NBA DFS Droppin Dimes 1.16.20

Mandatory Credit: Jaime Valdez-USA TODAY Sports

5 game skate starting at 7:30

 

Notes:

Tonight the Nuggets will be without 3 of the starters- Jamal Murray, Gary Harris & Paul Milsap. We should see Monte Morris, Jerami Grant and most like Michael Porter Jr. starting. Nikola Jokic & Will Barton both get a 5% bump in usage with these 3 off the floor. PJ DoZier is only 3K on DK and solid play. Also Malik Bealey & Mason Plumlee are viable.

**Giannis and Kawhi Leonard are the 2 top priced players tonight. I have them both listed as similar value tonight. Leonard has been playing well with George off the floor. Giannis has been an absolute beast this year with just shy of 2 FPPM. Slight edge to Giannis but think both hit their value tonight.

 

POINT GUARDS

Markelle Fultz

Fultz is on a tear right now. Dropping a trip/dub last game and 30 or more FPs in 4 of his last 5 games.

Elfrid Payton

DSJ is listed as out and Frank Ntilikina is listed as questionable. Payton is a volatile players that could go out and put up 5 FPs or drop a 50 burger. Like this matchup for him tonight in a pace up spot where he tends to play well.

 

VALUE

Monte Morris

Should start tonight with Murray out. Nice matchup vs the Warriors.

Alec Burks

Still playing close to 30 minutes a game. Consistent with some upside as of late.

 

SHOOTING GUARDS

Devin Booker

Booker has played at an elite level over the past 10 games dropping 30 or more real points in 8 of those 10. Tonight the Suns will be with out Kelly Oubre, which only helps Booker. Earlier this month he dropped 38 points on the Knicks.

 

Donavon Mitchell

Bottom line is that Mitchell is under priced on FD and very reasonable on DK. This is a pace up spot for the Jazz along with an excellent matchup.

 

VALUE

Marcus Smart

Marcus “Chalk” Smart last night with Tatum out. When Smart is listed as a starter and priced under 6K we see him become chalk. Tonight is a night that I will play Smart. When the Celtics play big games against some of the best players in the league is when I like to target Smart. He steps up in these games. Pace up spot helps out as well.

Michael Porter Jr.

Averaging 1.1 FPPM and should get solid run tonight with the Nuggets.

Josh Hart

Pelicans will be limited again with guards so we should see Hart play around 30 minutes. Solid scorer and excellent rebounder.

 

SMALL FORWARDS

Brandon Ingram

GTD- keep an eye on status before lock. Playing very well with Jrue off the floor.

Joe Ingles

Playing well with Conley off the floor. Back to back 40 FPs games and 40 FPs last time out vs Pelicans.

Gordon Hayward

Brown has been ruled out. This opens ups some more shots for Hayward and the rest of the Celtics. Walker has been struggling and Hayward has picked up some of the slack. Price is down in a pace up spot.

VALUE

PJ Dozier

Dirt cheap and played well last game out. Excellent matchup and should hit value easily tonight. I don’t see him picking up as much ownership.

 

Cameron Johnson

 

POWER FORWARDS

Derrick Favors

Should be back in the lineup tonight against his old team. Will need his presence to compete against the Jazz. Good spot under 6k.

 

VALUE

JaMychal Green

Under 4K on both sites and in a solid spot tonight.

Daniel Theis

Thies is averging 1.1 FPPM on the season. Projected for around 24-25 minutes. Pace up spot so he should have himself a solid game.

Dario Saric

Solid upside with Oubre out.

CENTERS

Nikola Jokic

No Murray, Harris or Milsap. Coming off a disappointing game last night. I expect him to bounce back with the increase usage and excellent spot Vs the Warriors.

Nikola Vucevic

Pretty consistent dropping 40 or more FPs each night. Good spot vs the Clippers and see most of the attention going to Jokic and Gobert.

 

VALUE

Brook Lopez

Lopez should have no problem getting free from Kanter tonight and getting his shot off. Under 5k and playing well as of late.

Mo Bamba/Khem Birch

Both are playing minutes off the bench with Isaac out.

 

**Head into slackChat for link to my projections.