DFS NBA Droppin Dimes 11/23

The NBA comes back with a 12 game slate after a day off for the holiday. Hopefully everyone had a good Thanksgiving.

 

 

DvP Chart for today’s games

  • Celtics get the best matchup and one of the highest pace increases.
  • Few teams that I will have the most exposure to. Pelicans, Jazz, Celtics.

 

Point Guards

Damian Lillard 

Lillard plays well vs the Warriors posting 41.8, 61.6 & 52.8 FPs over his last 3 games vs them. He has also posted a 67 & 79 FP games in 2016. Price has come down to 9k on DK.

Kyrie Irving

Playing at a high level this year. Irving will have to step it up tonight with Horford off the floor. Elite matchup.

Russell Westbrook 

 

Value

Trey Burke

Burke is playing lights out right now scoring 20 or more real points in 3 of his last 4 games and the other one he put up 19. FPs over this time frame- 59(against a tough Celtics defense), 29, 41, 31. Nice pace bump and excellent matchup for Burke and the Knicks tonight.

Ryan Arcidiacono 

Cheap option with solid floor.

 

Shooting Guards

Zach Lavine

LaVine has posted a 32.7 % usage rate and is taking just shy of 20 shots a game. He gets a nice matchup vs the Heat tonight as they rank 21st vs opposing SGs.  Price has come down on DK, but his floor/upside & minutes put him in play.

Jrue Holiday

Holiday and the Pelican starters continue to play a ton of minutes putting them in play vs the Knicks. Over his last 13 games Holiday has only gone under 41 FPs once and has shown upside of 58. Hitting double digits in assists 6 of those 13 games.

Klay Thompson

Thompson has been shooting a ton as of late with 3 straight games with 22 or more shots.

Donovan Mitchell

Excellent spot for Mitchell as the Lakers rank dead last vs opposing SGs. He also plays around 32-35 minutes a night and takes just shy of 20 shots a game. Mitchell is under-priced for this matchup and his upside.

Value

Jeremy Lamb

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope- (Punt GPP) 

KCP played 25 plus minutes in three straight games. Over his last 5 games he has put up 21.5 or more FPs and he is only 3.5K.

Wayne Ellington 

Should play a good amount tonight. Still cheap.

 

Small Forward

Kevin Durant

Nikola Mirotic 

Plays a ton of minutes and gets a good matchup

Gordon Hayward

Playing well off bench. Usage bump either Horford out.

Otto Porter

Nice bump with Howard off the floor. More rebounds to go around.

 

Value

Joe Ingles

Ptice is down and gets a good matchup vs the Lakers.

Cedi Osman

Osman price is down form the high 5k range. Cavs are giving Osman minutes and he has shown 40 FP uspide this season.  The Cavs are down a few players and we could see Osman, Hood , Sexton & TT gets solid minutes again tonight.

Power Forwards

Anthony Davis

Good matchup and playing a ton of minutes.

Value

Marcus Morris

Price has gone down a bit. Excellent matchup tonight vs the Hawks who rank last defending PFs. Great play & and Horford sits he becomes an excellent play. Horford out, so Morris should see extra run vs a bad defense.

Noah Vonleh

Jeff Green

Green has been fairly consistent over the past 7 games scoring 20 or more FPs in 6 of those 7. He has shown an upside of 39 FPs in this time-frame. Solid play tonight and an even better one if Howards sits out again. Should get run in blow out.

John Collins

Should have no problem rebounding tonight vs the Celtics with out Horford.

 

Centers

Rudy Gobert

Jazz get one of the bigger pace bumps on the day and they also have one of the better matchups. Should get overlooked tonight and has 6-7x upside tonight. My favorite GPP C tonight.

Hassan Whiteside

Whiteside is currently listed as questionable as of now. The Heat are already without Dragic, Tyler Johnson , McGruder is questionable. Whiteside picks +5% usage with those players off the court. The Heat Cs get a good matchup against the Bulls who are ranked 25th vs opposing Cs. If Whiteside sits out- Bam Adebayo gets a bump, along with James Johnson and Kelly Olynyk. Bam should pick up the most ownership with James Johnson in a good spot as he plays some PG on the second unit.

Deandre Ayton

Ayton has shown a solid floor and usually play right around 30 minutes a night. Suns get a nice bump in pace tonight, which will help Ayton pick up some additional FPs.

Jonas Valancuinas

GPP Play. Excellent matchup and pace up spot:

Aaron Baynes 

If Horford plays listed as doubtful- Best matchup on the board today as the Hawks have allowed 71.3 FPs to opposing Cs & 64.7 FPs to opposing PFs over the past week(4 games) and rank close to last on the season.  Horford is returning to Atlanta where he played for most of his career. I expect him to play well here if hits the floor. If Horford sits- Aaron Baynes, becomes a solid play as stated above the Hawks are the worst team defending Cs and Baynes should see extended minutes. At only 3.3k  on DK he could return 7-10x. GPP play

 

Value

Aaron Baynes 

Aaron Baynes becomes a solid play as the Hawks are the worst team defending Cs and Baynes should see extended minutes. At only 3.3k  on DK he could return 7-10x. GPP play

Tristan Thompson

Dewayne Dedmon

 

Value plays ranked by DK salary per my projections.