Today we are looking at an 8 slate. The Wizards/Wolves game will run at the fastest pace and the Wizards are the worst defensive team. The Wolves are not good defender either, so this is a game to target players on.
Sheet shows team breakdown: opponent, total, pace, opp pace, pace differential(pace up Green, down red), team defense ranking and DvP(defense vs position).
Notes: James Harden has eclipsed 70 FPs in 5 of the 11 games this year. His price is up to over 12k and up against a tougher defense. If Westbrook sits out then Harden becomes a very good play.
POINT GUARDS
Looking at the mid to low end at PG tonight.
Mike Conley
Conlsy gets a shot at his old team tonight in Memphis. Playing well a of late 20 or more points in 2 of his last 3 games. Grizzlies have been one of the worst teams defensively.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Price down on SGA and good value for someone who takes between 15-20 shots each night.
Isaiah Thomas
Played over 30 minutes last game. Gets a very good matchup and projects as one of the better values for me tonight.
VALUE
Jeff Teague
DK play tonight at only 5.3K and going against the worst defensive team tonight. Wiggins is out and Teague picks up a nice bump in usage.
Austin Rivers
Playing a ton of minutes off the bench and usage up with Gordon out.
TJ McConnel
Playing the minutes with a few Pacers out. Pace up spot where McConnel does well.
SHOOTING GUARDS
D’Angelo Russell
Russell has played well vs the Celtics in the past. Last year over 3 games he averaged 29.5 points, 4.5 rebounds and 7 assists. If the Warriors want to compete with the Celtics tonight he will have to put up another big game. Taking over 20 shots a game over his last 4 with a high of 37 shots.
Donovan Mitchell
Mitchell gets one of the best matchups on the board as the Grizzles have been getting torched by guards. In the past 5 games he has taken over 20 shots in 4 and scored over 20 points in 4 while eclipsing the 30 point mark twice in that timeframe. Should come in at lower ownership with all the other SGs in the slate.
Bradley Beal
Game to target. Beal is taking 20 plus shots a game. Pace and matchup are a plus.
VALUE
Malik Monk
Bacon was just ruled out. Insert Monk again.
Marco Gudiric
Picking up more minutes for the Grizzlies. Put up 2 25 plus FPs games over the last 3.
SMALL FORWARDS
Ben Simmons
Under priced on DK and gets a very good matchup against the Thunder. Good spot for him to exceed value.
TJ Warren
Warren has stepped up since Turner and Lamb have gone out. Good matchup and pace up spot.
Terrance Ross
Isaac was just ruled out and this opens up more minutes for sharp shooter Ross. Good matchup as the Spurs rank 24th vs opposing SFs.
VALUE
Jake Layman
Playing more minutes as of late and put up 20 or more FPs in 3 of the last 4 games. Nice fast paced game against a terrible defense and no Wiggins helps Jake tonight. One of my favorite value plays.
Joe Ingles
Ingles continues to play solid minutes each night. The matchup is very good for the Jazz guards and I can see Ingles doing well tonight. Should get his looks.
Davis Bertans
Playing over 25 minutes a game and in a good spot in this fast paced game.
POWER FORWARDS
Anthony Davis
Davis under 10k vs the Kings. Good spot.
Jason Tatum
Should be able to easily exploit this Warriors defense. No Hayward time for Tatum to take charge.
VALUE
Eric Paschall
The Warriors continue to play Paschall over 30 minutes a game. Double digit shot attempts in 5 straight games with 3 of this at 15. Celtics are a good defensive team over all but give up a lot of rebounds and struggle a bit vs Bigs. Cheap price and can see him hitting 6x plus value tonight.
Draymond Green
Similar spot to Paschall tonight. Price way down on DK for Green and should easily hit value. Prefer on DK.
Al-Farouq Aminu
Aminu is getting the start tonight with Isaac out. Cheap option in a very good matchup.
CENTERS
Karl-Anthony Towns
It is KATs birthday today and the best way to celebrate is a game against the worst defensive team. This game is has he fastest pace and the highest total. Good time for KAT to drop 70. No Wigs, so the 70 is looking real good. Locking in KAT.
Andre Drummond
Exxellent a spot vs the Hornets.
VALUE
Cody Zeller
Zeller has been solid this year. Should play some additional minutes to counter Drummond. Good matchup vs the Pistons.
Tyson Chandler
Rockets will be without Capela tonight and have already announced that Chandler will start. Chandler is averaging 1 FPPM and gets a good matchup vs the Pacers. Center is the spot to attack them.
My Projections ranked by DK Value. This will update as news/minutes get adjusted.
