The dark horse is a pitcher that few are looking at but has some potential data points to look at which could deliver a nice value play into your lineups on FanDuel and DraftKings.
Nathan Eovaldi (Boston Red Sox) vs NY Yankees
The Red Sox are with out Chris Sale this year which makes Eovaldi the #1. He has done fairly well going at least 5 innings in each start and threw right around 90 pitches. He throws heat at 97+ and generates a decent amount of strike outs (10 in last game vs the Jays). He has solid command and the potential is there each night if he can limit the home runs. Tonight he gets another chance to pitch against one of his former teams the Yankees. The Yankees have a right handed heavy lineup that is missing two of the top power bats(Stanton and Judge). Eovaldi has been solid vs RHH’s producing a 50% ground ball rate along with 23% K rate and has limited he long ball. The Yankees lineup has a few players that are striking out at over a 20% clip this year vs RHP with a few over 30%. I don’t think he gets out of this game clean. Either Brett Gardner or Mike Taucman will take him deep. Eovaldi throws mostly 97+ mph fastball, cutters and splitters and most of the Yankee bats don’t hit these pitches well. It will be a cooler night in New York with 10 mph winds blowing in which will help Eovaldi out. I am looking at him to go 6 innings get around 7-8Ks and allow a run or two. I don’t see many looking at him today as most don’t use pitchers vs Yankees.