Season Long – All Sports
Fantasy Football Injury Report
Fantasy Football Injury Report Injuries hit hard in Week 8. Especially at the quarterback position. One look at this week’s […]
Month: October 2023
Season Long – All Sports
Fantasy Football News & Rankings Update
Fantasy Football News & Rankings Update It’s kind of alarming that Halloween is nearly here and we’re halfway through the […]
DFS
Week 8 DFS: Wide Receiver Report
Week 8 DFS: Wide Receiver Report The top three scoring wide receivers (Jordan Addison – 31.30, A.J. Brown – 29.70, and Tyreek Hill – 25.80) from Week 7 didn’t play on Sunday’s main slate of games. Josh Downs (23.50) finished […]
Week 8 DFS: Wide Receiver Report
The top three scoring wide receivers (Jordan Addison – 31.30, A.J. Brown – 29.70, and Tyreek Hill – 25.80) from Week 7 didn’t play on Sunday’s main slate of games. Josh Downs (23.50) finished fourth in scoring in PPR formats, followed by Puka Nacua (23.40) and Amon-Ra St. Brown (23.20). Mike Evans (20.20) and Christian Kirk (20.00) were the only other two wideouts to score 20.00 fantasy points. Here are the top five wide receivers by scoring average after seven weeks in 2023:
- Tyreek Hill (26.66)
- Stefon Diggs (22.54)
- Keenan Allen (22.41)
- A.J. Brown (21.56)
- Adam Thielen (21.08)
Also, before we get into the Week 8 DFS: Wide Receiver Report, check out the QB Report, RB Report, and TE Report.
Elite Options
Tyreek Hill, MIA (DK – $9,500/FD – $9,500)
Hill has a touchdown in three consecutive starts, giving him a second streak at this level in 2023. His seven scores lead the wide receiver position. Over the past three games (8/181/1, 6/163/1, and 11/88/1), he had a floor of 25.80 fantasy points in PPR scoring while averaging 11.3 targets. Hill has 23 catches for 501 yards and three touchdowns on 30 targets in his three home matchups. His lowest two outputs (5/40/1 and 3/58) came on the road vs. division opponents (NE and BUF). He has 41 catches for 611 yards and seven touchdowns on 62 targets over seven career games against the Patriots but less value in his time with Miami (8/94, 4/55, and 5/40/1).
New England comes off a big win vs. the Bills, where they held Buffalo’s wide receivers to 12 catches for 114 yards and one touchdown on 23 targets. The Patriots moved to 14th in wide receiver defense (86/978/6 on 133 targets). They’ve yet to allow more than 90 yards to a wideout while facing multiple top-tier players – A.J. Brown (7/79), DeVonta Smith (7/47/1), Tyreek Hill – 5/40/1, Jaylen Waddle (4/86), Garrett Wilson (5/48), CeeDee Lamb (4/36/1), Chris Olave (2/12/1), Davante Adams (2/29), and Stefon Diggs (6/58/1). CB J.C. Jackson faced Hill in Week 1 (3/99/1 on eight targets per PFF) while playing for the Chargers. Last week, in his second start for New England, he allowed seven catches for 61 yards and one score on 10 targets to the Bills’ wideouts.
Hill is on a record pace (129/2,191/17), averaging 10.6 targets and 17.0 yards per catch. He comes into this week with a hip issue, but Miami expects him to play. His ticket continues to come in the DFS market, making him a rotational elite player in the daily games each week. His salary requires an explosive game, something Hill has done once this year (11/215/2), along with three elite showings (30.70, 32.10, and 28.30) in fantasy points. His biggest negative is that Tua Tagovailoa has never posted an elite game vs. the Patriots despite having a 5-0 record.
Cooper Kupp, LAR (DK – $9,000/FD – $9,100)
After two productive games (8/118 and 7/148/1), Matthew Stafford struggled to get Kupp the ball against the Steelers. He caught only two of his seven targets for 29 yards, giving him his lowest output for an entire game since Week 6 (3/11 on nine targets) in 2020. The Rams had Kupp on the field for all their plays for the second straight week. In 2022, he had seven catches for 125 yards and one touchdown on 10 targets against the Cowboys.
Dallas has…
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DFS
Week 8 DFS: Running Back Report
Week 8 DFS: Running Back Report Five of the top seven scoring running backs came off the pace in the running back rankings. D’Onta Foreman scored three times, leading to an impact game (33.00 fantasy points). Alvin Kamara (29.30) finished […]
Week 8 DFS: Running Back Report
Five of the top seven scoring running backs came off the pace in the running back rankings. D’Onta Foreman scored three times, leading to an impact game (33.00 fantasy points). Alvin Kamara (29.30) finished second, thanks to his value in passing game (12/91). The fantasy market saw the first sign of explosiveness from Jahmyr Gibbs (27.60), lifting him to 26th in running back scoring. Gus Edwards (21.40) and Jonathan Taylor (21.40) also climbed the running back rankings.
Over the last three weeks, Travis Etienne (27.47 FPPG) has been the highest-scoring running back, followed by Alvin Kamara (21.80 FPPG). Here are the top five running backs after seven weeks in fantasy points per game:
- Christian McCaffrey (24.66)
- Raheem Mostert (20.93)
- Travis Etienne (19.71)
- Kenneth Walker (17.43)
- Kyren Williams (15.87)
Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 6 DFS QB Report and TE Report.
Elite Tier Option
Christian McCaffrey, SF (DK – $9,200/FD – $10,200)
After a downtick in snaps in Week 5 (73%) and Week 6 (58%), the 49ers had McCaffrey on the field for all 53 plays against Minnesota. His rushing yards had been short in three consecutive games (19/51/1, 11/43, and 15/45/1), with a step back in value in receiving stats (2/27, 3/9/1, and 3/51/1). McCaffrey has a touchdown in each game in 2023 (11 scores over seven starts). He’s averaging 21.6 touches per game.
Cincinnati is about league-average defending running backs (20.27 FPPG) despite allowing 5.0 yards per rush. The Titans had the most success (27/162/1 with four catches for 29 yards). Backs only have 20 catches for 141 yards on 28 targets due to a favorable schedule (CLE – 23/171/2, BAL – 27/269/0, LAR – 18/128/1, TEN – 22/220/0, ARI – 23/120/0, and SEA – 23/153/0).
Brock Purdy is listed as questionable for this week’s game due to a concussion. Over the first five games (all wins), the 49ers averaged 33.4 points (35.7 at home – 14 touchdowns over 32 possessions). San Francisco’s running backs already scored 17 touchdowns. That gives McCaffrey a much higher ceiling than all other backs in the NFL, along with a high floor. A two-game losing streak and some home-cooking points to the 49ers regaining their scoring in Week 8, led by Christian McCaffrey.
Second-Tier Options
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DFS
Week 8 DFS: Tight End Report
Week 8 DFS: Tight End Report The top five tight ends in Week 7 were all chalk players. Travis Kelce (12/179/1) posted an impact game, leading to him opening up a 27.50 fantasy point lead in tight end scoring. Darren […]
Week 8 DFS: Tight End Report
The top five tight ends in Week 7 were all chalk players. Travis Kelce (12/179/1) posted an impact game, leading to him opening up a 27.50 fantasy point lead in tight end scoring. Darren Waller (7/98/1) finished second, followed by Mark Andrews (4/63/2), T.J. Hockenson (11/86), and Dallas Goedert (5/77/1). The best two outlier tight ends with uptick games last week were Taysom Hill (5/68/1) and Dalton Kincaid (8/75). Here’s a look at the top five tight ends after seven weeks based on fantasy points per game in PPR formats:
- Travis Kelce (17.79)
- T.J. Hockenson (13.86)
- Mark Andrews (13.39)
- Sam LaPorta (12.96)
- Darren Waller (79.00)
Here are the top plays this week via the Week 8 DFS: Tight End Report. Also, check out the Week 8 DFS: QB Report.
Top Tier Option
Travis Kelce, KC (DK – $8,400/FD – $9,000)
After a slow start to the season in yards (26, 69, 60, and 67), Kelce started to make bigger plays over the last two games (three catches of 20 yards or more, with two reaching the 40-yard mark). He scored more than 20.00 fantasy points in three consecutive games, highlighted by his production in Week 7 (12/179/1). Over the last three weeks, Kelce has 31 catches for 370 yards and two touchdowns on 33 targets (93.9% catch rate). In Week 6, he had nine catches for 124 yards on nine targets against the Broncos.
Denver ranks 28th defending tight ends (42/486/3 on 50 targets). Their biggest failures came against Washington (7/89/1), Chicago (10/111/2), and Kansas City (11/138). The Broncos’ pass defense allows 8.4 yards per pass attempt, with quarterbacks tossing 16 touchdowns over seven games.
Kelce has an insanely high salary, one that he reached in fantasy points once in 2023 (35.90) and twice in 2022 (33.50 and 35.50). He is the clear No. 1 receiving option for Kansas City (nine targets or more in five of six games). I can’t dismiss a pair of scores and an active role in catches and yards, but his price point requires more creative roster building with fewer outs shining at the backend of the player pool at other positions.
Mid-Tier Options
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Season Long – All Sports
Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 8
Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 8 Last week we avoided some major potholes like Jameson Williams, Justin Herbert, […]
DFS
Week 8 DFS: Quarterback Report
Week 8 DFS: Quarterback Report The big dogs at quarterback were the winning plays in Week 7. Patrick Mahomes (39.10) edged out Lamar Jackson (38.45) in fantasy points in four-point passing touchdown leagues. Josh Allen (28.95) finished fourth, followed by […]
Week 8 DFS: Quarterback Report
The big dogs at quarterback were the winning plays in Week 7. Patrick Mahomes (39.10) edged out Lamar Jackson (38.45) in fantasy points in four-point passing touchdown leagues. Josh Allen (28.95) finished fourth, followed by Jalen Hurts (28.05). The best option was Gardner Minshew (34.15), thanks to two surprising touchdowns and a pair of long touchdowns. My go-to low-value guy was Tyrod Taylor (24.45), who ranked seventh for the week. The theme for the week was QB/TE hookups while offering different levels of investment at DraftKings:
- Patrick Mahomes/Travis Kelce – 76.76 ($16,300 = 4.71 X)
- Lamar Jackson/Mark Andrews – 60.75 ($13,300 = 4.67 X)
- Tyrod Taylor/Darren Waller – 47.25 ($10,100 = 4.77 X)
The Giants combo could have been the best pairing if the elite options at running back and wide receiver delivered elite games.
Here’s a look at the top five scoring quarterbacks after seven weeks:
- Josh Allen (183.85)
- Jalen Hurts (180.45)
- Patrick Mahomes (176.25)
- Lamar Jackson (170.80)
- Justin Herbert (145.60 – one fewer game)
Let’s break down this week’s field in the FullTime Fantasy Week 8 DFS: Quarterback Report.
Top-Tier Options
Patrick Mahomes (DK – $8,400/FD – $9,000)
A Trip to Bountiful (Denver) bodes well for Mahomes to have another elite game. He rates as the top quarterback in the land again in Week 8 after posting his best game (453/4) of the year, thanks to a season-high in catches of 20 yards or more (6), two of which reach the forty-yard mark (46 and 53). Mahomes has a floor of 39 pass attempts in five of his seven starts. Last year, he had two high-floor games (349/3 and 336/3) vs. the Broncos, but Mahomes failed to produce a winning outcome against them in Week 6 (337/1).
Denver has the third-worst defense against quarterbacks (23.64 FPPG), with Miami (375/5) and Chicago (360/4) posting impact games. They allow 8.4 yards per pass attempt, with four teams passing for at least 299 yards. The Broncos have tightened up their wide receiver defense over the last three matchups (NYJ – 6/87, KC – 9/103/1, and GB – 10/98/2), but tight ends produced winning stats in four games (7/89/1, 10/111/2, 7/81, and 11/138) this season.
The Chiefs’ defense has yet to allow more than three touchdowns or 21 points in a game this year, so the Broncos’ lack of offense may lead to more running back action in this matchup. I’m a fan of offenses trending up, especially when having a favorable matchup the following week. Mahomes should have a floor of 300 passing yards and three scores, but he needs a few more yards and a fourth score to fill his salary bucket. Rinse and repeat seems to be the story here. Keep an open mind about Jerick McKinnon (on the field for a season-high 37% of the Chiefs’ snaps in Week 7) possibly finding his way onto the winning ticket in this matchup.
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Season Long – All Sports
Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 8
Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 8 FullTime Fantasy has been synonymous with accurate fantasy football rankings for years. Our […]
DFS - NFL
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 8
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 8 We are now halfway through the 2023 season and the stakes are getting higher. The Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 8 features a pair of contending teams coming off of disappointing losses. Subsequently, a […]
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 8
We are now halfway through the 2023 season and the stakes are getting higher. The Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 8 features a pair of contending teams coming off of disappointing losses. Subsequently, a win would go a long way toward improving the postseason hopes for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Buffalo Bills.
Speaking of the Bills, sitting at a mediocre 4-3 is new territory for Sean McDermott’s squad. Despite being an AFC-best +80 in points differential, Buffalo’s defense has fallen off. Also, the Bills sit at 0-2 on the road against their AFC East rivals. Returning home to Highmark Stadium in primetime could be just what the doctor ordered.
Meanwhile, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have exceeded most expectations, even after a second consecutive home loss. The biggest problem for Todd Bowles’s team appears to be offense. After scoring 20-plus in three games to open the season 3-1, Tampa has one touchdown in their last two outings.
That’s not going to cut it against a Buffalo team that ranks third in the NFL in scoring.
Therefore, the Bills are favored by 8.5 points, and the total slipped by one point to 42.5.
Matchup
| TEAM | OFFENSE | PASS | RUSH | YDS/PLAY | POINTS |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 26 | 15 | 29 | 22 | 26 |
| Buffalo Bills | 5 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 3 |
Both teams are far better at passing than running. However, the Bills have a distinct advantage in scoring, big plays, and efficiency. It’s on the other side of the ball where these two are much more evenly matched.
Tampa Bay ranks 11th in defense and sixth in points allowed. Meanwhile, the Bills have slipped to 22nd in defense but rank fifth in points surrendered. That explains the modest total for this game.
For the Buccaneers to pull the upset, they’ll have to step up offensively. Tampa has mustered a -13.83 expected points differential during their current two-game slide. That’s not the way to challenge a powerful Buffalo team that has won 15 of their last 18 home games.
The Bills have lost two of their last three games. Turnovers have played a big part in that, with Buffalo having two giveaways in each of their last three contests. Cleaning the mistakes and special teams’ gaffs is paramount for McDermott and company to keep the Bills in AFC East contention.
However, it’s hard to see Tampa winning this game without forcing those errors.
Tampa Bay Offense
The Bucs got off to a 3-1 start thanks to Baker Mayfield completing 70% of his passes and…
How will Thursday’s Buccaneers vs. Bills game go?
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Season Long – All Sports
Advanced NFL Snap Counts Report: Week 7
Snap counts tell us who is playing but they don’t always paint a clear picture of who is producing for our fantasy football lineups. By digging deep into FullTime Fantasy‘s Advanced NFL Snap Counts Report: Week 7, we are able […]
NFL Snap Counts Frequently Asked Questions
The Snap Counts report and tool is invaluable in breaking down what’s happening behind the numbers.
What are NFL snap counts?
Snap counts represent the total number of offensive plays a player participated in during a given week.
Why should I care about NFL snap counts?
The number of times a player is on the field for a player can be incredibly useful. It helps track usage, and how players are used and provide fantasy football managers with the ability to look beyond the usual on-field production by adding context to those more traditional statistics.
How are your NFL snap-count numbers compiled?
NFL snap counts are tracked by the NFL Game Statistics and Information System (GSIS). For the last two years, each player has had a chip inserted in his shoulder pads so that radio transmitters in stadiums can track his every move on the field. This is how the GSIS compiles snap counts (and other on-field information).
How can I use NFL snap counts to leverage my success in fantasy football?
Understanding playing time can be a key factor in setting your weekly lineup. In particular, understanding and identifying trends that might give you an early jump on acquiring free agents or making trades for players who might quietly be gaining playing time.
What are the possible drawbacks to using NFL snap counts as part of my fantasy football lineup strategy?
As FantasyPros recently noted, studying snap counts and the percentage of snaps played is one of the easiest ways that we can determine one of the most basic, but important questions for potential fantasy success: Is this player even on the field often enough to make a difference? That said, NFL snap counts only outline playing time, and being on the field is only the first step to fantasy relevance. It’s not the only step. Don’t emphasize snap counts over production.
The Snap Counts report and tool is invaluable in breaking down what’s happening behind the numbers.
SNAPS Total offensive snaps played by player.
SNAP % Percentage of offensive snaps played.
RUSH % Percentage of snaps played where player had a rushing attempt.
TGT % Percentage of snaps played where player was targeted by a pass attempt.
TOUCH % Percentage of snaps played where player touched the football (includes pass attempts, rush attempts and receptions).
FPTS Fantasy points scored by player.
PTS/100 SNAPS Average fantasy points scored by player per 100 snaps
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