Tonight we are looking at an 11 game slate.
This article list my favorite value plays listed at under 5K on either DK or FD.
**Favorite games to target: Grizzlies vs the Suns (High total, fast paced and think this game gets over looked. Grizzlies rank 27th in over all Defense). Wolves/Jazz: Ingles, Mitchell, Wiggins, Towns. Bucks/Pelicans: fast pace and high total. Should be popular. Grizzlies/Suns contrarian.
Giannis out= +10% usage for Bledsoe, +8% Middleton, +7% DiVenceno, +6% B Lopez.
POINT GUARDS
George Hill– Hill is averaging 20 FPs over 20 minutes. Elite matchup tonight along with no Giannis makes Hill an excellent choice and should get over looked tonight.
Kris Dunn/Colby White– last game Dunn got into fouls trouble which limited his playing time. Previous to this game he averaged over 30 minutes. White has been playing through a hamstring injury which could be contributing to his shooting slump. I can see him breaking out of his slump tonight vs the Hawks. Both players are in good spots.
Brian Wanamaker-with Smart ruled out Wanamaker will see some additional minutes.
**If Fultz sits out then DJ Augastin becomes a nice value play.
SHOOTING GUARDS
Josh Hart- minutes are trending back up and this will be a very fast paced game. I see Hart doing very well tonight at minimal ownership.
Donte DiVincenzo- with Giannis off the floor DiVincenzo should see an uptick in minutes. Also, his FPPM go from .95 to 1.35 with him off the floor.
Bogdan Bogdanovic(SAC)- listed as probable, but has been a bit off as of late. Like the price vs value for him tonight.
Kevin Porter- Pace up spot and playing over 20 minutes a game. Nice matchup as well.
SMALL FORWARDS
De’Andre Hunter- Hunter has played over 29 minutes and put up over 24 FPs in the last 4 games. Price down on DK.
Cedi Osman- Osmans price has dropped to 3.3K on DK. He is playing around 30 minutes a game and averaging 20 FPs. This is a pace up spot and nice matchup (Rockets rank 29th vs the SF) for Osman to have a good game.
Joe Ingles– assist rate up with Conley out. Played well vs the Wolves last time.
Denzel Valentine-playing more minutes as of late. Good matchup and only 3.2 K on DK.
Kyle Anderson- listed a probable and only 3k on DK. Averaging a FPPM and like his matchup tonight.
POWER FORWARDS
Ersan Ilyasova- Ilyasova does not see much usage increase or uptick in FPPM, but he should see an increase in minutes tonight. Averaging 1 FPPM and could see close to 20 minutes. Contrarian play is DJ Wilson who could see some extra minutes as well. The few games Wilson has seen 20+ minutes he put up over 20 FPs. Only 3.1K on DK.
Daniel Thies- Celtics will need to play big tonight vs Sabonis and Turner. Thies should see some extra time.
OG Anunoby- no VanVleet so should play a ton of minutes tonight.
Norlens Noel- risk/reward play. Price down a bit and still playing well. Like the matchup.
CENTERS
Bismack Biyombo/Cody Zeller– these 2 get an excellent matchup tonight vs the Nets. Biyambo is playing more minutes with Williams out and both are good values.
Aaron Baynes- Under 5k on DK and gets an excellent matchup tonight vs the Grizzlies.
Jahil Okafor– no Favors again and Okafor is averaging 1.15 FPPM. Should see over 20 minutes.
DJ Wilson– extra minutes with Giannis off the floor and excellent matchup. Fastest paced game on the slate 8x upside tonight.
Bobby Portis- excellent matchup and cheap. Late night hammer value plays. Added: 6:15
