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Senior Fantasy Football Expert Shawn Childs breaks down and forecasts the top players from the biggest colleges in the nation! In this edition, he takes a look at Cam Newton, Kerryon Johnson, Peyton Barber and many more of your favorite Auburn players! Stay tuned for more College Football Player Breakdowns!
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QB Cam Newton – Over the last two seasons, Newton struggled with his consistency to make long plays. His yards per pass attempts (6.7) was a career low in 2017 with weakness as well in 2016 (6.9). Cam offset his regression in passing yards to posted a career high in rushing attempts (139) and rushing yards (754) while scoring six rushing TDs. Over 109 career games, he has 54 rushing TDs. Last year Newton passed for 3,302 yards with 22 TDs and 16 Ints. He finished with two games with over 300 yards passing and three other games with 300 or more combined yards. Cam had four games with three TDs or more. In 2017, he played most of the season without his top TE, which created a void in the Panthers’ offense. Overall, the WR core lacked a true WR1 which left Devin Funchess playing the lead role at WR despite having a WR2 skill set at best. The second highest WR in catches came at 32 receptions. This season Newton will have a new hotshot WR drafted in the first round plus a speedy Torrey Smith added to the roster via trade. Curtis Samuel struggled in his rookie season due to injuries, but he could be the sneaky swing option on the roster. Even with short passing results, Cam finished as the third highest scoring QB in the World Championships scoring system. Remember, rushing yards are worth twice as much as passing yards in the high stake’s market, and rushing TDs are 1.5 times more than passing TDs. In essence, Newton had 4,800+ passing yards with 31 passing TDs if you converted his yards on the ground to the air. His pass/run package should lead to 5,000 combined yards with improvement in production at WR and TE. His gain in passing yards will lead to regression in rushing yards as Cam won’t feel the need to carry the team on the back on the ground. His floor is combined TDs should be 30 in 2018.
RB Kerryon Johnson – Over three seasons at Auburn with one coming as a full-time starter, Johnson rushed for 1,391 yards and 34 TDs plus 55 catches for 478 yards. Much of his scoring last year came on of the wildcat type offense leading to his best year (1,585 combined yards with 20 TDs and 24 catches). In his college career, Kerryon gained only 4.8 yards per rush. He runs with a long stride and upright position, which I believe is going to be a problem in the NFL. His movements require space to gain yards even with some wiggle and power. In 2018, I view him as a work in progress with a wide range of outcomes from week-to-week. I sense a draft day bust while offering no interest to me in the Fantasy market.
RB Peyton Barber – Tampa signed Barber as undrafted free agent 2016 after a successful sophomore year at Auburn (238/1017/13). His game looked unimpressive based on his yards per rush (4.3), and Peyton barely had a pulse in the passing game (11/112). Over his first two seasons in the NFL, Barber rushed 646 yards on 163 carriers with four TDs. He gained 4.0 yards per rush, which supports his boring message in college. Peyton has 21 catches 142 yards in his career, which is another of limited upside. Last year Barber flashed in Week 13 (143 combined yards with four catches on 27 touches). In the previous four games of the season, Peyton gained 275 combined yards with eight catches and one TD while averaging almost 16 touches per game. Hs lack of explosiveness (two runs over 20 yards on 163 carries) pushes him to a backup running back in 2018 with minimal chances of seeing action on third downs.
RB Corey Grant – The most interesting backup RB in Jacksonville is Corey Grant. Over the last two seasons, he’s flashed big-play ability in the run game and a couple of fake punts. Corey gained 412 rushing yards in 2016 and 2017 with three TDs while gaining over forty yards on three plays. Grant only has nine catches for 90 yards and one TDs over three seasons in the NFL. For now, Grant is just a returner on kickoffs, but he may get a chance at more touches in 2018 if Leonard Fournette has an injury.
K Cody Parkey – Over four seasons in the NFL, Parkey made 86.4 percent of his 88 field goal chances with great success from 50 yards or longer (6-for-7). Over the last two years, Cody missed four of 50 extra point tries. Chicago scored only 31 TDs while creating only 22 field goal attempts. Nice leg and the Bears should be better offensively in 2018. Only an occasional matchup option in the Fantasy market.
WR Ricardo Louis – Louis caught 85 passes for 1,302 yards and eight TDs over his last three seasons at Auburn. His best year came in his senior season when he caught 46 passes for 716 yard and three TDs. Ricardo was also active in the running game (68/578/2). Louis has questions with his hands, route running, and his release. Over two seasons in the NFL, Louis has 45 catches for 662 yards and no TDs on 96 targets.
Most Accurate Draft Rankings from 2017
1) @allinkid
2) @AllieFontana
3) @jasonffl
4) @The_Oddsmaker
5) @WazNFL
6) @Fitz_FF
7) @jaywrong
8) @ScoutFantasy
9) @FFHitman
10) @FF_Wheeler pic.twitter.com/Hm4yMqcKea— FantasyPros (@FantasyPros) July 6, 2018
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RB Cameron Artis-Payne – In his only full season of action with Auburn, Cameron ran for 1,608 yards on 303 carries with 13 rushing TDs. He also caught 13 passes for 147 yards. CAP doesn’t attack the line of scrimmage when given the ball. He tends to wait for daylight, which hurts his timing to hit possible holes to the second level of the defense. Artis-Payne will run with power and some wiggle in the open field. With a weak offensive line, Cameron is going to deliver many carries with minimal gains. In his rookie season in the NFL, the Panthers gave him 50 touches for 241 yards with a TD and five catches with fading results in 2016 (36/144/2) and 2017 (18/95/1). Cameron has seven career catches on seven targets for 71 yards. Artis-Payne is a low-end insurance policy.
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