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Senior Fantasy Football Expert Shawn Childs breaks down and forecasts the top players from the biggest colleges in the nation! In this edition, he takes a look at D’Onta Foreman, Marquise Goodwin and many more of your favorite Longhorns players! Stay tuned for more College Football Player Breakdowns!
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RB D’Onta Foreman – The Longhorns rode Foreman hard in his junior year. He carried the ball 323 times for 2,028 yards and 15 TDs. His game had minimal value in the passing game (7/75). Before 2016, he only had 114 touches for 819 yards with five TDs and six catches. Houston would love to add thump to their rushing attack, and D’Onta appears to be the answer. Over ten games in 2017, Foreman had 84 touches for 410 yards with two TDs and six catches. His best value came in Week 11 (10/65/2), but D’Onta blew out his Achilles the same week. Houston expects him to be ready for training camp. Possible goal-line back with minimal upside in the passing game. With 150 touches, Foreman should gain about 650+ yards with sneaky value in TDs along as Deshaun Watson doesn’t steal the scoring chances at the goal line. Update (July 27): With Foreman expected to miss the start of 2018, I would downgrade his expectations and avoid paying for him inside of round 12 in 12-team PPR leagues. His slow recovery could lead to minimal value over the first month or two of the regular season. A Fantasy owner with interest in D’Onta must pay close attention to his progress in health in August.
WR Marquise Goodwin – Goodwin entered 2017 with ten career starts over four seasons with the Bills. In his 39 games played, he had 49 catches for 780 yards and six TDs on 111 targets. His catch rate (44.1) was a huge problem. For the first time in his career, Marquise stayed healthy for all 16 games last year leading to 56 catches for 962 yards and two TDs on 105 targets. He had three games with over 100 yards receiving (5/116, 6/106, and 10/114) with two of those game coming with Jimmy Garoppolo starting at QB. Over the last five games of the year, Goodwin caught 29 passes for 384 yards and one TD on 43 targets. I’d love to believe in his upside, but his injury past and lack of college resume (120/1364/7 over four seasons at Texas) paint a trap picture. I’m sure he’ll be over drafted in 2018, which make him an easy avoid for me.
K Justin Tucker – Tucker is one of the best kickers in the game. Since the NFL moved the line for extra points, he’s 95-for-95 while never missing an extra point in his career (205 chances). Justin made 34 of 37 field goals in 2017 while averaging 34.4 made field goals over the last five seasons. He made all ten of his 50-yard or long FGs in 2016 and 5-for-7 last seasons to improve his career average in this area to 33-for-47. Tucker has made 90.2 percent of his field goal tries in his career. Justin is my choice top at kicker again in 2018. He’ll help a Fantasy owner win multiple matches during the season.
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K Phil Dawson –The Cardinals’ offense struggled in 2017 while playing solid defense, which led to a career high in field goals (32) and field goal attempts (40). Dawson did miss three of his 26 extra points. In his career, Phil made 84.2 percent of his kicks with success from 50 yards or longer (42-for-59). Over the last three seasons with longer extra point tries, Dawson made 76 of 81 chances. He ranks 10th all-time in scoring in the NFL. Arizona will play better offensively in 2018, which will lead to more TDs and fewer FGs. Matchup type option with the leg to produce a top 12 opportunity even at age 43.
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