Daily Dr. Roto — December 12, 2019
Week 15 Thursday Night Football Preview
Quarterbacks
Sam Darnold
The Ravens pass rush will be swarming Darnold all night, and I doubt that he will have much time to pass. Also, CBs Marlon Humphrey and Marcus Peters are two of the top cover guys in the league, so if there were ever a night to bench Darnold, this would be it.
Lamar Jackson
It’s hard to run on the Jets, but their pass defense is a complete sieve. Look for Jackson to make plays with both his arm and legs in this game. I can see him taking a few RPO plays for big gains, and Jackson will find both Brown and Snead on deeper pass plays. This should be a lower scoring game, but Lamar is still worth 25-30 points.
Running Backs
Le’Veon Bell
Bell was sick in Week 14, but he should carry the full load in Week 15. Both Bilal Powell and Ty Montgomery are dealing with injuries, so Bell should have a chance to get the 20-25 touches that he has been seeking all season. The Ravens are susceptible to running backs who run right up the middle, as their linebackers like to swarm in from the outside. I think Bell is by far the best Jet to use in the game, and in fact, he might be the only one I end up starting on Thursday.
Mark Ingram
I have Ingram in two high stakes leagues and am debating what to do with him. The Jets have one of the best run defenses in the league, so I cannot imagine him getting that many rushing yards. However, I can easily see Lamar dumping off a few passes his way. I will guess that he has 45 yards rushing and another 45 yards receiving (on three receptions), so if you need those 11 points, then start him.
Gus Edwards
The Jets have one of the top run defenses in the NFL, so I don’t expect Edwards to have too much involvement in the Ravens’ game plan unless Mark Ingram gets injured.
Wide Receivers
Robby Anderson
As we saw in last week’s game against the Bills, Marlon Humphrey does an exceptional job in stopping the other team’s WR1. Last week, he smothered John Brown, and this week he draws Robby Anderson. Anderson is exceptionally fast and is always capable of breaking off a big play, but the better course of action is to bench him for other options in your lineup.
Jamison Crowder
I will use the Bills WR Cole Beasley as an example for Crowder. Last week, Beasley had four receptions for 29 yards and a TD against the Ravens. While I might agree that Sam Darnold is way more accurate than Bills QB Josh Allen, I still don’t see Crowder dominating the action. I am predicting six catches for 58 yards, which is 11.8 fantasy points. That is ok in some leagues, but not enough to win a high-stakes title.
Marquise Brown
If you have been stashing Hollywood Brown on your roster, this is the game you will want to start him. The Jets secondary is a mess, and they do not have one player on their roster who can match Brown’s speed and quickness. I can see Jackson throwing him short passes that Brown makes into more significant gains, and I can see him catching deep passes for big yardage too. My only hesitation (and it’s a small one) is that the Ravens go up by so much by halftime that they barely throw in the second half.
Willie Snead
This is going to be a game where Jackson can find almost any open receiver. Snead has a great way of getting behind opposing defenses and finding the crack in coverage. Look for him to have his number called in the red zone.
Tight Ends
Daniel Brown
Ryan Griffin was ruled out of the game on Wednesday. Brown should be the starter, but the Ravens are the top team in the league against opposing tight ends, so expect Brown to do a lot of blocking.
Mark Andrews
I would tell you to fade Andrews for two main reasons: 1) The Jets are the second-best team in the NFL against opposing tight ends, and 2) Andrews is not 100%, and I think that his snap count will be limited.
Hayden Hurst
If is ruled out of the game, then I think there is a chance than Hurst might have some value. The Jets are strong against opposing tight ends, as I mentioned, but the Ravens use the tight end so much in their offense that Hurst should still have 8-10 points regardless.
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