On the Mark: After a very successful 2-1 “Mark” in Week 3 (+2.53 units), we have our sights locked on several players ready to outperform their projections before the calendar flips to October.
After a successful 2-1 “Mark” in Week 3 (+2.53 units), Mark Deming targets players set to outperform projections before October.
Written by Mark Deming, former #1 ranked fantasy player in the world.
Let’s dive right in!
Nico Collins Over 6.5 Receptions (+200)
Collins heads into Week 4 boasting some impressive stats. He’s one of just two wide receivers forecasted for 7+ receptions and 110+ receiving yards, per our award-winning FullTime Projections, this week. Across five career matchups against Tennessee, Collins has racked up 21 catches for 286 yards and two touchdowns. Fresh off a stellar Week 3 performance of eight receptions for 109 yards and a score, let’s invest in him to carry over that momentum with a healthy plus-odds opportunity.
Patrick Mahomes Over 37.5 Passing Attempts (+165)
According to our comprehensive FullTime Fantasy data, Mahomes is projected to lead all quarterbacks in pass attempts during Week 4, with an estimated 41 pass attempts. Since the start of the 2024 season, Mahomes has exceeded 38 pass attempts in 10 games. In the last three matchups where the Ravens visited Arrowhead Stadium, the games have averaged 51 total points scored. Prior to their Week 3 tilt against the Lions—where Baltimore leaned heavily on a dominant rushing attack—opposing quarterbacks were averaging 45.5 pass attempts against the Ravens’ vulnerable defense.
Omarion, Hampton Over 80 Rushing Yards (+165)
With veteran RB Najee Harris out for the season due to injury, the Chargers’ focus on a ground-and-pound philosophy opens the door for Hampton to step up as a true bell-cow RB1. Before Harris went down, the team looked ready to roll with a committee approach in the backfield. The talented rookie is now poised to deliver some monster rushing production, commencing with an enticing Week 4 clash against the Giants – who’ve been coughing up 153 rushing yards per game over their first three contests. Fire him up in all lineups!
Christian McCaffrey Over 50 Receiving Yards (+115)
Based upon an in-depth data deep dive, San Francisco star RB Christian McCaffrey is poised for a strong receiving performance on Sunday against Jacksonville, as our FullTime Projections predicts 7+ receptions out of the backfield. CMC, who boasts an average of 8.5 yards per reception in his career, has posted 8 receptions of 20+ yards over the last three seasons. Facing a Jacksonville defense that is allowing an average of 5.9 yards per catch to opposing running backs through three games, let’s grab the plus-odds on an elite RB to eclipse a projection he has surpassed in all three games thus far this season.
