Pitching
Severino – obvious great matchup against this strikeout prone Philly team. Over 29% k rate on the road and just a 29% fly ball rate. If the slider is working, easy double digit k’s. (Risk factor 3)
Stripling – nasty at home with a 1.82 era and 28.9% k rate. Lefties have just a 20% hard contact against him with a 31.6% k rate. Also give you the late night hammer with a floor of about 35 points. (Risk factor 4)
Paxton – Trumbo the only one hitting in the Baltimore lineup, but Paxton has been reverse splits this year. Great strikeout upside which was already at 30% on the road. Only scare is he has struggled a little bit with the long ball. (Risk factor 5)
Godley – strikeout rate isn’t exactly eye popping, but he does get a nice ball park shift and he’s priced down. I don’t love the play, but I think we need to pay up at pitching today so he does save some salary.
Peralta – could actually be chalky today. He’s been down right nasty against righties holding them to a .040 average while also striking out batter by the bunches. I like this play quite a bit especially at his $7,700 price on FanDuel. (Risk factor 5)
Stacks
Colorado – Holland has given up 11 homers and a 43% hard contact to RHB so far this year. Tough hitting in San Fran but against a bad lefty give me all the Arenado, Story and Desmond.
Atlanta – Atlanta lefties vs Harvey……..🔥
Milwaukee – Brad Miller is now with the club so its only right to say he homers in his first home game at MILLER PARK. Love this stack 1-5 and should come in under owned.
Boston – Love the righties today against Lamb. He’s allowed 3 Hr to RHB in just 7.2 innings.
Seattle – come back spot here for them, they let us down bad last night. Love Haniger and Cruz.
Other stacks
Dodgers
Toronto righties and Smoak
Yankees righties
