The Burning Edge
The Burning Edge is a PGA DFS must read each week. Not for the writing…. Trust me. Simply for the best and most consistent picks in the entire industry. I will not be giving you 40 golfers to choose from each week, I will simplify the game for you and give you the best chance to win money. Don’t just glance over my article because even the slightest detail can help change your lineup and possibly change your life forever.
This article will consist of my top plays on the slate for both major DFS sites. Trust the process and reap the rewards.
STOP READING IF:
- You don’t like winning money.
- You don’t like to take risks.
- You expect to win every single week.
- You can’t read.
Tournament Stop
Tournament: Mayakoba Golf Classic
Defending Champion: Kuchar -22
Course: El Camaleon GC
Yardage: 6,987
Par: 71
Greens: Paspalum
*Top 65 and Ties Make the Cut (No MDF)
Tournament History
2019: Matt Kuchar 1st, Danny Lee 2nd
2018: Patton Kizzire 1st, 2nd not in field, Si Woo Kim 3rd
2017: Pat Perez 1st, 2nd not in field, Russell Knox 3rd
2016: Graeme McDowell 1st, Russell Knox 2nd
Key Stats
SG Par 5- Top 10 in field
-Scott Stallings
-Luke List
-Emilliano Grillo
-Pat Perez
-Kristoffer Ventura
-Jason Day
-Keegan Bradley
-Adam Schenk
-Viktor Hovland
-Mark Hubbard
SG Approach- Top 10 in field
-Brian Stuard
-Ben Taylor
-Kyle Stanley
-Russell Henley
-Tyler Duncan
-Matt Kuchar
-Chris Stroud
-Viktor Hovland
-Brian Gay
-Mark Hubbard
SG Par 4 (450-500)- Top 10 in field
-Si Woo Kim
-Joaquin Niemann
-Abraham Ancer
-Russell Henley
-Brian Stuard
-Vaughn Taylor
-Kevin Chappell
-Russell Knox
-Tom Hoge
-Scott Brown
Top 10 overall rankings
-Jason Day
-Joaquin Niemann
-Russell Henley
-Chris Stroud
-Tony Finau
-Russell Knox
-Joel Dahmen
-Adam Schenk
-Brian Harman
-Matt Kuchar
These rankings are based on a personalized mixed model created on fantasynational.com.
Top Notch Options
Best plays on the slate with winning upside.
Jason Day- Taking a risk right off the bat. Based on his recent performances we should get an instant ownership discount. Day has something to prove after being a captain’s choice. This is his get right spot. In the middle of last year, he changed his swing coach to help him lower his ball flight. The adjustment period has been longer than most people expected but he would have fired him by now if he felt this wasn’t the direction, he wanted to go in. After a long offseason and plenty of practice with his new swing he should be back to his former self. Possibly better? Who knows, but with a lot to prove this week’s field should be perfect target practice.
Joaquin Niemann- With only one previous outing at this event he only mustered up a 60th place finish. However, he was in poor form at that time and hadn’t a win under his belt. With a little bit more course knowledge and a desire to improve each week this kid should be in consideration. He keeps the ball in play and limits his chances for missed cuts. At this price if he shoots 4 rounds in the 60’s he should have no issue paying off. Don’t let course history scare you off this kid can get it done any week.
Salary Savers
Salary relief for balanced builds.
JT Poston- Every season on tour he has improved, and I don’t see him taking a step back any time soon. Last year he finished 21st with four consecutive rounds in the 60’s. His scoring upside is what draws my attention at this price he can easily rattle in 5-6 birdies per round let’s just hope his putter is still running hot.
Scott Piercy- A course horse at a mid-range price tag is well worth the roster spot. With a 6th, 4th, and a 16th place finish in his last three attempts here this price makes me question DraftKings algorithm. Is it a trap? Nah, play him and don’t overthink it.
Tourney Treasures
Lower owned golfers with upside.
Brian Gay- Rolling back the clock with this pick. Gay is a wily veteran on tour that still puts out some very solid rounds of golf. The alternate tournament two weeks ago he took home another top 10 finish. His form is solid, his accuracy, and ball striking make him a safe bet for the cut. If the putter gets rolling early this play could pay off in a big way.
James Hahn- Had to deep dive to find this value. At a mere $6,400 James Hahn is the off the wall play of the week, and he’s priced to pay off. He keeps the ball in the fairway, gives himself scoring chances, and has been a cut maker his entire career. I will take a stab at this low price to help me fit in my studs at the top.
Sneaky Suspicion
Gut Play.
Keegan Bradley- I find Keegan performs better on tracks that are under 7,000 ft. It forces him to play his mid irons which he is lights out with. The only setback is his inconsistencies around and on the greens. If he puts together a couple average putting rounds, he will hit value. Possible top 10 finish for Bradley this week.
Fade
Stay away from this golfer.
Scottie Scheffler- I have nothing against this kid or his game but I have a feeling this course takes a little bit of previous knowledge before you can really attack it. The past 8 out of 10 winners have been 30 years or older and with one previous start prior to the win so I will take my chances elsewhere at this price.
On The Edge
Golfers that just missed the write up cut.
Viktor Hovland
Billy Horschel
Emilliano Grillo
Sebastian Munoz
Russell Henley
Kevin Streelman
Adam Schenk
Si Woo Kim
Vaughn Taylor
Remember this is golf.
Remember to be contrarian.
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