Week 17 DFS: Tight End Report featuring Travis Kelce

December 29, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 17 DFS: Tight End Report No tight end scored more than 20.00 fantasy points in Week 16. George Kittle (7/126) was the top player for the week, followed by Evan Engram (10/95) and Chigoziem Okonkwo (6/63/1). Here are the […]

Week 17 DFS: Tight End Report

No tight end scored more than 20.00 fantasy points in Week 16. George Kittle (7/126) was the top player for the week, followed by Evan Engram (10/95) and Chigoziem Okonkwo (6/63/1). Here are the top five tight ends by scoring average after 16 weeks:

T.J. Hockenson (14.67)
Travis Kelce (14.39)
Sam LaPorta (14.00)
George Kittle (13.15)
Evan Engram (13.09)

Here are the top plays this week via the Week 15 DFS: Tight End Report. Also, check out the Week 16 DFS: QB Report, RB Report, and WR Report.

Top Tier Option

Travis Kelce, KC (DK – $7,000/FD – $7,800)

Over his last eight games, Kelce caught 42 of his 58 targets for 443 yards and one touchdown, leading to only steady fantasy production in five games (11.80, 16.40, 15.10, 12.10, and 14.30). His recent stats (5/28 and 5/44) don’t command his current salary. He has one impact game (12/179/1) and a pair of steady showings in fantasy points (22.70 and 21.40), all coming between Week 5 and Week 7. Over his past eight matchups, he averaged 7.3 targets (8.9 in 2022 and 8.4 in 2021).

Cincinnati has the second-worst defense (98/1,020/6 on 120 targets) against tight ends, with failure in four games (SF – 91/49, PIT – 12/141, JAC – 10/91/1, and IND – 8/65/1). Over the past nine weeks, tight ends have at least eight catches in six contests.

The Chiefs’ offense (77 points over their last four games) is a mess, and Patrick Mahomes gained fewer than 6.5 yards per pass attempt in six of their previous eight games. Finally, Kelce has a winnable matchup with a slight drop in salary. I want to believe, but I can force him if he doesn’t fit my Week 17 plan…

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Week 17 Quarterback Report

December 27, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 17 NFL Quarterback Report Joe “Waiver Wire” Flacco was the best quarterback in the land in Week 17 (30.50 fantasy points), thanks to a career game by Amari Cooper (11/265/2). The runner-up prize went to Derek Carr (29.15), followed […]

Week 17 NFL Quarterback Report

Joe “Waiver Wire” Flacco was the best quarterback in the land in Week 17 (30.50 fantasy points), thanks to a career game by Amari Cooper (11/265/2). The runner-up prize went to Derek Carr (29.15), followed by Josh Allen (28.35), Jalen Hurts (27.45), and Justin Fields (27.20). Twelve other quarterbacks scored between 20.00 and 26.50 fantasy points. Here are the top five players after 16 weeks by scoring average:

Josh Allen (26.95)
Jalen Hurts (26.09)
Dak Prescott (23.03)
Lamar Jackson (22.76)
Brock Purdy (22.11)

Using our Week 17 Fantasy Football Rankings, let’s break down this week’s field in the FullTime Fantasy Week 16 NFL Quarterback Report.

Top Tier Options

Jalen Hurts, PHI (DK – $8,300/FD – $9,200)

Over the past six weeks, Hurts has one passing touchdown or fewer in five starts. He held value by his success in the run game (59/260/8). His completion rate (60.3%) over this span is well below his first nine games (68.9%). Despite his direction, Hurts has already set career highs in completions (327), passing attempts (499), and combined touchdowns (35). When at his best, he scored more than 30 fantasy points in three matchups (31.35, 31.55, and 38.50).

The Cardinals rank 25th in quarterback defense (21.94). Only the Giants (380/3) scored more than 30.00 fantasy points. The Rams (229/4) and 49ers (262/4) delivered the most success in touchdowns over the past four weeks. Quarterbacks rushed for 285 yards and five touchdowns on 61 carries. Five offenses rushed for more than 175 yards.

The Eagles played better offensively in Week 16 (471 combined yards with three touchdowns, four field goals, and 33 points), pointing to success in scoring this week. I sense I have Hurts under-projected this week as he looks poised to have a 4X floor in this upside matchup...

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Week 16 DFS: Tight End Report featuring Travis Kelce

December 22, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 16 DFS: Tight End Report Sam LaPorta (5/56/5) posted his second impact game over the past three weeks, giving him the top tight end fantasy score in Week 13 (29.00) and Week 15 (28.60). David Njoku (10/104/1) finished with […]

Week 16 DFS: Tight End Report

Sam LaPorta (5/56/5) posted his second impact game over the past three weeks, giving him the top tight end fantasy score in Week 13 (29.00) and Week 15 (28.60). David Njoku (10/104/1) finished with second place prize for the second consecutive week, followed by Trey McBride (10/102). Here are the top five tight ends by scoring average after 15 weeks:

T.J. Hockenson (15.01)
Travis Kelce (14.74)
Sam LaPorta (14.66)
Evan Engram (12.71)
George Kittle (12.69)

Here are the top plays this week via the Week 15 DFS: Tight End Report. Also, check out the Week 14 DFS: QB Report, RB Report, and WR Report.

Top Tier Options

T.J Hockenson, MIN (DK – $5,800/FD – $6,800)

Over the past four games, the quarterback jockey led to Hockenson having a step back in value compared to his play with Kirk Cousins. From Week 11 to Week 15, he averaged seven targets and 12.25 fantasy points in PPR formats. Over his first 10 starts, Hockenson had a floor of seven catches in six starts, leading to four high-value outputs (7/66/2, 11/86, 16/88/1, and 11/134/1). The switch to Nick Mullens at quarterback invites more pass attempts and completions for the Vikings’ offense. In addition, Minnesota should score more points with Justin Jefferson back in the starting lineup. In 2022, Hockenson had nine catches for 85 yards and a touchdown vs. the Lions in two games.

Detroit struggled with tight ends in four contests (SEA – 9/132, ATL – 11/88, BAL – 4/63/2, and CHI – 6/70/1). They rank 23rd in tight end defense (66/691/7). Over their other 10 games, the Lions played eight teams (KC – no Travis Kelce, GB twice, CAR, TB, LV, NO, and DEN) with weakness at tight end.

The receiving shine for Minnesota in this matchup will be Justin Jefferson, as well as the attention by their defensive game plan. Hockenson will be active in this game, giving him a chance to post a 20+ fantasy point game.

Trey McBride, ARI (DK – $5,700/FD – $7,000)

McBride has 51 catches for 542 yards and two touchdowns on 64 targets since…

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Week 16 Quarterback Report

December 21, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 16 NFL Quarterback Report Last week, 16 quarterbacks scored at least 20.00 fantasy points in four-point passing touchdown leagues. Baker Mayfield (34.05 fantasy points) had centerstage on the podium in Week 15, followed by Jared Goff (33.90) and Aidan […]

Week 16 NFL Quarterback Report

Last week, 16 quarterbacks scored at least 20.00 fantasy points in four-point passing touchdown leagues. Baker Mayfield (34.05 fantasy points) had centerstage on the podium in Week 15, followed by Jared Goff (33.90) and Aidan O’Connell (28.40). Dak Prescott (8.40) was the bust of the week, crushing fantasy teams looking to win league and overall championships. Here are the top five quarterbacks by scoring average after 15 weeks:

Josh Allen (26.85)
Jalen Hurts (26.00)
Dak Prescott (23.09)
Brock Purdy (23.05)
Lamar Jackson (22.60)

Using our Week 16 Fantasy Football Rankings, let’s break down this week’s field in the FullTime Fantasy Week 16 NFL Quarterback Report.

Top-Tier Options

Dak Prescott, DAL (DK – $7,900/FD – $8,500)

With three Monday games and two matchups played on Saturday, Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Brock Purdy, Lamar Jackson, and Patrick Mahomes are off the main state on Sunday. The Bills dominated the time of possession vs. Dallas, thanks to their best success running the ball (49/266/3) in years. Prescott posted his worst game (134/0) passing the ball since Week 1 (143/0). Over his seven road starts, he averaged 233 combined yards with only nine touchdowns and five interceptions. His only playable game away from Dallas came vs. the Eagles (388/3).

Miami moved to 16th defending quarterbacks (18.64 FPPG) after holding the Jets to 2.80 fantasy points in Week 14. Eight other quarterbacks scored fewer than 20.00 fantasy while having their most significant failure in two matchups (BUF – 334/4 and PHI – 300/3). The Dolphins held opponents to fewer than 190 yards passing in five of their past seven games. Only one team has more than two passing touchdowns.

Prescott is one of the top projected quarterbacks on the main slate on Sunday. But his play on the road doesn’t support his current salary. If Miami plays from the lead with Tyreek Hill back in the starting lineup, Dallas will need to throw the ball to win. Not ideal, but I can’t dismiss a bounce-back game.

Tua Tagovailoa, MIA (DK – $7,800/FD – $8,000)

Despite having two top 10 wideouts (Tyreek Hill – 97/1,542/12 and Jaylen Waddle – 71/064/4), Tagovailoa ranks 12th in

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Week 15 DFS: Tight End Report featuring Travis Kelce

December 15, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 15 DFS: Tight End Report The Browns/Jaguars game delivered the top two tight ends for Week 14. Evan Engram (11/95/02 had the best game of his career, coming on the heels of scoring his first touchdown (9/82/1) the previous […]

Week 15 DFS: Tight End Report

The Browns/Jaguars game delivered the top two tight ends for Week 14. Evan Engram (11/95/02 had the best game of his career, coming on the heels of scoring his first touchdown (9/82/1) the previous week. David Njoku (6/91/2) also scored twice. The Rams decided not to cover Isaiah Likely on his 54-yard scamper for a touchdown, setting up a Mark Andrews-type day (5/83/1). Hunter Henry (19.00) and George Kittle (16.60) rounded out the top five in fantasy points. Here are the top five tight ends by scoring average after 14 weeks:

Travis Kelce (15.28)
T.J. Hockenson (15.22)
Sam LaPorta (13.58)
Evan Engram (13.16)
George Kittle (13.10)

Here are the top plays this week via the Week 15 DFS: Tight End Report. Also, check out the Week 14 DFS: QB Report, RB Report, and WR Report.

Elite Option

Travis Kelce, KC (DK – $7,600/FD – $7,500)

Patrick Mahomes hasn’t been able to get Kelce rolling over the six weeks. Over this span, he caught 32 of his 44 targets for 371 yards and one touchdown, leading to only steady fantasy production in five games (11.80, 16.40, 15.10, 12.10, and 14.30). His recent stats don’t command his current salary. Kelce has one impact game (12/179/1) and a pair of 20.00-point outcomes (22.70 and 21.40), all coming between Week 5 and Week 7. Over his past five matchups, he averaged seven targets (8.9 in 2022 and 8.4 in 2021).

New England climbed to sixth in tight end defense (56/500/1 on 82 targets). Foster Moreau is the only tight end to score vs. the defense. The Raiders (7/94) and Bills (9/85) had the most success in fantasy points. Overall, the Patriots’ opposing TEs have 696 catches for 6,848 yards and 41 touchdowns on 1,007 targets, coming to 10.63 fantasy points per game (the best tight end schedule in the league).

Kelce should reach 100 catches with more than 1,000 yards receiving again this year, giving fantasy teams an edge at the tight end position. Unfortunately, it hasn’t been as wide as in 2022 (5.93 fantasy points per game over the second-ranked tight end). His matchup looks below par, and his salary commands 30+ fantasy points to be an edge. The Chiefs need to find their offensive identity after losing three games (53 combined points) over the past four weeks. I can dismiss him due to Kelce being the top target in Kansas City’s offense with scoring upside…

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Week 15 Quarterback Report

December 14, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 15 NFL Quarterback Report Lamar Jackson (35.80) led the league in fantasy points in Week 15, lifting him to fourth in quarterback scoring (295.10). Desmond Ridder (29.85) posted his best game of the season, placing him second for the […]

Week 15 NFL Quarterback Report

Lamar Jackson (35.80) led the league in fantasy points in Week 15, lifting him to fourth in quarterback scoring (295.10). Desmond Ridder (29.85) posted his best game of the season, placing him second for the week, followed by Jake Browning (27.45) and Justin Fields (26.95). Eleven other quarterbacks scored more than 20.00 fantasy points. Here are the top five quarterbacks by scoring average after 14 weeks:

Josh Allen (27.60)
Jalen Allen (26.05)
Dak Prescott (24.22)
Lamar Jackson (22.70)
Brock Purdy (22.66)

Using our Week 15 Fantasy Football Rankings, let’s break down this week’s field in the FullTime Fantasy Week 15 NFL Quarterback Report.

Top-Tier Options

Jalen Hurts, PHI (DK – $8,100/FD – $8,800)

The Eagles completed a challenging five-game stretch (DAL, @KC, BUF, SF, and @DAL), where they went 3-2. Over this span, Hurts averaged 210 passing yards with six touchdowns. He helped his floor with success in the run game (48/180/6). His best value in fantasy points came in Week 4 (31.35), Week 8 (31.55), and Week 12 (38.50). When at his best, Hurts attempted more than 35 passes (six times).

The Seahawks rank 22nd defending quarterbacks (20.75 FPPG), with one team scoring more than 30.00 fantasy points (DAL – 322/3). Five teams (LAR – 334/0, DET – 323/3, CAR – 361/2, WAS – 312/3, and SF – 368/2) passed for more than 300 yards. Their defense has risk at times vs. running quarterbacks (NYG – 10/66, ARI – 7/43/1, and BAL – 14/68). In addition, running backs scored 16 of their 36 offensive touchdowns allowed. Seattle’s defense gave up 13 touchdowns and three field goals over 35 possessions by their opponents.

The Eagles have risk defending the pass, pointing to a competitive game on the scoreboard. Hurts has a winnable matchup, and Philadelphia needs to regain the bounce in their offense after being held to 32 points over the past two weeks.

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Week 14 DFS: Tight End Report featuring Travis Kelce

December 8, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 14 DFS: Tight End Report Last year, there were three star tight ends led by the impact game by […]

Week 14 Quarterback Report

December 7, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 14 NFL Quarterback Report Geno Smith (34.20) and Jake Browning (30.90) were the two surprises in quarterback scoring in Week 13, leading to them finishing first and fourth in scoring. Brock Purdy (32.60 – 2nd) had his second elite […]

Week 14 NFL Quarterback Report

Geno Smith (34.20) and Jake Browning (30.90) were the two surprises in quarterback scoring in Week 13, leading to them finishing first and fourth in scoring. Brock Purdy (32.60 – 2nd) had his second elite game over the past three weeks despite not attempting more than 27 passes in each matchup. Dak Prescott (31.25 – 3rd) posted his fifth impact showing over the last six weeks. Eight other quarterbacks scored between 20.00 and 28.00 fantasy points. Here are the top five quarterbacks by scoring average after 13 weeks:

Josh Allen (27.91)
Jalen Hurts (27.23)
Dak Prescott (24.43)
C.J. Stroud (23.62)
Justin Herbert (22.52)

Using our Week 14 Fantasy Football Rankings, let’s break down this week’s field in the FullTime Fantasy Week 14 NFL Quarterback Report.

Top Tier Options

Josh Allen, BUF (DK – $8,300/FD – $9,000)

Over his last seven starts, Allen gained fewer than 7.0 yards per pass attempt in five matchups (5.6, 6.5, 6.8, 6.8, and 6.6). He threw an interception in eight consecutive games. Allen tried to carry the Bills on his back in his start vs. the Eagles (420 combined yards with four touchdowns), but it wasn’t enough to win the game. All three (39.70, 32.35, and 33.30) of his other games with more than 30.00 fantasy points came at home. He has nine rushing scores over his last 10 starts.

Kansas City slipped to ninth in quarterback defense (17.55 FPPG), with only Jordan Love (26.35) scoring more than 25.00 fantasy points. They allow 6.9 yards per pass attempt, with quarterbacks tossing 18 touchdowns. The Chiefs have yet to give up more than three touchdowns in any matchup in 2023.

Allen is the highest-scoring quarterback (27.91) with a reasonable chance at scoring 3 times his salary at DraftKings in most weeks. His ceiling requires the Chiefs to play at a higher level offensively as well. I view him as more of a gamble than a target in Week 14.

Patrick Mahomes, KC (DK – $7,900/FD – $8,400)

Over the last five games, Patrick Mahomes averaged 222 passing yards with only seven touchdowns and some help in the run game (24/117). The Chiefs’ lack of star power at wide receiver remains an issue. His only game (453/4) supporting his current salary came in Week 7 at home against the Chargers. Mahomes has 14 touchdowns in six games in Kansas City compared to eight on the road over the same number of snaps. In 2022, he gained 359 yards and two touchdowns vs. the Bills.

Buffalo showed more risk

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Week 13 DFS: Tight End Report

November 30, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 13 DFS: Tight End Report The tight end position was relatively quiet in Week 12, with Pat Freiermuth (9/120) and Tyler Higbee (5/29/2) being the winning exacta. Only three other players scored more than 15.00 fantasy points – Sam […]

Week 13 DFS: Tight End Report

The tight end position was relatively quiet in Week 12, with Pat Freiermuth (9/120) and Tyler Higbee (5/29/2) being the winning exacta. Only three other players scored more than 15.00 fantasy points – Sam LaPorta (17.70), T.J. Hockenson (16.00), and Travis Kelce (15.10). Here are the top five tight ends by scoring average after 12 weeks:

Travis Kelce (15.65)
T.J. Hockenson (15.63)
George Kittle (12.99)
Sam LaPorta (12.99)
Mark Andrews (11.28)

Here are the top plays this week via the Week 13 DFS: Tight End Report. Also, check out the Week 13 DFS: QB Report.

Top-Tier Options

George Kittle, SF (DK – $6,200/FD – $7,400)

After three consecutive games (23.90, 20.60, and 22.90) with 20+ fantasy points, Kittle had a quiet showing (3/19 on five targets) vs. the Seahawks. He only had four games with more than six targets during the year. His value has been much more substantial at home (28/404/4 – 19.08 FPPG) than on the road (18/263/1 – 8.92 FPPG). The 49ers looked his way 6, 3, 2, 7, 4, and 5 times away from San Francisco. The Eagles held him to three catches for 36 yards on four targets last year in the playoffs on the road.

Philadelphia ranks 22nd in tight end defense (55/520/6 on 71 targets), with struggles in five matchups (NE – 8/92/1, MIN – 9/79/2, WAS – 7/61/1, DAL – 8/91/1, and KC – 7/44/1). They also faced three teams with weakness at the tight end position (TB – 1/16, MIA – 0/0, and LAR – 2/20 with five combined targets).

With Travis Kelce off the main slate on Sunday and T.J. Hockenson on a bye, Kittle is the highest-priced tight end. His resume on the road suggests more of a risk/reward type play with lower ownership expected. His scoring upside keeps him in play, and a higher-scoring game should increase his targets.

Mid-Tier Options

Dalton Schultz, HOU (DK – $5,000/FD – $6,200)

After his impact game (10/130/1), the Texans struggled to get Schultz…

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Week 13 Quarterback Report

November 30, 2023 Shawn Childs

Week 13 NFL Quarterback Report Last week, the top-tier quarterbacks all posted impact games. Josh Allen (44.05) led the way in fantasy points in four-point passing touchdown leagues while outdueling Jalen Hurts (38.50). Dak Prescott (35.55) continued his midseason rise, […]

Week 13 NFL Quarterback Report

Last week, the top-tier quarterbacks all posted impact games. Josh Allen (44.05) led the way in fantasy points in four-point passing touchdown leagues while outdueling Jalen Hurts (38.50). Dak Prescott (35.55) continued his midseason rise, as did C.J. Stroud (33.90). Seven other quarterbacks scored between 21.00 and 29.50 fantasy points. Here are the top five quarterbacks by scoring average after 12 weeks:

Josh Allen (27.91)
Jalen Hurts (27.26)
C.J. Stroud (24.05)
Dak Prescott (23.81)
Justin Herbert (23.60)

Using our Week 13 Fantasy Football Rankings, let’s break down this week’s field in the FullTime Fantasy Week 13 NFL Quarterback Report.

Top-Tier Options

Jalen Hurts, PHI (DK – $8,200/FD – $9,000)

The passing attack for the Eagles lost momentum over their last three games (207/2, 150/0, and 200/3). But Hurts held form by his success on the ground (36/130/5). Philadelphia is in the middle of a challenging five-game run (DAL, @KC, BUF, SF, and @DAL). Hurts had a floor of 25.00 fantasy points in seven of his last eight matchups while offering three impact games (31.35, 31.55, and 38.50). Last year, the 49ers held him to 160 combined yards with one rushing touchdown.

San Francisco has the fourth-best defense (15.55 FPPG) defending quarterbacks, with three offenses (NYG – 313/2, MIN – 377/2, and CIN – 326/3) scoring more than 25.00 fantasy points. They play well vs. the run, and quarterbacks gain only 6.2 yards per pass attempt. Three teams (LAR – 24/243, MIN – 17/241/2, and CIN – 21/235/3) gained more than 200 yards with their wideouts.

Hurts has a high floor, and the Eagles need him to play well to beat the 49ers. His matchup isn’t ideal for the daily games unless the Eagles throw the ball much better. I don’t see him scoring 33.00 fantasy points, which is needed to fill his salary bucket.

C.J. Stroud, Hou (DK – $8,100/FD – $8,000)

Stroud’s success over the last four weeks (1,530/12) pushed him to third in quarterback scoring (264.50). His best play continues…

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