, Justin Jefferson (9/150 and 11/159) and Puca Nacua (10/119 and 15/151) are the only two wideouts to score more than 20.00 fantasy points in both weeks. They also rank first and second in targets (25 and 35). Nine wide receivers have 20 targets or more.

Keenan Allen (8/111/2) led the Week 2, followed by Nacua (15/151) and Mike Evans (6/171/1). Seventeen wideouts scored between 20.00 and 30.00 fantasy points (eight in Week 1). In PPR formats, Tyreek Hill ranks first in wide receiver scoring (59.50).

Top Tier Options

Davante Adams, LV (DK – $7,800/FD – $7,900)

Jimmy Garoppolo looks Adams’ way 17 times over the first two weeks, leading to 12 catches for 150 yards and one touchdown. His ceiling has been limited due to the Raiders only attempting 50 passes. Last season, he had seven impact games (10/141/1, 3/124/2, 10/146/2, 9/126/1, 7/141/2, 8/177/2, and 7/153/2).

The Steelers showed risk vs. wide receivers in Week 1 (SF – 13/184/2). But a better pass rush (six sacks) and weaker quarterback play by Deshaun Watson led to a 50% catch rate on 28 targets with 160 yards vs. the Browns. In 2022, Pittsburgh finished seventh in wide receiver defense (29.60 FPPG) despite two disastrous games (BUF – 18/389/4 and PHI – 13/236/4). CB Patrick Peterson has already given up two touchdowns and multiple long plays.

Adams needs the Raiders to open up the passing game and do a better job moving the chains. He remains a volume pass-catcher with elite upside in scoring. Home cooking should treat him well on Sunday.

Justin Jefferson, MIN (DK – $9,300/FD – $9,700)

The game has been relatively easy for Jefferson over the first two weeks (20/309 on 25 targets). He’s gained 20 yards or more on 40% of his catches with an elite catch rate (80%). The structure of the Vikings’ receivers and their offensive game plan creates plenty of open field and opportunities. Last year, Jefferson scored more than 30.00 fantasy points in seven contests.

The Chargers have already allowed 32 catches for 565 yards and four touchdowns on 43 targets to wide receiver while allowing a dismal 17.7 yards per catch. Tyreek Hill (11/215/2) dominated their defense in Week 1. Last year, Los Angeles was slightly above the league average against wideouts (31.50 FPPG). CB J.C. Jackson made a couple of mistakes in Week 1, leading to a pair of long catches and a touchdown. Overall, he has held receivers to a low catch rate.

Minnesota attempts a high volume of passes in most games. However, they need to create…

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