2024 Kentucky Derby Betting Breakdown and Best Bets

Guest contributor: Frank Taddeo @RespectedMoney on X / Twitter. This long-time Vegas handicapper has correctly picked 4 of the last 5 Kentucky Derby races. It’s an unheard of performance including last year’s trifecta wager which paid an astounding 982 to […]

Guest contributor: Frank Taddeo @RespectedMoney on X / Twitter. This long-time Vegas handicapper has correctly picked 4 of the last 5 Kentucky Derby races. It's an unheard of performance including last year's trifecta wager which paid an astounding 982 to 1. Without further ado... The “Fastest Two Minutes in Sports” has finally arrived with a strong field of 20 entrants.  My “Respected Money” formula is looking to nail the Kentucky Derby winner for the fifth time in the last six years!  Kentucky Derby Betting Angles/Trends:    
  • The post-time favorite has won six of the last 11 runnings of the Kentucky Derby. However, the last five post-time favorites have all been defeated.
  • No horse in the history of the race has ever won the Kentucky Derby breaking from post No. 17 (0-44). This year Stronghold will try and make history. No UAE Derby winner has ever hit the board in the Kentucky Derby to date - Forever Young, nor has any Japan-based horse - TO Password.
  • The last horse to win from the No. 1 post position was Ferdinand in 1986. This year the dreaded rail has been drawn by Dornach (20/1).
  • No horse has won the Kentucky Derby breaking from post No. 1, No. 2 or No. 3 since Real Quiet in 1998. Those looking to back Sierra Leone and Mystik Dan to win need to add that into their handicapping.
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About Scott Atkins 123 Articles
Motto: How are YOU treating life? I'm pretty chill with a wife (Erin), 2 teenage boys Simon & Elston), a dog (Revis) and a cat (Willow). As VP at Sports Illustrated, I helped built out SI Fantasy /Gambling and returned to rebuild FullTime Fantasy to continue hosting the Fantasy Football World Championships. Previously I had founded the Fantasy Players Association, an industry watchdog group dedicated to trabsparenct and player advocacy. I regularly appear on ESPN Radio, SiriusXM and FNTSY. I contribute sports handicapping, dynasty rankings and NFL/NBA DFS advice and strategy on the FullTime Discord. I have several 5 figure finishes including winning a DraftKings Atlantis qualifier (valued at over $70,000) and multiple $30,000+ finishes in NFL and NBA. A long-time high-stakes competitor and ranked #50 in the Fantasy Football World Rankings, I understand and teach bankroll management. You may remember me from the Red vs Blue high stakes fantasy Podcast. I was also featured as a Dynasty "Greats of the Game" by DLF and FBG. I've played high stakes since it's inception and have enjoyed Top 10 finishes in both NFFC and FFPC as well as an RTSports Overall Championship. link: https://dynastyleaguefootball.com/2015/05/06/greats-of-the-game-scott-atkins/ link: http://subscribers.footballguys.com/2012/12interview_scottatkins.php