Vegas is Fading This Highly-coveted Rookie WR

There's a lot of hype around this rookie- but should we be worried?

May 10, 2024; Lake Forest, IL, USA; Chicago Bears wide receiver Rome Odunze (15) runs drills as head coach Matt Eberflus looks on during Chicago Bears rookie minicamp at Halas Hall. Mandatory Credit: David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

Vegas is Fading This Highly-coveted Rookie WR in 2024.

Long-time Las Vegas gambler and ranked high-stakes fantasy player Frank Taddeo (@RespectedMoney on X) is always watching Vegas oddsmakers to identify best bets and fantasy values.


THIS WR IS PROJECTED TO STRUGGLE FOR PRODUCTION. 

In my first installment of highlighting players witnessing significant movement in their 2024 NFL betting markets here at Fulltime Fantasy, we dove into a rookie running back expected to make a major impact in 2024.

A major component of my success playing high-stakes fantasy football at the FFWC is incorporating player projections of oddsmakers into my NFL model. I began creating my model in 2010 when I created the only over-the-counter DFS program offered to date in a Las Vegas sportsbook.

Today, we are going to focus on Chicago rookie wideout Rome Odunze. The former Washington Huskies standout was drafted ninth overall by the Bears after the club tabbed Caleb Williams first overall.

The Bears envision the young tandem to become the face of the club’s offensive attack for the next decade and beyond.

Many fantasy managers are investing early draft capital in Chicago’s veteran wideouts D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen. In early FFWC drafts Moore owns an ADP of 25 / WR18, while Allen can be found with an ADP of 49 / WR31. Meanwhile, Odunze is coming off the board much later with an ADP of 84 / WR46.

Check out the FullTime Fantasy Rookie Scouting Profile for Rome Odunze here

Moore and Allen are likely to grab the majority of the target share while new pass-catching running back D’Andre Swift will also snag looks out of the backfield resulting in Odunze struggling for targets in his first season.

VEGAS ODDSMAKERS FADING POTENTIAL PRODUCTION

Oddsmakers, who initially installed Odunze with a receiving yards betting projection of 825.5, have adjusted the rookie talent with the biggest move of any wideout in the receiving yards market. The 6-foot-3, 215-pound dynamic threat now only sits with a betting demand of 675.5 at DraftKings. In addition, oddsmakers are becoming less bullish on his red-zone involvement slicing his receiving touchdown projection from 5.5 to 4.5.

“NEARLY A 200 YARD MOVE PRIOR TO TRAINING CAMP SHOULD SET OFF FANTASY ALARMS.” – Frank Taddeo

When oddsmakers make this significant of a move, this far out before training camp and preseason games, fantasy managers need to be cognizant. Oduzne, who currently has an ADP of WR46, came off the board at 9.10 in a Circa Championship draft held on June 23.

Odunze, who played four seasons at Washington, exploded over his final two years, hauling in 167 receptions for 2,745 yards and 20 touchdowns emerging as one of the best wide receivers in the nation.

In Chicago, Odunze will have to battle Moore and Allen for targets while also sharing the middle of the field with two proven tight end receiving options in Cole Kmet and Gerald Everett.

Fantasy managers should not be afraid to invest in the rookie in Dynasty leagues. However, re-draft players may be better served pivoting to other wideout options demanding similar draft capital such as Jameson Williams, Keon Coleman, Josh Downs, Xavier Worthy, or Curtis Samuel.


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About Frank Taddeo 56 Articles
Frankie is a Villanova alumni who created the first Casino Fantasy Sports program in Vegas book. He was the 2019 FFWC 10K Top Gun Champion & 2017 + 2018 Back-to-Back Top 100 Players in World Invit. Champ! He is a sports fanatic, a Vegas whisperer, and a horse racing expert handicapper!