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Senior Fantasy Football Expert Shawn Childs breaks down and forecasts the top players from the biggest colleges in the nation! In this edition, he takes a look at Evan Engram, Eli Manning, Donte Moncrief and many more of your favorite Ole Miss players! Stay tuned for more College Football Player Breakdowns!
TE Evan Engram – The Giants added an interesting dynamic to their offense in the 2017 draft with Engram. He caught 162 passes over four years in college resulting in 2,320 yards and 15 TDs. In 2016, his game made an excellent step forward (65/926/8). Evan is an oversized WR playing the TE position with excellent speed and quickness to threaten the defense in all areas. He’ll need to improve his route running and blocking skills to be on the field for more plays. Over 14.5 games, Engram caught 64 of his 115 targets for 722 yards and six TDs. He had seven games with five catches or more and four games with double-digit targets. His three clunker games came in Week 5 (0/0 on four targets), Week 11 (1/8 on six targets), and Week 16 (1/12 on two targets while leaving the game after an early injury). This season he’ll be the third option in the passing game, which will help him see favorable coverage on many plays. Even with competition for targets, Evan should be able to push his way to 70+ catches for 800+ yards with about seven TDs.
QB Eli Manning – Over the last three seasons before 2017, Eli averaged 606 passing attempts per game leading to just under 4,300 passing yards and about 30 TDs per season. Manning passed for over 4,000 yards in six of his last nine years. His sack total tends to be short along with his yards per pass attempt due to Eli getting rid of the ball quickly when his pass blocking breaks down. His drop-in production last year (3,468 passing yards and 19 TDs) was due to injuries. This season he’ll have strength at two wide receiver positions plus an upside, big play TE. Over 13 seasons in the NFL, Manning has a 111-103 record with two Super Bowl titles. This offense has enough talent for Eli to post a career high in passing yards and TDs, but the addition of an elite RB may take away his upside in many games. Odell Beckham is a beast while coming off an injury. Evan Engram is the real deal at TE, and Saquon Barkley can only make the offense better. Outside at 4,500+ yards with 30 TDs well within reach.
WR Donte Moncrief – 2016 was a wasted season for Moncrief with minimal value again in 2017 (26/391/2). In his 12 games last year, Donte had two catches or fewer in eight of his 12 games. He has four impact games on his career resume (7/113/1, 3/134/2, 7/122/1, and 8/114) despite making only 27 starts in his 53 career games over three seasons. Moncrief does have 18 TDs, which matches up well with his starts. His best value came in 2015 (64/733/6) with Andre Luck behind center. His size (6’2” and 220 lbs.) and speed (4.4) should be an attractive combo for the Jaguars’ coaching staff, but Moncrief needs to stay healthy and regain his previous form. He’ll start the year at age 25 with a nice one-year contract ($9.6 million). Paid to produce, but I need to see progress this summer before placing a high Fantasy bet on draft day. My leeriness points to about 40 catches for 500+ yards, but he could be the top scoring threat in the red zone in the passing game.
WR Mike Wallace – In his eight seasons in the NFL, Wallace has six seasons with 60 catches or more and three years with over 1,000 yards receiving. He scored 41 TDs in his first 79 games in the NFL, but only ten TDs in his last 47 games. After playing well for the Ravens in 2016 (72/1017/4), Mike struggled to make an impact and plays last year (52/748/4). He had two games with over 100 yards receiving (3/133) and 5/116) in 2017 while playing his best over his last five games (23/377/1 on 42 targets). His skill set should work well in the Eagles. I expect him to stretch the defense while being a threat to score in the red zone. His chances would be helped by higher completion rate by Carson Wentz to WR. Possible 60+ catches for 750+ yards with a handful of TDs, which makes him 40 percent better than Torrey Smith (36/430/2) in 2017.
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RB Jordan Wilkins – In his senior season at Mississippi, Wilkins gained 1,192 yards with ten TDs and 26 catches while pushing his yards per rush to 6.5 yards. Jordan runs with a smoothness to his game when given an open run through the defensive line. He has vision with open field ability, but Wilkins doesn’t run with power or tackle breaking ability. His value in pass protection in a huge concern. Based on the early down options on the Colts in 2018, Jordan appears to be the top player for early down action. He needs to add more strength and more fire to his game when engaging oncoming tackles. The running back situation will be fluid in 2018. Wilkins looks to be inline for 150+ touches for 650+ yards and a handful of TDs.
WR Laquon Treadwell – Over three years at Mississippi, Treadwell caught 202 passes for 2,393 yards and 21 TDs. His breakthrough season came in his junior year in 2015 when Laquon caught 82 balls for 1,153 yards and 11 TDs. He even completed three passes for 134 yards and a TD. His speed (4.65) is well below league average for his position, but he more than makes up for it in his size (6’2″ and 221 lbs.) and power. Treadwell will add scoring value in the red zone. Laquon has excellent hands where he will win many jumps balls even with a defender in his hip pocket. His route running and feel for defensive positioning will be an asset at the next level. In his second year in the NFL, Treadwell caught 20 of his 35 targets for 200 yards. His size should lead to the best opportunity of his career in 2018, but he has a lot to prove based on his snail’s path over the first two years in the league.
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