The Burning Edge
The Burning Edge is a PGA DFS must read each week. Not for the writing…. Trust me. Simply for the best and most consistent picks in the industry. I will not be giving you 40 golfers to choose from each week, I will simplify the game for you and give you the best chance to win money. Don’t just glance over my article because even the slightest detail can help change your lineup and possibly change your life forever.
This article will consist of my top plays on the slate for both major DFS sites. Plus, betting tips, and statistical information to help you make an educated decision. Trust the process and reap the rewards.
STOP READING IF:
- You don’t like winning money.
- You don’t like to take risks.
- You don’t want to learn.
- You expect to win every single week.
Tournament Stop
Tournament: THE PLAYERS Championship
Defending Champion: Rory McIlroy -16
Course: TPC Sawgrass
Yardage: 7,189
Par: 72
Greens: Bermuda
*Top 65 and Ties Make the Cut (No MDF)
Key Stats
Par 4 (450-500)- Top 10 in field
-Louis Oosthuizen
-Bubba Watson
-Brandt Snedeker
-Tyrell Hatton
-Tony Finau
-Patrick Rodgers
-Wyndham Clark
-Billy Horschel
-Webb Simpson
-Daniel Berger
Proximity (200+)- Top 10 in field
-Scott Stallings
-Colin Morikawa
-Keith Mitchell
-Cameron Champ
-Carlos Ortiz
-Rickie Fowler
-Phil Mickelson
-Daniel Berger
-Erik Van Rooyen
-Marc Leishman
Ball Striking-Top 10 in field
-Rory McIlroy
-Colin Morikawa
-Viktor Hovland
-Bryson DeChambeau
-Webb Simpson
-Marc Leishman
-Paul Casey
-Erik Van Rooyen
-Hideki Matsuyama
-Joel Dahmen
Top 10 overall rankings
-Marc Leishman
-Webb Simpson
-Rory McIlroy
-Gary Woodland
-Bryson DeChambeau
-Jon Rahm
-Daniel Berger
-Justin Thomas
-Tony Finau
-Xander Schauffele
These rankings are based on a personalized mixed model created on fantasynational.com.
Top Notch Options
Best plays on the slate with winning upside.
***Rory McIlroy***
Course History: 1st in 19’, cut in 18’, t35 in 17’, t12 in 16’, t8 in 15’
Stat Highlight: 1st Ball Striking, 1st GIR%, 1st SG Tee to Green
Course Fit: A-
Current Form: A+
Upside: Winner
Potential Floor: Top 25
Best Putting Surface: Bermuda
Strengths: Driving, Current Form, B Game will get him top 5
Weaknesses: 3 putt avoidance
***Justin Thomas***
Course History: t12 in 19’, t63 in 18’, t72 in 18’
Stat Highlight: 1st Proximity (150-175 & 125-150), 3rd SG: Tee to Green
Course Fit: B+
Current Form: B
Upside: Winner
Potential Floor: Top 50
Best Putting Surface: Poa
Strengths: Driving, Scoring Ability, Ownership
Weaknesses: Proximity 200+, GIR%, Course History (for his standards)
***Patrick Cantlay***
Course History: cut in 19’, t23 in 18’, t22 in 17’
Stat Highlight: 8th Opportunities Gained, 8th GIR%, 14th Approach
Course Fit: B+
Current Form: B
Upside: Winner
Potential Floor: Top 50
Best Putting Surface: Bentgrass
Strengths: Elite Irons, Ownership, Scoring Chances
Weaknesses: Putting
Salary Savers
Salary relief for balanced builds.
***Webb Simpson***
Course History: t16 in 19’, 1st in 18’, t16 in 17’, t66 in 15’
Stat Highlight: 5th Approach, 9th Par 4 (450-500), 14th SG: Short Game
Course Fit: A-
Current Form: B+
Upside: Winner
Potential Floor: Top 30
Best Putting Surface: Poa
Strengths: Course History, Current Form, All Around Game
Weaknesses: Ownership, SG: OTT
***Bryson DeChambeau***
Course History: t20 in 19’, t37 in 18’
Stat Highlight: 1st SG: OTT, 3rd Opportunities Gained, 4th Ball Striking
Course Fit: B
Current Form: A
Upside: Winner
Potential Floor: Top 50
Best Putting Surface: Bermuda
Strengths: DRIVER, Scoring Chances
Weaknesses: Ownership
***Sungjae Im***
Course History: cut in 19’
Stat Highlight: 4th Proximity (175-200), 14th Tee to Green, 17th Par (500-550)
Course Fit: B
Current Form: A
Upside: Winner
Potential Floor: Top 40
Best Putting Surface: Bermuda
Strengths: Current Form, All Around Game, Confidence
Weaknesses: Ownership, Putting (0-5ft)
Tourney Treasures
Lower owned golfers with upside.
***Patrick Reed***
Course History: t47 in 19’, t41 in 18’, t22 in 17’, cut in 16’, t24 in 15’
Stat Highlight: 1st SG: Short Game, 2nd Putting, 18th Par 4 (450-500)
Course Fit: C+
Current Form: A
Upside: Winner
Potential Floor: Top 45
Best Putting Surface: Bentgrass
Strengths: Current Form, Putting, Strong Field Events
Weaknesses: Proximity 200+, Par 5 (500-500)
***Matt Kuchar***
Course History: t26 in 19’, t17 in 18’, 82nd in 17’, t3 in 16’, cut in 15’
Stat Highlight: 6th Scrambling, 7th Putting, 7th SG: Short Game
Course Fit: B-
Current Form: B-
Upside: Top 5
Potential Floor: Top 60
Best Putting Surface: Bermuda
Strengths: Putting, Strong Field Events, All Around Player
Weaknesses: Long Irons, Opportunities Gained, Driving Accuracy
***Tom Hoge***
Course History: t30 in 19’, t72 in 18’
Stat Highlight: 2nd Proximity 150-175, 10th Putting, 15th Approach
Course Fit: C+
Current Form: B
Upside: Top 20
Potential Floor: Missed Cut
Best Putting Surface: Bermuda
Strengths: Approach, Current Form, Ownership, Salary
Weaknesses: Long Par 4’s, Par 5 scoring, Unpredictable
Sneaky Suspicions
Gut plays.
***Billy Horschel***
Course History: t26 in 19’, t37 in 18’, cut in 17’, t28 in 16’, t13 in 15’
Stat Highlight: 8th Par 4 (450-500), 29th 3 putt avoidance, 34th SG: OTT
Course Fit: B-
Current Form: C+
Upside: Top 12
Potential Floor: Top 60
Best Putting Surface: Bermuda
Strengths: Cut Maker, Putting, Florida Boy
Weaknesses: Scoring, Approach
***Bud Cauley***
Course History: t47 in 19’, cut in 18’
Stat Highlight: 3rd Scrambling, 9th 3 putt avoidance, 27th Approach
Course Fit: B-
Current Form: C
Upside: Top 16
Potential Floor: Missed Cut
Best Putting Surface: Bermuda
Strengths: Scrambling, Ownership, Salary, Tee to Green Game
Weaknesses: Scoring Chances, Driving Accuracy
On The Edge
Golfers very much in play.
Jon Rahm
Xander Schauffele
Tommy Fleetwood
Hideki Matsuyama
Adam Scott
Tony Finau
Henrik Stenson
Colin Morikawa
Viktor Hovland
Ian Poulter
Danny Willett
Daniel Berger
Jason Kokrak
Corey Conners
Christian Bezuidenhout
Talor Gooch
Joel Dahmen
Jimmy Walker
Bets and Odds
For the degenerate in all of us.
Picks to Win- Justin Thomas 14/1, Patrick Cantlay 25/1, Patrick Reed 33/1
Longshots to Win- Tony Finau 50/1, Billy Horschel 100/1
First Round Leader Bets- Patrick Reed 50/1, Tony Finau 66/1, Tom Hoge 100/1
This is golf.
Be contrarian.
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