Friday night with 9 games on the slate starting at 7pm.
Some players that are listed as questionable- Luka Doncic, Miles Turner, Karl-Anthony Towns, Jarren Jackson Jr.
This chart shows the breakdown of each game with team totals, spread, pace + pace difference. It also shows the opponents DvP. Good starting point to show which teams are in good spots for tonight’s game. The Grizzlies have the largest bump in pace and get a decent matchup. Solid value plays from the Grizzlies. The Pistons get the next highest pace bump along with one of the best matchups on the board tonight.
POINT GUARD
Ricky Rubio
Rubio has been solid over the past 3 games playing around 30 minutes and scoring above 30 FPs in that time-frame. The pace up spot and matchup is what I am targeting as the Jazz get a nice bump in pace +4.1 and Rubio is in an excellent spot vs the Thunder as they rank last over the last 4 games vs PGs. This could be a 40 + FP game for Rubio tonight. Should come in at around 5-7% ownership.
Jeff Teague
Teague’s last 2 games 52 and 42 and his price is still under 6k. He should have no problem with the Knicks tonight. Bump if KAT sits out.
Darren Collison
Collison has been very solid as of late posting 26 or more FPs in his last 8 games. Great spot for him and the Pacers tonight as the face the Pelicans who run at a fast pace and dont play any defense.
Jamal Murray
Risk/reward play that should go under the radar tonight. Murray continues to play over 30 minutes a game, but his shot have been down a bit. I expect him to get some open looks against the Mavericks tonight who rank 27th vs opposing PGs over the past 4 games.
VALUE
Delon Wright
Playing solid minutes and gets and excellent matchup.
Ish Smith
Punt play vs the Hawks who run fast and do not play much defense. Worth a look at only 3.3K on DK.
SHOOTING GUARD
DeMar DeRozan
DeRozan played well in this matchup last time out posting a triple/double.
Evan Fournier
Fournier plays solid minutes and taking double digit shot attempts. Gets a good matchup tonight,
VALUE
Kent Bazemore
Bazemore is starting tonight and should see some additional minutes. Pistons have been getting crushed by wings. Just do it.
Nicholas Batum
Nice pace up spot and very good matchup.
Luke Kennard
Playing extended minutes and put up 20 or more FPs in 4 of his last 5 games.
SMALL FORWARD
Paul George
Consistency
Rudy Gay
Very consistent and under priced right now on DK at only 5.4K. 46 & 34 FPs in last 2 games.
Andrew Wiggins
Only if KAT sits out.
VALUE
DeAndre Bembry
Kenrich Williams
Williams is still playing over 30 minutes a game.
POWER FORWARD
Blake Griffin
Excellent spot for both of the Piston bigs. 50 or more FPs in last 2 games.
Dario Saric and Taj Gibson
KAT has been ruled out and both of these players should see extra run.
VALUE
Paul Millsap
Hard to pass up on Millsap at this price, especially in this matchup. 4.6k on DK? Last 2 games 52 & 30 FPs.
Derrick Favors
Plays limited minutes, but gets the job done every night. Good spot for him tonight in this pace up game.
CENTER
Andre Drummond
Drummond has been very consistent over the last 5 games posting 50 or more FPs. This is a crush spot for him tonight.
Domantas Sabonis
Miles Turner has just been ruled out, so we can expect Sabonis to log solid minute tonight. He gets an excellent matchup tonight as the Pelicans have allowed the 2nd most FPs to opposing centers. Sabonis has averaged 1.32 FPPM this yeas and could see close to 30 minutes tonight.
Cody Zeller
Zeller has just been solid since returning from injury. He has shown a fairly safe floor and upside of 44 in the perfect matchup. Tonight he gets close to the perfect matchup in this pace up spot against a team ranked 28th over the last 4 games. The Wizards run at a very fast pace and this should open up more opportunities for rebounds and points.
VALUE
Joakim Noah
Noah has played well as of late posting 20, 23 and 42 FPS over his last 3 games. Valancuinas has been ruled out and Jarren Jackson is listed as questionable. This could open up a lot of minutes for Noah tonight who has averaged 1.15 FPPM. Add in the excellent matchup and pace up spot and he could 20/20.
Kyle O’Quinn
Punt play. O’Quinn has posted 1.3 FPPM this year and should see around 15 minutes tonight. 1.3×15=19.5 and not a bad value at only 3k on DK. Upisde is close to 25 though.
Sample lineups DK
Mid/low range players with room for stud
Rubio
DeRozan
Bazemore
Sabonis
Zeller
This leaves 7.3k left per player.
2nd option
Teague
DeRozan
George
Griffin
Noah
This leaves 4.4k per player.
